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Signing Carlos Correa- Just because you can doesn't mean you should...

Some of the best advice you will ever get- just because you can doesn't mean you should. Is it disappointing to see a great talent go elsewhere ABSOLUTELY. For the the long term health of the franchise is it for the best? Probably. A Shortstop whose value primarily comes from his defense will not age well. Paying Carlos Correa 27+ Million in 2032 is going to leave an ache similar to me taking down 7 cups of eggnog at the company holiday party. A huge piece no one seems to want to ever menti

Alex Boxwell

Alex Boxwell in Correa

5 Reasons Christian Vázquez is a GREAT Fit for the Twins

Earlier today the Minnesota Twins crossed a major offseason to-do off their list by signing catcher Christian Vázquez to a 3 year/$30M deal. Since 2020, Vázquez has caught the 5th most games in MLB and was worth 1.6 fWAR in 2022. Important considering Ryan Jeffers' health concerns. Prior to the signing, the Twins were projected to generate the 5th worst fWAR out of the catcher position. Now, they project to be around league average (15th) with the duo of Vázquez (2.0 projected fWAR) and Jef

Andrew Luedtke

Andrew Luedtke in News

2023 Trip #1 - March 30-April 5 - Kansas City & Miami

The "All 81" away game journey begins in 109 days.  That seems like a long time away.  Until you enter it into a spreadsheet and realize that its only one mouse scroll from tomorrow... Here's my plan of attack for keeping everyone in the loop during planning season: 1.  Monday blogs will focus on the 16 trips involved in the 2023 Twins season.  I'm going to be focusing on stadium highlights, attributes, Twins history, and community amenities.  Potential pitfalls and road blocks get con

2022-23 Offseason Twins Mock Trades - Pitchers

The offseason is a time to dream about huge free agent signings and blockbuster trades. The Twins have had their name come up in both of those scenarios. In this first article I will be focusing on the trading aspect for pitching. The Twins currently have a need to some degree for a pitcher or two to bolster the rotation and/or the bullpen. Below are some possible mock trades I built up using Baseball Trade Values. Some of these would make sense for the Twins to make, but others make you think i

cjm0926

cjm0926 in Trade Targets

Correa or no Correa, 5 things that must happen for the Twins to contend in 2023

The team is in a tricky spot following the winter meetings. They allegedly remain in play for Carlos Correa, but their backup options are getting swallowed up and their 50M remains unspent. Even with Correa, this team will have some challenges going into 2023. Winning the Central can’t be the goal, especially with the state of the competition being as sorry as it is. To be a real force in the AL, the Twins need a few things to happen, Correa or not: The Astros take a step back. The As

the Anti- Correa move

More and more it is looking like the "Nuclear Option" is the only way the Twins will ever improve. With rumors now circulating of Yankees in on Correa as well as other big spenders, and rumors circulating about a $400M contract. the Twins must SPRINT to the door and get out!!!  That is very sad, as I was actually thinking the Twins actually get a decent deal done around the $300-320M mark.   I had shared an option in previous posts, and it nwo onyl seems even MORE the right way to

Doc Munson

Doc Munson in Twins

June 17-19, 2022: My "All 81" Gateway Drug

All crazy ideas start out with smaller, somewhat less crazy ideas.  In Twins Territory, staring out at a foot of sanded/graying snow usually factors in as well. Going to every Twins away game in 2023 started out similarly.  It began to sprout one February evening, while I celebrated an annual bro event with some of my closest friends JP and Steve Hain.  JP and I had been picking Oscar winners and then competing against one another "live" on Oscar night since we were in Jr. High.  I think we

Carlos Correa has great clubhouse presence, but what does that matter?

As the stove continues to get hotter and hotter and the Carlos Correa decision seems to be moments away, the value of his clubhouse presence is brought up as a hedge against skill regression with age. Even if he isn't able to play at an above average level, at least they'll have him in the clubhouse. But what do we actually know about the concept of "clubhouse presence" when it comes to measurable effects? Sure, it's a fun idea to throw out to express a hypothetical value, but what does it actua

Who Calls the Twins Pitches ?

I have asked this question 3-4 times in various comments to articles, with no responses. Would someone who knows the answers, please reply to these questions and explain the method the Twins use in pre-game discussions of what pitches to call, how the caller of the pitches is informed what pitches are working for the Twins' pitcher that particular day at different times during the game, who actually calls each pitch, how much leeway the pitcher has to call his pitches and how other "pitching suc

tarheeltwinsfan

tarheeltwinsfan in Pitch Calling

If Luis Arraez were to be traded, my new favorite stat would be in jeopardy

Do I think that Luis Arraez is in any great danger to be traded? No. He doesn't have enough value to be the centerpiece in a trade for top end starting pitching. I would be sad though. Upon his winning of the AL batting title, I did some research, and found an interesting statistic, which I shared on Reddit at the time with some inaccuracies, and I want to write up here as well as the definitive edition. The Twins have had the AL batting champion 15 times since 1964, a whopping 26% of

The Respectability Gap- Was 2022 a Stepping Stone?

