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GNess

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Everything posted by GNess

  1. GNess
    I have a hard time seeing the Twins trading Lee or Lewis in a package for Luzardo. Lee and Lewis are core type players.
  2. GNess
    It seems to me if the Twins had a young starting pitcher they deemed ready to handle a rotation spot that pitcher would be in the Twins' rotation now and Varland would be in the bullpen or in St Paul because Varland's "readiness" is far from certain. Now having said that at least there is a strength in numbers effect with the handful of reasonably speculative prospects, including Varland, who might well prove to be effective SP for the Twins, discerning which one or two is up the FO.
  3. GNess
    Rough start on the injury front in losing a core player like Lewis. No word yet on the seriousness of it. Let's hope for the best and enjoy Lee's promotion if Lewis is out for some time.
  4. GNess
    Lee also showed a major improvement in results from last spring. He is going to be a good one - a position will work out for him. His talent and performance will demand it.
  5. GNess
    Much anticipated Pitching Pipeline may well be rounding into shape. Performance matters though and these prospects need to get it done at their respective levels.
  6. GNess
    He is an intriguing prospect. Severino pounds the ball and strikes out a lot. I understand that annoys many on TD, but doesn't seem to bother the Twins' front office much. I suspect if Severino is hitting at St Paul he will definitely get some time with the Twins.
  7. GNess
    Good move. Margot is a solid MLB, proven OF and a reasonably good hitter. Miller is promising, but Twins have a number of SS options ahead of him in the system.
  8. GNess
    Nice article. There really isn't just one formula for postseason success However, I will concede that quality pitching (starters and/or relievers) are likely a key in many scenarios, but not anywhere near a guarantee as noted on this thread the numerous ace pitching staffs that came up short of the World Series title. Since there is only one champion a year it seems that the wisest strategic approach, and I think the one the current front office has basically deployed, is to assemble a core roster, player development program and farm system that can produce .500+ competitive seasons as often as possible. The more you are knocking on the door the more likely you are to have it open for you with the caveat when you believe you have a team that is most likely to have a shot to win it all, you trade off some future assets from the deepest player pool you have to acquire that key piece or two that improves your chances. Does the FO consider this current core group of that more likely variety? If so more moves to come...
  9. GNess
    Signing most 35+ year old players include risk of decline in production, but it certainly isn't a sure thing. Santana brings a good approach at the plate and produced reasonably well last season (2023). He has a decent chance to have a positive impact on the Twins season.
  10. GNess
    Teams have to give something of value to get something of value. Hate to see Polo move on, but I think this is a solid trade. A top 100 prospect in Gonzalez seems especially intriguing. The two MLB level pitchers add to the depth in the rotation and bullpen. Plus, a bonus prospect pitcher with some upside as a throw-in. That's a pretty nice haul for two seasons of Polo..
  11. GNess
    Joe Mauer is well-deserving as First Ballot Hall of Famer and one of the greatest Twins of all-time.
  12. GNess
    The question of payroll is relevant, but it seems to me that the primary motivation for a potential Polanco trade would be the SP the Twins might get in return. (Polanco likely just one of the pieces the Twins would have to give up for a playoff caliber SP.) The Twins would be dealing somewhat from a surplus of quality options at 2B - Julien, Farmer, Lee... Polanco has some trade value for teams looking for a good bat at 2B.
  13. GNess
    Offense is really about scoring runs. It's not about strikeouts, home runs, clutch hitting, two strike approaches etc. The Twins rely on power to get their runs, and it worked reasonably well in 2023. The Twins were in the Top Ten in MLB in runs scored. That is pretty good, and I don't see any reason they can't do just as well or better next season in producing runs.
  14. GNess
    Planning certainly involves optimal outcomes (Buxton plays 80-100 games in CF) and less optimal outcomes. I am sure the FO is looking at creating contingencies on the roster if Buxton can't go. Martin, Castro, a free agent, or trade for a CF - who can function as a 4th OF/Back-Up to a regular like Taylor did last season. Martin seems ready for a role with the Twins. The team did well without BB last season for the most part down the stretch. I remain guardedly optimistic that this new surgical procedure will have a positive effect for BB, and that will have a positive impact on the team's performance.
