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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    Sounds like Taylor Floyd completes the Megill player to named later trade.
  2. Dman
    There is a ways to go yet but I think you are going to be wrong about Camargo not being protected. I get that he has an ugly K rate and low walk rate and a very aggressive approach but if I am reading the numbers right he had a .900 OPS in May and has started June off with a 1.157 OPS which includes an .800 slugging percentage. If it weren't for his horrid April where his OPS was an incredibly low .374 I think he would be getting much more attention. Some guys struggle in the Midwest cold but if this last couple of months is who he is I am pretty sure he will be added. Jeffers never put up anything close to those numbers and he is playing in MLB. Granted he has to keep it going but his numbers are getting hard to ignore.
  3. Dman
    Yeah Williams with another two HR's and he took a walk after being down 1-2 in the count. I think he took Wallner's Mojo from him. After the last two games 5 home run barrage his OPS is at .998. HIs K rate and BABIP are high so he is going to come down but man he looks elite at the plate right now. Still you need to get that OPS close to or in the 1.000 range to get a shot and he is doing that. Just needs to keep it there and if the Twins don't add him someone will. Camargo with a HR and Double as well. When guys are hot they are hot. Still the competition is so variable at the various levels it can be hard to determine what the numbers mean as sometimes hits come off good but not elite players which is why minor league numbers get inflated so much. Once you hit MLB everyone is elite so the numbers drop. Still getting hits moves you up and you can only face who you face. So much fun to watch that St. Paul offense work.
  4. Dman
    Most wouldn't but you have some really bad teams in the A's, KC and Maybe Washington that aren't really competing next year. Why not grab a top 100 player who has a good eye at the plate and walks about 20% of the time. Hits the ball hard when he hits it. He K's a ton at least right now and he might be a black hole offensively that year but you picked up a top 100 player for nothing and those generally are not easy to find. I am trying to remember if teams have left top 100 player unprotected before. He is not ready for Major League Baseball IMO but he could have star potential so not sure what might happen there. They added Celestino when he was pretty young as well I just think they might be forced to add him. I think Celestino was added when he was 19? Can correct me if I am wrong. Link
  5. Dman
    Yeah Martin, Enlow and Camargo are sure bets to be added IMO unless something changes performance wise later on. We lost Stuart Turner in Rule V to the Reds and he never could hit and with Camargo's power and bar for hitting catchers so low if they don't protect him I bet the A's or KC would love to grab him in Rule V. Severino has his warts as a hitter with a high K rate, High BABIP and low walk rate but if he keeps performing this well as a 23 year old they are going to have to think hard about adding him or trading him. As pointed out above Keirsey is older and only at AA but he is hitting .300 and playing very good defense. Will that translate to the majors hard to say but since it is such a scarce position the bar for hitting is lower than most positions and while he is no Keirmieir he could be a nice pickup for a rebuilding team. If he catches fire he could be a trade asset for another team if not protected if he doesn't they can send him back to the Twins. I just think if he keeps this up he has figured some things out and could make it. He is hitting better than Lee on that team right now and not far off of Severino's OPS with better supporting numbers like only a 20% K rate. He is making contact and that bodes well for sustaining his numbers. Walk rate could use some help yet but he is getting there. Maybe he is too old to add but if he keeps this up I think he makes it to MLB whether he can hit enough to stay there is hard to say. Hitting MLB pitching is really, really, hard. He certainly can't be much worse than some backup center fielders out there. Unfortunately he is probably too old and too unknown to be a trade candidate so they might not protect him the end. Roster is pretty tight as it is. I just think a case can be made. If Emmanuel Rodriguez is still a top 100 prospect they likely will have to make room for him as well.
  6. Dman
    First of all I think Miranda is in AAA until the FO is satisfied that his approach is sound again. There were always questions about whether 3rd would be his ultimate home it seems unlikely he will ever be elite defensively there the idea was to just be adequate and let the bat play. I like Lewis at third but he is literally a Swiss army knife super utility player that can play good to excellent defense pretty much everywhere except catcher. He doesn't have to be entrenched at 3rd if Miranda can hold his own there they can move Lewis anywhere. Lee doesn't look close to ready to me. He still lacks power and while he is solid as a hitter he hasn't looked elite to me. At least not yet. I think he needs more time. I agree Miranda doesn't look great at 1st and DH looks better if he can't make it at third but with Buxton there and maybe needing at bats for Jullien that is a hard spot to crack open. In Summary I think there is still room for him at third until Lee, Severino, maybe Hellman arrive as then things get crowded again. The Twins have some really good hitters at AA and AAA Miranda needs to establish himself soon or he will be passed by.
