tony&rodney

The three mentioned all have some helium right now. I agree that Camargo is likely to see MLB time. There is quite a bit of debate on several players, which is good. I imagine that there is also quite a bit of discussion within the Twins organization as well concerning a number of players. There are few items already addressed, even if not certain. Buxton has a contract and his operation portends enough health that it is possible he returns to CF. He will be on the team, we know that. Right? Baldelli and Falvey both specifically have noted that Lewis is going to be a third baseman going forward. I will take their word on this. Of course, things can change but I highly doubt it. Kirilloff's surgery removed a major cause of the pain which restricted his full movements when swinging a bat or diving for ground balls. The procedure was fairly minor in nature and he is expected to begin strengthening and flexibility exercises soon and start Spring Training in full go mode for the first time in six years. Polanco and Kepler will have their options picked up. Polanco would be far and away the best middle infielder on the market. Kepler would be one of the leading outfielders on the market. Whether or not one or both of them are traded during the offseason, both are bargains. When is the last time the Twins signed a free agent pitcher to a major contract? I would like that. We should not expect the Twins to go all in for a free agent starting pitcher. Again, I'm all for adding a star starting pitcher from free agency. Yunior Severino should be added to the 40 person roster and he has a chance to get at bats next season if he continues to produce with his potent swing. He makes for nice PH, reserve infielder, and can play some first base. Severino is one to watch. Austin Martin seems like he should need to prove himself further at AAA, but he has the skills a team is looking for in a utility player. If Martin has a strong Spring Training I can see him on the 26 person roster breaking into the regular season. Martin can play anywhere adequately, can run, is patient at the plate, and can hit the ball. He may be beginning to reach the promise of his being a #5 draft choice at last. Finally, Brooks Lee .... Lee projects as a strong regular for a MLB team. He looks decent in the field and has a strong bat. He also may need further work at AAA, but I would not bet against him playing ten years as a starter in the major leagues. It is never a bad thing to have too many good players, but all of Polanco, Julien, and Lee are probably best served with regular at bats. Polanco seems underrated. He is a tough out and despite some injuries could easily play another 3-4 years of high quality baseball. Julien gets torched by some for his fielding. He doesn't always move so fluidly. Nobody can effectively dispute that Julien has improved quite a bit with the glove. Julien was a prime driver of the offense at the top of the order. Perhaps Lee can do all of what Julien brings to the game and more. I wouldn't bet on that because I believe that Lee already has more experience playing baseball and that Julien has more ceiling. Lee has a higher floor. It isn't a good idea to forget Polanco who is clearly better than both Julien or Lee but has been injured and is older. So the Twins have some decisions to make with these three. Which of these three is most valued by another team? Which (possibly with an addition or two) brings back the most in trade? Which player do the Twins value the most? All considerations when forming a roster.

No team ever won a game when the offense didn't score; that's simple enough. Still, baseball has a long history of proving that pitching is the key ingredient in winning. I'm with those who have hopes that the Twins add a strong starting pitcher this offseason. While signing a free agent saves the loss of good position player and prospects, a trade seems more likely. While it might be beneficial to add to the offense, it is very possible that good health, always elusive, and incremental improvements by a few players make the Twins into a productive offense. The Twins have some decisions to make about Julien, Polanco, and Lee. Perhaps this gets deferred. Royce Lewis just may be a steady player and a fixture in the lineup. I'm still bullish on Correa and believe he will have a better year with the bat going forward. The key, as it ever is, will be if Byron Buxton can be productive for 110+ games. Not just home runs, but the Buxton everyone pictures and hopes for only at a reduced rate of games. It is also reasonable to expect Alex Kirilloff to improve quite a bit if he is finally fully healthy and can have the offseason and March needed to prepare him for seven months of baseball. I'm thinking that the offense will be stronger in 2024, more in tune but even improved from the second half of 2023. The key remains to consistently place very good pitching on the mound. The decisions made this winter will determine whether those arms are from the current roster or from a few guys brought aboard.

I would take the Twins pitchers before either team, Texas or Arizona, every time. Nobody can guarantee results in the postseason but it is worth noting that the Twins has success against both World Series teams, even though some might point to when we played those quads.

