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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Keirsey's glove isn't any better than Martin's in center field based on the metrics which are available. Career RF/9, FP% CF Keirsey = 2.47, .992 vs. Martin 2.50, .993 Keirsey's bat is also pretty questionable. He's hitting well this year, but the track record on the 27 year old's hitting profile isn't good, including a below average run last year at AAA. It's possible he could get added to the 40 man and get some time this year, but I think it's highly likely Keirsey is just another Andrew Stephenson type.
  2. bean5302
    Twins offense looks totally desperate like they did against the Astros in the playoffs last year. Can't win games that way.
  3. bean5302
    Twins booting balls like they were playing soccer and swinging out of their shoes on a regular basis.
  4. bean5302
    If you're going to be disappointed with Thielbar, you should be disappointed with Ryan. I'm annoyed with both. Being mad at players is the right of any true fan, you know this. :p Also yeah, that was brutal. Just like the playoffs last year. I suppose Kirilloff will make excuses about how the sun was in his eyes or something in the post game. But, he's the son of a coach so he's great with fundamentals!
  5. bean5302
    I saw Kirilloff being terrible. Doubles don't score runs except in extra innings. Has to be other people getting hits or walks before or after to make it happen. It's a double-standard.
  6. bean5302
    So Caleb Thielbar is expected to pitch out of a jam, but McDreamy Joe Ryan isn't?
  7. bean5302
    Maybe Ryan should have pitched better to start with, then he wouldn't be getting yanked after giving up a double and 93 pitches in 5.1 innings.
  8. bean5302
    Lee's general rehab on his disc isn't scheduled to be done before the end of this month. There's nothing to report. Jenkins is still dealing with recovering from the hamstring strain. 6-8 weeks is standard for that kind of injury so it's still pretty early. No changes there.
  9. bean5302
    I'm still more bullish on Lewis. I think he could see a rehab assignment next week since the Twins are planning to push his running the basepaths on back to back days at this point. If he responds well, there's not much in the way of a rehab assignment which I'd be shocked if that lasted more than 2 weeks.
  10. bean5302
    Rehab for the disc is scheduled to go through end of this month. He's weeks away at least.
  11. bean5302
    Blue Jays are 5-4 vs. Mariners, Yankees (3-3, despite not being in the same zip code) Mariners are 9-10 vs. Red Sox, Rangers, Braves, Blue Jays, Guardians, and Brewers. Reasonable baseball fans understand winning records against the best teams doesn't happen frequently. The best teams steal wins from each other and have decisive advantages on the season over weaker teams. Best team in baseball will go 6-4 in a 10 game period. Worst team in baseball will go 4-6 in a 10 game period.
  12. bean5302
    Yeah, I can't fault your take at fans being angry with the announcement since I was certainly pissed after renewing season tickets. Still, Falvey had more than enough payroll at $130MM to handle the needs of the roster. I'd prefer ownership terminating Dave St. Peter at this point. The TV debacle has been astoundingly awful.
  13. bean5302
    and they're 7-3 vs. the Mariners, Blue Jays, and Red Sox. All good teams.
  14. bean5302
    Ownership is fine. They didn't force Falvey to blow $20MM of payroll capacity on guys like Margot, Santana, Farmer, and Desclafani. Falvey had the necessary resources, he just wasted them. Also, it wouldn't be a terrible thing if fans showed up sometime. The Twins have ranked higher in payroll than attendance for years now.
  15. bean5302
    Ownership doesn't sign players. They might approve a specific signing over budget, but Derek Falvey brought in who he brought in.
  16. bean5302
    Insert warm body. The bottom of the bullpen is to eat up innings in games that are probable lost causes or blowouts. It's just not a concern, really.
  17. bean5302
    He would literally be the 2nd best starter on the Twins. Hasn't had a season ERA above 3.95 since 2018.
  18. bean5302
    Breaking news... zero runs insufficient for Twins to beat Yankees.
  19. bean5302
    I think that's pretty obvious.
