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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    To add onto the how/why; specialization has also increased. Before Lewis went down the Twins were still platooning half (more depending on what happens with Santana) of the defensive positions. That's increasing your exposure to injury. If Farmer misses 3 months as the short side at 2B those days still count towards IL time despite the fact he probably only plays 40% of that period.
  2. KirbyDome89
    You need to possess a certain level of conditioning as well as general durability to survive the grind that is a MLB season. Plenty of runners experience injuries/setbacks when training for, or running, a marathon. The answer isn't to run less often or log fewer miles in the months leading up to race day. Until hockey players start throwing pucks overhand into nets the comp is apples and oranges.
  3. KirbyDome89
    2 runs in the 9th (to put the game out of reach for KC's anemic offense) on one ball hit out of the infield. Single, BB, chopper, WP, BB, Chopper, throwing error, K, FB. Woof. No clue why KC was a trendy offseason pick to make any amount noise. Take the W, they all count the same, but this looked a lot like the ugly offensive baseball MN played for a lot of last season; long stretches of nothing, high Ks, and getting bailed out by pitching/a dog**** division.
  4. KirbyDome89
    Jax has thrown 20 more innings th last two years, that isn't negligible, but there isn't some availability gulf between him and Graterol. Unless you think Brusdar has been insanely luckly (his FIP might suggest he has been a bit) I wouldn't consider putting him ahead of Jax a tough call. If durability is part of the analysis, Stewart has no place in the conversation.
  5. KirbyDome89
    He cost the Twins $4M, his total salary is actually $12M. That doesn't mean anybody should want him in their rotation. Keuchel came up when Joe Ryan hit the IL. Varland forced himself out with an awful run in June last year. The point here was that handicapping yourself in the name of depth is counterproductive.
  6. KirbyDome89
    The massive difference being Keuchel signed a minor league deal and wasn't forcing a much higher upside arm out of the rotation.
  7. KirbyDome89
    The Twins are at major risk if they lose any single starter for an extended period of time, not just Lopez or Ober/Ryan. Nobody is arguing the worst case scenario, not even close. If this team aims to finish last in their division and start tearing things down Boston might be a decent comp. There was no savvy veteran arm signed. There isn't one, let alone two, high tier arms waiting to break into the rotation. This team is more likely to sign a Kuechel clone, throw bullpen games, or hand a start(s) to Randy Dobnak if somebody gets hurt early enough into the season. They're heavily reliant on health/performance question marks in the rotation, and plan B is a handful of minor league arms that haven't proven they can consistently get AA/AAA hitters out.
  8. KirbyDome89
    Paddack went longer than Ryan in game 4. I definitely think there were trust issues (rightfully so) with Ryan entering that game. Yeah, I think Varland is the better option between the two, but that's not saying a whole lot. Louie needs to show he can stick in the back end of a rotation, he's far from a lock. Paddack's innings limit isn't getting the attention it probably should. He's going to require 50-60 innings allocated elsewhere to fill out his rotation spot, and that assumes he's healthy and productive nearly all year. It's a tough outlook for the SP right now. Trash fire is an awfully low bar to clear. Sure, I'll take Paddack and Varland over Happ, Shoemaker, Bundy, Archer, ect. but the teams that handed that group starts imploded and missed the postseason entirely. Failing to win a pretty pathetic ALC would be a massive **** up. I don't expect anybody (Lopez included) to finish runner up for the AL Cy Young, some regression is/was expected, but right now the 2024 Twins are one injury away from their back end looking eerily similar to those trash fires you mentioned.
  9. KirbyDome89
    Assuming Paddack is healthy and productive all season (major assumptions) they'll still likely need 60+ innings allocated elsewhere just to round out his spot in the rotation. What's lurking behind Varland looks unappealing at best right now too. They better pray for a repeat of the SP health from last season from this point forward...
