Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

bean5302

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,499

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    35

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    I don't think you understand the phrase you're using... "Let him eat" comes from the same line as "Let him feed" or "Feed him" which means to give him something to eat on or an opportunity to excel. Like "feed him the ball" in football would mean give him the ball because he's going to excel with it. Throwing pitches isn't feeding Duran... Perhaps if you re-phrased your statement as "give him space to throw the baseball and let it eat!" the subject and verb would properly align with your apparent usage of the phrase. The reality is the all bold furious response means I was probably all too close to the truth to begin with.
  2. bean5302
    This is their year!!!!
  3. bean5302
    No, it's an arrogant statement about how Duran is going to chew up MLB caliber hitters after being unable to get AAA hitters out last year.
  4. bean5302
    Rooker's exit velocity, hard hit, barrel rate were better than average last year and xwOBA were far higher than his actual results. Not to mention Rooker runs faster than the MLB average player. If he's on the team, and I wouldn't be surprised if he was traded, I expect Rooker will probably be a starting corner outfielder. Sano going to be on the team. He makes a better DH than he does a 1B. Sanchez is going to be the starting catcher. Not sure why he's in the discussion as a likely common DH. He might have a handful of games at DH, but unless he's hitting far better than he has recently, I don't expect him to come out from behind the plate much.
  5. bean5302
    I would say it's actually fairly likely the Twins won't start Miranda on the 26 man. After all, keeping him off the roster for a couple weeks is still going to be the tried and true way of manipulating service time. The only way it comes back to bite the Twins is if Miranda has a great season, and if he has a great season, they get an extra year of All Star performance instead of a low percentage draft pick.
  6. bean5302
    IMHO, it absolutely came out of the blue. Correa didn't signal his willingness to sign a short term deal until just a couple days ago. This was a desperation signing by Correa. He needed to get into camp and have a full Spring Training.
  7. bean5302
    Correa is highly likely to opt out if he's healthy this year. He'll still be going in to his age 28 season after this year. I think the Twins expect that to happen as well, but they got their bridge to Lewis, provided the Twins don't deal Lewis.
  8. bean5302
    I don't think Urshela is a given as the starter over Miranda at 3B. He's probably better as a fielder than Miranda and would probably make the better of the two when it comes to utility. Urshela had a pretty awful year at the plate (by his standards) in his age 29 season last year. I also don't think the Twins are done. With Polanco, Miranda, Urshela, Arraez and Gordon, there's too much redundancy. If the Twins are looking to move Gordon to full time utility outfielder, it still leaves at least one too many valuable every day worthy guys at 4-5-6.
  9. bean5302
    Honestly, this was an enormous discount for the Twins. Correa was projected at 10 years and $345MM so to see him sign at $103.5MM is a no brainer. It's actually quite shocking, but it may be a sign for the future in general. The owners shifted a lot of money to the younger players and that will have an impact on the veteran long term, top free agents. Had Correa been willing to accept this deal last fall, he wouldn't have been on the market for a single day and there are a lot of front office's in baseball who are stunned by this move. The Twins have tended to be relatively competitive in average annual dollars for free agents before, but they've always been short on years. I would have never expected Correa to sign a contract this short at under $40MM per year. A lot of comments about how the Twins are big spenders now... but just about any team in baseball will take a player at 1/3 of their contract value.
  10. bean5302
    I believe it was just recently Lewis reportedly ran another timed sub 4.0sec to first base. That's faster than Buxton. Baseball America reports Lewis can flash 80-grade speed. You're selling him dramatically low
  11. bean5302
    Royce Lewis has 70+ speed from the reported home to first times and many scouting sources. Baseball America, Prospects Live, Roto Wire all have him at 70+
  12. bean5302
    Speed isn't what's most important for shortstop. It's quickness, accleration and reaction time. Speed is definitely valuable and helps with range, but it's rare you'd see a shortstop reach top speed playing a ball. A strong arm is more important at the position, and more than just a strong arm, high velocity with a quick release and short windup. Pitchers can throw very fast, but they have a huge windup with it. The biggest criticism I've seen with Royce Lewis' arm is his throwing technique having a long windup and slow release to generate the high velocity. The Twins supposedly had Lewis working on that hard in 2020. Aside from that... there's focus and and fielding technique. A good shortstop needs to be a reliable fielder. Air mailing balls or rock hands leads to high error rates and unplayable defense. This appears to be Nick Gordon's achilles heel, but we'll never know since the Twins won't play him at SS.
  13. bean5302
    The issue isn't losing Rortvedt. The issue is Rortvedt may be a starting caliber MLB catcher and the Twins may or may not have one of those in the system anymore so from a positional need perspective, Rortvedt was important. Rortvedt may turn into Drew Butera, but there is a substantial likelihood Rortvedt will be as defensively strong as Butera, but hit far better. Rortvedt hitting .230/.300/.385 over 140 games is worth 2.5+ fWAR. Can he hit that? Maybe. His projections are all pretty close to that. Steamer is at .226/.288/.382. Jeffers had a lot of plate appearances last year for his numbers to be a fluke. 293 of them, and in his second year of MLB experience. .199/.270/.401 with average defense isn't playable as a starter. Sanchez is probably a bit borderline when it comes to starting caliber and he's a free agent next year. The Twins just don't likely have a starting catcher on the roster for 2023+ and they may not have a catcher who will be worth starting this year. Godoy is an emergency depth kind of guy.
