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You can get a full explanation for the parameters used to develop this list in Monday's intro post, but the short version is this. We're answering the question: Which current players in the organization are most indispensable to fulfilling the vision of building a champion? To rank Twins players and prospects, I account for age, contract, controllability, upside, and more.
Here's where I landed with my selections for the list so far in Part 1 (16-20):
- 20. Edouard Julien, 2B
- 19. Simeon Woods Richardson, RHP
- 18. Marco Raya, RHP
- 17. José Miranda, 3B/1B
- 16. Carlos Correa, SS
And now, my choices for No. 11 through 15 in the rankings.
15. Ryan Jeffers, C
Age: 27
Controlled through: 2026
2024 Ranking: 5
On the one hand, Jeffers is coming off a huge letdown season. His wOBA dropped by more than 50 points, his defense steeply declined, and Jeffers was a total zero in September while the Twins spiraled out of contention. On the other hand, he was still an average-ish player overall and when it comes to the catching position ... Jeffers is pretty much all the Twins have.
Christian Vázquez is in the last year of his deal and the front office is known to be shopping him aggressively. Jair Camargo has no catching experience in the majors. The system is otherwise very short on viable catching talent. Jeffers is one of those guys that probably has more value to the Twins than to other teams in trade, because without him the catching position is pretty dire in this organization. As much as he fell off in the second half I still think there's an all-around standout in there waiting to re-emerge.
14. Trevor Larnach, LF
Age: 27
Controlled through: 2027
2024 Ranking: NR
Larnach finally pulled it together last year. He arrived in the majors midway through April and turned himself into a lineup fixture, regularly batting second or third against righties while posting a 116 OPS+ in 400 plate appearances. Solid as his production was, Larnach's underlying peripherals were even better, and unlike most other Twins hitters he stepped up in the second half with an .811 post-break OPS. His improvement was primarily driven by a stunning reduction in strikeout rate, which the outfielder was able to slice nearly in half.
As a fairly limited defender who's mostly restricted to platoon matchups, Larnach's value ceiling is capped to an extent, but a prime-aged lefty slugger with three remaining years of control has plenty of luster. I'm expecting even bigger things from Larnach's bat in 2025 if he can stay competitive against offspeed.
13. Luke Keaschall, CF/2B
Age: 22
Controlled through: 2030+
2024 Ranking: NR
Keaschall's rise has been meteoric since joining the Twins as a second-round draft pick out of college in 2023. Following a fantastic pro debut, he took another step forward in 2024, slashing .303/.420/.483 in 102 games between High-A and Double-A while showcasing discipline, power and speed. The only thing that could slow him down was an injury – in August he underwent season-ending elbow surgery, with the timing intended to have him back and ready for the start of spring training.
Defensively, he's mostly been used at center field and second base so far. If there's a belief he could play either of those positions capably in the majors that would be quite handy for the Twins, given their depth questions at both, but this remains to be seen. Either way, Keaschall is a sneaky candidate to make a significant impact as a rookie in 2025.
12. Zebby Matthews, RHP
Age: 24
Controlled through: 2030+
2024 Ranking: NR
His 2024 season opened at Single-A and ended with nine starts for the Twins. Matthews carved through the minors, posting a 2.60 ERA and 114-to-7 (!) K/BB ratio over 97 innings between three levels to earn a big-league call-up in mid-August.
During his first exposure to MLB, Matthews struggled (6.69 ERA, 5.71 FIP, 11 HR in 37.2 IP) but he was not overwhelmed. The stuff continued to play as evidenced by a 43-to-11 K/BB ratio. He was rushed a bit due to Joe Ryan's injury, but Matthews should now have an opportunity to move along at his own pace as he works toward becoming an inexpensive long-term rotation fixture. If he doesn't ultimately end up panning as a starter Zebby has the makings of a surefire dominant reliever.
11. Jhoan Durán, RHP
Age: 26
Controlled through: 2027
2024 Ranking: 11
Speaking of pitchers who didn't pan as starters and turned into dominant relievers, Durán is entering his fourth season as a stalwart in the Twins bullpen, where he's been one of the top (radar) guns in the American League. His performance was pretty much on par in 2024, despite a small drop in velocity and some statistical noise leading to an unimpressive 3.64 ERA.
Now in arbitration, Durán is past his ultra-cheap days, and the clock has begun to tick down on free agency, which is why the Twins may be inclined to shop him this offseason. He'd have plenty of value on that front, but he also has plenty of value to Minnesota as co-leader of a potent late-inning bullpen mix.
Check back tomorrow morning as we crack into the top 10 of our countdown. Feel free to voice your thoughts or disagreements with the rankings so far in the comments!
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