  10. KirbyDome89
    Topa has exactly one season of being a reliable high leverage reliever. Maybe he defies the odds and becomes a stud in his early 30s, but the jury is still out on his sophomore tour. How long is Brock Stewart going to be healthy this year? That trio doesn't exactly give me the warm and fuzzies. I'll take 80ish games of a proven bat in the top half of a lineup over Topa. I didn't like the trade when it happened; losing DeSclafani (and burning $$ on him) makes it look worse.
  11. KirbyDome89
    Idk why so many are downplaying DeSclafani's role now that he's (predictably) injured. The Twins handed him a rotation spot and allocated nearly 1/3 of what little money they had to spend this offseason towards his salary. Clearly they didn't view him as some toss in.
  12. KirbyDome89
    One guy started 3x as many games and threw 3x as many innings as the other. I don't think there's a comparison to be made but YMMV.
  13. KirbyDome89
    Making 11 starts in a 60 game season. He was pretty bad then hurt in 2021, didn't pitch at all in 2022, and a decent back end option last year. His Cy Young finish is massively overstated on this board. All that said, I too would swap a projected relief arm for a starter I thought would settle into the middle of a rotation.
  14. KirbyDome89
    I'm not seeing any actual "hate," in this thread, more so concern for the floor and whether or not Wallner makes adjustments if necessary. We're talking about a guy with 300 career PAs, suggesting anything seems premature. The Twins sat him against a right handed starter in a deciding game. In that sense he was an exception. If we're going to exclude guys who are viewed as everyday players is there a fair comparison left? Kirilloff? He's received plenty of ****. Taylor, Solano, Castro, Polanco, or Kepler? They're some combination of gone, going, or part time. Julien hit. I guess there's Jeffers at C if that's the route you want to go.
  15. KirbyDome89
    If we're talking about 28 other teams taking notice of that Houston series and whether Wallner can make adjustments I wouldn't consider those 8 ABs to be meaningless.
  16. KirbyDome89
    This. Idk if it's the Pressly effect, or what, but even that good stretch you mentioned came after he was unusable for the previous two months and demoted.
  17. KirbyDome89
    What? He has a career .309 OBP. .370 would put him amongst the best in baseball.
  18. KirbyDome89
    Which hasn't happened once in his entire career. He had more ABs against RHP in 47 games during the shortened 2020 season than you're projecting for all of 2024.
  19. KirbyDome89
    Not if he's CF insurance.
  20. KirbyDome89
    He has posted an OPS north of .700 once in his career, and that was seven seasons ago.
  21. KirbyDome89
    Sure, but I agree with what you said upthread, go sign the AAAA or high injury risk guy to a MiLB deal and stash them. Instead, this FO gave DeSclafani, who has no options, a spot in the rotation and bumped somebody with a higher floor and possibly a higher ceiling. I think DeSclafani likely is a spare part, but it's hard to argue the Twins viewed him as just some throw in when they're going out of their way to make room for him. As for the leash, who knows? There are plenty of recent examples where guys overstayed their welcome.
  22. KirbyDome89
    I don't think he has much (if any) value either but clearly the Twins do/did if they're slotting him into the opening day rotation.
  23. KirbyDome89
    Solano was playing 1B basically full time until mid May with an OPS 100 points below what Julien posted. Yeah Julien was a butcher at 2B, but it's not like the Twins were trotting out anybody elite, or even close to it at 1B. He didn't get better because he was up and down 2x, he started to put up some impressive numbers because the team decided to feed him some consistent playing time from June onward.
  24. KirbyDome89
    He didn't start the season on the active roster. He (Julien) also had a .762 OPS in April/May for an offensively challenged team. That isn't exactly amazing, but it's not like the Twins were so loaded they couldn't carve out ABs for the guy.
  25. KirbyDome89
    I don't think it's simply a cost issue. This FO loves to give vets every opportunity to prove that they're unfit for their role and/or undeserving of a roster spot.
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