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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    I had a post written about something, something Ron Gant and Pulled Pork, then remembered the article was about ‘87 and then realized “pulled pork” wouldn’t make any sense anyways, Ron Gant was swole… But then I rambled some more and spent too much time on this to not hit post. im sorry
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    Where’s that groan emoji? Hrbek wasn’t just a slugger in that series. He had plenty of base knockwurst too
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’m sure JP is genuine in his desire. I’m sure a good faith effort will be made to resign Correa, but I agree with this prediction. C4 won’t sign early, maybe he already has a fallback with the Twins on a deal similar to the one he signed last year. After all, he’s only 28. Another 3 year with annual opt out with very large AAV isn’t bad when you have time. I hope the Falvine can multitask this off-season better than they’ve shown ability for, in the past. Can’t single-minded focus on Correa and not address the other gaps or find a strong backfill option in case they can’t come to agreement with Correa.
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    The Twins draft at least one catcher almost every year. Alex Isola had a good year in AA last year as a 24 year old, .856 OPS. https://www.mlb.com/draft/tracker/2019/all/position/catchers
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    A World Series in ‘23 would certainly give that media contract some leverage for the Twins, wouldn’t it?
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    https://candydigital.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/4406654102171-What-is-Candy-Digital- “Candy is a next generation digital collectible company offering digital assets for fans and collectors. Candy is Major League Baseball’s official NFT ecosystem where fans and collectors will be able to purchase, trade, and share officially licensed NFTs to deepen their love of the sport. Our team of world-class digital artists, designers, and technologists are developing a broad range of digital collectibles, beginning with sports content and expanding into art, entertainment, music, and more!”
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    agreed, hitting for catcher is not prioritized over fielding for me either. Of all defensive metrics, what occurrence happens at the highest frequency? Catcher receiving the pitch happens 120+ times per game. Framing strikes is huge! Stolen bases happen on average once per team per game. Passed balls are a few times per game. They matter, but not like pitch framing does.
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    one ring to rule them all
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed, there’s things players can do to mitigate risk. Things happen sometimes. A guy is injury prone until he isn’t. A guy is an iron man until he isn’t. Cal Ripken was lucky to an extent, as well as employed tactics to mitigate risk, and probably had a higher pain tolerance too. Cal is a very bad example as MLB record holder. Comparing anyone to that lofty standard will surely result in failure. also, I found your exaggerated “play everyone at 3rd” quite amusing. I think the shift ban would make that illegal
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    The quoted post sounds more like the Terry Ryan era than the Falvine era, but Correa’s contract could be still in the Falvine threshold but beyond DSP’s and/or JP’s. We don’t exactly know what the parameters are for individual contracts of any of the head honchos at 1 Twins Way.
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    Option E: outgetter agreed, 140 innings of Duran is better than 70 innings of Duran plus 70 innings of someone else. Realistically it’s more likely 100 innings to 110 at most (plus 30-40 innings of someone else) is better. start, piggy-back, relief, whatever. Just Get outs
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    And in extremely microscopic sample size, he doesn’t any longer seem to be very good in CF either. 2020 -1 OAA 8 attempts 2021 0 OAA 50 attempts 2022 -1 OAA 5 attempts Maybe chalk that up to rust or small samples or just throw it out as noise, but I see that as another data point as a reason to move on. his RF fielding is excellent, and can’t hit near well enough for that fielding to be an asset. Combined with not wanting or capable to play CF, he’s a defensive substitute without a position to meaningfully provide defensive upgrade.
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed with others, shouldn’t move him until his speed deteriorated. Also, having lesser alternatives to Buxton shouldn’t be a reason to move him. It should be a reason not to.
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    Seager got 10/325 last year, I had a similar idea, got corrected quickly
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’m somewhere along these lines too. Polanco and Urshela are both in the last years under control/contract. Neither are likely to be retained. Arraez theoretically plays first, second and third. Miranda theoretically plays first and third. Neither plays second or third well. Buxton is all-world CF, but injured a ton. Martin plays SS, 2B and CF and has the athleticism and at least seems like a competent fielder. Scouting reports don’t like his arm, but high OBP rangy utility guy has a ton of value for this team.
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    Indeed, income taxes were a part of it, and playing half your games in an income tax free state is a huge benefit, but the Dodgers were also $75m light on the top line
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    Ohtani played part time outfield for the Fighters. He’s still 28, he’ll turn 30 during the first year of his new contract. $300m seems light. $400m seems heavy, probably in the 7-8 year length, maybe 9 just to spread the money out. OTH maybe he gets paid like a pitcher, incentivized like a hitter? 7 years $275m plus big bonuses for MVP and Cy Young awards?
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed, but the bar is a bit higher in certain markets, Yankees being one of them. If he doesn’t play well, the public scorn will intensify
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/mlb/why-dodgers-couldnt-hang-on-to-corey-seager-revealed/ar-AARjySz This confirms your recollection
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    I like your dream, no way in heck it happens. But I like it
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    I wouldn’t call it “delusions of grandeur” as much as “eternal optimism”. Such is life as a Twins fan. and yes, it is every offseason
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    I really liked your blog on if the Twins got their Money’s worth out of Correa. The whole premise of TD is a space to speak up. Maybe you or @mikelink45can be the pied piper to lead us all. thoughts about fleshing that piece out a bit? how to apply the concept further? can you turn it into a projection tool? Decision tree?
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed on your (and the Athletic’s) hitting analysis vs. the article that said 50 hits over 2.5 seasons. He might see 5-10 more hits per year, and agreed, that’s 4th outfielder hitting. the thing is, he’s not a CF. He hasn’t played more than a few games per season there in 3 years, even with Buxton being there half-time. Also Kepler was pretty bad in CF. -1 OAA in 9 innings last year. 0 in 22 games last year, -1 in 14 innings 2020. UZR150 -64 last year. Prior to 2020, he was fine in CF, but clearly over 3 years, he’s no more a CF than a first baseman.
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    Arraez twice and no SS. 20 players on the 26 man roster is one way to save money
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