That is a fair question and one all front office people ponder. Remember Kyle Lewis or Evan White from Seattle? Sure-fire all stars and Seattle even signed White to a long term deal. Stuff happens. Baseball is a rough business. I'm high on Brooks Lee as well, but he has never been labeled as a regular All Star type player. He will be a regular starter for an MLB team with solid performances. This has been and continues to be his line. If you watch Lee, he is really solid and does some good things on the field, but he isn't a wow player who puts up crazy numbers. He is just really good, which is something. Festa is in some ways opposite to Lee, albeit a pitcher. He has a lack of polish and is very inexperienced. However, starting pitchers who can locate 3-4 pitches with a fastball hitting 96-98 with regularity and a wicked slider are not common. Festa has at least another year of learning but I would not be surprised to see the skinny 6'-6" right-hander become a #2 starting pitcher. You are correct that a team will get more in trade for a highly rated prospect and that the evaluations are tricky. For a sure thing, I would bet on Lee. For star quality, I would pick Festa. Then again, both could be Evan White. I'm also keen on an attempt to add Burnes via trade, but I think one or two other moves need to happen first.

Too early to give up on Salas, that is for sure. It is highly doubtful that any team would give an MLB roster position to such an inexperienced, raw player. Salas could still rebound in a big way. He looked quite tentative at the plate. Once he got on base he felt more comfortable but the swing needs some work and Salas just needs to play for a couple of years to see where his career is headed. Prielipp has had physical misfortune. I think he needs to be fully healed and built back up to game speed before pitching in game situations. The Twins will be careful with him. By this time next year we should have a better picture of how his arm has responded to intervention and whether Connor could be a good prospect with development. I'm not giving up on him. Woods Richardson has certainly had his share of challenges being traded twice. He looks inconsistent from pitch to pitch and from inning to inning. However, Simeon is a big strong guy who has a number of pitches that do work at times. He still has more upside than a guy like Jordan Balazavic. I wonder if SWR becomes an add-on in a trade of big names in order to seal a deal, similar to how Jose Salas came to the Twins.

I never thought Lopez had twice the value. I was referring to the BTV site that many use to judge or guess at fair trades. My point is that we don't know the value other teams place on our players as well as to guess that Falvey does not want to trade for a player like Ray with a $74 M price tag. I'm fine with adding Ray because it is not my money, but I just don't think it is likely. So I'm not questioning the value of Ray as a pitcher and the Lopez-Arraez comment referred to BTV which is interesting but that is about it.

Oh yah, Festa is looking like a find. I like baseball and especially like watching the game in person. You can pick up so much about how good a player is or how projectable they are watching games live. Unfortunately, my exposure to Festa, Schobel, and Rosario is limited to milb.com. My take on Festa is that he is a guy who could be a #2 starting pitcher as soon as 2025. He has some impressive pitches but still has some challenges in staying consistent over more than five innings. I'm thinking Festa is just raw in his craft and needs experience. We will learn quite a bit this coming year because I think the Twins will let him stretch out and allow him to pitch through more situations than he has faced thus far in his career. Festa might be a guy who develops quite bit (physically) this winter. Man, he looks skinny. Experience, refinement of his pitches, and physical maturity should push Festa high up national rankings by mid season. I believe Festa is the Twins top pitching prospect by a fair margin. I also have watched Schobel and Rosario quite a bit and like both of these guys. I'll save the lengthy read to agree that these two are also making a strong impression. Schobel does so much right and Rosario has worked to be quick to the ball and more selective. Nice post Nick on three fun to watch prospects.

All five had great debuts. The Twins were lucky. Health, hit the ball, and play defense is exactly the ticket to moving up. Prospects get a chance to show their game and talented players who perform are rewarded with opportunities. A full year of good health will tell us how good Walker Jenkins can be. If he can get some exposure next August in Wichita, that would be a meteoric rise for a high school player.

Maybe. Drury hits for extra bases, but he has a low OBP and strikes out a ton. The Twins are pretty saturated at second base too. Still, it is a fair idea to ponder.

The reports before surgery indicated that there were many outcomes possible from exploring and seeking the source of Kirilloff's pain. A procedure on shoulders can mean either a long recovery of months to a year plus and even end a career. I had rotator cuff surgery and can at least use my shoulder for normal activities. I'm not familiar with the removal of the bursa sac. Just throwing out a thought that AK will be fully healed and finished with rehab before Spring Training and can go full bore. A complete March for Kirilloff has the possibility to uncover the bat of his 2018 minor league season before he started his string of injuries. That would be like adding a big bat in a trade. Let's hope so.

Solano was a real gem this past season. He had personal records in nearly every single category within counting stats. No doubt, Donny Barrels had a good year. Can he repeat himself at the plate and will he get as many at bats? All of Polanco, Farmer, and Solano are good players to have on the team, but I wonder if the good news concerning Alex Kirilloff pushes a reunion with Solano off the list of guys to bring back.

