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Eris

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Everything posted by Eris

  1. Eris
    The challenge in putting together a roster is that providing value is not the most meaningful metric. The goal is to make it into the postseason. Which means a roster of position players who averaged about 2 WAR each. Signing a player who provides 0.5 WAR at near league minimum may provide real value but it is unlikely to get the team closer to a playoff berth.
  2. Eris
    It is hard to judge a pitcher when they are hurt, especially if it is a hip. If the hip is or becomes chronic then this is who Ober is as a pitcher.
  3. Eris
    Larnach is not the only player whose roster spot should be in question. Every player who underperformed last season should available for a trade. (Lewis, Lee, Larnach, Wallner, Julien). It is hard to win when half of the position players are below average and don’t play good defense. On Outman, the Twins need a backup CF who is about average defensively. Can (especially) Martin or possibly Rodon improve enough to not be a liability in CF.
  4. Eris
    While this is true, the Dodgers only won game 7 because an ex-Twin didn’t get an appropriate lead off of third in a critical situation. (Referring to Isiah Kiner-Falefa as an ex-Twin is probably pushing the boundaries of what it means to be an ex-Twin, but this is TD)
  5. Eris
    There are several scenarios where it makes sense. 1). The Twins solution to needing more right handed power is to maximize Jeffers at bats from 1B or DH. To this they need another catcher to distribute the catching duties. 2). Maybe Jeffers still has concussion like symptoms from his Sept 2025 concussion. 3). Possible trade of Jeffers is in the works (I think this is unlikely as it seems this would be done by now).
  6. Eris
    Moving Ryan Jeffers to first base and getting him in 140 games a year would make a lot of sense. He likely will be above average defensively at 1B and one of the Twins best right handed power bats increases playing time. But the Twins have Julien, Bell, Clemens, maybe Keaschall and a bunch of other players to pencil in there. Ryan Jeffers experienced concussion like symptoms in early September 2025, but he did catch 2 games towards the end of the season. Maybe there are some health concerns here. (I have no information that supports this other than he missed about 3 weeks towards the end of the 2025 season).
  7. Eris
    I agree with you. The problem is that the Twins have 5 ish positions that are below average with no expectations of upgrades until prospects arrive or “hope “ that the current players (Lee, Lewis, Larnach, Wallner, whose ever at 1B) can turn it around.
  8. Eris
    If a focus is on starting pitching then pairing that with quality catchers who call a good game makes sense. Not sure if our catcher quality meets that criteria.
  9. Eris
    I realize this article is about RP, but it doesn’t make much sense to focus on value when the team has two or three position players who average or above average. This is not a competitive team based on last year’s performance. We are left hoping that the once promising position players turn it around.
  10. Eris
    From FanGraphs. WRC+ of 75. Below average both offensively and defensively. A utility play who can’t hit should at least be able to play defense. Not sure I understand this move at all.
  11. Eris
    I think this is unfair to Kody Clemens. Clemens produced 1.4 fWAR last season with average to slightly above average defense. Garlick's best season was 0.4 fWAR. As an added note, 6 Twins position players with at least 100 plate appearances had an fWAR below Garlick's best season. So maybe Kyle Garlick is the appropriate benchmark as painful as that may be to think about. Major League Leaderboards - 2025 - Batting | FanGraphs Baseball
  12. Eris
    Do we know when he tested positive.
  13. Eris
    I don’t understand the appeal the Twins have for seriously underperforming veterans who have been passed over by multiple teams. I would much rather watch their prospects play. At least the youth provide hope for the future.
  14. Eris
    Not sure I really understand everything that was written. I don’t need to. A MLB player who is unable to catch up to a fastball will generally have a very short and unsuccessful career.
  15. Eris
    There is also Mickey Gasper. Although much derided on TD, he made a number of nice throws from behind the plate. His throws to nab Clement and Judge at 3rd were exceptional In reality he probably grades out as a well below average catcher https://www.mlb.com/video/ernie-clement-caught-stealing-2nd-base-catcher-mickey-gasper-to-second-ba https://www.mlb.com/stories/player/681508
  16. Eris
    Emmanuel Rodriguez is an interesting prospect. His stats have a lot of similarities with 3 time AL MVP Aaron Judge. There a difference in K%. Judge averaged 25% SO in his MiLB career whereas ERodriguez has averaged 30% across his minor league career. It took Judge 6 seasons to get his MLB SO rate down to his minor league average.
  17. Eris
    I agree with this. The percentage of MLB pitchers who fail to return to previous levels of effectiveness after thoracic outlet syndrome is close to 50%.
  18. Eris
    The problem with these metrics is they don’t take into consideration defensive placement as if the batter has no control over where the ball is hit. Someone who is a dead pull hitter almost always will have an outcome worse than expected as their hitting placement is more predictable and defense positions accordingly. (Unless they are hitting home runs). For years we have read how Max Kepler was one of the most unluckiest hitters in all of baseball. But even moving to a hitter friendly park did improve outcomes for Kepler. I am sure that when Julien and Clemens learn to pepper line drives to all fields their outcomes will improve.
  19. Eris
    This is too true. While much has been written on TD about the trade deadline tear down, the reality is that most of the underperforming position players are still on the team. The best we can hope for is that this is the year that Lee, Lewis, Larnach, Wallner and Julian get their act together. With Outman and Kreidler the “hope“ list is expanding. Hope is not a strategy.
  20. Eris
    This is in part a Byron Buxton problem. The Twins need to carry someone capable of playing 80 games in CF. Maybe Austin Martin’s defense improves enough to be a serviceable CF. Harrison Bader is still available but zero chance the Twins will sign him given a projected FA salary of 2 years/ 26 million.
  21. Eris
    When the sale of the team was first discussed on TD, I had understood that about 400 million of debt is from the Twins portion of Target Field construction. Is this not correct. edited to add. Linked is a discussion of the debt, but I don’t references. https://puckettspond.com/are-the-twins-profitable-despite-their-425-million-in-debt-01k20ej1ggpq
  22. Eris
    Farmer could play above average defense at a premium position while Larnach is close to being the worst defender at corner OF. I think your comment is related to amount of $$ being paid to someone who is quite replaceable, in which case I agree. Larnach’s bat is not good enough to be a full time DH and his defense creates negative value.
  23. Eris
    Coby Mayo is a defensively challenged 1B. Do the Twins need another DH type player on an already defensively challenged team. Also, they have Bell and Clemens and Julian to play 1B. I think Ober for Mayo is a poor trade for the Twins. Considering the Twins were below average defensively at 5 positions in 2025, I think there needs to be an emphasis on improving the team defensively.
  24. Eris
    This could be said for a number of Twins. Outman, Julien, Wallner and Lewis. Maybe each of their challenges are different. Opposing teams try very hard to find a hitting weakness and when someone figures this out, the whole world knows and it is up to the hitter to adjust. In the end baseball is a results oriented business. Contribute to winning or look for a job elsewhere.
  25. Eris
    The challenge the Twins have is they have multiple positions that need to be improved from the 2025 season. These are 1B, 3B, LF, RF, and backup catcher. One trade doesn’t solve this problem. Martin deserves a shot in left based on his end of the season performance. Although much has been made of the mid-season sell-off, the Twins have not addressed the underperformance at most of their positions. They have to many position players who can’t play defense or don’t hit or both. Wallner or Larnach to 1B makes more sense than a Mountcastle trade.
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