  7. Dman
    Have to say I wasn't a real Keirsey Jr. believer. His 2019 .406 OPS in A ball was very unimpressive and the .199 batting average in 2021 at High A didn't inspire confidence either. 2022 looked better but still only a .724 OPS at AA and that won't get you to MLB. This year isn't over but he has a .311 BA and .840 OPS and plays elite defense in center field. Celestino better step it up as there is competition for the center field spot with Keirsey's new found bat to ball skills and added power. I thought it was going to be Emmanual Rodriguez I would be talking about at High A but Rosario looks like the more well rounded hitter at this point, as Rodriguez is looking more like the hitter he was in FCL with contact issues. Rosario is putting on a hitting clinic for a 20 year old at A+. His K rate is below 30% he is close to batting .300 (.290) and his slugging is at a career high right now. I am sure they will wait until he turns 21 in July but they should move him to AA and see what he can do against slightly better pitching. Chris Williams was hot last year at AA with a .915 OPS before moving up to AAA where it dropped to .716. He started off a bit slow this year but has been on tear for a while now capped with that 3 HR game his AAA OPS sits at .940. The BABIP and K rate are a little high right now but just given his track record he looks like an MLB bat to me. He seems likely to regress some so will be interesting to see if he can keep this up further into the season but if he does he looks like a pretty good bat to me. It is gonna be interesting come Rule V time with Keirsey, Severino, Rodriguez, Martin, Camargo, Enlow, Grace, Funderburk and now maybe even Williams that they will need to make decisions on. Not gonna be room for everybody.
  8. Dman
    I think as noted pretty early on there were always going to be some good bats into the second round. I wouldn't be surprised if the first three picks were bats for the Twins as I think there will be good value there. I think the run on pitchers starts mid to late 2nd round IMO. Granted teams that want their pitcher can grab them earlier than that if they want but I think the elite to very good bat first position players will go first for the most part. It is going to be interesting to see who the Twins get at number 5 and what is left when they get to 34 and 49. There likely will be some good pitchers left on the board at 49 so that will be an interesting pick as they won't pick again until 82. Lot's of pitchers will be off the board by pick 82. Still there could be a really good bat at 49 so it could be a tough call especially since they seem to do well with pitchers in later rounds. It is gonna be a fun draft. Can't wait.
  9. Dman
    I probably miss Petty the most but as pointed out the Twins got two very good years out of Gray and if he signs elswhere they get a pick in almost the same area they picked Petty not that that pick is guaranteed to work out but the gamble appears to have worked out. Still a 20 year old with a ,.45 ERA and .9o WHIP at High A this year is a good get for the Reds who were in rebuild mode. Granted SSS of 20 innings but he has electric stuff. CES would be next. I know he is likely just a DH but I fell in love with the bat. That being said I was onboard with all the trade for the present moves. Sometimes they work out well sometimes they don't.
  10. Dman
    Congrats to Enlow on a well deserved call up to AAA. He has come a long way since the TJ surgery and battled his way back. Hoping he just keeps on pitching well for the Saints and looks like option for the MLB rotation. So many good hitting performances that it is hard to name them all but I was happy to see Rosario have a big game after a bit of a mini slump. Also Rodriguez almost got his batting average back to .200 after brutal start to the year. It would be nice to see more contact and fewer strikeouts but adjusting to this level is no easy task just ask Miller, Salas and Urbina. I know Camargo is hot and had another two hit night but I still really like Wallner's numbers at AAA this year. Yeah the K rate is bit high but everything else looks really good. He definitely does deserve a longer look at the MLB level but he can still work on that K rate at AAA>
  11. Dman
    Jose Rodriguez is off to a good start in the FCL. .381 BA and .893 OPS. The rest of the young guys that did really well in the DSL last year seem to be struggling at least to start. It is always a tough transition from DSL to FCL as the pitching is much. much better. If Rodriguez can keep that line up all year there might be some star power there. I have been looking for Hendry Chivilli but haven't seen his name since the first game. I assume he is hurt? He started 2 for 4 so was hoping to see more. Schobel still looking good at High A and he took a couple of walks which was nice to see. I think he going to be the full package at the plate. Just needs more experience. Hopefully he moves to AA by July so they can see what he can do against better pitching. Rosario in a mini slump after being hot for so long. Will have to see if he gets his mojo back. Lot's of guys struggling at the plate. Hopefully the second will be better for some players.
