Woof Bronzer
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Everything posted by Woof Bronzer
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Is this all there is? Is there nothing more???
Woof Bronzer replied to killebrewlover's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Yes. -
Over Managing Manager of the Year Award
Woof Bronzer replied to Riverbrian's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I think you've got to take anything Hayes says with a grain of salt. Last night he immediately defended the moves by saying Manea threw 30 pitches in the pen before the game a la someone who is not pitching that night, so the Twins were duped into thinking he wasn't pitching. Rocco himself debunked this - it was a lie, flat out, Manea didn't throw 30 pitches, but 8-10 which is SOP for someone who is going to pitch. Which means someone is feeding Hayes BS to defend the FO/manager because they know he'll run with it uncritically. That said, I am much more alarmed by the above quote than you seem to be. It's baseball. It's a game. These guys are overthinking every little thing. As a hitter you've got to literally make split second decisions with every single pitch. To be successful you need a clear mind and instincts/reflexes honed over thousands and thousands of at bats. There's such a thing as too much information, if you ask me. -
Don't be Desperate with Royce Lewis
Woof Bronzer replied to Hans Birkeland's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This is a front office that blamed fans for last September's meltdown. They sure as heck don't care what fans think about anything, much less the roster. They traded away fan favorite Arraez without thinking twice, and by holding on to Pagan the FO is actively trolling fans "who think they know better". Also I'd suggest the poster look up the word "bloodlust" and ask himself if this is the best way to describe fans desiring prospects to get called up. -
Over Managing Manager of the Year Award
Woof Bronzer replied to Riverbrian's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
The team operates under the uber-analytics fallacy that strikeouts "are just a type of out". This is factually inaccurate, but that's what they believe, so they teach their players to swing as hard as the can every single time and not to worry about striking out. So the hitting coach is teaching exactly what the FO wants. To this FO, strikeouts are not the problem - they're the plan. -
Here's how I view things: MLB is the pinnacle for managers. There are 30 MLB manager jobs. Is Rocco Baldelli one of the 30 best people at his job on the planet? I'm not calling for his head, because a) who cares about my opinion? b) try not to be one of those "fire everybody" fans c) Falvine would just replace him with a clone. But seeing a clearly over his head Rocco flail away last night was the sports equivalent of a cringe comedy. Uncomfortable to watch. At some point you wonder if it would be a mercy if he was let go.
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The opposite of a strikeout is putting the ball in play, so if Ks are the problem, putting the ball in play is the solution. The Twins have grounded into 30 double plays this year and have 369 hits. By putting the ball in play the Twins have been 10x more likely to get a hit vs. a GIDP. (Yes I get that not all of those hits have come with a runner on base.) They've also struck out 458 times - nearly 8x the outs that GIDPs have resulted in. The idea that strikeouts are preferable to making contact because of the potential of double plays needs to be retired.
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Week in Review: Wasted Opportunities Out West
Woof Bronzer replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Ok, but I'd say it's legitimate to question whether All Star game appearances is the best measure of "successful offensive production". Wasn't Ron Coomer an All Star once?- 22 replies
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- griffin jax
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We've gotten to the point in the Falvine era that 10 hitless as bats with bases loaded and 3 bullpen meltdowns in 6 games is neither unexpected or unusual. We agree on that :)
- 78 replies
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- pablo lopez
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You don't even need a hit to score a run with the bases loaded and less than 2 outs. Look, the Twins are not going to revoke your fandom for admitting what anyone who watched those games knows: the Twins lost several winnable games last week. It's hard to take you seriously when you pretend otherwise, and I am not sure what it accomplishes, other than attempting to let the team off the hook for poor performances.
- 78 replies
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- pablo lopez
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Uh, what? Putting the ball in play is the opposite of a strikeout.
- 78 replies
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- pablo lopez
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Ok, it makes a lot more sense now. Apparently you didn't see in the box score that the Twins held leads in every game, and blew 3 of them. Did you notice how often the Twins left runners on base? Did you notice how often the Twins struck out? Did you notice they were 0 for 10 with the bases loaded?
