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Jocko87

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Everything posted by Jocko87

  1. Jocko87
    As a terminal optimist I choose to look at this series in a positive light. Buxtons quotes after yesterdays game are exactly right. Just like the Yankee series there is enough good that they realize that they can play at this level and enough kicks in the clackers to remind them there is a lot more work to do. I’m of the opinion that DFA Pagan is part of that work but chill out on the FO. This is the most talented 40 man roster most of us have ever seen in our Twins fandoms. The bullpen is the easiest group to fix in season and there is time to do it. It might have actually been worse for the overall season had they swept this and the Yankee series. Now get back to work.
  2. Jocko87
    I am begging for some sort of strategy for the Manfred man innings! Get that run in. Every time.
  3. Jocko87
    Lewis isn’t a luxury. He’s a #1 overall pick that has shown he can play well in the bigs. Just like Kirilloff if he’s healthy he’s playing with the big club. For a roster standpoint they want and need Farmer back in the utility role, Correa and Polanco need a DH or off day at least once in a while. It would not surprise me if Solano was the move for Lewis. Miranda can fill his role as a better version with options if the need becomes critical.
  4. Jocko87
    Or Garlick if they had a couple lefties coming around.
  5. Jocko87
    Sometimes its hard to see the wins where the FO passed on someone. Combine this with the Willson Contreras thing this week and they are looking OK. Oh, and Gallo.
  6. Jocko87
    I'm with you on this. At #5 I want as close to a sure thing as we can get. If we are bringing the risk of a high school kid into the picture I'd rather have the risk of Dollander. Two months ago he was the next Strasbourg but now Skenes is making him anonymous. Upside of a true ace vs another LH outfielder 4 years away. I think my position player preference at #5 is Langford, hopefully he falls, RH outfielder that can be up in 18 months fits what we are doing and the window is now. If they like either pitcher I'm comfortable with the risk and would prefer to swing at it. A high school outfielder better be special special to return value at this pick. I just don't see it. I'd take a Jack Wilson over them.
  7. Jocko87
    It feels like Vazquez is playing all the time but the starts split (26/14) is about what we expected preseason. I was surprised when I looked it up. Jeffers is getting plenty of run. I wouldn't expect him to him this poorly all year and his receiving seems to be paying dividends for the staff. Of the two, Jeffers is the one who will get the better hitting matchups in the split and its showing. I think the mix is about right and we will have to roll with it.
  8. Jocko87
    With one swing in the 10th inning on Friday Brent Rooker altered the trajectory of my fun. Back to the Sunday schedule. Brent Rooker is on pace for 43.46 homers. A's on pace for 35.56 wins.
  9. Jocko87
    Unfortunately its being mentioned far too often. I think I just hit on another factor that will explain all of this. The new CBA has changed the service time equation dramatically. The Mariners are getting the 29th overall pick this year as compensation for Julio Rodriguez winning the ROY under the new Prospect Promotion Incentive Pick structure. Its explained in the article linked but long story short, they must be true rookies (under 60 days) and be on the roster 172 or more days in that year. Its why so many top young players broke camp or were called early so they can qualify. With this system in place, any team that brings up a top 100 prospect mid-season is either crazy or desperate. The Braves lost out with Micheal Harris as he didn't have enough time to qualify. Had they brought him up 6 weeks earlier they get a late first round pick. With this info I will take any and all odds on a Lee sighting before September. Zero chance he gets more than 60 days this year but a pretty good chance of breaking camp next year. Ready has little or nothing to do with it. https://www.sportingnews.com/us/mlb/news/mlb-prospect-promotion-incentive-rookie-year-cba/ja5ts8eaxcuv85xujnzriafb
  10. Jocko87
    If it was my video game draft I'd have a tough time passing on Dollander at #5 but if they have questions I'd rather take best college position player that falls. Just don't miss on this one. 18 yr old lefty outfielders aren't exactly rare currency so from a value move one of the SS would be my choice if Langford doesn't fall. Can't have to many shortstops IMO. Worst case they make great trade chips. Then go after the college pitcher at 34/49 with slightly less risk. I'm drafting for the next 2-5 year MLB window this year and the high school bats don't do it for me. That said, if they like Chase, I'm all in on that pick. Worth the risk for an ace.
  11. Jocko87
    Bats gotta get going, it's going to catch up with the pitchers soon enough. We may already be there.
  12. Jocko87
    This is the way. He's got some growing to do but certainly isn't overwhelmed at Wichita. If he can adapt as fast as he did last year he will be a September option for sure. I wouldn't even be disappointed if we didn't see him in September. Strange that this is even a discussion at this point, he isn't even on the 40 man. Who are we removing to make room? We still have AK, Lewis, Waller, Julien, reborn Larnach and Miranda, new hotness Helman and a dash of Garlick to burn through as saviors long before we get to Lee. Honestly, I'm not sure this was worth an article. I know we've seen some of these comments in threads but I've been managing to ignore them just fine.
  13. Jocko87
    Brent Rooker is on pace for 41.5 homers. A's on pace for 33 wins. The gap is closing.