Imagine Kirilloff replicating his 2018 year in 2024 at the MLB level.

This is potentially great news. Once again the Twins (and their fans) will hope and see if AK can become the line drive high average extra base hit machine to anchor the middle of an effective scoring offense. One wonders how this news affects the Twins search for bats.

Through the end of May, in 8 starts, Varland was a quality starter. After 3 substandard starts in June, Varland was sent to St. Paul and never made another start for the Twins. When called back to the Twins team in September, Varland was good in relief. Varland wants to be a starter and he had a strong start to 2023 before the Twins lost faith in him due to the failed starts. A decision will need to be made before Spring Training on how best to utilize the inexperienced Varland. If the Twins replay the Lopez-Arraez trade again this offseason to bring in a very good starting pitcher, Varland may need to begin in St. Paul or be used as a relief pitcher. Without a signing or trade for a very good starting pitcher, The Twins should cast their lot with Varland. He has quite a bit of upside and it is real likely he is adding to and refining his pitches during the offseason. I'm perfectly fine with trusting Louie to be inked into the rotation for 2024.

Yes Ray is signed through 2026, but it comes at a cost of $73 million plus a $1 mil if traded ($74M) and he is returning from injury in 2024 which makes the contract effectively larger. I like Robbie Ray and would welcome his addition to the Twin. I just don't see it happening. Sonny Gray, Jordan Montgomery, or Aaron Nola at 3/$81 are likely better values. Not saying each gets that annual number but the totals are all probably way low. What Seattle wants is unknown at this point and speculation is just guesses, which some of us do. Seattle wants a RF, 2B, maybe 1B, and prefers guys who are more difficult to strike out. I have no idea how Seattle views players in the Twins system, but a call is worthwhile. I will remind you that last year Pablo Lopez carried twice the value of Luis Arraez. Teams are looking for ways to improve their team. So are the Twins.

The Twins will be looking for a pitcher who has a few years left before free agency and has upside. Robbie Ray has been a good pitcher but has neither of these qualities. I would be very surprised to see Ray become a Twins. We don't know where Seattle casts their eyes for talent to improve their team. We do know they have stated a desire to reduce their strikeouts. I'm thinking the Twins want to hold Polanco and Kepler next season but perhaps those two plus money and a good prospect nets a Seattle pitcher of note. It is really hard to determine/guess what direction either Minnesota or Seattle is headed right now. A major trade for one of Kirby, Gilbert, or Miller is possible but the cost would be high. Perhaps the Twins like Varland enough to hold. I do think Miami is still a possibility and also Milwaukee. Milwaukee only happens if something else occurs first though.

The addition of players like Goldschmidt, Alonso, and Soto possibilities are doable financially, which is the point of the post. I agree that adding a big contract seems unlikely, although I'm not opposed to adding a pitcher like Montgomery. The trick for this offseason is how can the Twins acquire players without hurting the team for the next few years. There are going to be options and while rolling with the current talent plus a couple of depth pieces can work, it will be interesting to follow whether Falvey makes some larger moves. The competition for one year deals may be pretty crowded. Solano worked out well. The trades for Farmer and Taylor were important for 2023. Picking up Willi Castro turned out better than expected. I think Farmer may have more worth than he has ever had in his career. Pitchers like Montas or Severino could either totally bomb or prove to be valuable. Teams may be willing to pay more than $10 million for that lottery ticket. There is value out there. The Twins signed Jeff Hoffman last March, released him, and then he had a good year for Philadelphia. I wouldn't say that was a mistake but it is an example that there are players who can help a team. I'm thinking that three teams are potential trade partners for the Twins: Seattle, Milwaukee, and Miami. Falvey has his eyes on much more. The key, as always, is to make a discussion revolve around mutual benefit. The unknown is how other teams value the players in the Twins system. Whenever I think of a possible trade I try to imagine that the other team can see their team improving with the transaction. Last offseason I had the Twins trading Arraez and Larnach for Luzardo and Cabrera. I didn't think Lopez would be available. Can the Twins pull off another similar trade, which would return a salaried controllable starting pitcher? This is one way to keep the roster money down. The Twins are likely looking to keep below $150 million for 2024. This makes it difficult to add an expensive free agent.

