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EGFTShaw

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Everything posted by EGFTShaw

  1. EGFTShaw
    I agree.?
  2. EGFTShaw
    The top performance is why I believe Ryan has the right mentality to be that #1 on a pitching staff. remember last year was his first year in the majors. I think his rookie was excellent. Not outstanding or great, but definitely excellent. combine that with his fire, and hopefully improvement in pitching (skills, knowledge) I do see a #1 sonny gray is firmly established as a #2 or #3. Ober has shown flashes so I think easily a #3 perhaps a #2 Maeda showed what is possible. And we haven’t even touched on SWR or Varland. for once we have actual pitchers that are not off the K-Mart Blue Light Special End of the Year Everything Must Go bargain heap. it is nice not to see them picking up a reclamation project to see if they can strike lightning in a bottle But all of this is dependent on a avoiding the Liriano Factor. Taking a potentially awesome pitcher and derailing it with injuries
  3. EGFTShaw
    This is a position, (bandwagon), I've been on. Would have I liked to get C4 back? Absolutely, with my second choice being TT and the Slide Machine. What XB got was far too much and I was never on the DS bandwagon. Would have I liked one of the very few true #1 pitchers available via FA? Sure. But neither of these happened. Lowering our ceiling at this time. We have 5-7 good pitchers but no one who has stepped up to be that losing streak stopper. But they have good depth in the SPers. I like our young upcoming players. The AL Central is the division with most opportunity for a team to step into the role of division champs. I can see a few minor additions, maybe to our RPers and RH bat for depth. But I am looking forward to seeing what our current Young Guns can do... :)
  4. EGFTShaw
    True, but they did offer a 10-year contract based on what they knew. But this, "Those actuaries can mess up what others seem to think isn’t a big deal", is spot on. There are people behind the people who have input on these contracts that we aren't aware of.
  5. EGFTShaw
    I dunno. You make some good observations. I think the observation was made by @Ted Schwerzler about the Twins saw the same medical reports last year. I think C4 would return and would be happy. I really think he/they (Boras), were trying to set some contract records to help down the road. Remember Soto is coming up after 2024 I think it is. Hence the reason he went with the 13 year and then 12 year contracts. I honestly still believe, assuming C4 was genuine when he was here and I have no reason to think otherwise, his best overall place to play would be here. I think he becomes the DeFacto leader along with Buxton of the Twins with guiding the young talent (and the Twins have a lot of it), on how to be a professional and how to prepare every day during the season and also what to do in the offseason. But at this point, purely speculative and I am trying not to think of it any other way. Been a Twins fan far too long to get my hopes too HIGH...LOL
  6. EGFTShaw
    What I think, and take this a few grains of salt, some lime and tequila, is that this is a bump in time. If, (and look at the LAD), these big spenders win a WS then they might compete against each in the stratospheric spending world. But with all their spending in from 2010 to now, LADs won only one world series. KC won one in that time. SFG won 3. A baseball nerd friend of mine and long die-hard fan of the NY Metropolitans told me; NYM may have an awesome collection of talent, but not necessarily the best team. He's not sure the signings have made them a better team. If this spending guaranteed a trip the WS then maybe it would be more embraced by the owners. But it doesn't. I don't remember who wrote this, (maybe one of our illustrious Twins beat writers on The Athletic), but you can have a very good regular season team with a pitching staff made up of all #2 and #3 pitchers. But come the playoffs, the team that has a clear cut #1 who can shut down the opposition will fare better in the post season. So, I am amused the Cohen has outspent the NYYs. I would love to see these two teams go at each other in the free market. I am also amused at the SD Friars spending regardless of their needs because of their obsession with the LAD. All this does point to something needs to balance it a bit more. Maybe Hard Floor and a Soft, (But more punitive), Cap. Maybe a % of the new contract gets paid to the former team, (ala the Japanese posting). Something. I think the Braves are smart, paying their young talent more when they are most productive.
  7. EGFTShaw
    If this is the list, then I feel the FO did their job. none of these really moved the needle enough to warrant the risk. I like Rodon but for fewer years and it really sounded like he was crushing on the Yankees so it would have taken more, probably much more to sign him.
  8. EGFTShaw
    BINGO We Have A Winner Winner, Winner, Chicken Parmigiana Dinner i know it’s huge for every team, but if we focus on Health I really believe in this team’s potential. PS - just to spin everyone up, C4’s physical with the Mets has caused a pause. ?? PPS - I still take him tho
  9. EGFTShaw
    And the Gagne family agrees. ?
