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    Grading the 2024 Minnesota Twins: Hitters


    Nick Nelson

    From the players to the coaches to the front office to ownership, we're assigning letter grades to the performance of everyone who played a role in the 2024 Twins season. Today, we start with the hitters.

    Image courtesy of Matt Blewett-Imagn Images

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    Well, that was a baseball season. I'd say it was one to forget but sadly this epic disaster of a second half will not likely be leaving our memories any time soon. Now that all 162 games are in the books, it's time to reflect and evaluate the individual contributors. We'll start today with the hitters. Seventeen different players made at least 50 plate appearances for the Twins. Here I assign them all letter grades, in alphabetical order.

    Byron Buxton: B
    It got lost in the in the fact that he once again was sidelined by multiple injuries, but this was a big bounce-back year for Buxton. He reached 100 games played for just the second time in his career, and posted All-Star caliber production while on the field. Still, he did miss about two months of action, and showed some signs of diminishing athleticism at age 30. 

    Willi Castro: B
    Castro made his first All-Star team and led Minnesota in games played, setting a new MLB standard for positional flexibility (and a franchise record for HBP!). His durability and versatility made him an indispensable asset for the manager. Those positives solidly outweighed his power outage in the second half, although that did hurt.

    Carlos Correa: B
    On a rate basis, Correa would be graded an A or even an A+. He was hugely impactful while on the field, hitting as well as he ever has while playing stellar defense. Unfortunately, another bout with plantar fasciitis cost him nearly the entire second half, and his absence played a big part in the team's downfall.

    Kyle Farmer: D
    For most of the season, Farmer was about as bad as a player could possibly be. But he surged enough toward the end to bring his numbers back into the range of respectability, and to his credit, he did it at a time where the rest of the offense was in hell. Still, on balance, a poor campaign.

    Ryan Jeffers: C
    Jeffers failed to back up his stellar 2023 season, experiencing a major offensive backslide after starting strong in April. He completely disappeared in September. Jeffers was still an average MLB hitter and launched 21 home runs; that does have quite a bit of value for a catcher. But his defense behind the plate was generally pretty rough.

    Edouard Julien: F
    It's tough to shine any kind of positive light on Julien's year. He struggled in the majors, went to Triple-A, failed to dominate minor-league pitching, and then got called back up only out of roster necessity. Julien was so uninspiring in his second stint that, by season's end, he was mostly sitting even against right-handed pitchers.

    Max Kepler: D
    A sad end to Kepler's lengthy Twins career. Battling a sore knee for much of the season, Kepler produced a career-worst 91 OPS+ while also showing decline defensively in right field, and he missed all of September. 

    Alex Kirilloff: F
    He had a solid first couple of weeks, then went into a prolonged tailspin, and revealed only after being optioned to the minors that he'd been playing through injury – to the team's detriment. He didn't appear in a game after June 11th, batting .201 on the season.

    Trevor Larnach: B+
    Larnach was one of the few unclouded bright spots of the 2024 Twins. Putting several years of underwhelming, injury-impacted performance behind him, Larnach played in 112 games and was usually in one of the lineup's money spots against righties while producing at a well above-average rate (115 OPS+).

    Brooks Lee: D
    Ranked as one of the best prospects in baseball, fresh off torching Triple-A, Lee arrived on the big-league scene with a splash, batting .458 in his first six games. From that point forward he batted .182 with a .500 OPS in 44 games, showing minimal ability to drive the ball despite a contact-heavy approach. Better days are ahead for the 23-year-old.

    Royce Lewis: C
    Through his first 40 games, Lewis slashed .279/.356/.664 with 15 home runs, looking the part of an elite slugger. In his last 42, he slashed .191/.236/.256 with one home run as the team nosedived. On balance, his production was still certainly better than average, but he again missed tons of time with injury and his defense regressed noticeably. 

