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Fire Dan Gladden

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Everything posted by Fire Dan Gladden

  1. Fire Dan Gladden
    Dollars play a huge role here: Alcala will be back. Gordon will be back (though his grasp on a 40-man slot is extremely tenuous). Cheap and potential roster fits (Gordon for his positional flexibility) We all appreciate what Luplow did for the Twins, but he is the quintessential AAAA player that can be found at any point during the season.
  2. Fire Dan Gladden
    Lots of love for Duran, but if I were the Twins, I would wait. So many things can go wrong. Duran has been really good, but not elite. The injury risk and volatility of relievers is real. If you are looking to buy out a year or two of FA, that would put him him in his early 30's at the end of the contract. Hard throwers tend to flame out younger (pardon the pun), meaning Duran's jump into FA at that time might not be great. Lot's of risk for both sides, but I think the Twins can wait a year or two without losing too much financial advantage.
  3. Fire Dan Gladden
    Anthony Franco on MLB Trade rumors had a Twins-centric chat last Friday. The transcript can be found here: https://live.jotcast.com/chat/twins-outlook-23-16688.html A few takeaways: - He doesn't believe Gordon will stay on the 40-man through the winter. - He thinks 4/$72 for Gray is low, but not unreasonable. - He likes MAT back at 2/$15 Decent five minute read...
  4. Fire Dan Gladden
    The Twins will have a dollar/year line they will hold to (like Correa). If some team is willing to pay more, Gray will probably be gone. I would even be good with three years + an option. With Gray's pitching style not relying on power, his age related drop-off may not be as drastic. In the end, it really comes down to Gray's priorities.
  5. Fire Dan Gladden
    I re-read the comments. While not clear, I certainly hope so...
  6. Fire Dan Gladden
    Unless Gray is truly chasing the last dollar, the Twins and Gray would be dumb not to discuss a new contract. Gray has had two of the best years of his career in MN, the Twins should be a yearly playoff contender for the next 3-5 years. Leading the Twins to a WS would make him a folk hero here. Twins need SP depth (as does every team). He won't require a 7 year contract. He brings a needed veteran presence. Offer him 2 years guaranteed at 10% above market value, with two additional option years that guarantee based on easily attainable goals (20 starts, 130 IP. etc.).
  7. Fire Dan Gladden
    I have said this before and I will say it again: I do not know how you can chastise this FO for how they have handled pitching. Year after year the minors have gotten deeper in pitching prospects and year after year the big league team has improved to the point of this year being elite. Every team wants to churn out #1 Aces every year, but that just does not happen. Baseball is lucky to see 1-2 Aces per year as a whole. Gotta be realistic here.
  8. Fire Dan Gladden
    I do not know how Fangraphs came up with that number, but if you polled 100 knowledgeable people, I would bet 100 would say that Correa's production value did not come close to his salary last year. 2023 OPS+ Correa 94 Gallo 101 Gallo had to be worth $40M, right?
  9. Fire Dan Gladden
    Farmer is probably the top of the list of "expendable" players for the Twins. They really needed him last off-season with no depth or help on that side of the infield. Then came the Correa signing, Lewis showed he can handle 3B, Polanco is serviceable at 3B, Castro... while they would lose their true backup SS, the depth is there. I would be happy to have him back, but I think he could be part of a package that would bring in an upgrade at another position.
  10. Fire Dan Gladden
    I will never have anything bad to say about TC Bear. TC was on my slow-pitch softball team circa 2006-9. Incredibly nice individual, fantastic athlete. Beware the Bear!
  11. Fire Dan Gladden
    I think that is kind of the point. The changing game means they will not be broken.
  12. Fire Dan Gladden
    I am not convinced Gray will walk. He had two of his best seasons in Minnesota and the Twins will be playoff contenders for the next few years. There is incentive on both sides to get a deal done. Market dollars, two years plus an option or two with easily attainable numbers to kick those options in should do it. There is no rush to extend the younger guys. Buy out their last 2 yeas of arbitration and a year or two of FA. Use the Tampa Bay approach. Polanco and Kepler are easy decisions. Both will be back next year. I can't see any argument to not bring them back. Effective on offense and defense, respected clubhouse guys, tenured Twins. No-brainers. The bigger push should be a permanent placement at 1B. Pete Alonso makes the most sense, but there are others that might be available. If Kiriloff comes back healthy enough to play, he could easily slide into Kepler's OF spot in a year or two.