Baseball isn't random. The teams that survive a 162 game season to qualify for the playoffs are all good. Any of the teams are capable of having combinations of players perform throughout the grind of the postseason leading them to the World Series. All teams use analytics similarly to an extent. The makeup of the teams differ and success is a result of the athletes performances. I think you object to the three true outcomes plan for offense which is more a function of strategy suited to personel than just analytics. Yes, I prefer using all options and more contact than a parade of strike outs by the offense but it isn't so simple as just hit the ball as we have seen this postseason.

Pretty exciting to have two teams that have worked so hard to turn around their records in just two years playing in the World Series. The playoffs this year have shown how important getting a place at the table can be for any team. When someone has desires that the Twins need to do much more than just win the AL Central, it is good to remember that a historically great team like Atlanta can lose in their first round of games. Baseball has such a small difference between most teams that whomever peaks or gets hot has a shot at reaching the World Series. Arizona has the third worst record of any team to ever make it to the World Series. The competition is fierce in the playoffs and while some teams seem to ooze talent and have superior tough players, the reality is that any team can go on a run. Just a month or so ago, both Texas and Arizona looked very beatable to a number of teams. The Twins swept the Diamondbacks and defeated the Rangers in 5 out of 7 games. Now the World Series features two exciting teams who have bounced back from their failures of two years past. It could be a really fun series to watch.

Running should be used more often as situations present themselves. The Twins definitely rn more this season. Of course, a more athletic and faster team will be more likely to run. The team also needs to consider the occasional sacrifice bunt. There are times this is a sound plan for scoring runs. Finally, scoring runs by shortening the swing when a runner is on third base with less than two outs adds wins. Sacrifice flies, ground outs, or via a safety squeeze, the Twins can still find ways to improve their offense. Stealing bases is just one way.

There are probably some players that could be acquired via trade that would help the Twins but I'm having a hard time finding ones that are actually available. Lars Nootbar would be a nice addition but unlikely to be moved. Free agent signings are nice but Cody Bellinger is really it besides the DH market. Do the Twins add a guy like Bellinger? Does anyone see the Twins signing an expensive DH or Teoscar Hernandez? I'm not sure that happens. The Twins did fair in the postseason. The biggest disappointments for me were Jeffers and Wallner. I like them both though. They are still gaining experience and learning. So answering the post, I'm not adding much offense to what is already on the roster. Yes, the roster is good enough. Juan Soto would be a nice addition, right?

Every time I look over these lists I keep landing on Montgomery as the only guy to add for big money and Montas or Severino as guys on a one year prove-it deal. The playoffs have changed the numbers perhaps. I would be surprised if Snell, Nola, and Montgomery aren't looking for $25M per year and 6 years too. The month of November should set in motion what the current market will bear. The idea of adding a top starting pitcher is so appealing but the numbers may be prohibitive for the Twins.

The Twins have position player depth, which is good, and they would like to keep that depth. Thing is, starting pitching prices will be high and there is a pretty dire lack of position players available via free agency or trade. The Twins will check in on some starting pitchers and find the bidding too steep. This leaves the Twins looking for teams that find value in their position players. All of Jeffers, Kirilloff, Julien, Lewis, Wallner will draw some interest as will veterans Kepler, Polanco, and Farmer. Additionally, a few teams may see Brooks Lee or another couple of prospects worthy of a conversation. Conversely, the Twins could essentially stand pat and count on solid returns from injured players, a rebound or two from players that were disappointing this year, and increased production from the young guys who led the team in the second half of the year. The Twins may also feel that their AA and AAA players may step in and help as needed. Two directions are possible for Falvey. Fans (me/others) may be asking for additions to the roster but the pickings are slim unless they wade into the deep end. I'm not at all sure what to think about the cost or baseball value of guys like Maeda, Severino, Montas, or a couple of others. Trades or ride the current talent seems to be the play. We could all make two rosters: one that just uses what is available and another includes individual ideas for trades.

David Festa needs another year of experience in AAA, but he isn't a depth piece. If he can make similar improvement next year as he has in the last couple of years, Festa can fit right into the middle of a rotation. Marco Raya is likely two years away. The Twins need to listen to all offers. I believe that only Jenkins and Lewis are off limits. There are options and similar to last winter the Twins only need to find a partner to pull off a worthwhile trade.

I don't know if this is a bot, but the comment certainly lacks any knowledge of baseball as a base. I believe the phrase "old-time manager" is a reference to Dusty Baker, in which case one should understand this is easily one of the most respected people in MLB today. "Eye-for--an-eye" has been so rare that I cannot recall the last clear retaliation in baseball; it's nearly gone.