    Austin Martin: D+
    Martin played more than expected, and probably more than he earned, but his ability to handle center field somewhat competently kept him on the roster for much of the season, and his speed was an asset on a team that had almost none. But Martin was a punchless hitter, and not particularly sharp at any of the defensive positions he played.

    Manuel Margot: F
    His modestly good numbers against left-handed starters were not enough to offset his general lack of production, his shoddy defense, and his almost inconceivable ineptitude as a pinch-hitter. One of the more annoying Twins players to watch in memory.

    Jose Miranda: D+
    What a weird season for Miranda, whose hot hitting in June and July – including an MLB record-tying string of 12 straight at-bats with a hit – gave way to a .543 OPS with no homers in the second half, during which he may have never been healthy. He again looked poor defensively at third and first.

    Carlos Santana: B
    The veteran first baseman proved to be an excellent addition in the context of his modest price tag, delivering a number of clutch hits while leading the team in home runs and providing defense worthy of a Gold Glove. A .748 OPS from a first baseman is ultimately nothing to write home about, but Santana was a quality contributor all-around.

    Christian Vázquez: D
    To his credit, Vázquez rated well defensively again, but rather than rebounding from a horrendous season at the plate in 2023, he was somehow even worse offensively, ranking among the worst hitters in the league. Even for a role with low offensive standards, Vázquez came up well short of expectations for a second straight season. 

    Matt Wallner: B+
    He stumbled badly out of the gates and spent most of the first half in Triple-A as a result, but after returning from the minors, Wallner was the team's most productive player for the remainder of the season, blasting 13 homers with a nearly .900 OPS in 75 games.

     

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    It's sad that Buck getting to 100 games is considered noteworthy.  Need your best guys in the lineup more than 5 times in 8 games, but that's what we've got.

    Offense went seriously in the tank down the stretch.   For the year, C- / D+ . . . wondering about our approach to hitting.

    11 minutes ago, BD57 said:

    It's sad that Buck getting to 100 games is considered noteworthy.  Need your best guys in the lineup more than 5 times in 8 games, but that's what we've got.

    Offense went seriously in the tank down the stretch.   For the year, C- / D+ . . . wondering about our approach to hitting.

    Tenth in runs scored gets a D? Tough grader. 

    Just now, Mike Sixel said:

    Tenth in runs scored gets a D? Tough grader. 

    Lack of consistency - awful to start the year, hot for an extended stretch, and then back into the tank to close out the year.   

    We needed the offense to pick up the pitching staff in the end, when injuries took their toll.  It didn't happen.

    You people who know so much Correa and his health of his feet (called PF). This condition is is a much more severe and can last over several years or never cured totally.. Albert Plohoz has been affected  with (PF) for several years. I have had experience dealing with (PF) for several years and it’s very painful and affect other parts of the nerve system too. I am proud of Correa playing as well as he does.

    1 hour ago, Old fox said:

    You people who know so much Correa and his health of his feet (called PF). This condition is is a much more severe and can last over several years or never cured totally.. Albert Plohoz has been affected  with (PF) for several years. I have had experience dealing with (PF) for several years and it’s very painful and affect other parts of the nerve system too. I am proud of Correa playing as well as he does.

    Absolutely agreed, however… don’t throw stones when you live in a glass house.

    Nick, I LOVE your work. And I think you're close here, but I will disagree slightly here and there.

    BUXTON: He was slow early despite a few good games. Then he got RIGHT again...it takes time to "get right" when you've been hurt and missed so much time...before missing more time. But I personally object to those who are in angst to Byron ONLY playing 100 games. Playing 100 games in CF was HUGE coming off a MINOR second surgery that freed him up to do what he did this season. 

    TD residential physical therapist Lucas Seehafer has stated that recovery from injuries may, and often do, affect other areas of the body that compensated for the previous injury. Buck's issue this year was a reoccurrence of a hip issue, probably as a result of his now cleaned up knee injury. Unless his hip has turned in to a chronic issue, we might see more games next year.