  13. Fire Dan Gladden
    The best measurement I can think of as to if a manager is good/effective/etc. is did they get more out of their players than expected? Correa and Buxton were NOs, but injuries played a part of that. Miranda, Vazquez, and Gordon definitively underperformed. You can make an argument that basically every other player on the roster played at or above expectations. How many players this year had "career" level years? Julien, Kiriloff, Wallner, Solano, all had very productive years in large part to how well they were protected and put in positions to be successful (L/R splits anyone?). Getting the most out of your players... Their record was about what was expected in the pre-season. Personally, I think Correa and Buxton alone cost them around 7-8 wins. The reactionary calls for Baldelli to be fired truly need to stop. At worst, he is average. There is a decent chance he is pretty good and getting better.
  14. Fire Dan Gladden
    Way too early to write off Buxton. Hopefully they can keep him healthy, in the lineup, and in the field, The Twins had the right approach this year: sign a quality #4 OF and prepare for the worst. Keeping Taylor in the fold makes sense considering the unknown.
  15. Fire Dan Gladden
    You aren't going to replace him, but there are potential big league starters on their way up. Ryan and Ober are already penciled in to the rotation, Paddack is the logical first choice to take that slot.
  16. Fire Dan Gladden
    Answer this question: If Buxton, Correa, and Vazquez performed at their expected levels this year, how many more games would they have won? How different would things with an expected Buxton and Vazquez in the lineup (add a healthy Kiriloff and Lewis). Any team that makes the playoffs has a legitimate chance to win the WS. Ask the top seeds how things worked out for them this year. They were close this year and have a large push of quality youth (both pitching and hitting). Stop blaming the FO for losing a best 3-of-5 series. They are a lot closer than people think.
  17. Fire Dan Gladden
    IMO, Farmer and Luplow are probably the only ones really at risk here. I do not want to see Gordon back, but the price is low. DeLeon and Alcala are both cheap and young... can never have too much pitching depth. Others have earned another look (along with their cost being relatively low as well).
  18. Fire Dan Gladden
    With Kiriloff's ability to play the outfield, 1B was always a position the Twins could go after for offensive improvement. This just justifies it even more...
  19. Fire Dan Gladden
    Chief, you are right. I stand corrected. Chalk it up to old age...
  20. Fire Dan Gladden
    #3 hits it on the head. I think after some time, when the dust settles on this season, this has the biggest "what if" potential of any team since Liriano went down in 2006. So many things went wrong, so many primary position players were terrible and/or produced below expectations. How many more wins would a "normal" Buxton, Correa, Vazquez have brought to the table? Add a healthy year from Lewis, Kiriloff, Polanco... Could easily be in the same discussion with the Braves... Thanks as always Stu!
  21. Fire Dan Gladden
    Pressly was traded because the Twins were not going to resign him in the offseason. It wasn't made to "improve" the team.
  22. Fire Dan Gladden
    Gray and the Twins would both be stupid not to explore another contract. Twins - You can never have too much quality pitchers (this year should prove that). He is a known quantity and his pitching style should (theoretically) not drop off a cliff. Gray - Pitched two of his best seasons in MN. The Twins should be playoff contenders for the next few years. Twins will offer him a QO, Gray will refuse and test the market. I think the Twins should offer a market-value 2 year deal with 1-2 team options that become guaranteed with reasonable goals (140 IP, 20 starts, etc.). If some other team overpays to get him... good luck for both.
  23. Fire Dan Gladden
    You would have thought the Rocco's handling of the SP this year would have eliminated this line of thought. He got the absolute best out of Lopez and Gray basically all year and the team had a top 3 pitching staff for the entire year. Gray should consider a pay cut to come back here. He has had his best seasons here. Complaining about Rocco's usage of the rotation needs to go the way of the dodo...
  24. Fire Dan Gladden
    I see what you did here. Go Twins!
  25. Fire Dan Gladden
    Considering the number of commentors trashing the FO and Rocco all year for everything under the sun, I will be interested to follow the comments on this article.
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