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Major League Ready

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  1. Great to see Walner coming back strong and Palacios since his brief call-up is batting 294 with an 858 OPS. He should be getting a little more love around here than he has been.
  2. The difference between Hrbek and miranda is that Hrbek got his feet wet the year before and he was mediocre in that initial stint with the Twins. he came out of the gate in 82 really hot and had an OPS of 986 for the first two months. The next two months Hrbek's OPS was was 809. Miranda started slow and the next two months his OPS was 843. So, if we are fair and consider Hrbek got his first look the year before the start of the two careers look quite similar.
  3. I think the answer is we don't know. The league has adapted, and we are entering the phase where we find out if he can adjust. I do think he is being judged rather harshly defensively. His future defensive position is at 3B and after trading Steer and CES we need him to be a 3B. They said about a week ago on the TV broadcast he has only made 1 error at 3B and he has looked better at 3B than 1B to me. His limited experience at 1B shows in the decisions he makes although I suspect that will come along fairly quickly as he learns from those mistakes. I would be very happy to have an 850 OPS 3B that is average defensively. Plus, I will take the extra $20M and invest that money in pitching.
  4. The league definitely made some adjustments after two very productive months in June and July. The past 2-3 weeks he has not gotten much to hit and he had been chasing or swinging at very tough pitches on the first pitch and getting behind. Now we will see if he can adjust. I thought his approach was better last night. It may have been that he just got too amped and two anxious after killing it for a couple months. He will be a beast if he makes them pitch to him. The future was looking very bright the couple of weeks we had Miranda / Lewis and Kirilloff in the INF. Sure hope that comes together next year.
  5. Bundy is a good #5 but we have enough depth. Gray / Mahle / Ryan / Winder / Ober / Maeda and maybe Dobnak with Varland getting close plus Smeltzer in reserve and Paddack a couple month into next season. Past years were different. They had very little depth of reasonable quality. If they add someone it needs to be a front of the rotation arm or why bother. It also would not be a big surprise to see Duran get a shot in the rotation because he has the most potential of anyone on the roster to be a dominant #1.
  6. The biggest determinant will probably be if Miranda adjusts to how the league is pitching him. He had a stretch of a couple hundred ABs where he hit 330 and had an OPS over 900. Now he is getting pitched tough and his plate discipline has not been as good. They would have more confidence letting Urshela go if Miranda makes the necessary adjustments.
  7. I would think a big part of the decision will be if they believe Kirilloff will be healthy. If so, he is going to get that shot. Miranda has only made 1 error and looked decent not great at 3B but he is going to be very valuable if he can play an average 3B. Arraez is back-up 1B and emergency 3B. Gordon is super utility and has also been one of our best offensive players the last couple months. I just don't see room or enough value in keeping Urshela. Spend the $8.5M on a RP or use it toward a top of the rotation SP. It would even make more sense to try to sign Josh Bell and Kirilloff can play OF / 1B / DH.
  8. Not to mention that he is literally one of the worst offensive players in baseball this season. He has been horrible since he left and not great the last couple years he was here so the logic that he has a ring, therefore he would add something to this team is for those who insist on maintaining a position regardless of the facts. The Twins are having a hard time scoring and the answer is a guy with a wRC+ of 50!!! Really? Our back-ups to the injured guys (Celestino & Garlick) have a wRC+ of 91 and 154. Larnach while learning his way at the ML level was 103 and he played fundamentally better defense as well.
  9. Boras negotiated those options for two reasons. One, if Correa gets injured this season and that injury would keep him out next year or a significant portion of the year (like Lewis), he would gets paid max AAV and all the time he needs to come back and prove he is ready for the next big contract. Two, if he had a terrible season, he could opt in and hope to prove he can have a much better 2023 setting him up for a bigger pay day. Those options are of zero benefit to the Twins. They were a smart add by Boras to provide insurance to Correa in taking what is essentially a 1 year deal.
  10. How often do we hear team X was willing to give one more year than team Y. The deal with team X is virtually always a little less AAV. The vast majority of players go to the team that provides the most guaranteed money. We know this very clearly from history so positioning "if all he wants is the moist guaranteed" as anything but the norm makes no sense.
  11. How could they have traded him at the deadline? He got hurt a few days before the deadline and was out for the season so there was no way they could have traded him.
  12. How often does Williams catch? I guess what I am wondering is can he be at least a b/u catcher? Same goes for Isola. These guys would have value if they can at least be b/u catchers or are they 1B and emergency catcher?
  13. Before we go giving away the next 5-7 years, let's see what we have when they get Winder / Ober / Maeda / Alcala / Kirilloff / Larnach / Jeffers and eventually Paddack and Lewis back. Plus they will have $60M to spend in free agency.