- 78 replies
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- pablo lopez
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I'll ask again: did you watch the actual games, and see how they actually played out?
- 78 replies
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- pablo lopez
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Serious question: did you watch the games? Are you saying it's completely realistic for a good team to win 5 of 6 games every now and then? Nobody is saying they should win 5 of every 6 games. The Twins should have won 5 of these 6, though.
- 78 replies
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- pablo lopez
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Have the Twins Found Value in Trading for Starters?
Woof Bronzer replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
"At no point is it fair to evaluate a front office based on how the team performs." "At no point is it fair to evaluate a player based on his statistics." The most damaging legacy of the Extreme Sabermetrics Era is going to be the idea that process is more important than results.- 25 replies
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No. This has been made clear by the makers of the technology.
- 82 replies
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- trevor larnach
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Batting Average is the worst offensive statistic in baseball
Woof Bronzer commented on arby58's blog entry in Arby58
OBP is like 80% batting average. It's BA with walks. Look, we get it, you discovered a sabermetrics site and now you've got all the answers and anyone who has a different opinion is wrong. Enjoy the righteousness. -
Batting Average is the worst offensive statistic in baseball
Woof Bronzer commented on arby58's blog entry in Arby58
You get on base 30% of the time you put the ball in play. You get on base 100% of the time with a walk. Yes, OPS is great. You do realize that batting average is a sizable component of OPS, right? -
Batting Average is the worst offensive statistic in baseball
Woof Bronzer commented on arby58's blog entry in Arby58
On any given at bat there are 3 outcomes. In order of worst outcome to best: strikeout, put the ball in play, or walk. I prefer OBP, which is correlated to the 2 best outcomes, but batting average is a useful measure of how a batter avoids the worst outcome (strikeouts). The worst statistic in baseball is the one that is cherry picked just to prove a point, while ignoring other stats that may not fit "the narrative". -
This. There are some out there who believe that runs scored any way except via home run are lucky. To me it looked like the Cubbies had done their homework.
- 48 replies
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- sonny gray
- carlos correa
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You don't have to call him up to be a savior. Call him up to see if he makes it impossible to send him back down. Not saying they absolutely must call him up, but I don't know, we also don't need to find reasons not to reward good performance. Twins have to be open to doing new or different things - status quo aint exactly blowing anyone out of the water.
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The bullpen usage chart is a concern imho.
- 48 replies
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- sonny gray
- carlos correa
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The Tyler Mahle Trade Was Still the Right Trade
Woof Bronzer commented on Matthew Taylor's article in Twins
I think this lets the FO off the hook a bit. Yes, we need front line pitching, evergreen tweet. But the FO has a history of trying to game the system by acquiring pitchers with injury history on the cheap. This is where "the process" is worthy of criticism in my opinion. It's good that the FO is focusing more on the rotation, but in my opinion the strategy of trying to save a few bucks by targeting injured guys is misguided. There is no "market exploit" for acquiring top line pitching, it just costs money. Also, Mahle is no one's idea of a top line starter to begin with. We didn't need any more #4/#5 starters, we've always had plenty of those. So I think both the process and the result were failures on this one. In contrast to the Lopez deal - FO seems to acknowledge that they can't shortcut their way to top line pitching and need to pony up, make tough decisions, etc. I can get behind that line of thinking.- 53 comments
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- tyler mahle
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Byron Buxton Making One Dimensional Work
Woof Bronzer replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't think we should celebrate turning a 5 tool player into a 1 tool player. I am also very concerned that Carlos Correa seems to think he made the decision to turn him into a DH. -
Would the Twins Make a Shakeup at Hitting Coach?
Woof Bronzer replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
To me the issue is philosophy, so if they let Popkins go they'd just hire someone else to carry out the "grip it and rip it" philosophy. So I doubt a change would matter. One of the reasons organizations may hire young inexperienced folks is they're hungry and don't have the built in equity to butt heads with bosses - vs hiring someone who's done it before and is more likely to challenge philosophies and decisions. Similar to the "if they fire Rocco they'll just hire Rocco 2.0", I'd not bother with a hitting coach change.

