gunnarthor Old-Timey Member Posted February 3, 2015 Posted February 3, 2015 Not sure how long this has been going on but fangraphs has the scouting grades of most minor leaguers, even those outside the team top 10. I believe the grades are done by McDaniel who tends to be a harsh grader but it gives a nice idea of where the players are now and where they might project. Low A guys and rookies are far enough away that most won't get a future value better than 45 at this point but it's interesting to see the grades for guys like Turner, Kepler and Harrison.
nytwinsfan Provisional Member Posted February 3, 2015 Posted February 3, 2015 Oooh, thanks. He previously had them for just the very top prospects in the systems he had completed his write-ups for. I wonder when he updated this. Will definitely check them out. Not sure how long this has been going on but fangraphs has the scouting grades of most minor leaguers, even those outside the team top 10. I believe the grades are done by McDaniel who tends to be a harsh grader but it gives a nice idea of where the players are now and where they might project. Low A guys and rookies are far enough away that most won't get a future value better than 45 at this point but it's interesting to see the grades for guys like Turner, Kepler and Harrison.
jimmer Verified Member Posted February 3, 2015 Posted February 3, 2015 I like how Kiley has Berrios #3. And then I get concerned about Gordon being as high as #4. Also, see this organizational overview by Dave Cameron on the same story. 'The Twins are firmly in rebuilding mode, but in that awkward stage when their young talent hasn’t developed yet, so they find themselves filling roster spots with veterans who have no real future with the organization. These kinds of seasons give the team chances to find unexpected core pieces like Brian Dozier, but it also forces the team’s fan base to sit through way too much of Kevin Correia and Mike Pelfrey. They aren’t particularly close to contending, so expect a few more years of sifting until they finally try and put a contender on the field again.' (yes, he knows Correia is gone too, he was just talking about what we've had ti sit through as the rebuilding has been going on.)
Otto von Ballpark Old-Timey Member Posted February 3, 2015 Posted February 3, 2015 Thanks for the tip. Hopefully they can put these in a sortable tabular format too, like their stats, to give them more context (comparing players and teams).
lightfoot789 Verified Member Posted February 3, 2015 Posted February 3, 2015 Don't Cheat and place the following prospects with the following Stat / value (PRESENT / FUTURE) from Fangraph. Who do you think belongs where? A - B - C - D - or E *EDDIE ROSARIO _____ *STUART TURNER _____ *ADAM BRETT WALKER _____ *MAX KEPLER _____ *TRAVIS HARRISON _____ [A] HIT - 20/50 SPEED - 50/50 FIELD - 45/50 THROWS - 45/45+ FUTURE VALUE - 40 HIT - 20/50 SPEED - 55/55 FIELD - 45/50 THROWS - 45/45+ FUTURE VALUE - 45 [C] HIT - 20/50 SPEED - 40/40 FIELD - 45/50 THROWS - 45+/45+ FUTURE VALUE - 40 [D] HIT - 20/45+ SPEED - 30/30 FIELD - 45/50+ THROWS - 60/60 FUTURE VALUE - 45 [E] HIT - 20/40 SPEED - 45/45 FIELD - 40/45 THROWS - 50/50+ FUTURE VALUE - 45 Don't Cheat - I will reveal the answers tonight
gunnarthor Old-Timey Member Posted February 3, 2015 Author Posted February 3, 2015 Don't Cheat and place the following prospects with the following Stat / value (PRESENT / FUTURE) from Fangraph. Who do you think belongs where? A - B - C - D - or E *EDDIE ROSARIO _____ *STUART TURNER _____ *ADAM BRETT WALKER _____ *MAX KEPLER _____ *TRAVIS HARRISON _____ [A]HIT - 20/50SPEED - 50/50FIELD - 45/50THROWS - 45/45+FUTURE VALUE - 40 HIT - 20/50SPEED - 55/55FIELD - 45/50THROWS - 45/45+FUTURE VALUE - 45 [C]HIT - 20/50SPEED - 40/40FIELD - 45/50THROWS - 45+/45+FUTURE VALUE - 40 [D]HIT - 20/45+SPEED - 30/30FIELD - 45/50+THROWS - 60/60FUTURE VALUE - 45 [E]HIT - 20/40SPEED - 45/45FIELD - 40/45THROWS - 50/50+FUTURE VALUE - 45 Don't Cheat - I will reveal the answers tonightRosario - ETurner - DWalker - AKepler - BHarrison - C
Seth Stohs Site Manager Posted February 3, 2015 Posted February 3, 2015 Rosario - BTurner - DWalker - EKepler - AHarrison - C
ericchri Provisional Member Posted February 3, 2015 Posted February 3, 2015 Don't Cheat and place the following prospects with the following Stat / value (PRESENT / FUTURE) from Fangraph. Who do you think belongs where? A - B - C - D - or E *EDDIE ROSARIO _____ *STUART TURNER _____ *ADAM BRETT WALKER _____ *MAX KEPLER _____ *TRAVIS HARRISON _____ [A]HIT - 20/50SPEED - 50/50FIELD - 45/50THROWS - 45/45+FUTURE VALUE - 40 HIT - 20/50SPEED - 55/55FIELD - 45/50THROWS - 45/45+FUTURE VALUE - 45 [C]HIT - 20/50SPEED - 40/40FIELD - 45/50THROWS - 45+/45+FUTURE VALUE - 40 [D]HIT - 20/45+SPEED - 30/30FIELD - 45/50+THROWS - 60/60FUTURE VALUE - 45 [E]HIT - 20/40SPEED - 45/45FIELD - 40/45THROWS - 50/50+FUTURE VALUE - 45 Don't Cheat - I will reveal the answers tonightSomething looks wrong there. All five of those guys have a 20 hitting rating on a 20-80 scale? There's just no way that's the case. Or is that some other scale that's being used?
