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Fire Dan Gladden

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Everything posted by Fire Dan Gladden

  1. Fire Dan Gladden
    Young, cheap, quality SP are hard to come by in the trade market. If the Marlins were willing to trade Luzardo, any prospect outside of the top 4 should be on the table. Alcantara is a pipe dream. The Twins are not going to acquire more salary. Ownership has been abundantly clear that keeping salary down is their #1 priority this year, not winning, not the future.
  2. Fire Dan Gladden
    With few exceptions, reliever's performances are generally unpredictable. Much of this is due to small sample size. Many of the Twins BP guys they picked up this year have roller coaster careers. You hope that you get these guys on an up year vs. a down. So far the pen has been good. If the Twins continue to only get 4 innings out of their SP, the quality of the BP will degrade quickly.
  3. Fire Dan Gladden
    Fantastic feedback. Perspective on the true status of the Twins rotation and their playoff aspirations. I would also bet that that the teams with higher collective ERAs in this group had very strong offensive play, which the Twins do not have...
  4. Fire Dan Gladden
    Any idea on the rankings for the top 10 teams in MLB last year? I would bet the avg ERA for those top 10 teams by SP slot is considerably better for SP4 and SP5. Look at the Twins SP ERAs last year that got them all of 87 wins: 3.66 Lopez 2.79 Gray 4.51 Ryan 3.43 Ober 4.23 Maeda No Gray, no Maeda... If The Twins don't get 4.50 ERA or better from SP4 and SP5, this team will not even finish .500.
  5. Fire Dan Gladden
    Way to early to make a judgement here, but I am still pessimistic about SP4 and SP5. Ober's first start didn't exactly garner trust either... It is going to be a long ugly year if I am not proven wrong.
  6. Fire Dan Gladden
    This... Pinch hitting for Julien in the 4th reeked of over-managing. Sometimes you just need to let them play the game.
  7. Fire Dan Gladden
    I hope this is sarcasm, considering Pohlad's comments over the winter. The Polanco trade was more of a statement on ownership than the FO.
  8. Fire Dan Gladden
    Smart teams do not move players that constantly outperform their contract, especially playing a position of need. Lewis and Correa had/have injury questions coming into the year. Julien is not long for 2B. Lee is still an unknown. Moving Polanco, especially for what they got in return, was one of many moves this admin made to make this team worse the sake of saving money I would buy the "sell high" argument if the Twins actually got a strong return in the move, but they didn't. They got salary relief and fliers.
  9. Fire Dan Gladden
    Another part of the issue... Even with his injuries, Polanco outplayed his salary basically every year. He wasn't overpriced, if anything he was under-valued. This trade never should have happened. It looks even worse now that Lewis is out.
  10. Fire Dan Gladden
    Good staff, not great. Highly suspect depth, not ok Farm system depth that will not be traded if it brings more payroll The issue is not so much Scalafani blowing up, but the initial trade itself and the subsequent spin. Polanco for a AAAA SP, a RP, a mid-top prospect and a flier was not a good deal. Make no mistake, Scalafani was penciled in as SP5 the moment this trade was made. Injury or not, a team with WS aspirations does not have this pitcher on their staff. The injury just makes the optics of this trade look even worse.
  11. Fire Dan Gladden
    A hearty thanks to Ownership and the FO for gutting the rotation this offseason... There really is no "first choice" for who is up next. Each has upside and each has glaring issues (which is why they are in AAA at the moment). Outside of Dobnak (40-man roster thing), Headrick and SWR are the next men up. Festa needs to see a few months of AAA success before he joins the mix.
  12. Fire Dan Gladden
    MLB is is littered with guys that started in one organization, could not gain traction, were cast off, went to another organization and found success. It might be a different approach at the plate, learning a new pitch, or just different voices emphasizing different things. It doesn't mean the initial team made a mistake in releasing them. Best of luck to those guys (except when they play the Twins).
  13. Fire Dan Gladden
    Obviously Eovaldi is not in the class of the other two, but his track record is also leaps and bounds ahead of any names wallowing at the back end of the Twins rotation. I have tons more confidence that he will have a successful year than Paddack will. That was the point I was trying to make...
