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Linus

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Everything posted by Linus

  1. Linus
    The lineup is not built to steal bases. I just want them to reduce the baserunning outs do to mental mistakes. The Twins don’t seem to care about that which confuses me. One of the first SABR concepts Bill James emphasized was outs are important - you only get 27. of course he was talking about hitting but it would certainly apply to baserunning. If you are a sled (which most of the Twins are) just play station to station baseball and don’t get thrown out.
  2. Linus
    Pass. Adding a mediocre player to a mediocre lineup just sends up be mediocrity. If you decision is that you really need a right handed hitting outfielder then trade Larnach and prospects for a good one.
  3. Linus
    These proposed extension articles need to include the players age and arb status as these are two large factors in considering an idea like this. Off the top of my head (which means I’m probably wrong) Royce is 26 or 27 and has four more years of team control. For me I would just pay him is arb numbers and if he is great slap a QO on him at age 31.
  4. Linus
    Pass. I’m willing to let Miranda run with it.
  5. Linus
    I have no idea what you are talking about. See you later.
  6. Linus
    No. There are many different opinions on this site. It’s useless to make sweeping generalizations about a large group of people.
  7. Linus
    It’s not fair to say most posters say anything. The sweeping generalizations of TD posters is not useful and inaccurate. Cleveland and Tampa succeed as you pointed out but not from some secret strategy that we are against. They succeed because they make better personnel decisions. I’m all for trading any player for good value. Falvey hasn’t demonstrated that he can consistently do that. It’s fine to trade Polanco - getting nothing in return is the problem.
  8. Linus
    I’m sure they do. I’m sure they will offer him the max dollars allowed. I’m sure they will make a nice presentation about how great Minnesota is. But guess what: it’s still a fourth place team that is for sale. Seattle has fishing a very strong Japanese culture is 4 hours closer to home and they can give him the same money. Go ahead and hope - I’m with you. But if he doesn’t come here it isn’t some failure on Falvey s part.
  9. Linus
    The Oakland Athletics of the 70s hated each other and won 3 World Series. One of my favorite Casey Stengel sayings is “the key to managing is to keep the guys that hate you away from the guys who haven’t made up their minds yet”.
  10. Linus
    I get the concept - starting pitching is the most valuable currency in baseball. However I disagree with the notion that the Twins have a surplus of pitching. Maybe next year at this time but not now. I would trade EmEod for a right handed version of himself. Said player can’t have wacky platoon splits and must be able to catch the ball.
  11. Linus
    I’m sure the Twins have already made the offer. A few walleyes aren’t going to do it. The Twins are not that attractive of an option right now.
  12. Linus
    This. That’s why my #1 move would be to trade for a cost controlled right handed hitting outfielder that doesn’t need to be platooned. Preferably one that can catch a batted ball. Let Miranda play first and we now have cut the platoon monkey business way down.
  13. Linus
    Agreed. Plus I don’t want to use valuable trade assets to acquire a catcher. In this org they are going to be a half time player so keep Jeffers and sign a defensive backup style guy for cheaper.
  14. Linus
    I love this deal. He’s only 26 and has some actual stuff. Signed to a milb contract means no risk. Would not be surprised if this deal actually works considerably better than the usual Jay Jackson type pickup.
  15. Linus
    I really like Ober but I would not extend him. You have him at arb salaries until age 32 which is a perfect time to trade him get a prospect and let someone else pay for his decline years.
  16. Linus
    The answer might be that the WAR calculation isn’t accurate or to break out the numbers by rotation / bullpen. This is from memory but I believe some of the bullpen arms were not good allowing inherented runners to score.
  17. Linus

    Luis Gil

    Linus replied to Linus's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk

    My definition of a lottery ticket is someone from the low minors. He was no more low odds than any prospect not in the elite category. As far as the time has passed it’s not really relevant. It’s not like the time value of money where the talent is worth more in the short run. You cited Caves 553 plate appearances over two years. That’s the very definition of a bench player. He wasn’t worth much but Falvey rolled the dice and got burned.
  18. Linus
    Former Twins farmhand Luis Gil was named AL Rookie of the Year. He was traded to the Yankees for Jake Cave. While it was a while ago this trade stings. Even though Gil was a lottery ticket conceptually I would never trade a legit pitching prospect for a bench player. My forever image of the Caveman will be him running in and diving for a ball and ending up 6 feet short of the ball.
  19. Linus
    Plus I believe there are 6-8 other teams that have the same amount as the Twins to offer. Sounds like a long shot but agree the call should be made.
  20. Linus
    Thanks for writing this.
  21. Linus
    Thanks for the article. I agree with big dog - neither Rosario or Jones were as good as Hisle. The Twins were amazing in the 70s with the bats. Bostock was a pure joy to watch play.
  22. Linus
    Getting to the show is really hard. I believe the number is 5-7% of all guys who play pro ball make the bigs. And they get weeded out at every level so good numbers at AAA doesn’t mean that much. I always push back against the idea of a “logjam”. Never happens because the can’t miss guys miss all the time. We are hearing it now with our starting pitching depth. I’m not trading anybody until Festa SWR Mathews et al prove they are major league starters.
  23. Linus
    In my opinion you can easily project a reasonable path for the Twins to win 86-90 games next year. Problematically you can just as easily and reasonably project a 75-79 win season. Their starting pitching should be good and that is always the most important place to start. There is potential in the lineup for the younger guys to take another step forward……or fizzle out. Health will be a big factor for sure. 2025 is going to make or break a bunch of peoples careers.
  24. Linus
    This. Thank you.
  25. Linus
    This sums up my thoughts nicely. A rebuild isn’t truly possible with Correa and Buxton on the books.
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