  12. Dman
    If the money is right I am all for it. Can't have enough pitching in the system. If they want to move on I would be fine with that as well. TJ recovery really takes a long time for pitchers and no guarantee he comes back the same player. I like how he pitches and agree it fits the Twins philosophy but the money would have to be low as the risk is high.
  13. Dman
    Wow I need a reset on my day Meant to reply on the post about Camargo being at AAA not AA. I guess I need to slow down.
  14. Dman
    I am losing it. Thanks for the correction. 🙂
  15. Dman
    I have to say that after last year and with April's anemic .600 OPS I was starting to get worried about the Tanner Schobel pick. With a solid May in the books and a 1.250 OPS to start the month of June. I think it is safe to say he is on fire at the plate. All the numbers are lining up nicely. Walk rate could maybe be tick higher if you want to quibble. I didn't particularly like the pick when they made it as I wanted a pitcher in that spot but he is on his way to looking like an elite bat. Long way to go but the signs look good right now. Cossetti finally got the bat going at High A. Hoping he gets hot there with a chance late in the year for AA because then he could be a top 30 prospect. Lots of competition at High A at catcher with Morales and Cardenas with good bats as well. Camargo seems to finally be out of his funk and back to his home run stroke. Will need to protect him from rule V this year for sure as Most teams would be fine with a backup catcher that K's a lot but hits home runs when he does connect. IIRC he is pretty solid behind the plate but I haven't looked into his numbers. That St Paul lineup just keeps rolling against a tough Cubs team. Looks like those hitters are hungry to get back to MLB.
  16. Dman
    I generally love watching the Twins but the lack of offense is making it almost impossible to watch them. They comically cannot come up with runs with the bases loaded and lose way too many one run or close games. It is just crazy how one area of the team the starter, the pen, the lineup seems to sabotage a win. Call it cursed or whatever but it is just hard to fathom some of the losses this year. Mostly because the offense makes the game(s) so close one small mistake is something they cannot overcome. I keep waiting for some guys to get hot and the lineup to produce more consistently but alas it feels like a repeat of last year where they get reeled in and tank down the stretch. Well I will keep the team on my radar but am done investing much in this pitiful offense.
  17. Dman
    There are going to be some good players left at number 34 this year and likely even all the way to their pick at 49. I like all the outfielders you listed I just hope the Twins find players that can be difference makers in the top 50 picks. There are going to be some tough decisions to be made this year at least early in the draft.
  18. Dman
    I think the Twins will wait until closer to the deadline before they make any trades. They need Kepler to build back some value and if Pagan keeps pitching well they could likely get something for him as well. I also think that later this month once the Guardians or White Sox have reeled in the Twins and the Central teams are below .500 that it will be apparent they can't compete with the better teams in the league. It will make more sense to look hard at what vets to keep and what ones to trade.
  19. Dman
    That Saints lineup is a mini MLB club when it comes to hitters. MIrnada, Wallner, Jullian and Contreras have all seen some time in the majors already and Williams, Camargo and Stevenson bring good bats as well. Not to mention Wolters can be a tough out when isn't dinged up. Has to be tough for any team to keep all those bats down all the way through a game. Once they get Martin, Helman and Celestino back there will be even more talent there. With Varland and Ober gone outside of Headrick and Balazovich in small doses the pitching at AAA has been sub optimal or else that team would be even harder to beat. No shortage of talent at the AAA level right now and there are a few guys at AA knocking on the door as well in Severino, Keirsey, Fajardo and maybe later in the year Lee. Enlow looks ready for AAA and if Festa can turn things around later in the year he might ready as well. So things are going to get scrunched for roster space at AAA at some point. I will say it is a lot more fun watching the Saints than Twins these days. I hope that changes but it seems unlikely.
  20. Dman
    Wow had no Idea he was hitting .400 now. The warm Miami weather agrees with him. He generally was fast starter for the Twins as well but he is just about in the window where at least in the past he would wear down. Right now the trade looks better for Miami but there is a long way to go. Way too hard to determine value only a few months in. The Twins could sure use his bat right now but I still think we were short a pitcher and I think Lopez can be better than what he has shown recently. You have to give up something good to get something good will just have to wait and see.
