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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. I'm good with Martin coming up and sitting on the bench on September 25th when the Saints season is over.
  2. He will be replaced by Castro, Buxton or Kirilloff shortly. Two of those three are good, young players.
  3. Luplow is a bench player. Austin Martin is playing every day in AAA. Do you want Martin to spend the rest of the season on the bench?
  4. A six game lead with 33 games left helps. I'd rather see the Twins clinch early and then give everyone a rest. Win both series vs Cleveland and they can do whatever they want the rest of the season. I wouldn't mind if the rotation the last week of the season was Ryan, Maeda, Keuchel, Varland, and a bullpen game.
  5. To be fair, what the Twins have had in 2023 has been as good as I have ever seen for a Twins pitching rotation. Varland has the talent to pitch in the major leagues and if he isn't good enough for the rotation next year there is plenty of room in the bullpen.
  6. But his OPS is still pretty low. He's at the right level for his development.
  7. Gordon's also not ON the 40 man roster.
  8. Not at retail prices but Duran hasn't ever had a big payday. His signing bonus was $65,000. He goes through arbitration 2025, 2026, 2027. Hader is the best comp, though Hader was a Super 2. Still, he made $31M over the last 3 arb years. 5 years $45M with a $15M team option (and a possible QO after that) would be a fair deal for the Twins and they might be able to do better than that. Clase only got 5 years $20M. If they go year-to-year with arbitration Duran could make $35M over the next 4 years.
  9. Lewis and Duran are the only players on the roster worth having this discussion about. Right now I'd be fine with both through age 32 but not longer than that. Duran might be the higher priority this offseason.
  10. Keep pushing until the division is won and then give everyone the week off before the playoffs. Hopefully you can skip 2 Ober starts in late Sept.
  11. They don't have to add Charlee Soto to the roster until before the 2028 season. That's the earliest you should expect to see him in the rotation.
  12. On a 1 year deal you will need a lot more than $7M. That's relief pitcher money. Tyler Anderson signed for 3 years $39M, Jose Quintana 2 years $26M and Nate Eovaldi 2 years $34M. Syndergaard 1 year $13M. Clevinger 1 year $12M. The 1 year $10M Kluber, Gibson and Boyd received is the absolute floor if his market collapses. Pretty much any starting pitcher you actually want to have in your rotation is worth a qualifying offer.
  13. He's a career 150 OPS+ hitter who is athletic enough to play the outfield if his pitching career is over. His downside is Bryce Harper.
  14. It's really easy to adjust and have them come in the 7th inning instead of the 6th if you want to get one more inning out of Gray or Lopez. We all know they're not going to use either of them past inning 6. Who would you rather have pitching the first clean inning, Floro or Ryan?
  15. It's not hard. You schedule it ahead of time, start their normal warmup in the 4th inning and have them come in to start the 6th inning. Let the short reliever come in if there is a need halfway through the 5th. I'd rather they use Ryan, Ober and Varland than Jax, Floro and Balazovic.
  16. Every reliever will have a bad inning and blow a game occasionally. It's just a matter of how often. Do you want the guy who blows up 1/10 times or 4/10 times?
  17. It was really fun while it lasted.
  18. I am still not sure why a number of veteran relievers on bad teams are still on those teams. Why is Suter still on the Rockies? Why did the Mets keep Brooks Raley? Usually you will see losing teams dump players to open a spot for the young guys and drop some salary. This deadline got weird when the Angels made the very risky move to go all-in. I can't imagine if this was Angels Daily, it would be unbearable here.
  19. Defense is ignored completely by WPA. All credit/blame goes to the pitcher and the batter. I honestly don't know why anyone looks at that stat. It's as useless as GWRBI.
  20. I'd be fine with them pitching the last 2 weeks of the season though. If they clinch early they can rest everyone. The magic number is 31 with 36 games left. Assuming the Twins play .500 baseball and the Guardians do too they will clinch with two weeks left to go. Win 4 of the 6 remaining games with Cleveland and it's probably over.
  21. Good point. If Rocco makes a different decision yesterday they probably lose 4-3 instead of 7-3. Still ends up in the loss column. They're 2 wins under their pythagorean W-L record. A manager who makes all the right decisions might be 3-4 wins above Pythag. The Orioles and Tigers are best at +6. Even a great manager couldn't win all the time with this bullpen.
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