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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. twinstalker
    They basically gave Garver away yesterday, or didn't you notice?
  2. twinstalker
    Seriously? When we get fat prospect, are we going to excuse it by saying we had David Ortiz? Henriquez is a lottery ticket where the prize is a decent reliever if you defy all odds. That is, he's just another minor league pitcher with a very low ceiling.
  3. twinstalker
    No, no you do know have to give to get zero. Three shortstops signed today for $5.5 million or less, all of them pretty equivalent to IKF. You're saying the Twins weren't willing to add this amount to their $90 million payroll and so needed to trade away a decent or, potentially midseason, great asset? Maybe the dumbest thing I've seen the Twins do since trading Wilson Ramos.
  4. twinstalker
    Move makes no sense. You just traded an asset for the equivalent of something you could have just as well signed cheaply. That is, they gave up Garver for practically nothing.
  5. twinstalker
    You say the lottery will be six teams, then talk about the chances of the 10th. I'll guess that it's the first six draft slots that are determined by the lottery, and all non-playoff teams participate at some level. I also assume the worst record has a bound of the 7th pick (assuming no tanking penalties). This article could probably have more details and be clearer (with examples on the penalties).
  6. twinstalker
    There are very few "good" arms right now in the system. Duran and Canterino should probably be rehabbing from TJS right now. Winder's injury has the potential to be much worse (or nothing major). Most of the other pitchers either struggled at some point or dealt with injuries. It's ugly, but it could sort itself out...just not this year, I don't think. Balazovic and Winder both pitching well this year in MLB would be a 95th percentile outcome.
  7. twinstalker
    Should we draft Rocker so it can take us years to diagnose his UCL tear as a strain, then try to rehab him for a couple of years until finally having him undergo TJS to lose another couple of years? Yeah, let's do that. Wait until you see how long Canterino and Duran go through this (Duran starting in 2020 actually).
  8. twinstalker
    Re-signed.
  9. twinstalker
    Probably. But the real issue is that the Twins have a shortstop identification problem.
  10. twinstalker
    Where's Cesar Tovar, Bobby Darwin, Larry Hisle, Lyman Bostock, WILLIE NORWOOD? Don't get me started on the ones between Norwood and Puckett (praise on high, Rusty Kuntz).
  11. twinstalker
    This is just pure optimism based on fandom. If Noah Miller had been taken by another organization, you would have zero reason to believe he'd outdo his general consensus ranking of around 70 prior to being overdrafted by the Twins at 36. The chances he's as good as Greg Gagne are miniscule.
  12. twinstalker
    Well, this is the strength of the system...developing this type of pitcher. Draft them, develop them, use them for four years, trade them for hitting, replace them with the next man up. I see this as the hope of the system. If this isn't how it works, the Twins are sunk with this regime. They are missing on scouting and developing bats.
  13. twinstalker
    ERod's K rate is downright scary, and it's doubtful he'll be much unless that magically changes. I'd choose a different 3rd prospect.
  14. twinstalker
    Holy crap "BP...the industry standard on prospects" is about the silliest line I've ever read. They are closer to if not precisely the industry joke. Not kidding. I mean, many believe Kanye West was the best choice for President, so your statement is probably true in that sense. But BP is not nearly the industry standard and in fact has a difficult time retaining anybody worthy of evaluating prospects. The evaluators there are charged with one mission in ranking prospects: make a splash.
  15. twinstalker
    I'll take him but only if the Twin Cities media doesn't do any stories on his issues back in 2006 or whenever. So tired of reading the same stories you could just link to from their last team.
  16. twinstalker
    I like the Freeland experiment, pretty much done with the Weaver family, and Odorizzi does little for me but obviously would be better than what they have now. I'm not giving up anybody, really, for any of these guys. I'd probably give them Wander Javier-type value.
  17. twinstalker
    If I were ranking #1, I think I'd go with Miranda. That could certainly be wrong, but it's really difficult to speculate anymore that Lewis was anything but a poor pick, and Austin Martin appears to have plenty of issues. I think Miranda gives you a Kirby Puckett-like hitter (in terms of swing rate and contact) with similar power. I think that's being underrated by just about everybody. But I'm not 100% confident in this assessment relative to his competitors. One thing I'm relatively confident about is that Celestino will be better than Noah Miller.
  18. twinstalker
    Well, I'd have a difficult time ranking a guy almost guaranteed to miss most of the season with TJS as your top pitching prospect. The Twins will have wasted a whole year with Canterino and Duran by not convincing those guys to go that direction. So, let's see. Canterino was at high A in 2021. He'll likely have TJS early this season and miss this year and most (probably all) of 2023. He spends 2024 at AA trying to get his control and command back. In 2025 he starts at AAA and we see whether he's MLB ready at that time. If he's still a starter. This all could have been sped up by a year.
  19. twinstalker
    These lists (this and prospect lists) are the wrong direction. We know who the top guy is, or we know he's top 1, 2, or 3; it's not a big deal. Lead with that guy. Gleeman got it right on his Twins top 40.
  20. twinstalker
    Boy, I find it really difficult to swallow Rosario being a better hitting prospect than Celestino. It seems there's a pretty wide gap in the other direction. Look at Celestino's walk and K rates in the high minors compared to Rosario's in the complex league. Plus, Celestino is a quality defender. It's not close, if you ask me. And Celestino has seen breaking balls. Why are ages not included in these things? Otherwise, thanks!
  21. twinstalker
    I say spend the rest on more hitting prospects and better batting instructors. Or better scouts. ?
  22. twinstalker
    40% of the time at the level he's at now is just about worth the $15 million.
  23. twinstalker
    David Ortiz was easily the Twins best hitter, and I screamed and screamed at the time, but no one heard me. He was just going into his prime age. It was an absolute no-brainer to keep him. Shame on the Twins community for not recognizing this, and, as for Ryan, he'd already shown severe incompetence, but this was the final straw for me. My take was that Jacque Jones was the guy to get rid of. He had trade value, and he did not have the predictives that portended a good future. Pew, Terry Ryan, pew!
  24. twinstalker
    How about this? Sign him for 1 year if the money you give him doesn't affect any other decisions. Duran and Canterino are going to lose 2022 to TJS, though apparently the Twins are intent on including 2023 as well. The Twins need a pitcher to eat innings
  25. twinstalker
    Balazovic was horrible, and he's honorable mention?
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