gunnarthor Old-Timey Member Posted February 3, 2015 Author Posted February 3, 2015 Something looks wrong there. All five of those guys have a 20 hitting rating on a 20-80 scale? There's just no way that's the case. Or is that some other scale that's being used?The first number is the present grade. IE - if they were put in the majors today, that's how they'd hit. And that's probably right - Rosario had trouble hitting in AA and he was the most advanced. None of those guys, today, would be able to hit in the majors. The second number is the projected ability to hit in the future - ie, when they are settled into the majors.
nytwinsfan Provisional Member Posted February 3, 2015 Posted February 3, 2015 Don't Cheat and place the following prospects with the following Stat / value (PRESENT / FUTURE) from Fangraph. Who do you think belongs where? A - B - C - D - or E *EDDIE ROSARIO _____ *STUART TURNER _____ *ADAM BRETT WALKER _____ *MAX KEPLER _____ *TRAVIS HARRISON _____ [A]HIT - 20/50SPEED - 50/50FIELD - 45/50THROWS - 45/45+FUTURE VALUE - 40 HIT - 20/50SPEED - 55/55FIELD - 45/50THROWS - 45/45+FUTURE VALUE - 45 [C]HIT - 20/50SPEED - 40/40FIELD - 45/50THROWS - 45+/45+FUTURE VALUE - 40 [D]HIT - 20/45+SPEED - 30/30FIELD - 45/50+THROWS - 60/60FUTURE VALUE - 45 [E]HIT - 20/40SPEED - 45/45FIELD - 40/45THROWS - 50/50+FUTURE VALUE - 45 Don't Cheat - I will reveal the answers tonight Where is power?
Dman Verified Member Posted February 3, 2015 Posted February 3, 2015 Rosario - BTurner - DWalker - EKepler - AHarrison - C I am going with this same one. Primarily based on the speed rating.
dgwills Provisional Member Posted February 3, 2015 Posted February 3, 2015 I can't believe anyone would give Rosario and Turner the same grade for hitting! I do like games though. My guess is:Kepler-ARosario-BWalker-CTurner-DHarrison-E
lightfoot789 Verified Member Posted February 4, 2015 Posted February 4, 2015 I thought there were some interesting perceptions. I left the power grade off intentionally. I wanted this to serve as a more difficult grading option The results are as followed:A). ROSARIO. B ) KEPLERC). HARRISOND). TURNERE). WALKER Do these results cloud your view of what you thought you knew about any of these respective prospects?What was your rationale for your individual grades?
lightfoot789 Verified Member Posted February 4, 2015 Posted February 4, 2015 Fangraph Power Grades were as followed: Rosario (A)Game Power 20/45Raw Power 50/50 Kepler (B )Game Power 20/50Raw Power 50/50 Harrison (C )Game Power 20/45+Raw Power 50/50 Turner (D)Game Power 20/40Raw Power 45/45+ Walker (E)Game Power 30/55Raw Power 65/65 Would these Power results have altered your original guesses? Does it enhance or sour your thoughts of certain prospects? or neither?
lightfoot789 Verified Member Posted February 4, 2015 Posted February 4, 2015 Do most of you look at Fangraph as a legitimate publication and / or resource?
jimmer Verified Member Posted February 4, 2015 Posted February 4, 2015 Do most of you look at Fangraph as a legitimate publication and / or resource?absolutely, and so do many teams. In fact, the guy who does their prospect rankings has worked in at least one major league front office. In Kiley mini-bio" 'Staff writer of FanGraphs. Joined in August, 2014. McDaniel serves as the lead prospect analyst and head of the FanGraphs scout team. He previously worked for the New York Yankees, Pittsburgh Pirates and Baltimore Orioles and wrote for Scout.com and ESPN's Draft Blog.'
