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SteveLV

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Everything posted by SteveLV

  1. SteveLV
    Players and Agents are not stupid. Deferred money has less value. They are not going to take net less money to "help out" a mid--market team. The reason THIS deal works is that Ohtani makes more than $50M from endorsements, so the present $2M is just window dressing. He gets $68M per year after he retires when, presumably, his endorsement revenue will decline. My question is who guarantees those future monies? Do the Dodgers have to buy an Annuity to guarantee those payments? Does the LA Dodger Baseball Club guarantee, regardless of potential future ownership change? Does the owner personally guarantee? Does MLB guarantee? Interesting situation.
  2. SteveLV
    Nothing needs to be done now.
  3. SteveLV
    10 years, $700M Ohtani to the Dodgers. $70M per year for a single player, who is coming off TJ surgery. Amazingly wonderful player, but this is insanity. Not that he earns this money--good for him!--but that MLB's system is so inequitable that one team can pay one player more than another couple team's entire payroll for 26 players. They might as well form two levels; Rich MLB and the Rest. For the A's, Pirates, etc., to compete vs. the Dodgers and Yankees of the world is not even the same level of competition. (And I know the Yankees stumbled last year.) MLB needs to get a hard cap or they are going to alienate all their fans in small markets---forever.
  4. SteveLV
    Don't get me wrong-I like Glasnow as a pitcher, who wouldn't? But the Twins are trying to cut payroll. Why would they pay Glasnow $25M for 1 year when they could have had Gray back for that price, Cy Young runner up? I know more years, but he is a known commodity. Or Maeda for 2 years at that price. I think Glasnow is a long shot based on the money. Happy to be wrong! :)
  5. SteveLV
    Glasnow seems like a lousy, lousy fit. He is only 1 year, expensive at $25M, has an injury history, and is not a FA so will require substantial trade capital. Bad, bad and more bad for the Twins.
  6. SteveLV
    Baseball was THE major league sport through the mid-60's. SInce then, the NFL has surpassed MLB big time. For some segments of the US population, the NBA is also more important.
  7. SteveLV
    Title says it all. All kinds of news including trades and multiple signings, nothing involving our squad. Color me disappointed. It would be nice to be aggressive rather than passive once in a while. It sorta worked (after a long and winding road) with Correa last year, but we are looking at leftovers once again Twins fans. I hope this post ages poorly and something still happens, but I doubt it. By the way, Fedde receives 2/$15M????? He was nontendered by the Nat's 2 years ago, career ERA north of 5, and one year in Korea and he gets that deal. Seems nonsensical....
  8. SteveLV
    That interview suggests the Twins are not making another CF acquisition a priority this off season. Could be smoke, but that is how it sounded....
  9. SteveLV
    IMO, massive overpay for Williams--and I like him, alot. I am not sure I would trade ERod straight up for him. Same thing for Festa, possibly. Polanco plus Gordan plus a lower prospect should be fair value for Williams, but I don't think Milwaukee is going to trade him at all.
  10. SteveLV
    Seems like the Twins are one of the last franchises that will be taking a salary dump. They are trying to do the same thing! Seattle is clearing room for Snell and/or one of the Asian free agents.
  11. SteveLV
    Anyone know what the Twins receive from MLB for the out-of-market streaming rights on MLB network?
  12. SteveLV
    NFL streaming on YouTube was about $350 for, arguably, 17 games. (I am sure many folks watch more than their home team, e.g., gamblers and fantasy football folks). I would gladly pay $250 for 162 regular season games and a handful of ST games. That is $1.50 a game. Heck, a large Coke at McDonald's is way more than that nowadays. If 250,000 fans pay that is $62.5M gross revenue, and they could pay production costs and on-air talent and be close to the Bally contract, and that would be ad-free! If they sell advertisement, they could sell it for something like $99, and then there would be no excuse not to purchase it for 90% of fans. That is less than the cost of attending one game in person, a total bargain. Conceptually, I see no reason why they can't profit and flourish with a streaming model. Am I missing anything?
  13. SteveLV
    The relief pitcher seems like a possibility, especially since the Twins already drafted him once. It is curious that he dropped 14 rounds in the subsequent draft, and that the Twins did not re-draft him. Jumping up that many levels would be a literal and figurative leap of faith. Why not take a flyer for $50K? If he can't get guys out in Spring Training, send him back.