  10. EGFTShaw
    First, as some have pointed out, you could consider them in a rebuild already. Second, I am not making any moves until I see what is happening leading into July. You're keeping Gallo, (I guess you have to since it is a one-year deal), and trading Gray. I am not considering trading Gray until July. I believe the Kids Are Alright. Nothing against thinking about trading Kepler, (I like Max and the top-notch D, but at some point, when you're loaded with younger talent you need to think about what you can do and if he will ever improve as a hitter. You are not getting a near major league ready prospect back though because of his hitting. But maybe it is a Duran type one that blossoms in a couple of years. Polanco, my prediction this is an up year for him, (he on/off binary like a Swiss clock) may net you a better prospect at the trade deadline. Maybe Gallo figures it out this year with the Twins and moves above the Mendoza line and is a valuable option to flip at the trade deadline if we are out of it. But I suspect that these Twins, that everyone seems so down on, as the currently constructed, are in the hunt for the Central lead if not leading it, when the trade deadline rolls around. They aren't constructed to be a WS winner, may be not even a playoff series winner, (unless a pitcher or two steps up with the mentality to be that Guy), but I do think they have a shot at the Central Crown.
  11. EGFTShaw
    Hypothetically and then I’ll shout it down easily. save your $$s, you’ll have more next offseason, and try for OhtanI skip next year too and try for Soto the following year. But if you had a hard cap on C4, you’re not getting in the discussion with either of those regardless of where they want to play. you can easily get people to come to the Twins, BUT you are going to have to pay them what they are worth and for the first one probably above that to get the ball rolling for the future. do you want to win championships or do you want to maximize your revenue year after year. play it safe and invest in a savings account or venture into the investments that may cause you to lose money but also a greater chance of hitting the jackpot no SP out there who might be available moves the needle enough. I think we have good pitchers in the pipe and on staff that maybe get a couple of dependable RPs to supplement j like Lopez, but he would be a 3rd SP and we have a bunch of 3s. With maybe one or two that might become a #2 wand with the right mentality a #1
  12. EGFTShaw
    Definitely levels, maybe 7 as Dante once proposed?, of Evil Empires, but NYY will also be top, or bottom depending how you view it, for me.
  13. EGFTShaw
    All of us our speculating out our proverbial frozen off season...ears...(LOL. Got it keep it SFW.) 1) did the Twins have a hard cap they could not go above? (High probability) 2) did C4 really not want to come back to the Twins? (Waffle House probability) 3) did C4 want to optimize his chance of a WS (I suggest No based on the SFG signing) 4) Would Boras not reach back to the Twins? (Extremely low possibility as he would want to drive the prices as he could and having 2 teams interested is better than one) I am just glad it wasn't my one and only True Evil Empire, (the NYY), that got C4. And the NYM spending like they are spending is a great Eye Poke to the NYY. Actually, surprised the Friars of SD did not sign C4 so they could have an infield line up of all SSs. ?
  14. EGFTShaw
    Never say Never, but at what cost would Mateo elicit?
  15. EGFTShaw
    At first I thought JG was a RH and thought: ok we have 2 good to great defensive outfielders combining to be one OK hitter. but then I learned he was LH. my head still hurts from the face palming I can honestly say, with 110% conviction, that I didn’t see this signing coming and with 120% confidence I would not have made it. SMH
  16. EGFTShaw
    Despite the injuries and lack of games played and playing hurt; Buxton outperformed his contract. Even at its top value of $15M/yr it is not a high-priced contract. C4 if you take his contract solely as face value, ($$s and Years), then you are missing at least 50% of what C4 brings to the table. Great article over on (cough cough since I am not a big fan of this site any more) ESPN about the long-term value that C4 will bring even as his playing declines. "According to the study, the average cost for a family of four attending an MLB game is now $204.76. That price however does not only include four tickets, but also two beers, two sodas, four hot dogs, and parking." Increased ticket sales x some % x $205 for family of 4 = C4 Ticket sales value. Increased tales of jerseys & merch. Increased TV revenue contract. That's the easy stuff. One of the most dialed and cerebral players in the league. All that young talent the Twins have, you have a built-in extra bench coach. He was worth 1 Win simply by telling, I think it was Ober, what to pitch to a single guy which led to the out. I think it won the game for the Twins. Proof that the Twins would pay for a FA that is worthy of their small market share $$s. Nats had to do this, although not a small market but they were as the Expos, when they signed Jayson Werth for more than anyone in the league expected. That got them Mad Max. That said, C4 is a Giant for the next 13 years or until he allows himself to be traded. Let's take what we got, as you have pointed out, suck it up like we do when the Winds of January come howling out of the Arctic Circle and go defy expectations and do something.
