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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    Is it an "unwillingness" to spend when another team has literally twice the revenue? If you don't have it, wouldn't that be an inability rather than an unwillingness. Are you unwilling to spend the money for a $5M home (assuming you don't live in one) or are you unable to buy a $5M home. I am surprised this type of statement is repeated so often when we know several other teams have far greater financial means which translate to an ABILITY.
  2. Major League Ready
    So, what you are saying is the question is not will they but should they? Having collected the data on every 5 year or greater contract, it's easy to understand your point and I definitely agree in general. However, I would not say "never ever". It can make sense for a mid market team like the twins if they develop a roster full of productive players from within. They can then use that financial flexibility we hear mentioned to secure a top of the rotation free agent SP. Obviously, they still have to choose wisely (like Indiana Jones) because they fail more than they succeed. The right guy might not exist this year. I was hoping Musgrove would be available until I realized San Diego was his home market. I have that at $130M if they added Rodon while adding Hanigar, resigning Sanchez and keeping Urshela. Next year Urshela / Gray and Mahle roll off. That leaves us at about $100M with Rodon / Ryan / Ober and we would need to come up with 2 SPs between Varland / SWR / Paddack. Perhaps Henriguez or Sands step up or they could go get a Bundy type for the 5th spot. That leaves them some room to extend a couple guys and keep this going for several years. They would also have Kepler rolling off in 24 or perhaps he is traded this year. They are positioned well. Now, they need to execute some tweaks in the roster construction. This is a long way of saying you hit this one on the head. We should not just assume signing a big name free agent pitcher is the best way to build a winner. I remember some people being mad we did not get Bumgardner. It's too soon to tell just how good a decision it was to not give Berrios a 7 year deal but that decision and trade are looking very good at the moment.
  3. Major League Ready
    Actually, The "collection of trash" (not your quote) that replaced him have all outperformed him with the exception of Cave. Their OPS and wRC+ is as follows. Rosario has an OPS of 675 and a wRC+ of 82 since he left. All of these players outperformed Rosario for $8M less. I will take this collection of guys and the $8M toward an RP or Mitch Hannigar all day long. This coming from a guy who was once a big Rosario fan. Kyle Garlick – 728 103 Nick Gordon – 711 /101 (all positions) Trevor Larnach – 687 / 95 Brent Roker – 688 / 91 Rob Refsnyder – 663 / 88
  4. Major League Ready
    Julien now has the highest OPS in the AFL by 100 points. Martin is 4th. Talk about a dream scenario. Keep it up guys!
  5. Major League Ready
    The list should consist of Rodon and Bassitt. I would much rather invest the innings in developing SWR / Varland and perhaps Winder if Rodon or Bassitt can't be persuaded to play here. Not to mention, Maeda and eventually Paddack being as good or better as most of these options. There is more to be gained by investing in RPs even with the caveat that RPs are as unpredictable as it gets.
  6. Major League Ready
    I think there is a reasonable chance that happens because as you mentioned the WCS is he goes back to the BP. It's a lot easier to come up with a good BP arm than a top of the rotation starter. That said, I could see them not wanting to mess with success.
  7. Major League Ready
    They could get better than a "decent reliever" with the salary saved but I am with you. How about a good RP and invest the $8.5M elsewhere? I would be OK with a good prospect of any kind (especially a catcher) and invest the $8.5M in pitching.
  8. Major League Ready
    I am part way there with you. They had something like the 2nd most time lost to injury in the league. However, I still never believed this team was a serious contender. More pieces have emerged but I still think they are a fringe contender with Correa. So, It comes down to how the front office projects Lewis. He is not as valuable at any other position. Houston is a very well run organization. They were basically faced with the same scenario. They chose to go with Pena and invest the $35M elsewhere. Of course, Houston is a bigger market with more revenue. Even the Yankees, passed on the big SS class last year. I bet theyb do the same this year because they have a couple great SS prospects. It's simply more productive to invest elsewhere when a team has a young player ready to take over a position. I was so disappointed when he got hurt because we were perfectly set-up for him to transition this year knowing Correa would opt out. I see a Lewis / Lee left side of the infield in a couple years.
  9. Major League Ready
    Since we "jettisoned" Rosario he has been below replacement level. Please enlighten us as to how it was a mistake to jettison a replacement level player. The premise we would have a shot at the post season had we kept a guy that performed worse than the players that replaced him is ridiculous.
  10. Major League Ready
    I just prefer to be optimistic. Tatis Jr. was not highly thought of and was acquired for a veteran pitcher who performed horribly after the trade. I am far more interested in what Julien is doing today than when he was drafted. BTW ... I was listening to the MLB network and one of the big name prospect guys was being interview by Grant Paulson. I thought it was Calis but I don't remember. It could have been Mayo who did the article Jorgenswest linked above. Paulson asked who the guys he was going to be watching among those who were not already well because of their draft position. The first name out of his mouth was Eduardo Julien. Point being he is showing that he has a legit chance in the eyes of those who evaluate players for a living. So, I am going to enjoy his current success and be happy we got a guy that last that has a shot rather than presuming he will fail.
