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Potential changes to the MLB


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Posted

 

Sounds like you're making an argument to decrease the amount of control an organization has over a young player instead of scrapping the draft. I concur with decreasing 6+ years of control on a young player.

 

...or to allow for freedom for a player to choose where he plays his career.

 

If I'm Sean Hjelle two years ago, for instance, I'd want badly to be part of the Tampa Bay Rays. They've been renowned in the industry for their work with tall pitchers. However, he's forced into a system where he's selected by a team and then forced to negotiate his bonus only with that one team.

 

A top-30 player like Maurice Hampton would likely not be headed to college if he had the ability to negotiate with all teams from the get-go rather than being forced into draft slots and bonus pools of the team that drafted him, meaning as soon as he got past the first 45 picks or so, he was beyond where his signing bonus demands made sense.

 

Having not seen Mike's piece yet (but I will!), one thought I'd throw out would be to have a bonus pool based on record, and a team like the White Sox could have chosen to spend $7.2M of their $11.565M (assuming bonus pools were the same) on Andrew Vaughn, or they could have chosen instead to spend the same $7.2M to outspend the teams that signed Kody Hoese, Logan Wyatt, Jacob Sanford, and Tommy Henry with money left over to meet the reported bonus demands of top-50 prospect Spencer Jones. They may have chosen to go with Vaughn still, but it would be certainly worthwhile to have the choice for teams and players both.

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Posted

...or to allow for freedom for a player to choose where he plays his career.

 

If I'm Sean Hjelle two years ago, for instance, I'd want badly to be part of the Tampa Bay Rays. They've been renowned in the industry for their work with tall pitchers. However, he's forced into a system where he's selected by a team and then forced to negotiate his bonus only with that one team.

 

A top-30 player like Maurice Hampton would likely not be headed to college if he had the ability to negotiate with all teams from the get-go rather than being forced into draft slots and bonus pools of the team that drafted him, meaning as soon as he got past the first 45 picks or so, he was beyond where his signing bonus demands made sense.

 

Having not seen Mike's piece yet (but I will!), one thought I'd throw out would be to have a bonus pool based on record, and a team like the White Sox could have chosen to spend $7.2M of their $11.565M (assuming bonus pools were the same) on Andrew Vaughn, or they could have chosen instead to spend the same $7.2M to outspend the teams that signed Kody Hoese, Logan Wyatt, Jacob Sanford, and Tommy Henry with money left over to meet the reported bonus demands of top-50 prospect Spencer Jones. They may have chosen to go with Vaughn still, but it would be certainly worthwhile to have the choice for teams and players both.

Very much part of my idea!

Posted

...or to allow for freedom for a player to choose where he plays his career.

 

If I'm Sean Hjelle two years ago, for instance, I'd want badly to be part of the Tampa Bay Rays. They've been renowned in the industry for their work with tall pitchers. However, he's forced into a system where he's selected by a team and then forced to negotiate his bonus only with that one team.

 

A top-30 player like Maurice Hampton would likely not be headed to college if he had the ability to negotiate with all teams from the get-go rather than being forced into draft slots and bonus pools of the team that drafted him, meaning as soon as he got past the first 45 picks or so, he was beyond where his signing bonus demands made sense.

 

Having not seen Mike's piece yet (but I will!), one thought I'd throw out would be to have a bonus pool based on record, and a team like the White Sox could have chosen to spend $7.2M of their $11.565M (assuming bonus pools were the same) on Andrew Vaughn, or they could have chosen instead to spend the same $7.2M to outspend the teams that signed Kody Hoese, Logan Wyatt, Jacob Sanford, and Tommy Henry with money left over to meet the reported bonus demands of top-50 prospect Spencer Jones. They may have chosen to go with Vaughn still, but it would be certainly worthwhile to have the choice for teams and players both.

It all sounds great in a vacuum. What do you anticipate will happen when top amateur talent has the following offers?

 

Kansas City: $7 million

Cincinnati: $6.85 million

Chicago Cubs: $6.8 million

New York Yankees: $7 million

Miami: $7.1 million

 

When the difference in offers is less than $200k at the end of the day, why would top amateur players elect to play in small markets? Why wouldn't they choose New York all day long?