  14. Fire Dan Gladden
    Are you really going to put the Dodgers SP in the same discussion as the Twins? Eovaldi, Scherzer, and Degrom all have EXTENSIVE history of high to supreme level performances. Are you really as or more concerned about those guys than Paddack and any of the unproven Twins pitchers they want to fill SP4 and 5? The Orioles are projected to win 84 games and finish third. They need more than hope to be WS contenders this year. If the Twins re-signed Gray and/or Maeda, or made another move (FA or trade) for a quality SP, they would be able to make a legit argument for being a top tier team. They did not do that. They let those two go HOPING that Paddack (who has not pitched well since 2019) and Desclafani (a 33 year old injury risk who hasn't pitched well since 2021) somehow pitch well and that some of their AAA prospects (prospects the Twins feel so strongly about they went and got Desclafani anyways) do something at the MLB level. They are hoping that Ryan (a solid SP3) and Ober (their best chance at a true SP2 IMO) improve. There is potential for this rotation to be solid, but don't kid yourself. Many, many things have to go right.
  15. Fire Dan Gladden
    I can understand taking fliers on injury risk pitchers. Most of these guys are very high ceiling, and as the Twins are unwilling to spend a ton on FA pitchers coming from outside the organization, this is their best chance at acquiring top-notch guys. The "prospects" they typically move for these pitchers are either lower in the ranking or systematically blocked by players above them. Along those lines, I have always felt that 4 years should be the max contract on a SP. The general injury risk is just so high. Very few teams can afford to throw away money at the back-end of contracts, including the Twins.
  16. Fire Dan Gladden
    Nick used the word "hope" three times in this article. That basically sums up the Twins SP this year behind Lopez. Teams that have WS aspirations should not be using the words "hope" and "starting pitcher" in the same sentence. Very very sad.
  17. Fire Dan Gladden
    Enough with the discussion of the Twins increasing payroll. Not gonna happen.
  18. Fire Dan Gladden
    I respectfully disagree. This team is not "trying" to win, though they may win the division by default. Trading viable players for prospects. Reducing payroll and publicly stating they are not spending more (which means they will not use their trade capital to take on more salary). Relying on huge questions marks with SP. This is not a team "trying" to win.
  19. Fire Dan Gladden
    As a person, I feel bad for him and hope that everything goes well. As a fan watching the SP, this statement about sums everything up. There is a zero chance the Twins make a move that increases payroll. Everyone better hope (there is that word again... hope) that multiple guys in AAA are ready and show some MLB success or this season is going to go downhill unbelievably quickly.
  20. Fire Dan Gladden
    So do you also disagree with rehab players leading off every inning in A-ball to get at-bats in? That means we panic because the Twins are 7-14 this Spring?
  21. Fire Dan Gladden
    This article speaks truth. To be strong competitors this year, Ryan and Ober need to continue to improve. People everywhere are drinking the kool-aid that the Twins are the team to beat in the central or they are better than last year. Fans, pundits, everyone. The bottom line is that they do not have established SP track records to fall back on. You knew what you were getting with Gray and Maeda, you are HOPING to get what you need from Ryan and Ober. (I am not even going to address the trickle-down train-wreck that is SP4 and SP5). I am cautiously optimistic on Ryan and Ober, but the SP needs to be a top 5-7 rotation for them to have any WS aspirations. To buy in and say that the SP is going to be in the neighborhood of last year right now is unbelievably premature.
  22. Fire Dan Gladden
    Cautiously optimistic? Let's see what happens when the season starts and things matter.
  23. Fire Dan Gladden
    I wouldn't call this make or break for Kiriloff, but his window is closing. 1B is relatively easy to fill, either from inside or outside the organization. He isn't "locked" into 1B as a healthy AK could see time in the OF as well. The days of the full-time DH in baseball are effectively gone. If AK can't play defense for whatever reason, his days in Minnesota are numbered.
  24. Fire Dan Gladden
    Another article from Stu that is more truth than satire. Chestnut brings more to the table than DeSclafani.
  25. Fire Dan Gladden
    I will be the whipping boy... I will take the under on Twins wins. Assuming no moves of consequence are made, the SP will be demonstrably worse than last year. I am not buying the youth movement, 40% of the rotation is a complete unknown. Everyone is banking on bounce back years from their big names. Correa and Buxton specifically (you can include Vasquez here as well). History does not favor Buxton. Expecting Jeffers and Kepler (2nd half) to repeat what they did last year is a huge ask. Lewis, Wallner, and Julien give reason for optimism, but they all lack a body of work to feel real strongly they will maintain or improve. Jose Miranda anyone? As I have said many times, if the Twins brass felt ANY of the AAA players were ready, they would not be trading for back-end SP or backup OF. The only real known is the disaster that is the AL Central. This team smells of a .500 team that would be demonstrably worse in either other division. All of that being said, nothing would make me happier than to be wrong about this and see Twins win 93 games...
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