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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    It's not hard. You schedule it ahead of time, start their normal warmup in the 4th inning and have them come in to start the 6th inning. Let the short reliever come in if there is a need halfway through the 5th. I'd rather they use Ryan, Ober and Varland than Jax, Floro and Balazovic.
  2. DJL44
    Every reliever will have a bad inning and blow a game occasionally. It's just a matter of how often. Do you want the guy who blows up 1/10 times or 4/10 times?
  3. DJL44
    Ryan, Varland and Ober
  4. DJL44
    It was really fun while it lasted.
  5. DJL44
    I am still not sure why a number of veteran relievers on bad teams are still on those teams. Why is Suter still on the Rockies? Why did the Mets keep Brooks Raley? Usually you will see losing teams dump players to open a spot for the young guys and drop some salary. This deadline got weird when the Angels made the very risky move to go all-in. I can't imagine if this was Angels Daily, it would be unbearable here.
  6. DJL44
    Defense is ignored completely by WPA. All credit/blame goes to the pitcher and the batter. I honestly don't know why anyone looks at that stat. It's as useless as GWRBI.
  7. DJL44
    I'd be fine with them pitching the last 2 weeks of the season though. If they clinch early they can rest everyone. The magic number is 31 with 36 games left. Assuming the Twins play .500 baseball and the Guardians do too they will clinch with two weeks left to go. Win 4 of the 6 remaining games with Cleveland and it's probably over.
  8. DJL44
    Good point. If Rocco makes a different decision yesterday they probably lose 4-3 instead of 7-3. Still ends up in the loss column. They're 2 wins under their pythagorean W-L record. A manager who makes all the right decisions might be 3-4 wins above Pythag. The Orioles and Tigers are best at +6. Even a great manager couldn't win all the time with this bullpen.
  9. DJL44
    Leads to higher risk of injuries and decreased performance. Some pitchers who increase their innings get injured. Pitchers who have the same innings count get injured all the time too. Pitching has inherent injury risk. This is one of those places where taking a broad trend and applying it to an individual can be problematic. It assumes that all pitchers are equal outside of the innings pitched in games. They all trained the same amount in the offseason, they all had the same routine between starts and they all throw the same pitches with the same mechanics which have the same stresses on the body. Motion capture is probably a better indicator of Ober's injury risk. Are his mechanics falling apart? Is his fastball velocity down?
  10. DJL44
    The season ends in October. I'd let him rest then. That should be about 8 more starts. That's a snarky response but I think way too much emphasis is placed on "innings" and not enough on current physical condition. If he's pitching through fatigue and soreness then he needs rest. If he's feeling good then he should pitch.
  11. DJL44
    He's caught plenty of balls in LF.
  12. DJL44
    If Nashville was a real team destination why wouldn't the A's have gone there instead of Vegas?
  13. DJL44
    Great. Looking forward to seeing the adjustments Varland has made.
  14. DJL44
    Guys who should move up Endy Rodriguez - he's 20 and killing the rookie league Jenkins Winokur Daniel Pena can be the bullpen catcher Kyle Bischoff
  15. DJL44
    Top 5 position player candidates for the extra roster spot 1) Byron Buxton 2) Alex Kirilloff 3) Willi Castro 4) Nick Gordon 5) Trevor Larnach Top 5 pitcher candidates 1) Joe Ryan 2) Louie Varland 3) Jordan Balazovic 4) Brent Headrick 5) Jovani Moran Chris Paddack is possible but he hasn't even started a rehab assignment yet. Bottom line, I doubt they add anyone to the 40 man roster. I think they keep Keuchel in the bullpen and leave Funderburk in AAA.
  16. DJL44
    Which is better: Buxton (or Taylor) taking Wallner's spot defensively or Polanco taking Julien's spot defensively? I don't think Polanco is that much better than Julien at 2B but Buxton is going to be a lot better than Wallner. The Twins have a strikeout/flyball pitching staff. I also don't think there will be a single lineup for the rest of the season anyway. There will be games with Farmer and Taylor and games with Julien and Wallner in the field depending on the starting pitcher.
  17. DJL44
    Taylor has been doing well in CF. He might be a better fielder than Buxton in CF at the moment. I'd be fine with Buxton in LF and Wallner at DH.
  18. DJL44
    There's also every player available as a free agent and several players who are arbitration eligible on other rosters (ex: Farmer and Taylor). The question isn't just whether Polanco is better than the alternatives but whether he's $10.5M better. Solano (for $2M) has been much more important to the 2023 Twins than Polanco. Castro has been a better infield defender than Polanco this season. Not sure why you dismiss him as an option.
  19. DJL44
    He hasn't been reliable. He's missed 60% of the games due to injury.
  20. DJL44
    Good point. Even if they had Ozzie Smith at SS they wouldn't score as well as some teams because they have the fewest opportunities.
  21. DJL44
    The Twins are near the bottom of the league turning double plays. I don't think that's Correa's fault but he'll get 1/2 the blame in the advanced metrics.
  22. DJL44
    He's an "org" guy. Not young for AA. The Pirates didn't protect him last year and he signed with the Twins as a minor league free agent. He'll be a minor league free agent again when the season is over.
  23. DJL44
    Alcala could move to the 60 day IL. I think they're concerned because Paddack and Gordon might come off the 60 day IL soon but I'll bet someone else gets injured before the season ends. Or ever.
  24. DJL44
    I am surprised Kirilloff rates that poorly at 1B
  25. DJL44
    "It's called playing the percentages. It's what smart managers do to win ballgames" - Montgomery Burns
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