  20. bean5302
    It works like this: Lopez, Ryan, Ober, Paddack, Woods Richardson = 130 starts. Twins top 5 combined for 139 starts in 2023, 117 starts in 2022, 101 starts in 2021. Varland is a long shot to be an MLB caliber starter. Festa has more potential than Varland at this point, but he's no guarantee. If we're expecting 32 starts to be missed to due IL, that's a full starter's workload which needs to be soaked up by somebody, and that's a pretty best case scenario. In regard to the future, neither Paddack, nor Woods Richardson are sure things IMHO. Hopefully, Festa or another MiLB pitching prospect can show some potential as an upper rotation guy and allow us to trade some assets. The Twins are far from deep in pitching assets right now.
  21. bean5302
    Some latest updates on players in general. https://www.mlb.com/news/twins-injuries-and-roster-moves
  22. bean5302
    Well, you're correct. I don't like any of our starting pitching prospects a whole lot because I'd like to see prospects who don't put a ton of runners on base. Zebby Matthews is the only one in AA+ who has the peripherals and results which are exciting, but he has only 1 start at AA. Also, as great as you make Festa's first full season out to be, if you take away his SSSS Ft. Myers numbers and look at his results from A+ ball (majority of his season), it looks a heck of a lot less impressive. (5) David Festa - Can't keep runners off the bases because of BBs coming from what seems like a lack of control. His last start numbers were pretty. 6.0 innings, 0 ER, 3 hits, 3 BBs. That's sustainable. Also came with 2 wild pitches, though. (6) Marco Raya - Isn't a starter prospect anymore. 50 pitch count limit. (7) Charlee Soto - Only 18, struggling a bit in A ball, hopefully it starts clicking. (8) C.J. Culpepper - Walking more than the Proclaimers in his A+ repeat this year. 4 inning starter. (12) Corey Lewis - Shoulder injury. Has some potential if his shoulder doesn't need surgery. (13) Matt Canterino - Not really a starter anymore after injury history. 34 innings in AA 2yrs ago (17) Connor Prielipp - Not really a starter anymore after injury history. 4 innings above rookie ball. (18) Andrew Morris - Repeating A+, but he's pitching very well with a big jump in K rate. Probably going to AA soon. (20) Zebby Matthews - Elite results this year. Big jump in K rate, first start at AA was awesome. Fingers crossed. (23) Simeon WR - 15 innings before rookie status is exhausted. Holding his own at MLB, fingers crossed. (27) Cesar Lares - Holding his own in A ball at 20. Potential to develop a little further. (29) Darren Bowen - Late round pick traded from Seattle. K's are good. BB's are not. This is the complaint many fans have. There isn't a pitching pipeline; there's a pitching cocktail straw.
  23. bean5302
    Festa was drafted at 6'6" and 185lbs in 2020 at age 20. That was 4 years ago. He's 24 now, and about 15% of all starting pitching prospects on "Fangraphs The Board" are as tall or taller than Festa. Festa's had the velocity for years. There's no need to grow into his body anymore. That's been done years ago. There really isn't any more time for excuses for a pitcher nearing the non-prospect age. Prove you can throw strikes and the balls will stay in the stadium. That's what needs to be on his agenda.
  24. bean5302
    There isn't because it doesn't. Over the past 25 years or so, the number of qualified batters has decreased a little. On average in 2000-2007, there would be 5-6 qualified position players on any given MLB team. In 2008-2020, it was 5 straight. After the 2020 season, things changed and it dropped to 4, but the projection is at 6 this season at the moment. Terry Ryan 97%, Bill Smith 90%, Derek Falvey 74% Tom Kelly 102%. Ron Gardenhire 100%, Paul Molitor 60%, Rocco Baldelli 78% (72% excluding 2020) The Twins have consistently had few qualifying hitters the last few years. I remain convinced Baldelli's trying to revise his injury riddled career vicariously though his current players pretending more time off would have made him successful. It's purely my opinion I formed from reading his comments and interviews in the past.
  25. bean5302
    Festa needs to become more consistent with his good games. 3 of his last 5 games have been good. 2 were not. Festa has struggled with throwing strikes for years now, and those high walk rates in the minors generally translate to a AAAA ceiling. If pitchers' "stuff" is good enough, they shouldn't need to be throwing pitches outside the strike zone all the time. MLB caliber hitters aren't often going to chase that pitch 2" outside the zone. They'll take their ball 4, load up the bases and wait for the 3-0 meatball.
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