It’s hard to get excited about the Minnesota Twins. They could easily be an exciting team by next spring but that’s beside the point. The Twins just never seem to command any respect. They’ve been around for sixty years, have won two titles and plenty of divisions. No one blamed them for getting Sandy Koufax’d in 1965. They had a historic home run hitter in Harmon Killebrew, a spark plug who could carry a team in Kirby Puckett, and the Jack Morris ten inning shutout. They don't limit payrol

Hans Birkeland

Hans Birkeland in Twins Offseason

Into the Weeds - A Spreadsheet for "All 81" Away Games, Use with Discretion

Counting the costs. I spent most of the weekend drumming up the potential ramifications of my "all 81 away games" dream in an excel spreadsheet.  This led to some quality angst and vulnerability hangover, for both I and spouse :) Upon entering mileage and dates, a few things are apparent: 1.  MLB was not considering my potential dream trip when they were organizing the Twins road schedule this year.  Beyond utilizing the LA trip as a back to back with the Dodgers and Angels in May

What if you went to all 81 "away" games? Making the dream a reality...

Hello everyone, allow me to introduce myself. Steve Trefz, 42 yrs old, Twins fan by virtue of birthplace (farm in rural NorthCentral South Dakota), of influence (Herb and John every summer evening for 3.5 hrs), and of circumstance (first World Series that I remember watching was 1987, which was also the year of the first Metrodome trip and Twins game of my life). I have more to share when it comes to "Why the Twins?," but for now I just want to introduce where this blog is headed...lit

Gilberto Celestino's career has been something of a tragedy, but the Twins still have time to salvage it

In the 2019 offseason, the Twins had four promising young outfielders in the minors who could reasonably be projected to stick as MLB centerfielders, occupying at least a 4th outfielder role--Misael Urbina, Gabriel Maciel, Akil Baddoo, and Gilberto Celestino. Urbina (20) is still in the organization, finishing the season at A-ball Ft. Myers. Maciel was claimed off waivers before the 2022 season by Oakland. Baddoo, quite infamously, was taken by the Tigers in the 2020 Rule 5 Draft, a fact th

Arizona Fall League 2022

The Glendale Desert Dogs had several representatives from the Twins' farm system.  Denny Bentley, Francis Peguero, Jon Olsen and Ryan Shreve were the pitchers, and the position players were Alex Isola, Austin Martin and Edouard Julien.  Here's a few photos from my trip in late October.  For two of the three games I was joined by the illustrious USAFChief. Driving there meant going through some dusty desert miles.  Here is one of the denizens of the town of Beatty NV where I quartered for th

ashbury

ashbury in 2022

The Twins are a righty away from some fun matchups

Okay, the title ignores the whole shortstop situation, but hear me out. Actually it also ignores the catcher issue as well, but just keep reading. I'll briefly address them later. When @vikingsfan1936 commented "Failvine found there missing piece ..." and "World Sereis here we  come" under Dan Hayes's tweets about the Twins' trade for Kyle Farmer and resigning of Kyle Garlick, respectively, he might not actually be too far off the mark. Obviously, no one would say that the Two Kyles™️ solve

IT's Offseason Blueprint

The idea of taking a shot at an offseason plan is always a fun one. Here's my attempt. As best as I could, I used the arbitration projections cited elsewhere. I also used the free agent projections at MLBTradeRumors as starting points. And I had the advantage of being able to include the Urshela and Farmer moves and other action that's happened to date.    First, the sunk costs – options that didn’t get picked up: Bundy $1M, Archer $.75M and Sano $2.75M for a total cost of $4.5M N

IndianaTwin

IndianaTwin in Rosters

November 16th Bleacher Report Farm System Ranking

Looks like my previous Blog had a bad link. This one seems to be working for me. I prefer the tier rankings over 1-100 type. Most tier 1's are in your top 100 type listings. Tier 2 prospects are usually 75-200 range. Keith Law pointed out that the difference between a #1 prospect and a #25 is usually huge. Where a 50th ranked player and a 100th ranked player is pretty small. Updated MLB Farm System Rankings at Start of the 2022-23 Offseason | News, Scores, Highlights, Stats, and Rumors

weitz41

weitz41 in Farm System

Did The Twins Get What They Paid For? Part Two (By Daddy Warbucks)

Okay, so the Twins have "Farmed" out shortstop. Unless of course the FO goal is to quickly swap Farmer for two PTBNL, a broken down reliever and a partridge in a pear tree. Anyway, I asked Daddy Warbucks to give us a quick assessment of the financial impact of swapping the two shortstops. Stats (2022) Player       Salary     WAR     HR     Ave (Maria?)     RibEyes       OPS      Cost per WAR     Cost Per RBI Correa      $35 mill    5.4      22        .291                     64   

Dave The Dastardly

Dave The Dastardly in Blog

Top 3 FA Rule 5 moves for Twins

With the deadline for finalizing 40 man roster in advance of the Rule 5,  There are some very cheap, low risk high reward type players out there.  These are right in teh Twins wheelhouse.  Gamble on the cheap and see if you hit the lottery. So the first one isn't a FA or rule 5 but he is the type of player that COULD be.  1B/OF Dom Smiht of the Mets.  Dom is a GG caliber 1B.  This kid actually CAN hit. He has just never been given consistent ABs in a consistent position in the field being b

Doc Munson

Doc Munson in Twins Offseason Moves

Lets go big!!

There have been a number of wild posts that are not based in any sort of reality. This is another of those. Twins should sign Verlander, Correa (I would prefer Turner but let's stick with Correa), and Judge. Because of course it is only that easy.  lol...   But.., they CAN afford it. Reason #1,  Verlander's deal will be no more than 3 years, so that will come and go before you know it and not impact long-term roster building.  the other 2... well that is a different stor
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