Posted

It all sounds great in a vacuum. What do you anticipate will happen when top amateur talent has the following offers?

 

Kansas City: $7 million

Cincinnati: $6.85 million

Chicago Cubs: $6.8 million

New York Yankees: $7 million

Miami: $7.1 million

 

When the difference in offers is less than $200k at the end of the day, why would top amateur players elect to play in small markets? Why wouldn't they choose New York all day long?

Opportunity. Where do great development teams exist, and where is the quickest path to the majors?

 

That said, many will choose big markets. So something needs to be put in place to reduce that.

Posted

 

I'm not sure if this has been posted yet or not but the MLB is contemplating some changes to the game.

 

http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/26190498/robot-umps-shift-ban-coming-atlantic-league

 

 

• Using a TrackMan radar system to help umpires call balls and strikes
• Extending the distance between the pitching rubber from 60 feet, 6 inches to 62 feet, 6 inches in the second half of the season
• Mandating that two infielders are on each side of the second-base bag when a pitch is released, with the penalty being a ball
• A three-batter minimum for pitchers -- a rule MLB and the MLB Players Association are considering for the 2020 season as they near an agreement on a smaller set of changes
• No mound visits, other than for pitching changes or injuries
• Increasing the size of first, second and third base from 15 inches to 18 inches
• Reducing the time between innings and pitching changes from 2 minutes, 5 seconds to 1 minute, 45 seconds

 

 

What does everyone think?

1. Totally Down

2/3. Not sure that is really necessary

4. Happening anyway

5. Don't eliminate them, but cutting the limit down to four is probably fine

6. Who Cares?

7. Fine with me

Posted

What baseball really needs to do:

 

-Uniform rules (universal DH more likely, but either way works as long as the rules are the same)

-Realign geographically (could be done without expansion, just need uniform rules)

-Shorten the season (less games inside the division, 19 times vs the same team is excessive)

 

 

Posted

Opportunity. Where do great development teams exist, and where is the quickest path to the majors?

 

That said, many will choose big markets. So something needs to be put in place to reduce that.

The great development teams, at least at this moment, are still the large market teams too. Tampa is there, and Minnesota is getting there. Quickest path to the majors may matter so they can leave for a big market team earlier...

Posted

 

The great development teams, at least at this moment, are still the large market teams too. Tampa is there, and Minnesota is getting there. Quickest path to the majors may matter so they can leave for a big market team earlier...

 

I guess I am more interested in the players getting more, and having freedom, as a priority over competitiveness. If I have to choose.

Posted

I guess I am more interested in the players getting more, and having freedom, as a priority over competitiveness. If I have to choose.

I'd like a little bit of both... I think they need to decrease the amount of control they have over a rookie. Perhaps going from 6 to 4 years. Competitiveness should be their top priority IMO to gain a bigger audience. I don't want this league to turn into the NBA where only 6 or 7 teams matter.

Posted

 

I'd like a little bit of both... I think they need to decrease the amount of control they have over a rookie. Perhaps going from 6 to 4 years. Competitiveness should be their top priority IMO to gain a bigger audience. I don't want this league to turn into the NBA where only 6 or 7 teams matter.

 

I share the NBA concern for sure......but 4 years of control is still, what, 8-10 years if they spend 4-6 in the minors and bouncing up and down? Give the players some freedom at the beginning of the process too. 

Posted

I share the NBA concern for sure......but 4 years of control is still, what, 8-10 years if they spend 4-6 in the minors and bouncing up and down? Give the players some freedom at the beginning of the process too.

They could decrease the amount of control on both sides... Instead of becoming a minor league FA after 6 years, they decrease that to 3 if they were a college draftee, 5 if they were a HS draftee.

Posted

 

It all sounds great in a vacuum. What do you anticipate will happen when top amateur talent has the following offers?

Kansas City: $7 million
Cincinnati: $6.85 million
Chicago Cubs: $6.8 million
New York Yankees: $7 million
Miami: $7.1 million

When the difference in offers is less than $200k at the end of the day, why would top amateur players elect to play in small markets? Why wouldn't they choose New York all day long?

