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Joe Ryan struggled Wednesday night against the Royals. That had something to do with the weather, and it's not worth worrying much about him; the 2026 Twins give you plenty of more urgent things about which to stress out. However, as Taj Bradley takes the mound for the series finale on Thursday afternoon, he does so with a window opening for him. This guy might just be the Twins' new ace, and not because Ryan had a minor wobble or because Pablo López is hurt. He might have the upside to compete for the American League Cy Young Award—not in a few years, but right now.
He could, of course, take it on the chin Thursday and make this sound quite foolish. But before he starts, let's take a moment to consider just how real the possibility is. Bradley struck out nine in his season debut Saturday in Baltimore. He did it with a four-pitch mix that has undergone some slight but important improvements since last year. His fastball sat at 97.4 miles per hour, touching 99. Despite his high arm slot, he showed impressive depth on his splitter, and what was previously a cutter has been reengineered. It's now a true slider, serving as a halfway point between his high-rise heater and a sharp knuckle-curve. All four of his offerings rated better than average, by a healthy margin, according to Baseball Prospectus's StuffPro metric.
The values that make up the scale on the left are runs per 100 pitches thrown, so (for instance) for every 100 heaters like the ones he threw Saturday Bradley throws, he reduces the expected number of runs an opponent will score by 0.7. As you can see, both the splitter and that cutter-turned-slider are more than a run better than average per 100 thrown.
It wasn't like this last year, or the year before that. Stuff this dominant is new, and it's special. Here are his pitch-by-pitch StuffPro values since 2024.
| Season StuffPro | |||
| Pitch Type | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.7 |
| Cutter/Slider | -0.3 | -0.5 | -1.3 |
| Curveball | 0.2 | -0.2 | -0.4 |
| Splitter | -0.9 | -0.1 | -1.4 |
| Sinker | 0.4 | ||
It's not just about Bradley improving, though. Only one starter has a better StuffPro so far this season, and it's Brewers superstar Jacob Misiorowski. Bradley can't quite hope to keep pace with him, but he's ahead of everyone else in the league—at least through one start.
It's a bit more plausible that Bradley could perform the way Dylan Cease or Hunter Brown do over a full season, and that would be plenty. Cease and Brown are both high-slot right-handed hurlers with arsenals similar to Bradley's. If you wanted to distinguish them, you'd be forced to admit that Cease throws even harder and that Brown has a plus sinker, but you could also note that Bradley's splitter is better than any form of changeup thrown by either of the other two. Cease got a $200-million contract from the Blue Jays this winter. Brown finished third in AL Cy Young Award voting in 2025. Bradley, 25, isn't even arbitration-eligible yet, so if he emerges as a credible ace, it would be franchise-altering for the Twins.
This is a bit of a López situation. Bradley doesn't quite have the same demonstrated upside, but he's young; he's under long-term team control; and being with the Twins has already made him better. Don't scoff too confidently at the notion that he could be the next López, or that the Twins might move to extend him now, on a deal even more team-friendly than López's. Of course, if he gives up six runs against the Royals in a few minutes, do feel free to mock me, but there's real evidence of a breakout afoot.







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