Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

twinstalker

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,303

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. twinstalker
  2. twinstalker
    Aidan Miller!
  3. twinstalker
    He looks like Jose Miranda did. It's a weird profile. Low BB rate, low-ish K rate, meh slash. Teams don't drop guys who are good. Not often enough, anyway, where it can be a hope.
  4. twinstalker
    Justin Lebron's OPS in conference play was less than .800 and his K-rate was 32%. It's actually hard to find a 1st round candidate worse than that. If the Twins take him with the 3rd pick, it will be even worse than their 2025 catastrophe of taking Marek Houston with the 16th pick. I have to believe even the Twins can pass on such a bad player.
  5. twinstalker
    One guy who has a chance, three guys who have no chance. Perhaps this should have been an article on Gonzalez alone. Or maybe we should include Yunior Severino, wherever he is these days. :-) I just don't understand why Rosario gets any talk whatsoever. If his hitting slash were an important part of his evaluation, he wouldn't have been unprotected for Rule V. All sorts of minor league hitters put up good slashes, and the reason they're not protected is because there are very simple statistics in their profile that near 100% determine they have no chance to hit in MLB. Walks don't even remotely balance strikeouts. Walks are not even necessarily good in the minors, in that they frequently indicate passivity. The good ones get walks because the pitchers can't strike them out. So they're not independent good and evil stats. I'm not sure what the second part of that 2nd sentence means or implies. The 27.5% strikeout rate is untenable. Simply, you cannot have that at AA (second trip there) and expect to ever hit in the majors. Or do you think MLB pitchers will balance this out by walking him a bunch? They simply won't, and it should scream to you that walk rate in the minors is very misleading. Fedko If you really squint, Fedko might seem like a platoon player, but then maybe you look at his splits and see that he can't hit lefties. Olivar Unlike the other two, I've put Olivar in my top 25 prospects at times because he's always hit decently (K rate decent) and could catch. But he also struggles vs lhp and probably is a cuspish player to begin with. And it doesn't seem the Twins think he'll be a catcher; at least they're not treating him that way, catching him 40% of the time in 2025.
  6. twinstalker
    How is Justin Lebron supposed to hit major league pitching when he can't hit his own conference pitching? His stats are incredibly meh for a draft pick, including a 32% strikeout rate.
  7. twinstalker
    Exactly what is Emmanuel Rodriguez on the brink of? Maybe a cliff? I think of a farm system as a bunch of lemmings marching toward the cliff, at least . When that do or die moment comes, a Jenkins or Keaschall sprout wings and will fly. In my analogy lemmings can maybe fly. Culpepper and Gonzalez will tumble but hit branches and maybe survive. Rodriguez will go splat after fooling many into believing he has wings when he's never shown evidence of having wings. I don't know, maybe it's his webbed feet.
  8. twinstalker
    2024 is an outlier season for Vientos. Foremost, his BABIP was about 55 points higher than usual, probably because he was all or nothing (strikeouts), and the denominator therefore was small. Pitchers obviously adjusted in 2025, so the "all" didn't result in the power of the year prior. 2025 was close to the max I'd projected for Vientos when I studied him a couple of years ago. 2024 was the common outlier a player might put up early prior to the book being completed. Emmanuel Rodriguez is similar hitter whose 15 minutes will occur well before the book is complete, though it's not a certainty he'll get 15 minutes.
  9. twinstalker
    Yawn on Walker, who's maybe baked and costs far too much for them. Twins just got one of those, and you expect another? Also, sunk cost mean it's done and gone.
  10. twinstalker
    They think it's low-risk, but then he gets 23 hits in a row, and you start doing stupid stuff.
  11. twinstalker
    Oh, the irony of the filthy wealthy and aspiring oligarchs: Having too many kids spreads the wealth and increases the chance of having a few turn out to be movie and record producers or hippies.
  12. twinstalker
    Well, if the Twin bring in Mayo, and especially if they pay a price for him, it fits with them not having a clue about hitting.
  13. twinstalker
    Why in the world would you want to trade for Coby Mayo? There are statlines that you should never look at unless there's something bad on them. Example Prime A is Baltimore's AA affiliate Bowie. No matter how good the hitting stats are there, you have to ignore them. One of the valuable pieces of information you can get from a good hitting line there, though, is strikeout rate. So here we go: Age 21 AA (that right there indicates he's a little ahead but is not overly special, Jenkins was 20 at AAA) 86 K in 347 PA which comes to a 25% strikeout rate (this indicates for age and level that he strikes out too often to be MLB-good Age 22 AAA he did the same. Slash numbers down at Norfolk because it's not the bandbox that Bowie is. K rate still 25%. He was promoted to majors for 46 PA, a .293 OPS, and nearly a 50% K rate. Age 23 AAA his K rate got worse, his batting slash dropped. Like Cody, Baltimore made the mistake that he might be good and gave him 294 PA of a .687 slug and a really bad 27% K rate. There is zero reason to want Coby Mayo. His predictors say he'll be mediocre, and those are the types you'll find on the non-tender scrap heap after they've put in 4-5 years.
  14. twinstalker
    Shaking my head at the constant proposals to extend Boras clients.
  15. twinstalker
    I'm aghast that Jackson hasn't considered improving before this. Think of the millions he was forgetting about.
  16. twinstalker
    For what people think of Josh Bell, they should take note that his minors predictors are fantastic in comparison to anybody in the Twins system (esp EmRod), excluding Jenkins, with Gonzalez and Culpepper arguably somewhat close?. Even a past-prime Bell is better than most anything the Twins can expect or reasonably hope for from their system. I see nothing past those three, and they're AAA. This system is bereft of hitting, and I've never seen anything like it. Maybe conveniently forgetting.
  17. twinstalker
    There are some names, like Andujar, who might get you some value at the trade deadline. O'Hearn. But it's doubtful they'll be around when the Twins are offering up 1 yr low salary contracts.
  18. twinstalker
    Rebuild can't work unless you know what you're looking for in a prospect. Hitting-wise, they don't.
  19. twinstalker
    Trade EmRod. Please. While he still has a little value.
  20. twinstalker
    Mayo is the definition of mediocre, which would be a fine platoon bat with Clemens, but the Orioles asking price is that of a truly good prospect. Mayo predictors say meh at best. Mountcastle should, in theory, give you a better player. His predictors were better than Mayo's, and they proved out early in his prime. This is going to be his age 29 season, which should still be in his "good years," but this past season is a head-scratcher, especially with the Orioles pulling the left field fence back in. I'd stay away from Mayo at all costs unless the asking price is the same. You're basically getting a half-time player either way, and RM theoretically > CM.
  21. twinstalker
    Here what I think won't change: Cholowsky and Emerson are not available. The best hope is that someone becomes a clear number 3. I'm a little surprised Jacob Lombard isn't listed and would like to ask why to see Jamie's thoughts. I don't necessarily disagree.
  22. twinstalker
    Why would they pay money for Hoskins? I just don't understand that. Sure, give him a million to platoon, not that he hits lefties that well. If there are financial troubles, stop being stupid with money.
  23. twinstalker
    He's not a young star. He's never been a star. Maybe some day we'll look at our players objectively.
  24. twinstalker
    Isn't Correa signed through 2028, so there are just three payments to be made? If the first is today, the third is in 2027.
  25. twinstalker
    It seems like a good result to get a catcher for free, neither having to pay $150k the catcher signed for nor $100K, of course.
×
×
  • Create New...