Dman Verified Member Posted February 4, 2015 Posted February 4, 2015 I thought there were some interesting perceptions. I left the power grade off intentionally. I wanted this to serve as a more difficult grading option The results are as followed:A). ROSARIO.B ) KEPLERC). HARRISOND). TURNERE). WALKER Do these results cloud your view of what you thought you knew about any of these respective prospects?What was your rationale for your individual grades? I am a little surprised at Kepler's speed rating. I had Rosario pegged as the faster runner. I used speed to determine my list as with the rest of the ratings I couldn't tell who was who. I don't think these ratings mean that much to me. Hard to say who will turn out and who won't. It is just another piece of the puzzle predicting what they might or might not become. I am happy with the potential of all those guys. Now they just need to prove they can play and continue to move up.
ashbury Verified Member Posted February 4, 2015 Posted February 4, 2015 In fact, the guy who does their prospect rankings has worked in at least one major league front office.... but took the promotion to writing for a web site?
jimmer Verified Member Posted February 4, 2015 Posted February 4, 2015 ... but took the promotion to writing for a web site? I'm sure there's a lot of things that went in to that decision. Fangraphs has an amazing following now. He runs the scouting crew for them, etc. Some have mentioned they wouldn't even want to work for a team.
gunnarthor Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2015 Author Posted February 4, 2015 Do most of you look at Fangraph as a legitimate publication and / or resource?It's ok. I think McDaniel and Hulet are pretty good at the prospecting stuff. Fun to read their views.
lightfoot789 Verified Member Posted February 5, 2015 Posted February 5, 2015 Considering that most prospects have only 3 to 4 true Tools, which 3 of these 5 graded Tools do you value as the most needed for becoming a high valued MLB player? HitSpeedPowerFieldThrows
Thrylos Old-Timey Member Posted February 5, 2015 Posted February 5, 2015 I thought there were some interesting perceptions. I left the power grade off intentionally. I wanted this to serve as a more difficult grading option The results are as followed:A). ROSARIO.B ) KEPLERC). HARRISOND). TURNERE). WALKER Do these results cloud your view of what you thought you knew about any of these respective prospects?What was your rationale for your individual grades? Let's focus on "Game Power". So Adam Walker who hit 25 HRs at Fort Myers this season is ranked a hair higher than Harrison and Kepler who hit 3 and 5 in the same team respectively? This makes me think not too much about the authors...
gunnarthor Old-Timey Member Posted February 5, 2015 Author Posted February 5, 2015 Let's focus on "Game Power". So Adam Walker who hit 25 HRs at Fort Myers this season is ranked a hair higher than Harrison and Kepler who hit 3 and 5 in the same team respectively? This makes me think not too much about the authors...The grade isn't for their minor league numbers. A 30 is an indication of what kind of game power Walker would show now, if he was put in the majors. They note that he has big time raw power but to translate that into a game is difficult and they are saying he would have trouble doing that now, if he were in the majors. That makes sense considering his difficulty with A+ pitching.
Thrylos Old-Timey Member Posted February 5, 2015 Posted February 5, 2015 The grade isn't for their minor league numbers. A 30 is an indication of what kind of game power Walker would show now, if he was put in the majors. They note that he has big time raw power but to translate that into a game is difficult and they are saying he would have trouble doing that now, if he were in the majors. That makes sense considering his difficulty with A+ pitching. Understood. But. If a guy hits 25 HRs in the minors he is more than a hair likely to hit more HRs in the majors than guys who hit 3 and 5.
lightfoot789 Verified Member Posted February 5, 2015 Posted February 5, 2015 For me it's Speed - Power - Arm Those are the God given Tools Good coaching can help with the Hit and Fielding Tool. Not to the point of being great at it, but to the point of being serviceable to allow the God given Tools stand out. Those are the only 2 Tools keeping Buxton from staring in CF to start the season. His God given Tools are good enough for him to play right now. Good Coaching and Hard Work is so underated.
Mike Sixel Old-Timey Member Posted February 6, 2015 Posted February 6, 2015 ... but took the promotion to writing for a web site? Maybe he doesn't want to work for a front office anymore? maybe this gives him more freedom? I think judging his opinions based on the fact he decided to switch jobs is, well, not good.
jimmer Verified Member Posted February 6, 2015 Posted February 6, 2015 Maybe he doesn't want to work for a front office anymore? maybe this gives him more freedom? I think judging his opinions based on the fact he decided to switch jobs is, well, not good.I think he was just joking
ashbury Verified Member Posted February 6, 2015 Posted February 6, 2015 I think he was just jokingI think so too. Well, maybe humor enwrapping a kernel of truth, but no, I wouldn't "base" my judgement on any one thing. Was just sayin'.
jimmer Verified Member Posted February 17, 2015 Posted February 17, 2015 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-fangraphs-top-200-prospect-list/#comment-4953979 Fangraphs shiny new top 200 prospects. Berrios as the #24 prospect in baseball (Twins #3 prospect). Alex Meyer is #71, Gordon is #72, Stewart is #73.6 in the top 73.Polanco at #108.
PseudoSABR Verified Member Posted February 17, 2015 Posted February 17, 2015 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-fangraphs-top-200-prospect-list/#comment-4953979 Fangraphs shiny new top 200 prospects. Berrios as the #24 prospect in baseball (Twins #3 prospect). Alex Meyer is #71, Gordon is #72, Stewart is #73. 6 in the top 73. Polanco at #108.Probably deserves it's own thread. I'll start one.
Brandon Winokur Wichita Wind Surge - AA 3B/CF In the final Wind Surge game of the season, Winokur played center field and went 4-for-6 with a double, two runs and three RBI. Explore Brandon Winokur News >
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.