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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    He's averaged 56 innings per season over the last 7 seasons. That's a real thing.
  2. DJL44
    If they find 2 more starters, absolutely. It is a waste of his time to spend the season in AAA. As-is they'll need him in the Opening Day rotation. They ended up wasting a bunch of Ober's time in AAA last season but he was the 6th starter and it was pretty certain he would eventually get into the rotation.
  3. DJL44
    If Canterino has made 18 starts by July he's probably going to have a dead arm and be worthless the rest of the season. That's all you'll get out of him in 2024. I actually don't think they get 75 innings out of Canterino in 2024. I'd put the over/under around 50. Do you want 10 minor league starts or most of the year in the bullpen?
  4. DJL44
    I'm crazy enough to try Duran in the rotation this year and replace him with Canterino in the bullpen. The difference is Duran has had the ability to develop as a pitcher at the major league level for 2 seasons whereas Canterino would be wasting his healthy innings in the minor leagues.
  5. DJL44
    I don't think Canterino can throw 175 innings in a season (not that anyone else in MLB does that anymore). 75 innings in relief could build up to 125 innings next year in the rotation if you wanted. Prielipp isn't burning options on the 40 man roster but he's also out for the season. I think I would probably fast track him to the bullpen as well. You can't afford to burn years of development time on players who are 26 years old and on the 40 man roster. It's time to use him before he turns 30 and starts declining physically. Are you going to option him twice, have him debut at age 28 and hope his career lasts until he's 34?
  6. DJL44
    2023 - 0 IP 2022 - 37 IP 2021 - 23 IP 2020 - 0 IP 2019 - 124.1 IP 2018 - 118.1 IP 2017 - 96 IP He's never done it before. I wouldn't let him go more than 3 innings at a time.
  7. DJL44
    Great, then they can shut him down in May!
  8. DJL44
    Festa could debut by May if they don't add another SP.
  9. DJL44
    I think it would be a huge mistake to have Canterino prepare as a starting pitcher. If they're lucky they'll get about 75 innings out of him in 2024. Don't waste 30 of them having him start in AAA.
  10. DJL44
    Because we haven't hit the end of February yet when a lot of 1 WAR players will sign for league minimum and pull down the average. It's fairly linear down to league average (2.5 WAR) and then gets less so below that because 1 WAR free agents (below average players) are not particularly scarce.
  11. DJL44
    $$/WAR is based on the average but how it is allocated is not linear. It's easy to find 1 WAR projection players who are signing for the league minimum. Players get a premium for elite performance because you can't replace a 7 WAR player with seven 1 WAR players.
  12. DJL44
    How much of Kris Bryant's salary are they willing to pay down for him to play for the Twins? They owe $136M over the next 5 years but I doubt he would get 60% of that in free agency.
  13. DJL44
    And it's a lousy 1B tandem. A combined OPS < 750 is substandard for 1B. Kirilloff and Miranda are average (or below average) defenders so that doesn't help either. It's a known hole in the lineup going into 2024.
  14. DJL44
    I think Wagner will be back next year for his 10th time on the ballot. Still time to stop the writers before they make that mistake.
  15. DJL44
    I think he can get better and it doesn't take much improvement to get him back on an MLB roster. Can he get enough better that he can be an above average offensive contributor as an outfielder? That's more doubtful.
  16. DJL44
    Looks like a very reasonable deal for Imanaga. The opt-out after 2 seasons looks like the big draw. Gives him a chance for one more big contract.
  17. DJL44
    ZIPS has Jose Miranda ahead of Alex Kirilloff in projected value.
  18. DJL44
    ZIPS doesn't like Willi Castro much which is a bit weird since so much of his value was defense last year.
  19. DJL44
    The QO will be higher than that in 2025, probably more like 1 year $22M. The Twins should only offer it if they actually want to pay Kepler that much money because he is more likely to accept it than not.
  20. DJL44
    It will be very hard for Seattle to make it through the whole season with just 3 infielders for 2 full time spots. The Twins needed Julien, Polanco, Lewis, Gordon, Miranda, Farmer, Solano and Castro to cover 2B and 3B last season. Sam Haggerty is not someone you want playing every day and the Mariners don't even have anyone else on the 40 man roster. They are quite thin on infielders after trading Caballero for Raley. One injury and they're going to be moving Ty France to cover 2B with an outfielder moving to 1B. Two injuries and they will need to add a minor leaguer to the roster.
  21. DJL44
    Right, but it points to an issue with timing (a slump) rather than an issue with pitch recognition or selection which would make me feel pessimistic about his future in MLB. I still think Larnach can be a productive MLB hitter.
  22. DJL44
    I think Matt Chapman might be part of the wait here. If his price is low enough I would expect Seattle to have interest.
  23. DJL44
    Right. As of now the Mariners are planning to use three utility players to cover 2B and 3B for the entire season. This is why there is so much speculation that they would add another infielder to the roster.
  24. DJL44
    The problem with playing Polanco at 1B or DH is he isn't worth $10.5M there. His bat is nothing special compared to the other options at 1B or DH. JD Martinez and Brandon Belt are still looking for work. Both of them signed for less than $10.5M last season. If you want a DH you sign JD Martinez and trade Polanco to a team that needs a 2B.
  25. DJL44
    I wish they had given Larnach as much opportunity as they gave to Gallo. I watched Larnach playing for the Saints on TV and his pitch recognition wasn't the problem but he was having trouble getting barrels when he decided to swing. Lots of "just missed that one".
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