  14. Polanco got the same pitch (middle/middle) in the bottom of the inning and did not swing.
  15. The discussion had absolutely nothing to do with his performance when he was here so I don't know why you are showing me his numbers from when he was here. There have been a couple of people who complain he's not here now and his present offensive performance is absolutely horrible, so the point was complaining he is not here now is absurd. I mean really, complaining we don't have a guy who has negative WAR.
  16. Do you want players who perform well or who are enthusiastic but perform terribly because he is performing horribly by any measure? He was one of my favorite players but that changed with the frequent horrible ABs and defensive mistakes. His plate discipline has been among the very worst of the league. I can't stand watching those horrible ABs and defensive mistakes because he is an excitable player. I love enthusiasm too but definitely not when it leads to terrible decisions and horrendously poor approach at the plate. Regardless of any of these preferences, if we had 8 position players like Eddie this would be 110 loss team so if the premise we are missing Rosario very misguided.
  17. Are you suggesting Rosario being gone is a problem. He has a negative WAR. His OPS is an awful .546 and his wRC+ is 48. We do not have a player on the team with 100 ABs that does not have an OPS 100 points higher. It sounds like you are complaining we did not keep a guy who is playing horribly.
  18. Great analysis. I have always thought he was 3B long-term. He plays that position better and 1B is much easier to fill. I can't believe how many people were willing to trade him 3 weeks ago. Replacing Donaldson and his $21.75M salary with Miranda's is the most beneficial / impactful thing that has developed this year. Duran is a big development as well but if they do something with the $20M saved that move is going to be huge going forward.
  19. Do I have this right. MLB cost $20 month for out of market games and Bally is offering all the games for $20/month?
  20. I don't Bundy being here next year. They already have 6 that should be on the opening day roster in Gray / Mahle / Ryan / Winder / Ober and Maeda. Then, Paddack should be available a couple months in and they have Smeltzer and Dobnak for depth. They are going to give Dobnak a shot if he looks decent next spring because they have him under contract for 3 years and 3 options. Let's hope that Varland and SWR is knocking at the door a couple months in too. All that aside. The depth looks quite adequate. Any addition should be a higher profile SP. Moving Donaldson's contract was huge. They can fit a high profile SP into their budget even if Correa stays. Selecting Bundy's option just does not make sense unless you can't get a higher profile SP to come here.
  21. Rodon is definitely opting opt. He has had a good year. No way he sits on one remaining year when he can sign a lucrative long-term deal.
  22. I would like to see them invest at catcher but there won't be anyone worthy of a big investment available. I have not seen Contreras lately but the talk at the trade deadline was that his defense is very subpar at this point. I hear ya where SS is concerned. I just don't see it as feasible to sign a SS long-term and sign a front of the rotation SP. They could cover the payroll year 1. However, that strategy falls apart as players earn arbitration increases, especially if they do really well and get big bumps. At that point they probably have to replace some of them with prearb players which may or may not be available. It's a tough call.
  23. Circumstances matter. It's a fact free agent pitching has had a high degree of failure. I fully understand the relative success/failure of free agent SPs over the past 20 years, That's why I rejected that strategy when there were so many other holes where payroll could be better invested. That's not where we are today and that does not mean there are not circumstances where it's a reasonable risk. They are going to be at $80M assuming Correa leaves. Can you think of a better place to invest given all the prearb players on the roster? You may recall that starting last off-season that they would be in a very different position if they could establish several prearb players. Enter Kirilloff / Larnach / Celestino and the move to replace Donaldson with Miranda is huge. We have the better player and will gain over $20M in spending capacity next year from that move. Palacios then Lewis is the likely SS next year and let's not forget Nick Gordon stepping up. Then, you have Duran / Jax and probably Megill establishing themselves in the BP and Ober/ Ryan / Winder establishing they are ML players plus eventually adding Paddack and Maeda ion a favorable contract and you have a modest revenue team in a unique position to not only afford a top of the rotation free agent but it will be a reasonable risk in this situation, IMO. They might just throw us all off by converting Duran to a SP. In that case, I would advocate a closer type and they have been even worse investments.
  24. James Taillon is also a free agent. It's hard to see the Yankee's letting him walk but they obviously did not extend him so who knows, it might be possible . Bassitt is a very similar scenario in terms of being with a big spending team but he will definitely opt out. Phillies will definitely pick up Nola's option. Kershaw isn't going anywhere either. So, despite adding Taillon to the list, Mike's statement is likely accurate.
  25. I don't think we will miss his .083 average / wRC+ of 7 or his negative WAR. We have Kirilloff / Arraez and Miranda at 1B. Why on earth would we want to take up a roster spot with Sano? I will be very happy to roll with those three and add a $11M BP arm or spend $23M on a top of the rotation SP instead of a $12M average SP.
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