Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Major League Ready

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7,755

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    26

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    The problem is not how much teams spend on Milb players. The problem is that two-thirds of the money goes to 10% of the players. Last year MLB team paid out $291,408,490 in draft bonuses and as we all know most of those players fail. There is an alternative. If they made the max bonus $1M and dropped the bonus just 1 percent per draft slot, they could increase the average pay to Milb players by 48,706.53. If they made the max bonus $500K, the increase would be 69,228.29 on average. In other words, AAA players would get paid roughly $100K not the proposed $38,500 assuming AAA players would get paid a little more than A/A+ players. Obviously, this could be tweaked. If you prefer to have a 2M top bonus, the pay increase would be $36,594.33 at all levels. If you make the increase $50K at AAA and $22K at A ball you end up with roughly a $67K salary for AAA.
  2. Major League Ready
    I am not sure what to make of Paddack either. My take is they have Lopez / Ryan / Ober next year and will need to fill two spots and come up with some depth. Paddack / Varland and SWR are the most likely candidates. One or two of Festa / Raya and Prielipp could be ready too. Perhaps not to start the season but by mid season. Dobnak and Balazovic are the long shots. Henriguez could end up being long-relief and a spot starter. Where I am going with this is that they don't need to sign a guy to fill the rotation. If they sign a free agent SP it should be a top of the rotation guy.
  3. Major League Ready
    Where this gets trick is if the guy they really want to extend is Lopez, especially if Lopez is inclined to sign here. They still need to fill 3 spots. Of course, kind of have an extra (Ober) right now and Paddack will be back.
  4. Major League Ready
    Coulombe has appeared in 194 ML league games has a whopping total .5 WAR. He isn't going to win games either. I will take my chances with Winder / Megill / Henriquez or even Dobnak who are all much younger and can be a long-term solution. Varland / SWR would also be better than Coulombe and it would be a way to prepare them for a role next year and several years to come. Coulombe has no value beyond being a band aid if several guys get injured.
  5. Major League Ready
    Perhaps because they could use any of Ober / Winder / Varland / SWR / Sanchez / Dobnak / as multi inning RPs if they need more depth plus they have Megill / Henriguez / Ortega / DeLeon and several other non-40 man guys in STP.
  6. Major League Ready
    Are you saying two will be gone because they will resign one of Mahle / Gray or Maeda?
  7. Major League Ready
    I would love to see the trio of Ober / Varland and SWR pitch so well that they force or at least influence the Twins to trade one of the pending free agent SPs. Maeda seems the most likely of the three to get traded. The thought being they need to test these young guys this year given we have three pending FAs.
  8. Major League Ready
    I also thought Jax looked good this spring. His breaking balls look improved.
  9. Major League Ready
    That would mean a healthy rotation for most of the year. I am OK with that scenario. Ober can be brought back the last couple months of the season to strengthen the BP in the unlikely event all of our SPs remain healthy.
  10. Major League Ready
    You could make the same statement had they signed Correa / Judge / Turner / Verlander and Scherzer. You could say Houston appears to be a good team based on this logic. Until they play the games it only "appears" they are better. This is fan speak rhetoric as I see it. Injuries happen and players sometimes underperform but that as of this moment it's a better team than last year.
  11. Major League Ready
    So we should not care or be pleased that they improved the roster because games are not played on paper?
  12. Major League Ready
    His odds are looking good. Hoffman and DeLeon sent down yesterday.
  13. Major League Ready
    Failed ventures are your example of the twins benefiting? You are really reaching.
  14. Major League Ready
    That's a low bar.
  15. Major League Ready
    Looking a little deeper, according to the star tribune (Phil Miller) Hoffman has several opt outs. I am pulling for DeLeon. He could soak up some innings and protect the rest of the BP.
  16. Major League Ready
    According to MLB trade rumors Sanchez is the only twins player with an opt out. Players with opt outs
  17. Major League Ready
    Sorry, that's not how it works. These variations are not cumulative. If you are off 15% of travel cost and off 15% on facilities cost you don't add them together. If travel cost is 10 of total operating cost your estimate would be off by 1.5%. If you are off on every estimate by 15% you are off 15% in total, Given we know the exact amount for player payroll and draft bonuses. There is zero variation on over 50% of total cost. Therefore, if we were of 15% on everything else, we would be off by a total of 7.5%.
  18. Major League Ready
    What forms of spending could be channeled to Pohlad owned companies? 60-65% of their spending is on players. The next largest expense would be non-player personnel. They don't appear to own hotels where the team stays? They don't own the networks where advertising would appear. The entire gain from owning an advertising firm would be the net gain from one account (the twins). If that advertising firms has a 10% bottom line the net gain is 10% of the fees paid to manage their account not the entire spend. I would assume they lease office space from United properties but that's not exactly an enormous expenditure relatively speaking. Do you have any examples or is this just pulling this out of the air?