  14. SteveLV
    I think Miranda's performance in 2024 is one of the biggest unknowns on this roster. Was his dismal 2023 due to injury, now resolved? Or was his excellent 2022 a classic SSS that will never to be seen again? That question impacts any acquisition of Hoskins, as they are both RH power hitters who are essentially at 1B/DH. On Farmer, I am reluctant to trade him given Correa's PF condition and the high mileage on his body. I think the Twins should plan to let Correa take more days off and/or use him at DH to help him stay healthier. I know he is a total gamer, but this might make some sense, and Farmer is the only other strong SS on the current roster. Unless Lee forces himself onto the MLB roster in Spring Training, he is likely to start his year in AAA. Certainly the likely first call up if there is an injury, unless it is 1B in which case we might see Severino.
  15. SteveLV
    DG, whom are you targeting as an upgrade to Jeffers? I am not opposed to exploring such a trade, but it is just a concept without another catcher to acquire. Do you plan to keep Vasquez too, then? He might be tough to trade with $20M due on his contract.
  16. SteveLV
    No realistic chance this FO sells the farm for a one-year rental. This is a trade target for win-now, big market teams.
  17. SteveLV
    I would first like the Twins FO to explore extension options with Kepler and his rep's. If they can work something out that fits the Twins long-range budget, sign him. If not, explore the trade market. If you like the deal, do it. It seems unlikely based on what we know of Kepler's performance to date that he will receive a QO from this FO, or that his FA signing contract will trigger a sandwich pick. If the trade value exceeds the FO's value of Kepler's 2024 performance at a modest $10M, they pull the trigger.
  18. SteveLV
    Established MLB Pitching is expensive. Maeda is a good pitcher, and the Twins will miss him.
  19. SteveLV
    Kepler raked in the second half of 2023. Raked. Like 4th best in all of baseball raked. I would not be shopping him at all, as I would rather try and extend him. However, if they can't extend him and someone gives up good trade value for a year of Kepler, so be it.
  20. SteveLV
    Glasnow is the opposite of what this FO is looking for. He is expensive and not controlled. This FO wants inexpensive starting P's with multiple years of control. Glasnow is headed to a big market team like the Dodgers.
  21. SteveLV
    Me, I am thinking the opposite direction, at least for exploration. I would approach Kepler and his agent with a 2 year extension offer, something like 2/!12.5M. If he takes it, RF is locked up for the future. If he declines, explore the trade market for him. This FO has shown the propensity to trade established players in their last year when the FO determines they will not offer the QO at the end of the year. Kepler--unless he absolutely mashes in 20240--does not justify the QO.
  22. SteveLV
    I strongly suspect one of those Seattle starters are going to cost the Twins Lee. They probably ask for Lewis and the Twins decline. Lee plus Kepler should get them in the door. That would be a tough decision.
  23. SteveLV
    I would do this deal if the price was reasonable. I would not give up ERod, but would consider a package of other players. The reason I feel the Twins need to keep ERod is due to Buxton's health, or lack thereof.
  24. SteveLV
    All this discussion about Julien vs. Lee as long-term pieces, and which to trade, brings to mind the whole Buxton issue. Consider: If the Twins had the DH spot open, they could have 5 excellent IF's rostered with Lewis, Correa, Polanco, Julien and Kiriloff. They would have the flexibility to rotate one of them to DH every game to minimize work load and keep everyone fresh. This would benefit Correa's PF, Lewis' knee, Kiriloff's wrist/shoulder, etc. You still have Famer and Castro for injury backups. And Lee is waiting in the wings unless he forces the issue with Spring Training performance. But Buxton needs to either play CF or stay on IR for all this to work. Me, I would like to keep both Julien and Lee at this point and see what the Twins can find in FA pitching instead. Roster construction is so much fun to speculate about.....
  25. SteveLV
    Boy, on Woodruff, I cannot think of a more worrisome injury than the throwing shoulder of a MLB starting pitcher. The repetitive wear and tear on that joint while healthy is extreme; post-surgery it is a total cr*pshoot whether he can pitch again, effectively.
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