    I suppose a "B" grade might be fair due to a bad early season, but I might go a little higher.

    CASTRO: I think he's a keeper. A bad back and playing every day hurt his overall numbers. He just shouldn't have been expected to play every day, but he was out there. His "B" is fair, but skewed by team need daily.

    JEFFERS and VAZQUEZ is wrong, overall, IMO. As a long standing champion of Jeffers, he really disappointed me this season with his bat suddenly going cold at times. I REALLY thought he had gotten his bat on track. And other than a couple months when he got hot, Vazquez was even worse than 2023. But the overall game calling and defense was still there for the duo. And when you reflect on their TOTAL PRODUCTION from the catcher position you get an OVERALL of 32 DBLS, 28 HR, and 91 RBI.

    Yes, SOME of that production included Jeffers at DH, but it wasn't to any great degree. As disappointing as both were, the TOTAL production is EXCELLENT for a catching duo. As a combo, overall, and bats that were usually at the bottom of the order...understanding both on a hot streak batted higher...their collective should be a much higher grade.

    ASIDE: If Jeffers actually FIGURES it out for good, he could be one of the best overall catchers in MLB!

    JULIEN probably deserves his "F" grade. A low "D" at best. He suddenly went from a TREMENDOUS EYE batter batter with some BB and power ability to nothing. Even his vastly improved defense suffered. There's still a good bat and good ML player in there somewhere, but SOMETHING got messed up in his head.

    LARNACH as a B+ is accurate. He's gone from a top 100 prospect with injuries and illness to a potential washout to a guy who suddenly started to figure it out and start to "figuring it out" this season, despite fighting turf toe and a late leg injury. He MIGHT just be on the precipice of taking the next step and building on this season. The approach we've been seeing is kind of what we've been expecting. His opposite field power is obvious. There's hope the pull power will kick in one of these days. If he can continue down the path he's on right now, he might be an "A" hitter in 2025.

    LEWIS has all of the talent in the world! Unfortunately, he might be a victim of his confidence of "i don't due slumps" for a while, in some people's mind. And that would be a shame. He's just so damned talented, and has already established a performance threshold of early excellence, that the public and himself are expect excellence always. I think WE, and himself, expect too much at times. He's just needing experience to adjust. As great as he's been, we forget all the time he's lost previously in development. His "C" grade is fair for 2024.

    I disagree with a D grade for Lee. I'd give him an INCOMPLETE for 2024. A back injury. RAKING at AAA, looking like a stud early upon promotion, then having a shoulder injury, and then coming back and being poor shouldn't give him any sort of real grade. IMO the defense plays at SS, and is even better at 2B and 3B. The talent and work ethic are there. The bat WILL PLAY eventually, though I'm not sure if it's more HR power, or doubles power, combined with a good AVG and OB ability, etc. But more time should be allowed. Again, he's INCOMPLETE in my mind.

    MARTIN as a "D" is perfect IMO. He had a hot streak at one point, but other than a couple good plays here and there, he was below average defensively at ALL positions. He wasn't strong offensively against either side of arms. I NEVER thought he was going to be a major contributor after a half season of AAA ball in 2023, but I had hopes. And maybe he'll put in the offseason work as a hitter AND a fielder to make a difference for 2025. But at times, honestly, logic escaped me why the Twins didn't give the older Helman a shot to see if he'd be a better option? And I'm also starting to think a healthy Keaschall might not just bump Martin aside sometime next season. NOT SAYING Martin doesn't have some talent, but at some point that talent needs to step forward. 

    MIRANDA was a lost cause in 2023. A healthy Miranda regained satus this year. Then he got hurt again and was OK, but not great suddenly. How can he swing this much? Bad luck? Or is he another Kepler where everything just WORKS when he's healthy but goes to pot when he's dinged up a bit? Man, if he's grown as a player with experience and talent that he's shown, and can overcome, you'd like to place him as a primary bat, mostly at 1B probably for next season, but he does, unfortunately, come in as a talented question mark. 