  14. bean5302
    Byron Buxton hit .156 in 2018, just in case you or anyone else here needed a refresher on his offensive capabilties. Mike Trout hit .220 in 2011, just in case you or anyone else here needed a refresher on his offensive capabilities. Babe Ruth hit .200 in 1914, just in case you or anyone else here needed a refresher on how he was always destined to be a nameless, faceless roster filler candidate.
  15. bean5302
    Godoy managed a wRC+ of 84 at age 26 in AAA last year. Rortvedt, wRC+ 101 at age 23. What Godoy did in Rookie Ball does not provide value in his hitting evaluation. Is Rortvedt likely a plus hitter? Nope. He's a defensive stud with the potential of being a close to average MLB hitter. Godoy is a defensively adequate and will be a very below average hitter. There's no real projectability or ceiling left. It's why he was on the waiver wire.
  16. bean5302
    You're feel to read the write up I posed on Donaldson. or another writeup with a more sensational headline by a different member here. In 2017, Donaldson missed qualifying for the Championship awards by just 8 plate appearances. Sano has qualified for Championship awards just once in his entire career. Buxton has qualifed once. Ever. I think the fact Donaldson was reliable (by modern baseball standards) in the past 2 full seasons in a row gives him wiggle room and makes the "very injury prone" statement weak.
  17. bean5302
    I'm entitled to my opinion as much as anybody else. If you've watched Rosario and the kind of utterly trash pitches he's driven hard, you might feel different. Rosario hit .288 and .290 while still chasing trash and walking at 5% across 2017-2018. Rosario typically posts excellent contact rates despite his aggressive style and the fact he receives a low percentage of pitches in the strike zone. Rosario does and can recognize balls vs. strikes. He's just overly aggressive. Rosario could compete for the batting title if he'd lay off the trash pitches. Instead, early in his career, Rosario sold out for power trying to keep up with Sano and I believe he's been arrogant as a result of his successes in hitting garbage. There is some hope for him. Rosario is trying to tighten up his game based on his swinging strike rate and o-contact rates. His swinging strike rate was under 10% last year and his o-contact rate has skyrocketed while his overall swing percentage hasn't dropped much.
  18. bean5302
    From MLB.com Austin Martin = 65 Royce Lewis = 55 Misael Urbina = 55 Danny DeAndrade = 55 Alerick Soularie = 50 Jose Miranda = 50 Aaron Sabato = 50 Emmanuel Rodriguez = 50 Spencer Steer = 50 Yunior Severino = 50 From Baseball America in regard to general definitions. A 50 grade tool is "average" https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/explaining-the-20-80-baseball-scouting-scale/ It's worth noting that a players batting average may not represent their actual hit tool as plate discipline and experience can make a huge impact here. I'd say Eddie Rosario has at least a 70 grade hit tool. If he'd learn some discipline, his batting average would skyrocket. Royce Lewis scouting reports also mention Lewis being over-aggressive at the plate, but his pitch recognition and bat speed being well above average.
  19. bean5302
    Donaldson played 135 games last year, many of them with a lingering calf injury because the Twins wanted to manipulate Jose Miranda's service time rather than give Donaldson a chance to heal. Donaldson played in 155 games in 2019. In fact, the "very injury prone" Josh Donaldson has played in the 74th most games of any MLB player across 2019-2021 with 318 games. That'd make him the 2nd or 3rd most reliable player on any ballclub in general. Trevor Story ranked 30th in all of MLB with 346 games. Just 28 more than Donaldson across the past 3 years. Buxton played 187 games. Sano played 293 games. Kepler played 303 games. Cruz played 313 games. Donaldson? Again... 318 games. Even if Donaldson played the same, mediocre-ish brand of defense at 3B and just had normal luck, he'd have put up 4 WAR this past year.
  20. bean5302
    If you wish hard enough, anything is true. Put the Twins in the NL West and their 2019 team would have finished .500, at best. Rockies vs. Twins 2021 = $104MM vs. $121MM 2020 = $60MM vs. $49MM 2019 = $145MM vs. $113MM 2018 = $141MM vs. $131MM The 2022 predictions depend greatly on your source. BR predicted 3 over .500 teams in the AL Central this year. The White Sox are going to be very strong. I expect the Tigers to be a tough team as well. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2949927-way-too-early-predictions-for-the-2022-mlb-playoffs-and-world-series
  21. bean5302
    Gray is not Berrios. No where close. Once upon a time, Gray was better, but that was like 8 years ago. Now, Gray is far more volatile, dramatically less reliable and his velocity is dropping. There's a reason Gray is on a $31MM and Berrios is on a $131MM contract. See that extra $100,000,000.00 on Berrios' contract? It means something.
  22. bean5302
    You should throw the also completely unrelated Cruz trade in there because it makes your argument better.
  23. bean5302
    For a front office who consistently goes dumpster diving based on advanced metrics and projections... Donaldson looks like a 4-5 WAR player for this season if his luck returns to normal. All his advanced metrics showed he hit the ball just as well and had the plate discipline he's always had. Donaldson was a panic salary dump.
  24. bean5302
    Story desperately wanted to get out of a poor performing team with little direction in a tough division and owners who are viewed as cheap. The Twins were a poor performing team with little direction in a division which looks to be tough for the foreseeable future and owners who are viewed as cheap. I don't see the Twins spending the money. I don't see Story being interested in Minnesota.
  25. bean5302
    Well, when it's all said and done, you have to play the games so who really knows, but it seems to be both Garver and Donaldson are probably underrated. Garver, Rortvedt and Donaldson's projections show they're expected to produce quite a bit more than Gray, Sanchez and Urshela so in terms of on the field projections, the Twins are worse than they were, but the killer is they lost Petty along with it. They're worse on paper, they don't have any additional team control over players and they lost one of their top prospects.
×
×
  • Create New...