 

If you're a hitter with a mature skillset, the Yankees are likely not the best system to give you the chance to succeed. Their coaches are tremendous at working with raw guys and building approach, but when given a guy who already has a solid approach, they've actually had guys regress. Good agents would be able to help steer their clients in that direction.

 

There's also the guy who says, "I grew up in Minnesota as a Twins fan, hating the Yankees. I want to avoid running into the Twins long-term, so the Marlins are my choice" from your example. This already happens in the Latin market often.

Posted

 

The great development teams, at least at this moment, are still the large market teams too. Tampa is there, and Minnesota is getting there. Quickest path to the majors may matter so they can leave for a big market team earlier...

 

Yes and no. Each system has a niche that they really develop well. Good agents know how to find those matches.

Posted

 

other than players making more money and having a say where they live and work, it does done nothing... Sure.

Some players. And I'm not looking forward to New York and LA each having 6 major league teams, either.

 

But, I'll be interested in your analysis, for sure. I don't represent the current system as anything too close to perfect. But I don't see the draft itself as being one of the outstanding problems. And having the top end guys having to wait longer than they should to get to that 'more than I can ever spend' threshold...isn't at the top of my priority list.

Posted

 

It all sounds great in a vacuum. What do you anticipate will happen when top amateur talent has the following offers?

Kansas City: $7 million
Cincinnati: $6.85 million
Chicago Cubs: $6.8 million
New York Yankees: $7 million
Miami: $7.1 million

When the difference in offers is less than $200k at the end of the day, why would top amateur players elect to play in small markets? Why wouldn't they choose New York all day long?

Did you miss the part about "bonus pool based on record"?

 

The Cubs bonus pool was only $5.8 mil for 2019; the Yankees, $7.5 mil. If those clubs want to sink it all into one guy, some other clubs could really clean up.

Posted

 

Did you miss the part about "bonus pool based on record"?

 

The Cubs bonus pool was only $5.8 mil for 2019; the Yankees, $7.5 mil. If those clubs want to sink it all into one guy, some other clubs could really clean up.

 

Correct, that's a big part of what would need to happen. Though my plan has 4 separate "rounds" with pool limits and limits on who can bid.....first draft is in Ben's hands.....it needs work!

Posted

 

If you're a hitter with a mature skillset, the Yankees are likely not the best system to give you the chance to succeed. Their coaches are tremendous at working with raw guys and building approach, but when given a guy who already has a solid approach, they've actually had guys regress. Good agents would be able to help steer their clients in that direction.

 

There's also the guy who says, "I grew up in Minnesota as a Twins fan, hating the Yankees. I want to avoid running into the Twins long-term, so the Marlins are my choice" from your example. This already happens in the Latin market often.

Huh? Are the Yankees going to have these coaches for eternity? Agents will be motivated...like they always have been...to maximize their income, which means maximizing their client's total income. Some micro, short-terms, contradictions occur, but over the long-term this is guaranteed to be the outcome. Guaranteed.

Posted

Did you miss the part about "bonus pool based on record"?

 

The Cubs bonus pool was only $5.8 mil for 2019; the Yankees, $7.5 mil. If those clubs want to sink it all into one guy, some other clubs could really clean up.

If there's a clear #1 pick, why wouldn't they sink it all into him? Also, how can they prevent situations like Kevin Durant where they intentionally take less money so the Yankees have cap space to sign others?

Posted

 

If there's a clear #1 pick, why wouldn't they sink it all into him? Also, how can they prevent situations like Kevin Durant where they intentionally take less money so the Yankees have cap space to sign others?

 

Why should we prevent that?

 

Also, do we think 18 year olds are going to pass up a million or two dollars before they've made money, to maybe make the Yankees in 4 years or more, as opposed to taking more money with the Twins or KC?

Posted

 

If there's a clear #1 pick, why wouldn't they sink it all into him? Also, how can they prevent situations like Kevin Durant where they intentionally take less money so the Yankees have cap space to sign others?