    I agree with Wallner as a B+ overall. If we examine Wallner from his promotion in 2024, and what he did in 2023, DESPITE the really bad early season numbers we saw in a limited number of AB this kid looks like not only a keeper, but a potential stud for years to come. (Even for those who despise high K rate players) over a fairly brief appearance in 2022, his COMBINED quad slash line in MLB, including his poor, but limited early 2024, is:

    .251/ .366/ .500/ .866

    That's ALL STAR kind of numbers overall a full season, which he hasn't done for a full 162 games so far. And regression will probably settle in at some point. But then again, their is also progression due to experience and development. So it's safe to say, IMO, Wallner is either a really nice player, OR, potentially, a potential All Star player.

    I'm not going to agree or disagree in nature about Correa. Offense and defense he was an "A" or "B" if you want to include injury. His defense and offense was a good as ever when healthy. He's only a downgrade due to injury, IMO. Just a shame he was on track for one of his best seasons ever before PF hit him hard.

    YES, despite having a Nike deal for shoes, he changed to some New Balance cleats that made his feet feel better. That ultimately might cost him $M. But somehow, Nike, his sponsor, couldn't figure out a shoe that worked for him.

    That speaks a lot about Correa in my opinion.

    Correa might be a "B" overall for Nick, but I'm an "A" for production when healthy and attitude to get right trying to salvage the season.

     

     

    This is a difficult prospect. First of all, grades should be based on expectations and performance. So Correa and Buxton would be downgraded by me. C+ is the max. We are paying them to be much more than just good players. In the twins world they are paid exorbitant. Doesn't matter what the rest of the league pays. As a twin we expected much more. And they were missing during the most crucial. When the team absolutely fell apart. 

    I would downgrade Jeffers half a grade and raise Miranda half a grade.  

    I think Lee deserves a grade you gave him and I would certainly reduce the grade for Lewis. Great that he had a wonderful start to the year, and I know injuries play into things by hitting, But when he came back we needed him to step up in the star realm that he has projected himself as a man who never does slumps. 

    Wallner not only deserves his grade, but actually is part of the reason why we need to downgrade the front office and coaches as well. Yes he got off to a slow start, that happens. Most of our team did including our free agent signings. But they waited way too long to bring them back up after he demolished AAA.  

     

    Some interesting grades, Some fair, some a bit overly generous, plus some, such as the negative ones given to players like Martin, Miranda, and Margot perhaps a bit too harsh. But hey, as a collective group, they were mostly all underwhelming. The biggest disappointments for me were Lewis and Lee, plus the bizarre lack of hitting from Julian, IF we want to contend again, I think we need a BIG shakeup in the roster for next season, not only better pitchers, but batters that aren't flirting with the Mendoza line. 

    17 hours ago, Fire Dan Gladden said:

    Then your expectations for a 38 yr-old, $6 million veteran were slightly higher than mine.

     

    17 hours ago, Fire Dan Gladden said:

    No issues with raising the bar, but that is a Pohlad issue, not a Santana issue.

    Factoring in salary, the Santana FA signing was probably top 2-3 in baseball this past offseason.

    Actually, it was $5.25 million, further boosting your premise. 😀

    3 hours ago, Doctor Wu said:

    I think we need a BIG shakeup in the roster for next season, not only better pitchers, but batters that aren't flirting with the Mendoza line. 

    Good luck. MLB hit .243 this season. That means .250 is a good batting average.

    A Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde season for the hitters as a group.
    • Pre All-Star game: 5th in OPS, 6th in runs scored, (and 25th in SB)
    • Post All-Star game: 22nd in OPS, 18th in runs scored (and 30th - dead last - in SB).

    While some hitters had OK campaigns, there were/are no real stars on this team.

    Consistency matters. The manager's job is to field competitive lineups. Rocco's grade here should be a D (and not an F only because the first half was pretty good).