  21. Dman
    I think Wallner had a hot streak last year around this time as well. Too bad he is wasting it away in AAA. He is doing exactly what he needs to do to get back to the big league club. Happy to see him hitting well. Keirsey looks ready for AAA but there is no room and even less room when Celestino comes back. Still it would be good for him to get some at bats at that level. Nice to see the bat showing up again this year. My guy Ortega is in a tough stretch. Wondering if maybe he is injured slightly? Just doesn't seem to be getting the results he got earlier in the year. Hopefully he finds his groove this week. Rosario is back with the big bat. 4 HR's out of his 8 hits. Would be nice to see him at AA fairly soon as it would be good to see how he handles that level. He has been a well rounded hitter this year so it would be nice to see if that translates to the next level. Happy to see some of the pitchers move up and hopefully they find their groove at the next level. Have to say I appreciate that they are moving guys a bit faster than normal when they have been dominant.
  22. Dman
    Have to say I don't usually get all that exited about the FCL team but this year is different. There are some very interesting players pretty much top to bottom this year in Mercedes, Rodriguez, Chourio, and Nova in the outfield. Isaac, Daniel and Alexander Pena, Daniel, Ortiz, and Acunca in the infield. Just a ton of young interesting bats and some noteworthy all around players. I don't know a ton about the pitching at that level but Lara was excellent last year in the DSL and is off to a good start in the FCL. Brayan Medina is supposed to have some decent stuff and hopefully there are more guys to come. The FCL will get reinforcement after the draft as well. Really hoping some of these guys excel and push their way to A ball this year. Thanks for the report. I will be watching the FCL closely this year.
  23. Dman
    I kind of felt like Fangraphs was late to the party on Rosario. He had a really good showing this spring against upper level competition and they dinged him on K rate which he has brought down. They don't seem to love his swing path either and maybe that does exposed eventually but he is number 4 in OPS for the Midwest league and the top two guys are 24 years old. The guy in third place is 22 and Rosario is 20. Rosario has more power but appears focused on approach right now and at just 20 years old he has room to grow. I think Fangraphs is off on that one but he is only at High A so a ways to go. I guess this is sort of his breakout year but is interesting how little love he gets.
  24. Dman
    The tough part about big games like Cedar Rapids had is it kind of inflates the stats for the hitters when the pitching is off for the other team. I know that it takes skill to get a hit no matter the pitcher but sometimes the task is a bit easier especially in the 9th when they had a position player pitch and Ross got two HR's that inning. That is a pretty large OPS boost against a Non pitcher. Still it all counts and you have to hit the ball but that game was a stat inflator to me. For a lineup that has been having trouble hitting a game like this is just what the doctor ordered. Also FWIW it seemed like the ump called a very tight zone last night which seemed to help hitters from both sides to 12 and 20 hits. You had to have stuff that played in the zone to be effective last night. Wallner brought his Batting average up to .302 and OPS to .982 after his two hit game in AAA. Hitting for average and power he is locked in. Seems a shame to waste that hot streak in St. Paul. Culpepper pitched really well. He has a nice stat line on the season as well. It will be interesting to see how his stuff plays when he moves up a level. Huge night for Cedar Rapids and Tanner Schobel has been getting better every month and started off June with a bang. I am keeping an eye on him as he has almost as many HR's as Rosario and his batting average is moving up with the warmer weather. Ross had been pretty quiet with the bat until this game where he got 4 hits and 2 HR's but hopefully that was a slump buster game for him. I can't speak to their defense but right now Cardenas looks as good or better with the bat than Daniel Susak who was taken in the first round by Oakland. Lot's of time left for separation but right now Cardenas looks like a good get in the 8th round. A big night for the bats and Wallner has been at his best for at least two weeks now.
  25. Dman
    Maybe I shouldn't call myself a fan as I gave up after they were down 6 to 3. So many teams have shut this team down late that comebacks especially three run comebacks seem very unlikely. I guess I will have to catch the highlights. Somehow the little guys got it done. The guys without the superstar salaries recently have been far more consistent and meaningful than than the players making the big money. Solano was huge in that game and Castro keeps proving me wrong about the hitter he is. All pitchers seem to fear Kirilloff right now but he is taking the walks they are giving him instead of flailing outside the zone and Lewis has been nothing but clutch in his start back with the team. I hope the bats keep getting better all the way around and the pitching stay top notch. Still three big games to play.
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