  14. Jocko87
    “Criticism, like rain, should be gentle enough to nourish a man’s growth without destroying his roots.” Frank A Clark I’m born and raised in North Dakota in the Norwegian bachelor farmer tradition as I’m sure many of you are familiar with. I didn’t get a lot of guidance as a child but what I got was very memorable. Got caught with beer at 16, dad picked me up from the sheriff. I got left in the jail after getting a dui at 21. Called dad, he said remember what I told you last time? Yes sir, was just letting you know where I was. The feedback was delivered sparingly but with great effect. My theory is that the Minnesota booing is a lot like that. I wouldn’t expect it to continue but a message was sent. From his comments, he received the message. He will probably get some additional feedback on not running out of the box. Hoping Buxton was part of delivering it. Even leaders needs course correction and those two need to hold each other accountable. It’s also the only feedback loop the fans have. We are well aware that if this contract goes Chris Davis on us it will be potentially devastating to the franchise for years. There’s a lot riding on it and it is appropriate to remind from time to time.
  15. Jocko87
    But see, here’s the thing. 5 tool player is a term that only really applies to prospects. If all 5 tools fully develop they are known by a single name, Trout, Jr, Bonds, A-Rod etc. Almost like unicorns. I flatly reject the premise that he’s only using one dimension of his game as a DH. Three of the five are still in play when on offense. If I read some of these posts correctly, we’ve figured out how to make 4.5 fully developed tools a bad thing? I would go so far as to say the hit for average tool is pretty solid when adjusted for changes to the game since the 5 tool thing was invented. Hitting approach might be a better metric but that’s a different discussion. The 6th tool is availability. The names mentioned earlier had it. Buxton hasn’t had a healthy season yet which is why he was less than half price. So far, this is working brilliantly, especially considering how solid Taylor has been. Careful reaching for too much cake, you knock it on the floor nobody gets any.
  16. Jocko87
    The Brock Stewart experience is fun. Until it isn't. Stuff is good enough to just hammer the zone, hopefully he can adjust and embrace boredom.
  17. Jocko87
    On field baseball. Yes he will have to return to the field at some point but it’s a secondary reason. Correa and the Mets is an example of a contract that had nothing to do with on field baseball. It was a pure asset strategy. There would have been baseball involved but it was a business move. They may feel like chief, no value long term, and I wouldn’t blame them either. Most likely it comes down to how confident they are the arm will actually be fixed. If the medical staff thinks the arm will actually be fixed I would offer the Paddock deal as a business move.
  18. Jocko87
    The trade value doesn't matter in the decision to resign him but resigning him and flipping for prospects or getting something on the mound does help define the scorecard on the trade down the road. They won't get what they wanted but can still get something out of the deal. We are far from knowing who won this deal. CES and Steer are still one league wide adjustment from Mirandaing their way back to AAA. Both teams might lose. I would resign on a pure asset control move and nothing to do with baseball. A Paddock type deal would be great. Doesn't break the bank and if one of them shows life in the arm flip them ASAP. Functional SP with solid contracts are very valuable assets. If they miss the 15m lost is not the worst thing, The upside may be $60m value.
  19. Jocko87
    Value buy opportunity.
  20. Jocko87
    He's taking a lot of walks because no one else is hitting. He's not producing at stratospheric levels as he can be pitched around right now. Taylor hitting at league average is better then what would be rotating through the DH role currently so it's probably the best lineup they can put out there. When other bats heat up this discussion changes a bit but for now it's working about as good as we could hope.
  21. Jocko87
    Agree, sign him. Worst case he's a trade chip in 3 years. Recoup some value.
  22. Jocko87
    Thank goodness for Max Kepler as well. He’s quietly playing very well and hitting the ball hard consistently. .878 ops in his last 15 games.
  23. Jocko87
    I’m warming to Helman as well. Breakouts at 27 do happen and oftentimes it’s related to experience playing all just over just grinding for a spot. That breakout isn’t usually a $100m player but can be a very useful puzzle piece for a big league roster. A few weeks ago when we were discussing Gordon heavily I wondered if we could flip him for a RH hitting version with options. Helman seems like that fit and they would probably even be willing to play him in the infield too. Speed, defensive flexibility and functional with RH bat would fit really well right now. I wouldn’t even expect him to hit much with the big club but high level I would expect really good mature at bats. Never watched him but willing to assume that part of his success now.
  24. Jocko87
    It's relevant as its what trained our eyes. If the ABS is different it will cause more issues. I'm meh on the ABS but the tech has to be rock solid. I have issues with Trackman in general and issues with one vantage point above the plate. How would it call Rizzo standing over the plate blocking the corner? Part of my point is also that what we know is absolutely beside the point but we talk like we are the experts.
  25. Jocko87
    I don't ask to be obtuse, it is relevant in that I'm trying in several ways to say that what we see on TV is not accurate in several different ways. It wasn't obvious to me until I got into more serious plate work either. Your answer is correct except that to note crosses home plate is any touch of the edge of the white part, the black is not part of the plate. So the width of the zone is 17" plus two baseballs, I use 23 5/8" just for good margin. I can't see that 3/8" so I want to be sure. Its a question I use sometimes with coaches and parents that won't shut up, as fans we really think we know the rules but its mostly only high level. Unfortunately all the TV boxes are 17" which really skews the view, the ump score cards presentation etc. Our minds would do much better with a box where the the line is out and everything inside it is a strike, like the sideline in basketball.
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