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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. You think the combination of Gordon/Solano/Farmer and eventually Lewis is up to 7 less wins?
  2. The league hiring executives from RSNs is pretty telling. It would appear they are gearing up to take control of the broadcast product and how it is distributed. Understanding all the financial and legal implications is a deep well. I presume that's why the first hire was Billy Chambers. If you are looking at different options for a "future state", you need someone like Chambers to oversee that analysis. This is their chance to reconstruct the current model in a manner that makes it much easier to get ALL of the games no matter where you live.
  3. I did not find any detailed accounts of the option, but this could be a club option that automatically vests with 550 PAs. According to this article the team controls the 2024-25 options. Polanco Option
  4. Hopefully Vazquez hits LHP like he did last year. That's not always been the case but last year his wRC+ against lefties was 130. Sanchez was brutal against LHP last year so there is the potential for a big gain at the catcher position. The combination of Solano 1B/Farmer 2B /Miranda 3B /Correa ss should be really good against LHP. Taylor's wRC+ against L:HP is 92. While he's not an offensive solution, the combination of Buxton/Taylor and either Gallo or Kepler in the OF will make up for his modest offensive production.
  5. Just took a look at the WBC stats. Julien has a .667 OBP and the highest OPS in the entire tournament. Super small sample size but he sure looks legit.
  6. Have to agree that any discussion of success in these terms should start with Miranda and Duran. Nick Gordon was an average player last year. I would not really call that a success or a failure from a #5 overall pick. The good news is he has a shot at becoming a better story now that he is healthy. I am more inclined to call Ober a success story given his draft position. Ober and Jax are still so early in their careers that their relative success is yet to be determined. Let's hope they take the next step this year. While we are hoping, let's hope to add Lewis / Julien / Varland, SWR and Moran to this list next year.
  7. Way too early to answer this question. I see them waiting until August to assess the health and performance of Lopez / Ryan / Ober / Paddack at the end of year. This is especially true if Lopez is the one they like the best or feel most confident in extending. Then, part two will be how they feel about Varland and SWR to start 24. Then, do some other guys like Festa / Balazovic / Raya or Canterino start to look like they can be part 2024 and beyond at some point during the season. This will be much clearer in 6 months. I think it takes market rate to get them now or later so they are better off waiting until they end of the season or the off-season to determine what they need. That puts them in apposition to take a run at Nola and Severino too. It's always a long-shot to get the higher end free agent SPs but why not take a shot and have a fallback position of Mahle/Gray?
  8. This will be a lot of fun to watch playout if these prospects perform as we hope.
  9. I am all for building a team with prospects but you have two potential places (2B/3B) for him to play. Teams that are contending don't replace a player like Polanco with a guy that literally has yet to prove anything above A ball. He is not coming up to play 1st. That leaves Miranda who so far has proven to be an impactful MLB player. You don't replace him either unless he has a significant sophomore slump. Then, add that both Lewis and Julien are both well ahead of him in terms of proving they are ready. It would take a couple injuries to the above players or Miranda regressing badly and one of Correa or Polanco going down which would be "things going horribly wrong".
  10. Raya has zero IPs above low A. There is zero chance he debuts this year. Lee has 8 PAs at AA. Things would have to go horribly wrong with the twins for him to see any time at the ML level. Lewis is the most likely IMO because he can play several positions. Solano is the most likely to get forced out by either Lewis or Julien. I would love for either Walner or Larnach to play well- enough to take the starting job away from Kepler in the manner Arraez took over for Schoop. Ideally, Max is playing well enough to be traded but one of the prospects is good enough to force it.
  11. Wheeler is not a free agent until 2025 when he will turn 35 years old. Nola will turn 31 during the season next year. I am assuming Nola will be the bigger priority. Plus. Wheeler's $23.5M coming off in 2025 makes it even more financially feasible to sign Nola. Nola's comp next year is $16M so we are talking a net increase of roughly $15M. Let's hope he wants to play somewhere else. It would be great to add him.
  12. The decision to concentrate on 2B last year would suggest the Twin's believe he can improve enough a 2B to hold down the position. It will be very interesting to see if they stick with a 2B focus or start moving him around. IDK if it will be Julien taking over for Polanco, but I would bet even money Polanco is traded by the deadline next year. I really like Polanco but one of the prospects will offer equivalent value (net defense/offense) for a longer period of time for less money. It's possible one of them will be even better than Polanco. Equivalent player + $11M AAV (2024-25) to spend elsewhere and a good trade return is an equation to get better and stay that way longer.
  13. I know the odds are against us. We can afford him. Unfortunately, so can the Phillies. They have $38M coming off the books next year. Let's hope he does not want to be there for some reason. It's going to be tough if he is happy there. The most likely scenario is probably them extending Mahle.
  14. I thought he was looking good before he got hurt and ready to be in high leverage situations. I might be a little too optimistic about him but he has had plenty of time to come back from this injury. I am on the Jorge Alcala bandwagon. As tom stated, he does not need to be THE guy but it would be huge if he can be a guy they can trust.
  15. I agree on Miranda's defense at 3B and that he was far worse at 1B. He chased when he should have been going to the bag. It was a small sample but I don't remember any errors at 3B that were costly. He looked pretty average to me. If his defense improves a little and the bat is as good as it appears to be, Miranda's chances to stay at 3B are better than he is getting here. The better scenario is he is good enough to hold down 3B and Lee takes over for Polanco at 2B. Lewis plays all over the field 6 days a week. Julien is DH/2B/1B with Gordon / Martin being super utility players. That's a deep team for several years.
  16. Wouldn't that be something! He won't be Machado defensively, but he looked average to me at 3B. I thought he was better at 3B than he was at 1B and you have to believe he will move better as a result of physical conditioning. I hope he is an absolute beast this year.
  17. Burnes has a zips projection of 5.4 WAR. Robbie rays is 1.7. He is not even close to a comp. Carlos Rodon is not as good either and he got 6/162. Burnes we be the same age when he enters free agency. He is a better and more reliable than Rodon. Burnes probably gets 6-7 years and at least $200M. Also, where trades are concerned, Alcantara, Fried, and Cease were acquired as prospects. That's an entirely different premise than trading for an established ace. For that matter, Gallen was acquired as a prospect and then traded again with a total of 36 major league innings. In reality, there are a total of 2 SPs that are ace level that were acquired as established SPs.
  18. Who's spot does he take? Farmer and Solano are not going anywhere. Buxton / Kepler / Gallo and Taylor are locks. Miranda / Correa and Polanco are locks as is Kirilloff if he is healthy. Vazquez and Jeffers are locks. The only spot left is Nick Gordon. The only way I see him getting a shot early is if Kirilloff can't go.
  19. I really hold back what I would like to say about then payroll arguments here.  The fact that people don't accept the amount taken in dictates the amount going out requires one of two things.  Extreme financial ignorance or fanatical bias that prevents the acceptance of something some basic.  I did not change the argument.  It's the same idiocy over and over.  Do you really want to be on the side that suggests revenues does not determine spending capacity?

  20. Varland and SWR have less than 30 IP. Winder has 67 IP and has been ineffective. Ober has 148 IP with a 3.82 ERA. For me, that's significantly different than the other three. He needs to prove he can stay healthy, but I will take that kind of performance out of the last spot in the rotation.
  21. Did you forget Lopez or don't you like him? Ober is just fine as a #5 too. His slider looked quite a bit better at the end of last season. If that trend continues, he will be able to put more guys away which has been a problem for him. I also think they extend one of the current established SPs.
  22. Hopefully, the team has implemented strength and condition regimens that are paying off. It could just be spring training radar guns a little off on the high side.
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