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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    Wealth and budget are two different things.
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    Color me impressed too
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    Is this FO incompetent, that they can’t effectively multitask, to fill gaps in the roster while negotiating with Correa, or are they so hamstrung by budget that they can’t afford to sign Correa and fill other holes adequately? both paint a picture of incompetence as resigning one player you can’t afford is just as bad as not being able to multitask as a basic pre-requisite of management
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    Yes
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    Million? sure it’s been a crazy hot stove, but not that crazy
  6. Richie the Rally Goat

    Ugh… the post WM swirl and miss.., just ugh

  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’d rather the Twins pay his salary, and trade very little in minor league capital to get Crawford. Honestly, I think they should turn attention away from SS, now. They need hitters, and the available options at SS are not really upgrades from Farmer. Swanson could be, but with one season of good hitting, not sure I’d bet the Farm(er) on that.
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    FTFY i still think Correa was worth the 350 mil. The length of the contract is just the way to spread the money to make it work for the team cash flow. I understand why the Twins didn’t match or beat that, but I’m still disappointed
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Oh no! Too many all-star short stops on dirt cheap contracts! Whatever will we do?
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    This! Unless you have Joe Mauer, churn and burn catchers like relievers.
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    So vague… I’m so curious!
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    What’s the bigger impact, doing one thing well 120 times per game, or one thing bad once per game? stepping over dollars to pickup pennies is no way to get rich.
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    There’s 30 teams. 11th youngest is middle third, median, average. They are average in age in MLB, not young. they currently have many expiring contracts and are on the cusp of reducing payroll further in 2024, that are the top 6 age players on the team. Kepler, Gray, Maeda, all expire after 23, and Polanco has a vesting option at 550 plate appearances. Garlick and Megill are year to year.
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    Winter must be agonizing for you. Speculation is all we got during the hot stove season!
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    I think some of the discussion needs to be “to what extent do you believe injuries will repeat themselves?”. if you think lesser extent, this is already a well rounded very good hitting team with 3-4 very good starting pitchers and 2-4 very good relievers, and are just a few key components away from really competing. if you think to a greater extent, there might need some additional higher quality players required. I tend to fall a bit towards the lesser on the hitter side. Sure Buxton is going to get banged up, but the corner OF have good depth, Celestino has a ton of potential as a strong backup, outside of SS there’s quality players to start day 1, and depth around the infield except Catcher, where there’s 2 year out depth, but very thin in ‘22. I don’t think Lewis will be ready until late in the year, and of any position in baseball, SS is THE place to have a star. pitching I think to greater, but the options for starting free agents don’t help, and don’t improve over Gray, Ryan, Maeda, Mahle. That’s 4 pitchers who are all very good 2-3 types. None of them are Game 1 WS types, all are game 2/3 types. Rodon is a game type but is an injury risk that I’d be all-in on for the right contract, but doesn’t look like that’s happening. Relievers, I’d rather convert fringe minor league starters and churn ‘n burn, than commit free agency contracts. Volume at reliever over pinpoint accuracy.
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    Pohlad companies had an ownership stake in FSN (going back to the MSC days) that I assume they retained through the Sinclair transition. I believe the cruddy TV deal doesn’t bring the full Pohlad view into scope because different parts of their companies have the stake. I believe Joe coming from media may have had something to do w/ the FSN ownership management.
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    Wow! It’s rough being super-rich! Thanks for sharing!
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    Player contracts are like “capital expenditure” but they aren’t depreciable assets in the taxation sense. They’re just expenses.
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    At 3.5% inflation (real inflation over the last decade including recent short term spike is 3.1%) 25m today is $17m in 2034. If todays inflation persists a decade, our global economy will collapse and we’ll all revert to a Mad Max distopia. whether MLB salaries follow their current growth trend, I’m not smart enough to forecast, but I gotta think the P&L of the owners will necessitate slowing growth at some point. I think a good comparison is Capital Expenditure (which does fall under equity once it’s paid for). It’s the reinvestment back into the business that is best paid for by your cash flow, rather than more expensive financing options like stock issuance or debt. Also keep in mind that both parties know that the payback period on the capital expenditure exceeds the useful life of the asset. Bogaerts knows he won’t be an all star SS, and probably not a SS, maybe not in the MLB in 2034, and so does SD. The payback period assumes higher revenue in the future to facilitate today’s spend.
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    MLB, Amazon Apple, or Disney maybe? Traditional cable networks are probably out the window, but the MLB is still very lucrative. In terms of the OP, DSP dropped hints in August that the team might reduce payroll this off-season. My guess is they have a targeted list, and if they don’t succeed, internal options rather than plan B free agents. Edit to add, agreed with Mike, there’s probably 2 relief Pitchers, Catcher, Correa at SS, an outfielder, maybe a Starting Pitcher. If they can sign or trade for their specific targets, they’ll do it, if they can’t, internal options are they way they go
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    Right, and negotiation with Bogaerts and having Farmer already on the team can give the Twins some leverage on the negotiation w/ C4. Something like: ”look, we’d rather sign you, but if we can’t figure this out, we’ll go w/Bogaerts that we are close on a deal with”.
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    For a real ace starting pitcher, no one is off the table (if the total package price is right). I’d totally trade Arraez plus for Woodruff or Burnes.
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    The Fleetwood Mac discussion is in the Sports Bar forum
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    It would be awesome if the Twins could hire Castro as a coach/analyst. His experience would be a great asset in bringing context of the data to the players!
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    That seems pretty obvious that the best and youngest SS in the free agent market is the highest priority.
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