  11. Major League Ready
    How many were drafted after 539 that went on the have good / productive careers? The fact that this specific draft pick has not done well is not relevant unless no players drafted that late went on the be productive players.
  12. Major League Ready
    That's not how it works. They have X dollars to spend. In other words, they have a budget based on revenue like every other business or just as any responsible adult has a spending limit based on income. They will no doubt discuss Correa and any other player requiring a huge contract. Pohlad will certainly ask Falvey it is wise to spend 25% of their budget on one player (140/35). It's one thing to do it for a year. It's entirely different to commit that percentage to one player for 8-10 years. It's not a Twins thing and it's not a Pohlad thing. Teams are very reluctant to spend anywhere near 25% of their budget on one player.
  13. Major League Ready
    Wouldn't that basically be the same team we have this year plus a RH outfielder? Would Mitch Hannigar makes this team anything close to a contender? I am hoping for a more significant change.
  14. Major League Ready
    f course it all depends on the return but now is the time if we can get a decent return. I like the idea of signing Haniger to get a RH OFer. We have Larnach / Wallner, and Kirilloff from the left side. I like the odds of filling the role between the three of them. I am still ticked off they took Cavaco is team of Corbin Carroll who debuted this year and would be the perfect complement to this team given Buxton's injury history. He had a wRC+ of 133 in his 1st 32 games and he is a great defender. We would be in a great position to deal Kepler had they drafted Carroll.
  15. Major League Ready
    The answer is not a SS that is so horrible at the plate that he is below replacement value when both offense and defense are combined. The answer is the best player in aggregate. Didn't you complain Larnach was going to be horrible too? He was just fine. Miranda had a small sample size at 3rd but I honestly don't recall him costing any runs at all in the time he played 3B. I do recall him driving in the most runs on the team. Iglesias would be a decent move to bridge the gap to Lewis. His net production would be better than Simmons and he could fill a utility role thereafter.
  16. Major League Ready
    I can't tell if you are kidding. I was a big fan but his offense has become so bad I just don't want to watch that all year. His wRC+ was 27 and his WAR was negative. How would this be a good idea?
  17. Major League Ready
    No, they don't have all those great players and retaining (not adding) Correa is not going to make them anywhere near as good as those other teams. Lewis or Brooks doing a good job replacing him and spending that $35M on players like Cruz that produce nearly as well for 40% of the money is how a mid market team can compete. You listed the most players for Houston the team that let him and George Springer go. It's all about producing the Correa / Springer / Valdez / Bregman / Alvarez, etc. Then, spending on free agents matter retaining Correa or signing big free agents means nothing if we don't build a great core from within.
  18. Major League Ready
    My memory might be off but I recall quite a few people who insisted we got worse at 3B and Catcher. I think their hope (the FO) was basically to break even on the short-term production (talent) and get rid of Donaldson's contract. I think Mark G has the grade about right. B+/A- for 2022. However, 2022 is not likely the best part of this trade. They are now in a FAR better position for 23 than they would have been keeping Donaldson. In 2024 the benefit is likely an additional $8M they would have paid to cut him.
  19. Major League Ready
    The Cardinals average about $75M more in revenue as compared to the twins. They have done a great job acquiring the right "big names" with the huge revenue of the biggest markets. So, give them credit but they can cover a couple big contracts with the incremental revenue they have beyond the twins revenue. In other words, if the Twins had another $75m in revenue I would be saying they should sign Correa.
  20. Major League Ready
    I agree it was not the problem. However, that type of production is also not a solution. He produced 7 Fwar the last 5 years of his contract. This organization must invest much better than that if we are to be successful.
  21. Major League Ready
    If you look back at my post, I specifically noted small and mid market teams. Pretty sure NY is not a mid market. The Braves are also a very large market and a team friendly deal to Acuna to a prearb player has no relevance in comparing the type of contract being sought by Correa.
  22. Major League Ready
    The productivity per dollar spent on the Mauer contract does not promote success. It is very difficult for Mid market team to build a dominant team with that high a percentage of payroll invested in one player. They kind of had to do it with the hometown hero but the investment and subsequent production from Mauer is not an example of success which contradicts mid market GMs avoiding these contracts.
  23. Major League Ready
    I like your plan better than my own. Polanco is not ideal at SS but it's a great way to bridge the gap until Lewis or Lee take while giving Arraez an every day spot in the lineup. Of course, a much better BP.
  24. Major League Ready
    What the article does not cover is the examples of teams in similar markets that have been successful signing a mega contract with a similar player. The reality is that it never happens. In other words, none of the GMs of teams with similar revenue have believed signing such a player was in the best interest of the team. Are they all wrong? We would be a better team next year with him but we be a better team in 24 and for several years thereafter with Lewis or Lee at SS and $35M invested in pitching?
  25. Major League Ready
    I gave absolutely no significance to Henriquez and Megill. Simply said they gave us reason to hope. You are not interested in an accurate account and you can't say all you care about is what transpires at the ML level and then refuse to give the organization credit for making something happen. You consistently frame everything in whatever way allows you to bitch about the front office and proclaim to have a better understand then they do as to what should be done. If that were true, you would we working in a front office somewhere instead of proclaiming your wisdom here.
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