Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

DJL44

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,452

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    66

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    I think you're underrating Royce Lewis but otherwise agree. Julien does have a hole in his swing down and in and off the plate. If he didn't strike out looking on some of those pitches the most likely outcome would be a strike out swinging. Because the pitch is actually a ball I'm in complete agreement with Julien that he shouldn't swing at pitches in that location.
  2. DJL44
    I have to imagine if the Marlins decide to trade Alcanatara that the bidding will exceed the excess value of Jorge Polanco.
  3. DJL44
    $65,000 Jhoan Duran Contract Details, Salaries, & Earnings | Spotrac
  4. DJL44
    This article says 28% of MLB players come from outside of the US. International players on 2023 Opening Day rosters (mlb.com) 104 players from the Dominican Republic (population 11M - same as the state of Georgia) and only 8 from Japan (population 125M). I have said before that there are at least 25 more Japanese players who could contribute in MLB. The number might even be as high as 90 players in Japan who would make an MLB 40-man roster. There were at least a dozen pitchers with better stats than Trevor Bauer (including Yamamoto and Imanaga).
  5. DJL44
    IFA pitchers don't typically get big bonuses but there are a LOT of pitchers in MLB who signed as international free agents. It's actually the cheapest way to acquire pitching if you can find the ones who make it to the majors. Houston has done well at this, the Twins have found almost nobody (Brusdar Graterol, Huascar Ynoa, Fernando Romero).
  6. DJL44
    I hope Barinas can find pitchers. The Twins have been woeful at acquiring pitching through international free agency.
  7. DJL44
    If you look at the trends from year-to-year Helton has gained 0 votes among the same group of voters from last year. Wagner is +5, Beltran +9 and Sheffield +7. Helton has to pick up 11 votes somewhere (he's doing well among 1st time voters and also picked up one who didn't vote in 2023) and Wagner has to pick up 22 more votes to get elected (same as Helton among 1st timers). Last year's votes get split into 3 buckets - public before the election (206), public after the election (115) and private (68) ballots. Helton was 78.6% in public before, 67% in public after and 61.8% in private. Wagner was 72.3% in public before, 69.6% in public after and 52.9% in private. If Wagner is at or below 77% after 200 public ballots he probably won't make it. If Helton is still at 83% after 200 ballots he will have added enough votes just from public ballots to make it. I feel like Mauer will do fairly well among those who don't announce publicly. Torii Hunter and Omar Vizquel were two players who did better on private ballots than on public ballots and neither one has a good case based on analytics.
  8. DJL44
    I checked the noon Dodger game and it looks like the upper deck OF is open but nothing 301-327 or 201-227. Cheapest tickets for that Dodgers game in April are $22 but if you wait until the Tigers series you can get in for $14. You will need to wait until May to sit behind the plate in section 215 or 315. It will look less empty on television for the April games but thousands of seats will be unavailable.
  9. DJL44
    Yes. The past couple years they have had deals for standing room only tickets in April to try to get people into the ballpark. I think people have been getting used to that bargain price and they want to force people to pay more if they want to attend in April.
  10. DJL44
    I like when they rotate the color guy - new stories, new insights. It's hard to come up with new things to say 162 times a summer.
  11. DJL44
    Gopher hockey over the field.
  12. DJL44
    I agree it would be great, but I wouldn't bet my season on a player who struggled in AAA in 2023. Yunior Severino is probably ahead of Miranda in the current depth chart.
  13. DJL44
    The lower bowl should be packed. I'm surprised nobody here has started a discussion about the Twins announcement that they aren't opening up the upper deck until May unless the lower deck sells out. I'm not a fan of artificially reducing supply to make Twins fans pay more for tickets in April. Twins tickets go on sale Wednesday | kare11.com
  14. DJL44
    None of those players should be in their plans (nor should Severino). They each need to earn their way onto the 26 man roster. They're also bad fits for a bench role. Starting Brooks Lee's clock to sit him on the bench and use him as a pinch hitter would be a waste of resources.
  15. DJL44
    My takeaway from that article is the Cubs should be more interested in Matt Chapman. I think people here have identified the Mariners and Blue Jays as good fits.
  16. DJL44
    Solano is a nice veteran bench option who will get playing time if they trade Polanco as expected. With all the LH bats it would be helpful to have a RH pinch hitter option. Miranda is going to have to hit his way back to the majors. He shouldn't be in any plans for the season except as AAA depth.
  17. DJL44
    We can't say with any confidence that Mauer will finish ahead of Helton in the voting but the odds are favorable that he will finish above 75%. It's now more likely than not that Mauer gets elected this year. If we assumed voting was random the 95% confidence interval is +/- 7% (expect his final total to be between 76% and 90%). There is evidence that people who publicly announce vote for more candidates than those who don't so there is still a chance he falls just short. Someone with more stats background than me could tell you the exact chances. He's a lock to get elected to the Hall of Fame in one of the next 3 years even if he falls short in 2024.
  18. DJL44
    Where did I say they should play rookies who aren't ready yet? Julien, Wallner and even Royce Lewis are still developing but they're also the best options available. I think it's a bad idea to use rookies for a bench role when they might only play once a week. That doesn't help the player or the team.
  19. DJL44
    I'm fine with them developing in the majors as well, but they should play every day. If Buxton gets hurt then they can bring up Austin Martin to play every day in the majors. I just don't want to waste his service time in a bench role.
  20. DJL44
    Huascar Ynoa is now the 6th starter in Atlanta. They're going to be a very good team.
  21. DJL44
    I would much rather use veterans for bench players and let the younger players develop by playing every day somewhere.
  22. DJL44
    Sonny Gray signing by St. Louis could be the best one of the entire offseason.
  23. DJL44
    It shows how scarce starting pitchers are when a pitcher who was objectively bad in 2023 gets a free agent contract for $20M a season.
  24. DJL44
    The young guys (Wallner, Kirilloff, Larnach, Julien) were each terrible against LHP. A few of them might improve from terrible to merely bad but I wouldn't bet my season that they all turn into productive hitters vs LHP.
  25. DJL44
    Difficult to win against LHP with only 3 batters in the lineup who can hit. Kirilloff, Castro, Kepler, Julien, Wallner, Larnach and Gordon are all mostly useless against LHP. Farmer can only replace one of them. Buxton is always hurt. Polanco is likely to be traded. A RH bench bat was a need last offseason and at the trade deadline. It's still a good idea.
×
×
  • Create New...