  19. Major League Ready
    I don’t think they have painted themselves into a corner, Doc. Mahle / Gray / Gallo / Taylor / Pagan / Maeda / Solano come off next year. That’s $44M. They also have a team option with Kepler which would bring the total to $52.5M. They are also likely to replace Polanco in the next year or two so we are up to $60M. The team has a good chance to be better for the next several years which would increase revenue and let’s hope they can increase TV revenue as well. Of the group leaving, only Gray and Mahle will be difficult to replace and you could even say Mahle has yet to contribute. One of the pitching prospects needs to step up and they can use half of the $60M coming off to land a very good free agent SP.
  20. Major League Ready
    It’s not that hard to come up with a relatively accurate P&L for a MLB team. 1) We have a very good revenue estimate. The only major form of revenue not reported by the league is major sponsors and that can be likely be found in reporting from the sponsor organization. 2) We have a very accurate account of payroll / domestic draft bonuses and international bonuses. I am sure Forbes has an accurate estimates of player benefits. The only thing I could find estimated player benefits at 11.5% of payroll. This includes medical and retirement. 3) Let’s use $140M payroll. Add $14M for draft bonuses and $16M in player benefits and you have $170M. The Twins had $268M in revenue in 2021. Therefore, we have a very accurate estimate of nearly two-thirds of expenses and an even more accurate revenue estimate. 4) The other third of expenses are comprised of operating costs. It’s not that hard to get a list of employees. Their salaries / benefits can be estimated with a fair degree of accuracy. Office space, technology, travel, etc can all be estimated with 10%. Given this portion of the expense represents one-third of total operating expense (excluding player expense) , which represents one-third of revenue and the variance is 3-4% of revenue.
  21. Major League Ready
    Of course not. We just need to understand that any type of sustained success is literally dependent upon producing more wins per dollar spent as compared to top revenue teams. The point is there is often disregard here for the need to produce per dollar spent when in fact it's not possible to be successful without producing more per dollar spent. That's why other leagues have salary caps.
  22. Major League Ready
    I see the no "wins per dollar" statement here fairly often. The problem with taking that stance is that it's literally impossible for a team like the Twins / Guardians to produce more wins than the top tier revenue teams unless they dramatically outperform those teams in terms of wins per dollar spent. Wins added per dollar spent is one of the more meaningful metrics for teams in the bottom half of spending.
  23. Major League Ready
    No, it was your argument when you stated that by my logic we should have traded Polanco at his peak value. That assumes that every player should be traded at peak value regardless of a host of other considerations, starting if the team can replace that player as Tampa did when they traded Adames. Of course, the relative likelihood of actually contending comes into play and DJL44 pointed out a number of other considerations.
  24. Major League Ready
    You are only seeing what you want to see. He was acquired as "future value" Did he contribute to winning? Your logic only holds up if you position it such that EVERY player MUST be traded for value. I certainly am not saying that every player should universally be traded before reaching free agency. I am saying that history is crystal clear regarding the role in trading for future value and you are completely ignoring that history to suit your narrative. The "world series" argument just further illustrates an unwillingness to acknowledge hard facts as does ignoring the Cleveland and Oakland examples. Here another, the 2021 Rays 100 games. 6 of their 9 top position players were acquired as prospects or unproven MLB players. The only thing you are considering is the current year. That's your purgative as a fan. For a front office that view would be gross incompetence.
  25. Major League Ready
    It goes without saying that the current year chances of winning are not enhanced by a trade for “future value”. However, there are endless examples of trades for future value that made future teams into playoff teams. Dansby Swanson was the highest WAR player for Atlanta last year. How about last year’s Cleveland team. 5 of Cleveland’s top 7 position players were acquired by trading established players for prospects. Gimenez produced 6 fWAR. They also had 4 pitchers that produced more than 2 WAR, and two of them were “future value” trades. Those players will have an impact on 4-6 years of contending. The 2019 Oakland team is another example. 3 of the top 5 position players were acquired as prospects or unproven players. On the pitching side, Bassit and Montas were acquired as MLB ready prospects. They had less than 30IP at the MLB level. I don’t know how to categorize Hendricks. He was never all that good until 2019. Trading for prospects has been instrumental in building many good teams.
×
×
  • Create New...