Teams absolutely could sink it all into one guy -- but then they'd be able to sign virtually no one else. It could be an iffy strategy. Plus, you could weight the bonus pools even more than they are now -- if small market / losing teams get $20 mil to spend, versus $5 mil for the top big-market clubs, they won't even be able to do that strategy with a clear #1 pick.

 

As for players taking less money, Durant was a pro who already banked quite a few million, no? He didn't take D-league money when he was drafted.

Posted

Teams absolutely could sink it all into one guy -- but then they'd be able to sign virtually no one else. It could be an iffy strategy. Plus, you could weight the bonus pools even more than they are now -- if small market / losing teams get $20 mil to spend, versus $5 mil for the top big-market clubs, they won't even be able to do that strategy with a clear #1 pick.

 

As for players taking less money, Durant was a pro who already banked quite a few million, no? He didn't take D-league money when he was drafted.

I would absolutely do a stars and scrubs strategy with this proposal. Sink it all on a clear #1 prospect and fill the rest with international signings. All they need is one or two to pan out, or trade their stud for impact MLB players. Wash, rinse, repeat.

 

If the gap is that large for an auction pool that's quite the incentive to tank...

Posted

Changing the pitching distance for any reason can't be a serious proposal.  It must be part of a conspiracy to doop us into accepting electronic balls and strikes. Its a conspiracy, I tell you.  :)

Posted

 

even at the cost to the players that play the game? 

 

The players have a job in the entertainment industry.  I pay money to be entertained by them.  I'm not going to be as entertained if even more of the good ones end up in the big market locations and even less end up in the small/mid-market locations that I follow.  I'm not going to be in favor of any plan that allows the big markets have more opportunity for advantage.

 

Stop virtue signaling how much we're supposed to care about where the players wish to live and work.  The don't have to play pro baseball.

 

I'm all for the players getting a bigger chunk of the profits, but it should start in the minor leagues. Of course, that won't happen, since the union doesn't represent them or their interests very well.

Posted

 

The players have a job in the entertainment industry.  I pay money to be entertained by them.  I'm not going to be as entertained if even more of the good ones end up in the big market locations and even less end up in the small/mid-market locations that I follow.  I'm not going to be in favor of any plan that allows the big markets have more opportunity for advantage.

 

Stop virtue signaling how much we're supposed to care about where the players wish to live and work.  The don't have to play pro baseball.

 

I'm all for the players getting a bigger chunk of the profits, but it should start in the minor leagues. Of course, that won't happen, since the union doesn't represent them or their interests very well.

 

It's certainly your choice not to care, but I won't stop bringing it up when we discuss the state of the player contract and what not.....

Posted

If you join the FBI, you don't get to choose what city your assigned to.

If you join the military, you go where they send you.

 

The freedom is to choose another profession. I see zero lack of freedom here whatsoever.

Posted

I agree 100% one #1.

 

For #2 I'd rather see them decrease the height of the mound, which should decrease some of the pitchers advantage vs increasing the distance from the plate.

How do you figure pitchers have an advantage in a season in which 20 plus teams are going to set HR records and many will set scoring records?

Posted

I’m a little ambivalent about the “stealing” first base idea. However, the way it is being implemented seems all wrong.

 

As I understand it, the batter reaches on a “fielders choice”. Huh? What choice is involved? The only play is at first. And why is the batter charged with a time at bat when he reaches base safely? IMO, there should be no at bat unless the batter is thrown out. If he reaches, list it as a wild pitch or passed ball as appropriate. Batters already reach safely without an at bat on catcher’s interference. This should be no different.

Posted

 

I’m a little ambivalent about the “stealing” first base idea. However, the way it is being implemented seems all wrong.

As I understand it, the batter reaches on a “fielders choice”. Huh? What choice is involved? The only play is at first. And why is the batter charged with a time at bat when he reaches base safely? IMO, there should be no at bat unless the batter is thrown out. If he reaches, list it as a wild pitch or passed ball as appropriate. Batters already reach safely without an at bat on catcher’s interference. This should be no different.

 

I don't like this rule at all. It's no longer at baseball at that point.

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