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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    TLDNR Jk I skimmed a bit though.... is the three batter or complete the half inning minimum an impact to your very thoughtful post? From what I’ve heard, the 4th rotation spot is Thorpe’s for the taking. This would color Chacin as Homer Bailey insurance. To simplify things a bit and even out the workload, 13 pitchers and a 3 batter rule would lend itself well to a 4 out opener for the 5th rotation spot (and the 3rd until Pineda returns). That would give you a long man, 5 setup men, a closer and an opener.
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    or use an opener
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    sure, even into 2021, there could be some volatility with significant and growing populations unable to participate in markets. There was significant volatility with SARS too. The markets rebounded.
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    The Matt Walbeck story was really great! SF 24, KC 21.
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    yup. This will pass quickly, but has good possibility of dropping further before the Dow rebounds. Stay the course and you’ll come out well ahead
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    agreed, loved the first, disappointed in the second. I’m still willing to give a potential third season a shot. 2 wasn’t a huge letdown.
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    Arrrrrgh, Maitey! Musgrove be me treasure! And ye be willing to trade maybe Wallner plus ? to get him.
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    Great article! Thanks for sharing your insights!
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    with options, he’s my first call up when Buxton gets injured. In my mind Mr 26 is between Cave and Astudillo.
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    I laughed so hard!
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    I laughed so hard!
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    per play, sure.... increased endurance can improve performance via improved ability to practice over longer periods more frequently. I’m with you though, cheating increases WPA immensely
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    Make the trade as soon as the opportunity develops. Timing is rarely perfect, and waiting for the trade deadline for a strategic motive is a high risk low reward type of move. The rotation as currently setup is a recipe to blow out the bullpen and make another quick exit in the post season. Berrios is very good 2, good 1 Odorizzi is a good 2, very good 3 Pineda is out the first 39 games and then has to get up to speed. Lots of risk, hard to judge... could be their best starter down the stretch. Hill is just as likely not to pitch as pitch 75 innings Homer Bailey is a fine to be in the mix for 5th starter with Dobnak and Smeltzer but I hope he’s in the bullpen. The Twins desperately need a starter to slot in the top 3 right now. Injuries and ineffectiveness will sort out any perceived over abundance of pitching.
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    you are correct, the Twins do need starts for development purposes. Pineda is out 39 games, Rich Hill is just as likely to throw zero innings as 75. Even if the Twins do add a starter, one of Graterol, Dobnak, et al, will be the 5th starter all season and Pineda provides another 7 or so starts. There’s 32-37 starts already and someone will get hurt... You don’t need to worry about putting Bailey in the pen to get those young guys starts. God willing, Dobnak or Thorpe pushes Bailey to the pen!
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    it’s not “new”
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    right, every team wants to add another quality proven young starter. That’s why the free agent market for Cole was 9 years 324 mil.... Now that trade is the only option, it’s going to cost significant trade assets to out bid other teams. The cost of poor forecasting....
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    agreed, tons of back end depth for 20, but very thin at the top of the rotation. Injuries will happen and having all that depth for starters 4-10 is great! It raises the floor. Having a solid chance win the 5th game as opposed to an automatic L is how you win the regular season. Need to add a starter to the 1-3 range (preferably 1, but understand the difficulty/cost) to raise the ceiling. Having a 3rd high-end starter is how you win in the post season.
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    when the FO trades for a front of the rotation type starter you’ll be way low
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    The word that comes to mind: “bludgeon” The other one is WOO!
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    I agree with this almost entirely except to add a “yes, but” It is possible to offer a lower total contract at more attractive terms. If for instance Donaldson’s offer from the Nats was 4 years 100M but half of the contract is deferred out over 12 years, while the Twins offer of 4 years 90 all during the 4 years, the Twins would be the better deal by time value of money. But yeah, it still needs to be a better deal for the player.
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    Others have brought this up, and I’ve finally come around to it. If not Donaldson, I’d rather the Twins get a SS and move Polanco to 3B.
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    I think this is an over-simplification. The World Series isn’t won in the offseason, and why I think this offseason is a failure has more to do with goals. I do not want the FO to mortgage the future, but do want the FO to acquire a significant difference maker on the fielding side and the pitching side. Free agency when it is targeted and well timed, holds on to cheap future assets. Success rates of prospects are low, it takes a lot of them to develop just a few. They can still make moves that make a significant impact on 2020 (and beyond) but not without giving up assets for future success. There’s nothing wrong with what they’ve done, it just isn’t (and can’t be) successful, unless they somehow swindle another team in a trade. That doesn’t happen... As to “how much is too much?” Cole wasn’t gonna happen and that banana-pants money would have crippled the Twins. I’m glad they didn’t do it. But what Wheeler or Ryu got or even more would have been no real hardship.
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    it’s certainly possible, and I hope they do... but how did you determine odds here? Why are you so confident?
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    Falvey clearly didn’t make decisions 10 years ago and can’t time travel, but this offseason was his to make. Sustainability is not a reason to miss on free agents. In current state, free agents are all but done in ways that can meaningfully improve the team. Going forward, trades are the option left, and that hurts the sustainability of the team. So if sustainability is the goal you can’t still meaningfully improve the team.
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    Twins go to Arb w/ Berrios over $375k. Fascinating....
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