    Perhaps the offseason will rejuvenate their bodies and their minds about what it means to be a MLB player. Perhaps. I'm somewhat hopeful that the younger guys who will be the bedrock of the Twins for the next 5-10 years will mature and reach the level of performance that was projected for them.

    19 hours ago, DJL44 said:

    Fair enough. If we're grading versus realistic expectations before the season began, then why does Brooks Lee, a 23-year-old rookie with hardly any time at AAA get a D grade?

    Why doesn't Buxton get an A for his comeback season? My expectations for Buxton were that he would never contribute again due to a chronic knee injury and he blew past those expectations.

    I gave Buxton an A-.  I thought he played very well.

    IMO, rookies have no real expectations, you have to go more off of performance.  Outside of SWR, the Twins rookie crop this year was very underwhelming

    16 hours ago, S Bart said:

    Who is going to play 1st base? Julian has not even been able to tackle 2nd base (Note that Farmer was in that role at the end of the year).  Miranda...he has taken a deep dive. Kiriloff  was the answer at the start of the season, but he faded fast. They have nobody with experience in that position. It is doubtful that Santana will be retained. 

    You are making the argument to re-sign Santana for another year  (which I would be totally fine with if they can get him on another 1-yr, $5-7m deal. 

    If I have two old school gripes, they are:

    One: Stop playing guys at multiple positions. Find their strength in the minors and bring them up to play that position.

    Two: Have a set lineup. I always feel batters feed off each other. You get a guy in front of you that will show a free-swinger a long at bat, to observe what a guy is throwing that day. You have someone who hits for contact with decent runners on base. You prep to be a lead-off hitter. You may adjust your swing being the 4-5 hitter. You are glad you have a paycheck if batting 8-9.

    Going into 2025 is Wallner the right fielder and Larnach in left? Who plays 3rd. Miranda or Lewis. Or 2nd. Lee or Lewis? Or does Lee go to the minors and plays SS because Correa will be moved... somewhere. Nice to have Castro, but something is wrong with the team if he leads you in games played and at bats. 

    my evaluation of the evaluation of hitters.

    Nick you were pretty spot on.  I think though on the bench players you grade them with higher expectations then you should.  our bench is actually one of the best in the league if you go an look at other teams benches.  granted ours is a big step back from last years bench where the bench was interchangeable with the starters which never happens.  

    Martin had a solid walk and K rate and had 20 XBH in 233 AB HIs OPS is still low but his defense is also solid.  I would give him a C.

    Margot was pretty bad.  even noticably lower than his career numbers.  if you take out his pinch hitting he is atleast hitting his career averages.  the drop in defensive ability was also disappointing as I am sure that was his calling card.  I give him an F for pinch hitting and C- for the rest of his performance and D to D- overall.

    Farmer had a terrible slump to start the season.  3 for 47.  he had over a .740 OPS the rest of the way which is pretty good for a back up.  or you can say it was around .700 which is still ok for a back up then went hercules for about a month.  So I would give him an F through April 24th and a B+ after that.  and an overall grade of C-/D+

    You got Velazquez right.  

    On the position player side.  

    Miranda finished with a .763 OPS which is in the C or C- range.  yes he was really good then really bad.  but his overall is in that range.

    Castro also slumped really bad as his numbers of a .717 OPS is not very good.  I would give him a solid C cause he still made the All Star team and is versatile.

    again all nitpicking.

    18 minutes ago, Brandon said:

    my evaluation of the evaluation of hitters.

    Nick you were pretty spot on.  I think though on the bench players you grade them with higher expectations then you should.  our bench is actually one of the best in the league if you go an look at other teams benches.  granted ours is a big step back from last years bench where the bench was interchangeable with the starters which never happens.  

    Martin had a solid walk and K rate and had 20 XBH in 233 AB HIs OPS is still low but his defense is also solid.  I would give him a C.