  17. EGFTShaw
    Disagree. Understand the perspective though and the feelings behind it. But we are not in a horrible situation. 1) even given our below league average budget, we are cash flush. Normally we sit with maybe $20M to work with. More is coming off in the next year or two. So we could go after high quality FAs again next year. and not bust our below league average budget. 2) we have a nice crop, maybe not great because they have not shown it yet, of talent. Never underestimate the competitiveness of athletes. Ozzie did and eventually called the Piranhas as continued to beat the Pale Hose year in and year out. 3) we have lived with far worse, (and he did a decent job his first session and cleaned up some of the mess in his second session), Terry Ryan. Lastly, 100 agree with your last statement. My first inclination was to go 10yrs and $342-$345M for C4. But given the poll yesterday and reading another article about the C4 contract and value, I think we should have gone 13yrs and $361M, or $1M more than the rest. This might have been a limit by the owners, but we will never know. But I think we had a chance to do something really special.
  18. EGFTShaw
    It must include the interest rate of the CD. We can't undersell our money when it comes to CDs...LOL
  19. EGFTShaw
    Kepler & Polanco I'm OK with your given your overall thought process. But Maeda & Mahle contradict the idea of giving them a chance. Maeda was top notch in 2020. Mahle has been predicted to be a true #1. If we are punting, given them a chance and see what happens near the trade deadline. You have to figure in the Twin's luck in your trading of M&M, (pitching version (TM)), and our luck would be that they turn into the pitching equivalent of David Ortiz. I think as Nick mentioned, we raised our floor. Our ceiling is not the past 2 years (losing records), but maybe 85-88 wins. If anyone breaks through it goes up. And in the Central division, 88 might just win it.
  20. EGFTShaw
    Well, there are least 2 of us...optimists. 1) ✔️ Just not sure who. NOT a DH only type of guy. We have plenty of bats to fill that role. 2) ?? (best I can find for a waffle...) Pagan has to EARN his spot. Put talent into practice and we will see. 3) Constellation prize or Consolation prize. Maybe both. Our eyes were in the skies for C4 so a Consolation Constellation prize. I want to like DS, but I can't bring myself to pay that much for him 4) ✔️✔️✔️?? (means I agree Strongly) Even if this person sucks/tanks, at least we have options. I like Farmer as Super Ute 5)??
  21. EGFTShaw
    It was at this time. C4 wasn't signed until late spring. Urshela wasn't obtained until late spring. At this time a year ago, we had signed Buxton to extension and the "hot" prospect (reclamation league), Bundy.
  22. EGFTShaw
    They do use him as Buxton's backup. But that also takes away a top notch RF-er. The choice I suspect has been Celestino vs Kepler's replacement as for who adds the best opportunity
  23. EGFTShaw
    Correct, More so with Dansby than Correa, you absolutely have to have an upper limit you will not exceed. I think the same is true of Rodon. Rodon isn't Mad Max Scherzer or Justin Time Verlander. Heck he isn't Jacob "This Pitch Has Been" DeGrom-ed. All for them getting what they can, but we have to have a set price/year limit on these two.
  24. EGFTShaw
    Thank Odin for some non-ChickenLittleSkyIsFalling/Fallen rhetoric. We are better off at this point this year than last. Far better. Don't overhype the Central Division foes. They aren't that good, and we aren't that bad. I am not sure what I will do with the money at this point. Maybe Swanson? Maybe Rodon? Or with more coming off our books next year, save for next year. There is no need to sell off what we have and given the level of experience and low-vs-high value of who may be of interest we are not getting back Top Shelf prospects. We have the #5 pick. You can't trade the pick, but as we found out this past year, you can trade the player from that pick. The expectations are right where they need to be for a team to excel. To revisit the oft mentioned Ace. The Ace does NOT need to be lights out every night, swing-n-miss, lowest ERA since forever kind of guy. The Ace can be Jack Morris. The Bulldog so stubborn he caused Tom Kelly to say, "its just another game" when referencing Game 7 of the World Series when leaving in his starting pitcher. It seems so many are perpetually stuck in a Doom and Gloom world. Would I have liked to have C4 sign with us? Damn straight. Would I have liked for a top line pitcher to be signed, absolutely. But damn it is not the end of the world.
  25. EGFTShaw
    Why yes Doc Bauer, by your command here you go...✔️ ?
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