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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. I don't see them selling if they're at a .500 record. A .500 record probably wins this division. If they go 4-12 over the next 16 games then they probably sell. I think 7-9 is their worst 16 game stretch this whole season.
  2. The draft should be pretty good again in 3 years with all the high schoolers who are going to choose to go to college to improve their draft status.
  3. Jenkins #2, Soto 10-15 range, he's behind Festa and Raya for me but probably ahead of the injured Prielipp and Canterino. Jenkins and Lee have similar ceiling but Lee has the higher floor.
  4. There is no reason to handle Maeda with kid gloves. These might be the last good innings in his MLB career. He's a free agent and probably someone else's problem next season. He is also unlikely to start a game in the playoffs. Use him up. With Sonny Gray you want to manage his workload to ensure he's still effective in October. They're not out of playoff contention yet. They also want to make sure he's healthy so they can tag him with the Qualifying Offer. Still, I'd use him as much as possible. I can pretty much guarantee that 6 man rotation will not last long. Someone will get hurt and it will become a 5 man rotation.
  5. That's a big unless. A minor injury to one of the starters is nearly a guarantee.
  6. Right, it's pretty mediocre. I think they have actually done a fairly good job of picking the right pitchers. I just think they need to pick more of them. Weight pitchers higher on future value than the position players. Take more shots on goal. A glut of pitchers is a lot better problem to have than a glut of future second basemen or corner outfielders.
  7. You don't see the pattern with picking a lefthanded hitting outfielder high (Jenkins, Larnach, Kirilloff, Wallner) picking middle infielders next (Keaschall, Schobel, Steer, Ross, Ortega, Miller, Shuffield, Gray, Holland) and leaning heavily on maxing out velocity of late-round college pitchers? The Twins know what they like but they're going to keep getting the same results from the same process.
  8. Who bats 3rd then? Vazquez? Miranda? Kepler? Gallo? Farmer? Castro? Taylor? The Twins have too many players who should be batting 7,8,9 in the order.
  9. The bullpen has been better than I hoped but it isn't deep. They knew it wasn't deep this offseason (or should have) and didn't do anything about it besides signing minor leaguers Stewart and De Leon. They also knew they had trouble hitting lefthanded pitching and their big free agent signing was another lefthanded hitting outfielder with the same strengths and weaknesses as Kepler and Kirilloff and Larnach and Wallner.
  10. I think they have two assistant hitting coaches on the MLB staff.
  11. Yes, it is a good thing they can make trades and sign free agents to make up for the shortage of pitching coming up from the minors. They have done that with most of their current roster. Ober and Jax are really the only successful pitchers on the team they drafted and developed. They can't trade multiple prospects for pitching forever and they don't have another Arraez they can trade for a top of the rotation starter. Right now they have no pitchers in MLB's top 100 prospect list and Festa is probably the only one who would even be considered for a list like that. Drafting pitchers becomes more important because the Twins record with international free agency is dreadful when it comes to producing pitchers. You have way more confidence than I do that Varland and Winder can replace Gray and Maeda. Winder is 26 and has an ERA over 5 in AAA. People talk about "drafting for need" with a catcher. If they were really drafting for need the next 10 picks would all be pitchers.
  12. The roster is half pitchers. Picking just as many pitchers as batters will leave your organization short because pitchers get injured and flame out at a far higher rate than position players. The Twins lose Mahle, Maeda and Gray to free agency next year. Who are the three pitching prospects that will replace them? If they had enough pitching they wouldn't have made the trades for Mahle or Lopez at last season's trade deadline. They wouldn't have kept Emilio Pagan for his last season of arbitration. They wouldn't have traded Arraez for Lopez last offseason. The Twins top 10 pitching prospects at MLB.com are: Prielipp; injured Raya: having a decent season Woods-Richardson: trending toward the bullpen Festa: having a good season Canterino: injured Henriquez: back end relief pitcher Balazovic: back end relief pitcher Hidalgo: OK A-ball starter Headrick: trending toward the bullpen Mooney: Maybe a reliever and he's already 25 They have a lot of fringy guys who could give them relief innings but only Festa and Raya look like starters and neither will be ready in April. To have a "pipeline" they need to turn out a starting pitcher and a reliever every single year.
  13. Which would leave them well short of the number of pitchers they actually need but that is the pattern of past mistakes.
  14. MLB Draft Tracker | MLB.com Click on "undrafted". Top 3 are Jack Hurley and 3 high school pitchers.
  15. There is a huge drop from Sonny Gray to Dallas Keuchel or Louie Varland
  16. Are there really going to be two guys available at 34 and 49 that would make them want to go several million below slot at #5? Wouldn't they have to be high schoolers? I don't remember the Twins ever doing a misdirection campaign.
  17. I might have but I would expected a higher return than I would have for Steer. Lewis was always the long-term answer at 3B. Trading BOTH Miranda and Steer is defensible.
  18. I hope so, because he's worth the comp pick AND their shot at the playoffs to the Twins. You have to give up a lot to get me to give up my shot at winning the division.
  19. This is not true at all. Correa has been basically slap-hitting lately and Joey Gallo slapped a dribbler to the 3B gap for his single.
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