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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    If you had spelled out that it could also be one, or the other, you might have earned a coveted Yes from Chief.
  2. ashbury
    Correa strikes me as possibly like the old saying about cocky guys such as AJ: "You hate him when he's in the opponents ' dugout, and you hate him a little less when he's in yours." No, I don't think it's actually quite like that, but this survey might be reflective of something along that line.
  3. ashbury
    Key is how closely the metric matches customer experience, or is simply the only proxy for it on hand. Such a different domain than baseball, though.
  4. ashbury
    Plus you don't even need the box to know when the Twins' *ahem* more selective hitters are getting jobbed by the umpire. 😊
  5. ashbury
    Fifteen years ago, maybe. But, baby steps, baby steps. 😊
  6. ashbury
    His acoustic version of "Over the Rainbow" was barely known until Judy Garland did her cover of it. / edit - I do lie, I do lie
  7. ashbury
    Hi-yo!
  8. ashbury
    J. J. Cale. I don't lie.
  9. ashbury
    The A's already got Mason Miller out of Pittsburgh. 😀 Good article, and I'm not going to be constructive this time.
  10. ashbury
    I don't necessarily hate any of these acquisitions but would not want to pay much in terms of prospects. Bader for example is Manny Margot except apparently still with centerfielder's chops; if the Mets were to accept Manny plus a low level prospect (outside our top 20 or 30, say) or two, sure, that's an upgrade worth a little effort I suspect. Severino probably will cost more than I'm willing to give up for a good pitcher on an expiring contract. Manaea looks iffy but maybe the price in prospects is close to nothing, though the question of his player-option for next season would have to be addressed. Ottavino's ERA is unsightly but at a quick glance he may have run into bad luck and is actually still at career norms for performance even at age 38. Fun to think about, devil's in the details.
  11. ashbury
    He OPSed 1.104 in 133 PA, May 30 to July 1, 2023 at St Paul. Probably interesting stats could be found by compiling his career minor league stats on alternate Saturdays, too. You can find all kinds of interesting **** in small samples. 😀
  12. ashbury
    Frog legs twitch when current is applied, even after amputation. I'll wait until Max is back in the lineup before declaring him alive.
  13. ashbury
    Man. I stared at those lyrics before posting, and still didn't see it. It was right there.
  14. ashbury
    Finding himself? He's already been at AAA two previous seasons, and did better. Recent trends may be good, but short stretches of 100 PA here and there can be misleading. Best to count all the stats. As I just got done saying in another thread, a similar "past few weeks" analysis would have us installing Manny Margot as our everyday left fielder. I'm a long time believer in Wallner, but even so I want to tap the brakes a bit here.
  15. ashbury
    Pretty sure it's the slider that does that. HTH, HAND. 😀
  16. ashbury
    Sounds like a rhetorical question, yet I'll answer it. 😀 Split the season at the mark where Margot hit bottom in OPS, namely May 17. 92 PA, .169 BA, .468 OPS, .203 BABIP Since that date: 53 PA, .340 BA, .883 OPS, .381 BABIP A straightforward way to look at it is that the BA on Balls In Play leads the way for the rest of the stats, and a nice stretch where the hits are falling in for him have helped bring him close (but not quite there yet) to career norms having a BA in the range of .250 and a BABIP just short of .300. A little more of this good stretch and then normal rates of hits falling in could keep him as a backup the rest of the way. That second line of numbers is no more believable than the first one, as a reflection of him as a player, and the truth lies somewhere in between, which the accumulated season stats are now reflecting. There are people who are (rightly) skeptical about this current good stretch, and yet were willing to take the bad stretch at face value. "Which player do you want, Player A or Player B?" "I want Player B, obviously." "Ha! They're the same player." Mind, such numbers as backup would be what I presumed would be tied to CF skills, an expectation that most of us have found disappointing. These are not numbers for a backup corner outfielder, regardless of the quality of defense there.
  17. ashbury
    I'd feel better if our struggling major leaguers currently at AAA hadn't fattened up on a young, highly touted prospect who unaccountably has encountered a wall in AAA and can't get anybody out all season. Last year he wasn't as bad as this, even at AAA. Not a true test for us.
  18. ashbury
    She don't lie, she don't lie, she don't lie. That rain.
  19. ashbury
    Just like my cousin's prom night.
  20. ashbury
    That's a very good point, and I had forgotten that bit of recent Astro history. So nobody's job is on the line at all where it comes to Abreu? If anything it amplifies what I was saying. Don't expect some sort of similar scenario with an underperforming Twin on a continuing contract. Releasing Vazquez for instance would make indelible a stain on FalVine's record and they won't likely do that.
  21. ashbury
    A much larger revenue base and ownership that won't hang the FO out to dry for a big mistake makes all the difference. That's not to say it isn't a black mark, next time contract negotiations occur for the higher ups. But this move is evidence that they don't feel on the hot seat about anything.
  22. ashbury
    Kind of a RandBalls Stu golden oldies piece.
  23. ashbury
    It's in all the undergraduate engineering textbooks and quite a few sabrmetric papers too. 😀
  24. ashbury
    Our lefties weren't clobberizin' right handed pitchers. What else is the manager, and eventually the FO, supposed to do? Correa, Jeffers and Miranda all have higher OPS hitting from the right side against RHP than any Twins left hander. Lefties who can't hit righties with authority are of no damn use; one by one, they're going to be told to step aside and let someone else have a turn. I don't know if Rocco so much prefers platooning, as he merely plays the roster he's got (and certainly he does have input on that, given the talent pool to choose from). He'll do what any analytically minded manager will do, and pick out the hitters with the best chances against that game's starting pitcher. It's a rare team that doesn't have a bat or two that belongs at the bottom of the order, against certain pitchers, and Rocco will cope. Filling out an optimized lineup is chasing ghosts, when the hitters themselves don't perform.
  25. ashbury
    That was kind of the thrust of my post, and yet I'm not quite willing to take it that far. A lot of players can play in the majors, if fit into clearly defined roles. Some hold such a role for years, and even adapt to a new role. Jake Cave would be an example. Major league regular, though? I will take that stand.
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