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Brett

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Everything posted by Brett

  1. Brett
    I’m not sure DeSclafani is better than Varland as a starter. I’m not sure Topa is better than Varland as a reliever. Maybe Varland starts the year in St Paul and waits on one of them to flame out. Is that too easy of an answer? I still feel like I’m playing checkers while some of you (and, hopefully, Falvey) are playing chess.
  2. Brett
    Seems like we raised the floor slightly but didn’t raise the ceiling. Does the presence of another top 100 prospect make it easier to trade one of them for a playoff-level starter? Or do we sign a TV deal and grab Jordan Montgomery? mmm…something must be cooking on the Hot Stove.
  3. Brett
    Now there’s room on the 26 man for Gordon and Castro, so we swap hitting for flexibility in the field. Interesting. Maybe this is the first move of two. The new OF prospect might make it easier to trade ERod.
  4. Brett
    So much value in having a guy like Polanco in the 2 hole. If he’s actually traded, do you see Correa and Lewis sliding up with Buxton batting 3rd? It would be great to see Lee or Martin up towards the top of the order, but that probably wouldn’t be until later in the year.
  5. Brett
    Hey Cody, I think you hit a nerve here. 65 comments in just 4 hours! Not germane to the topic, but does TD have some analytics going on the writers? Whose writing gets the most clicks? Who draws the most commentary? I look forward to some day looking at the TD feed and having a writer’s stats at the top, headlined by CAR (Comments Above Replacement writer).
  6. Brett
    I had always assumed Polo would be the right infielder to trade based on salary alone, and what appears to be a lot of infield depth. Farmer might bring a better return, but then you have to believe in both Castro and Gordon to play freely around the infield. It’s a tough call. I would like to keep everyone, but that’s because I mitigate risk for a living. We’ll see who stays healthy through spring training. That should ultimately decide who stays.
  7. Brett
    The level of uncertainty with Buxton and broadcast revenue will keep the roster situation fluid until spring training, at least. Until we see our favorite CF actually in the field, we’ll be questioning whether he can play rather than how often. Just not sure if anyone is in a position to rescue us from a revenue standpoint, and how much effect it will ultimately have on payroll. With that said, it’s really nice to be discussing a couple of distinct roles on the 26 man roster rather than going into spring training with a few locks and way, way too much hope.
  8. Brett
    I haven’t listened to a lot of games on the radio, so I’m excited to hear from Provus. Now we collectively need to campaign to get John Bonnes in the analyst rotation. It’s a step down from the celebrity bartender role, but he probably wouldn’t turn it down.
  9. Brett
    Nick, this is not what I wanted for Christmas. Too soon.
  10. Brett
    Can we trade for whoever is drafting and developing pitchers for the Marlins? That would be my preference.
  11. Brett
    If Ohtani was more interested in a “safe” or “clean” city, wouldn’t he have chosen Toronto over LA?
  12. Brett
    I agree that Kepler would be difficult to replace with the roster we have now. Of the two, Polanco is easier to replace if we absolutely have to cut costs (or repurpose $ for pitching). If Kepler is moved, there must be a corresponding move to bring in another corner OF option.
  13. Brett
    That looks like a pretty solid look, and I wouldn’t argue with any of it. What’s the over/under on the number of those players who will be on the roster at the end of the season? I’m thinking 17.
  14. Brett
    A couple of things… At $15M/year, Buxton only needs to be worth about 2 WAR to be “worth it” financially. If healthy, he should be able to pick that up in ~40 games if he’s roaming the outfield. With Keirsey not getting selected in the Rule 5 draft, we have some quantity of mitigation plans on the 40 man…Martin, Castro and Gordon are getting the press, but now Keirsey becomes an option as well. If we end up spending big money on a starter, maybe we can forget about spending on someone who can start 100 games in CF just in case Buxton is not up to snuff AND none of the youngsters have any staying power out there.
  15. Brett
    Nice to see a post that puts the front office in a positive light. They have surprised us with some of their trades, and it’s very likely something is cooking that we don’t see coming.
  16. Brett
    We’re asking a lot of Lewis, Correa and Julien to stay both healthy and effective for a whole year. Polanco and Farmer are an effective veteran mitigation plan, but there’s no guarantee one or both of them isn’t traded in order to save money. I can imagine a future without Lee, but it looks a lot like this year’s offense (without Gallo, but still). The future I would like to see is Lee starting in St. Paul and stepping onto the grass at Target Field. So yes, go get us a starter. But not at the cost of Brooks Lee.
  17. Brett
    Hoskins would be super fun to watch, but I don’t see tying up half the payroll in 3 guys. Especially when none of them are pitchers. I like the other changes though. Well thought out.
  18. Brett
    If we’re going to spend that much, I would prefer it to go toward a frontline starter. Pitching seems to carry us farther in the playoffs.
  19. Brett
    Turner would be fun, but as others have stated, do the Twins actually have the financial flexibility to sign any significant free agent? We all would love to sign a “backup” CF, a relief pitcher and one of these hitters. But we would also love it if Tony O’s Cuban sandwiches didn’t cost $35 next year. Maybe that’s just me…
  20. Brett
    Curious to spend $20M on 2 solid regulars with so many cheaper options lined up behind them in light of the lack of clarity on TV revenue. If we swing a TV deal, do we keep them? How large of a factor is external revenue? Sign these two, offer arbitration to everyone in that situation, and bring ‘‘em all to Fort Myers. Hopefully there will be some financial clarity in 3 months.
  21. Brett
    I’m not sure Varland should stay in the pen. We will have at least 8 and more likely 10ish guys make starts next year. Paddack will need rest at some point, and Ryan/Ober/Varland will probably fill 2 and sometimes 3 spots in the rotation. We will likely see Festa and SWR, maybe Lewis, and I can even dream about Raya (although ‘25 seems much more likely). Even if we get 30 starts from Pablo and the next 4 average 25 starts (not likely), we still need 32 more starts from others. Appreciate this conversation. I haven’t felt this good about Twins pitching for a long time, and I’m juiced for the offseason to see what it brings.
  22. Brett
    I would bet the Twins offer arbitration to Farmer and sign Polanco both. Maybe by spring training, there will be an injury somewhere that opens up the trade option. Lee and Martin will certainly be in St Paul to start the year, then we’ll see if one of their performances merits a change.
  23. Brett
    I think we’re just a Buxton away. And not the hurt DH variety, but the XBH-robbing, base-stealing, did-you-see-how-far-he-hit-that Buxton that we know is in there.
  24. Brett
    What we plan in CF next year drives a lot of this. Will Buxton be able to play the position? How many games could Castro cover? Are we serious about putting Lewis out there? I wish Martin had been called up at some point so we could see him under the bright lights. Now he’s just untapped potential with a high OBP at AAA. And he’s a righty bat. if we roll with Martin and Castro, we chance rookie struggles and a Gordon-esque regression. If we roll with Buxton, we risk TD boards filled with clinical diagnoses. If we re-sign Taylor, we risk the clutches of Father Time. As winter closes in, I look forward to the lamentations, prognostications and the clear, unbridled optimism of spring. Win Twins. And go Twins Daily.
  25. Brett
    That roster looks solid, although If Lewis can’t go, Castro will play more infield and then we need Luplow. I wish Buxton would grab a couple of hits this weekend in St Paul. Not sure he’s ready to see major league pitching yet.
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