Greglw3
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Everything posted by Greglw3
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I appreciate the referrals but I was thinking af actual team scouts like Sean Johnson. I’m not sure any of those sites employ them or have access to them. I could be wrong. I’ve noticed in the past from OOTP baseball who seemingly use real professional scouts - that they tend to use a lot of 40s and 50s and even 30s for minor leaguers. I’t almost like they have to earn it by doing it in the big leagues. If you know any of those sites actually use scouts employed by 1 of the 30 teams, I’ll happily take a look and accept the conclusion.
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Are Reinforcements Close Enough for the Twins?
Greglw3 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Possible help: AAA Chris Williams (power at AA and 5 HR in first 25 AB in AAA), Michael Helman (10 HR) AA Edouard Julien (.438 OBP and .935 OPS), Austin Martin (.371 OBP and 27/31 SB), Alex Isola (C) .926 OPS, DeShawn Keirsey CF (34/38 SB) .257 ave. 6 HR .708 OPS Maybe a rich man’s Billy Hamilton?- 41 replies
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- trevor larnach
- kenta maeda
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I can’t find a single scouting report from a pro scout that’s recent or even old. I think that’s the key to evaluating him since I can’t see his games. A cross section of all 30 team’s top scouts would give me a really good perspective. We’ll have to see but I’m getting Nick Gordon quality vibes from him.
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Wait a minute: In 2021 Julien stole 68/78 bases. an 87% success rate. 68 steals in one season. And you’re saying that this player who stole 68 bases as a 22 year old "lacks any speed". Hmm He’s made only 8 errors at 2B. Not sensational but quite acceptable and hardly seeming worthy of the work of a butcher. From Matt Braun at Twins Daily: "If Edouard Julien sets the standard, it’s almost impossible for any other hitter to beat it. The on-base machine added to his legend, reaching base in all five plate appearances with a lead-off home run to boot. Oh, he also stole a base. The lefty infielder is probably the purest hitter active in the system at the moment; he should be a major league force shortly."
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Don’t forget that Wallner started slowly at AA too, and then went ballistic. He’s showing signs of making the move from slow start to ballistic already at AAA. Maybe he starts out like Miranda then adjusts like Miranda. Big time talent I think and the only one better is Edouard Julien, IMO. As of now, for me, Julien is the favorite for Twins Minor League Player of the Year (at least offensive). He can do it all, piling up crazy OBPs, hitting .300 with power and substantial stolen base abilities.
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RBIs have been an important statistic in baseball for well over 100 years, therefore for those who love the game, interesting. Larry Hisle 82 Ribbies at the all-star break, man! Said a fellow player in 1977. Hack Wilson’s absurdly high RBI total was known to most baseball fans....funny I forgot it but it may have been 190-just checked, it was 191! No requirement at all but I recommend a deep dive into baseball history for especially younger baseball fans. This book, to me, is the quintessential book on baseball, all of it, going back to the 1850s. https://www.thriftbooks.com/w/baseball-an-illustrated-history_geoffrey-c-ward_ken-burns/320783/item/1399830/?gclid=Cj0KCQjw3eeXBhD7ARIsAHjssr8jWhSDIBakBvvsplipclwb5mYpilSbuYNQKlfaQr84HUsvzIZTbwcaAnBsEALw_wcB#idiq=1399830&edition=3422469
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On what authority. For 150 years it was 1 RBI, 100RBIs and now all of a sudden someone changed the style guiro to 100 RBI = 100 Run Batted In.
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Makes no sense. Were not talking about Llama or Deer here.
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He currently has 80 IP with 75 Hits, just 22 BB and 64 K, moreover he has a 3.83 ERA. And he’s trending upward as he gets further and further from Tommy John. In June and July combined, he has a 3.63 ERA in 39 IP. He’d make a great 4th starter for us. Lopez, Ryan, Gray, Syndergaard with an average ERA of about 3.30. Last, he’s gone 7 or more innings 4 times this season and he pitched 8 innings on another occasion. Bullpen preventer.
