Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Minny505

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    856

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Minny505

  1. Minny505
    I actually expect Falvine Manager 2.0 would be expected to follow FO directives even more stringently than now. If you hate seeing SPs who are cruising and get pulled in the 6th, 2.0 will pull them in the 5th. For those calling for a firing, I don't think you thinking thru the likeliness that you would get even more frustrated with whoever that 2.0 is.
  2. Minny505
    Huh? This seems like a serious hawt taik. The expectation on April 1st was 79 to 84 wins. They are probably going to nail their projections, despite the efforts of Emilio Pagan to sabotage their over/under. The general rule of thumb is that when a manager hits projections, he's not the problem. Is he Francona, Cash, or Roberts? No. But how many managers routinely outplay their projections year after year? Those guys generally get lifetime contracts with their current squad and are NEVER available and finding the next one means sifting thru far worse than Baldelli to get their.
  3. Minny505
    I do agree on both of those. Unfortunately, according to multiple sources, the Twins did have a slightly higher offer on the table to Wheeler and he just wanted to "go home" to Philly. Hard to compete with that. Rodon was a huge whiff. That's really only one, and they get another crack at him if they can get Jim to sign off. With payroll as it is, it's certainly feasible, but he would be the only notable FA signed. 2023 bullpen looks solid with Lopez added and internal candidates. They will need a RH OF bat and a stopgap SS, but that is $15mil total. With $45mil for 2023 expected to be available after arb raises, Rodon is in the cards and would be a bigger splash, and improvement, than even Correa.
  4. Minny505
    Give me a few 1/2 SPs in your mind. Any in the league. Aces don't count (IE Verlander, DeGrom, etc). Because, by the metrics, Statcast data, stuff plus scouting, etc, Mahle and Gray are the very definition of #2s with #1 upside when going well. They are right in the conversation with names like Montas, Tyler Anderson, Chris Bassitt, Logan Gilbert, Triston McKenzie, etc. I'm trying to understand what you mean by your definition. Quantity of IP? I'll agree that is an issue with them, but not quality. Rodon is really the only FA better than those two who is not expected to re-up with their current org. The rest are adding more #3s, as you say. FWIW, I'd like them to sign another (your definition) #3, such as Bassitt or Anderson...unless they can swing a trade for better.
  5. Minny505
    Is this actually Bert? If not, you nailed the impersonation,
  6. Minny505
    Agreed. Singling out Alcala is sort of strange. You could essentially pick out any of the pitchers on the list below: Paddock Ober Dobnak Winder Alcala Coulombe Having just any two of those guys available for, more or less, the full season would probably all add a couple extra wins minimum. Throw in Lewis, Sano, Kirilloff, and to a lesser extent, Larnach, and it's kind of amazing they are .500. Even teams like the Yankees can't sustain that level of injury...except when the Yankee Slump Busters come for a visit.
  7. Minny505
    Yup. Duffey was a MUCH bigger disappointment than Joe Smith. We all had hope that Duffey could be a legit 7th/8th inning guy. Joe Smith on the other hand was signed as the RP version of Jake Taylor, hoping he could hang on for "one more good year in the sun".
  8. Minny505
    Sanchez? I know I was the wet blanket on here regarding the celebration of acquiring Sanchez and I have actually been impressed with him. He's hit what I expected, but he went from the worst defensive catcher in baseball to being an above average defensive backstop. If anything, I would categorize him as something that went better than expected. He's at least playable as a backup catcher. He hadn't been that since 2019.
  9. Minny505
    I saw that site and followed them on the Twitter
  10. Minny505
    Is there a site that tracks something similar to "projected WAR lost to IL days"? Seems like basis that may be the most valuable estimate we could use for how much a team has been harmed by injuries.
  11. Minny505
    Right, but I expect the SDI is going to sway that vote mightily.
  12. Minny505
    Awesome for the clarification. Thank you.
  13. Minny505
    Arraez is soo impressive at 1B and has been since he started playing there. Familiarity was an issue, but skill was not. GG voting is based off three metrics correct, not just SDI?
  14. Minny505
    I mean, Gordon is the obvious choice here. What a month! Correa's numbers are a pleasant surprise. It just rarely seemed to translate in runs in any way (#sequencing). That said, if he can keep it up it will.
  15. Minny505
    Great write up and yes, all those additions have lived up to, or exceeded, expectations. It's unfortunate that, after the trades, both Polanco and Buxton have been playing injured (at a substandard level) or on the IL. I feel like this team would be firmly in first place in the division if they stayed healthy. That's a lot of production they missed for most of the month between: Polanco Buxton Kirilloff Larnach Garlick If we can get all but Kirilloff back and healthy within the next few weeks, this team is going to be dangerous.
  16. Minny505
    That WPA for Urshela has to be one of the largest positive game for a Twins position player all season. Crazy!
  17. Minny505
    I hate saying this, but the absence of Pagan in the box score may be the reason why.
  18. Minny505
    Is Sands hurt? He hasn't pitched in a week and this seemed like a great spot to get him an inning or two.
  19. Minny505
    I never said good. I said solid and a lateral move from Urshela. Miranda: Urshela: Looks like a lateral move to me. That said, this is far too small of a sample size for Miranda to draw any solid conclusions. However, Urshela has a long history of being an average-ish 3B, which is what I mean by solid. And based on what we can possibly glean from this data, they look like pretty comparable fielders.
  20. Minny505
    I actually think we are seeing Miranda's regression to his current mean right now, and that is an .850 OPS hitter with solid 3B defense. His defense at 3B has impressed. Don't let the ugly 1B defense, which is a footwork issue, taint your view of his defense at 3B. It's essentially a lateral move from Urshela to Miranda on defense, and Miranda bangs. Arraez and Miranda are the lynchpins of the offense. Buxton is like a bonus when he's in there and not striking out.
  21. Minny505
    This seems like a more accurate picture than what TD is painting in these comments. Miranda has a strong argument for the best hitting rookie, but he is a coinflip to even place top five at this point for the league ROTY.
  22. Minny505
    The Correa opt-out is starting to get chatter on a national level. More pundits are looking at his season, along with his history, and saying that 2021 is looking like the outlier and him being a 3.5-4 WAR player is the median. That is not going to secure him the payday he is looking for. Right now, he'll get the Semien contract in FA, but he wants the Seagar contract. Odds are still that he opts out, but it's getting closer to a coin flip than any of us expected the day the deal was announced.
  23. Minny505
    This should have been a Pagan game. If you have him on the roster, these are the games you play him in. He is there to soak up an innings or two when it doesn't matter and the Twins just need to finish the game. The risk of him making his next appearance when a game is close just got higher.
  24. Minny505
    Agreed. Astros probably have an envelope sitting in the GM office with Justin Verlander's name on it. Inside is a check for $80mil and a contract for two years.
  25. Minny505
    As stated, the Pagan splits this season may be an anomaly. That said, Pagan himself is an anomaly. When checking his Statcast page he looks like a really solid, borderline elite, pitcher. And he is for 93% of his pitches. He is elite. And then, every 12th pitch he forgets how to throw like a big leaguer, and he throws a cement mixer middle-middle and it gets obliterated. It's been that way for 3 seasons now. His K% is elite and his BB% is great, but in his last 127.2 innings he has given up 30 HRs. That is good for the 3rd worst HR/9 of all MLB players still active since the start of 2020, minimum 120 IP. The two guys above him are both young SP that are learning the ropes of MLB that will probably be converted to RP roles, a la, Griffin Jax. Pagan really is an anomaly. That is why he keeps getting chances. Fixing that 12th pitch is like chasing the dragon.
×
×
  • Create New...