    Margot was pretty bad.  even noticably lower than his career numbers.  if you take out his pinch hitting he is atleast hitting his career averages.  the drop in defensive ability was also disappointing as I am sure that was his calling card.  I give him an F for pinch hitting and C- for the rest of his performance and D to D- overall.

    Farmer had a terrible slump to start the season.  3 for 47.  he had over a .740 OPS the rest of the way which is pretty good for a back up.  or you can say it was around .700 which is still ok for a back up then went hercules for about a month.  So I would give him an F through April 24th and a B+ after that.  and an overall grade of C-/D+

    You got Velazquez right.  

    On the position player side.  

    Miranda finished with a .763 OPS which is in the C or C- range.  yes he was really good then really bad.  but his overall is in that range.

    Castro also slumped really bad as his numbers of a .717 OPS is not very good.  I would give him a solid C cause he still made the All Star team and is versatile.

    again all nitpicking.

    With Martin, the stats aren’t very good, but -8 OAA reaffirms my view that his fielding was bad, to go with an expected bad hitting

    Farmer overall hit as well as I expected and fairly close to historic, but his fielding fell off a cliff and only played 13 of 76 opportunities at SS. He was supposed to be backup SS and a “very good” fielder. He missed really badly on a defense first platoon hitter position.

    It’s Christian Vasquez, not Velasquez. 
     

    Castro slumped badly, but is it fair to expect him to play in 158 games and 3.1WAR above average hitter 108 wRC+ while setting a record for most games at most positions? That’s pretty impressive on the whole in modern baseball. Not an A, he couldn’t keep up the pace across the marathon, but dang.

     

    18 hours ago, Mike Sixel said:

    Tenth in runs scored gets a D? Tough grader. 

    Buxton? Buxton scored 62 runs, Anthony Santander was 10th in the American League with 91 runs scored. 

    Just thinking someone upthread got their signals crossed 

    1 minute ago, Hosken Bombo Disco said:

    Buxton? Buxton scored 62 runs, Anthony Santander was 10th in the American League with 91 runs scored. 

    Just thinking someone upthread got their signals crossed 

    I thought I was talking about the "overall" grade in that post? If not, ooops.

    1 minute ago, Mike Sixel said:

    I thought I was talking about the "overall" grade in that post? If not, ooops.

    I dunno, I guess I would keep giving Buxton an Incomlete until he plays a bigger chunk of the season?

    Its such a strain to have so many guys who need backups and constant moving around, and that doesn’t really show up in the stat lines, imo. So they need to find the 2025 version of Michael Taylor or Manuel Margot again and cross our fingers.

    1 hour ago, Richie the Rally Goat said:

    With Martin, the stats aren’t very good, but -8 OAA reaffirms my view that his fielding was bad, to go with an expected bad hitting

    Farmer overall hit as well as I expected and fairly close to historic, but his fielding fell off a cliff and only played 13 of 76 opportunities at SS. He was supposed to be backup SS and a “very good” fielder. He missed really badly on a defense first platoon hitter position.

    It’s Christian Vasquez, not Velasquez. 
     

    Castro slumped badly, but is it fair to expect him to play in 158 games and 3.1WAR above average hitter 108 wRC+ while setting a record for most games at most positions? That’s pretty impressive on the whole in modern baseball. Not an A, he couldn’t keep up the pace across the marathon, but dang.

     

    Austin Martin was clearly an average offensive player when compared to others coming off the bench.  In addition to what I stated above he was successful on 7 of 10 stolen base attempts and scored 41 runs in 233 AB so good numbers there.  Probably a good base runner for pinch running.  Yes his Defense needs work.  But he is still a C for a bench player. 

    1 hour ago, Brandon said:

    How did he grade out in the corners?  I didn’t know he was that bad in CF.  I thought he was passable but needed some work getting used to CF still I imagine.

    Not good. He reacts way too late to the ball when it is hit which limits his overall range. 




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