  15. GNess
    So much is recency bias with these four. I think the Dobnak contract was the least wise of the four. MLB star level players such as Correa warrant high-end contracts. It is noted that the "Pohlad Way" doesn't allow for big spending - well they spent big on Correa and folks complain about that. Have it both ways much?
  16. GNess
    It would be tough to part with either Lee or Julien. But at least the Twins have these sorts of young talents with which to help swing a deal for a quality SP and still have one of them remaining on the roster.
  17. GNess
    If Lee takes over at 3B and Lewis plays 2B for the long haul where do the Twins move Correa to make room for the likes of Miller? Long way off, with a lot that can alter things, but worth speculating about? This doesn't inclue where the Twins play Julien as well.
  18. GNess
    Not saying they are equal in value, but the Twins received Pablo Lopez and a higher end prospect for Luis Arraez. Surely, Jorge Polanco and possibly a prospect could net them a pretty good rotation piece? Teams deal from strengths and some teams believe it or not consider themselves to have surplus SP. Teams trade SP all the time for other reasons as well - such as the Rays and/or Padres who are looking at the financial component and will likely move SP in trades this off-season. Hate to see Polanco go, but if this sort of deal for a quality SP can be achieved the Twins have to go for it.
  19. GNess
    Severino may earn a spot on the roster out of Spring training, but that is also dependent on there being a spot for him to take. If the FO adds a 1B option as they are rumored to be considering it will take a lot for Severino to start the season in MLB. Kirilloff and Miranda are also possible internal options at 1B. I do like what I see of Severino's video highlights. Yes, he strikes out a lot - so what else is new with most of the Twins' players...
  20. GNess
    The Twins FO shouldn't have to think too much about adding Camargo. A Catcher with projectable home run power who seems competent or more defensively?
  21. GNess
    Here is my team (Fan since 1966.) 1B Hrbek 2B Carew SS Correa 3B Killebrew LF Hunter CF Kirby RF Olivia C Mauer DH Thome Bench: Tovar, Hisle, Harper, Cardenas, Braun SP Blyleven, Santana, Viola, Chance, Perry RP Nathan, Aquilera, Guardado, Reardon, Duran, Campbell, Marshall
  22. GNess
    If the numbers show Correa is not worth what the Twins are paying him by. a wide margin why would any other team want him? Especially since they have access to the same metrics. My view is Correa is a leader and a winner and you may not be able to see that expressed in the metrics except the one that matters most - the W-L column. (His outstanding performance in the postseason further demonstrates his value.) Correa is worth what the Twins are paying him.
  23. GNess
    The strike out issue has been oversimplified. The power potential of each hitter must be considered inasmuch as there are players far more likely to hit home runs than others. The less powerful players should more often than not concentrate more on putting the ball in play with two strikes or with almost any count for that matter. One size doesn't fit all in this debate. We also need to consider that positive outcomes aren't just limited to base hits - errors, driving in a runner by grounding out or a sac fly, advancing runners from 2nd to third and putting stress on the defense have some value in many game situations as well. Having said all that, the Twins finished in the Top Ten in runs scored - which is certainly the most important offensive metric despite leading the league in strikeouts. Possibly some tweaks are needed, not a major overhaul in approach.
  24. GNess
    Kirby was better than any player on the 2023 roster. Hands down. Clutch? And we'll see you tomorrow night!
  25. GNess
    Lopez has pitched like a # 1 in a number of big moments. He is a # 1. Paddack was a highly regarded prospect that just may be finding himself after numerous setbacks. He could be a # 2 - and with Ryan and Ober being more than solid the Twins have 4/5 of a rotation. Possibly, they could complete it internally with a number of decent prospects in the system, but I lean towards a solid vet free agent - why. not bring back Maeda if affordable? Twins have done a great job building a sound rotation that could hold up for a few years.
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