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I like your plan Nick and want Syndergaard pretty badly too. The two relievers would totally revolutionize the bullpen. One thing I would do further is informed by watching the Twins win the 1987 World Series with basically 3 pitchers. To that end, I’d also go after Pablo Lopez of the Marlins. If we have to give up Steer or Wallner, that’s the price of getting in the World Series hunt. We’d still get to keep one of Wallner and Steer and have the monstrous talent, Jose Miranda and Alex Kirilloff and even Trevor Larnach. I’m pretty sure that Lopez, Gray and Ryan would be better than what the Twins ran out in 1987. And the opportunity is now for another reason. The Twins have arguably their best defensive team in Twins history with Urshela, Correa, Polanco, Buxton and Kepler. Heck, Gordon is even at his best in LF. You laid a solid groundwork. If Falvey and Levine will make the sacrifice for Lopez, the Twins could be WS contenders with the other moves you’ve laid out. In this scenario getting Thor moves 2 of 3 of Smeltzer, Archer, Bundy out of the rotation. They can’t win with 2 or 3 of those 3 in the rotation. If they could get Rich Hill, Thor could be 4th starter and regular season breaking ball rich Hill would be #5. And Correa plays his best in the postseason.
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Because he’s a good pitcher.
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I wouldn’t trade Correa for Soto. The only prudent move would be to extend Correa, IMO. Gordon’s best position is LF and they could try to acquire Michael A. Taylor as Nick Nelson mentioned or my favorite hitting machine Andrew Binentendi.
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Was the long-standing way of referring to 75 RBIs correct or is the new style 75 RBI correct? I think the first question that needs to be answered is what does RBI stand for? Runs Batted In or Run Batted in? I maintain that RBI stands for Run Batted in, the singular. You would never say that a player has 1 RBIs or 1 Runs Batted In. But you would say the player had 1 RBI (Run Batted In). That answers the question of what RBI stands for. Run Batted In. If that were not the case, and RBI stood for Runs Batted In, you could not use the singular. You wouldn’t say, Luis Arraez has 1 Runs Batted In after the season's first game. You would say Luis Arraez has 1 Run Batted In (RBI) after the first game. With that established, it’s pretty simple. 1 dog, 2 dogs. 1 balloon, 2 balloons. 1 Bicycle, 2 bicycles. And 1 RBI, 2 RBIs, 1 RBI, 50 RBIs, 1 RBI, 75 RBIs.
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I think it’s a great idea! Low cost in prospects. I think we’d only owe about 7MM since there will be only a little over 2 months left. Does that sound right? And maybe he’ll like it here and re-sign. I read that he’s been pitching better lately. They should do it ASAP and then do what it takes to get Montas, short of Miranda and maybe Wallner. I’d trade Larnach in such a deal and more from MILB.
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Trade Rumor: Twins still linked to Frankie Montas
Greglw3 replied to Otto von Ballpark's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
look at Laureano’s current stats, no way is he worth 45.5. That’s nuts! And he’s worth significantly more than Arraez???? I’d say cancel the subscription to that trade simulator. I’ve seen many times when they have had outrageous evaluations. Great idea. Totally unreliable. To me worthless. -
Trade Rumor: Twins still linked to Frankie Montas
Greglw3 replied to Otto von Ballpark's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I would say that under no circumstances should the Twins even consider moving Miranda. I would only trade Kirilloff (maybe) if they can get an agreement with Montas on at least a 3 year extension and be supremely confident that he’s healthy. And if they included Laureano as well. Ober and Kirilloff for Montas and Laureano? Is that fair? I’d rather they take Kepler before Kirilloff, however. -
Trade Target Tracker: RHP Pablo López
Greglw3 replied to Nash Walker's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Can we win in the playoffs if we acquire Castillo, Thor (not expensive), 2 strong relievers, perhaps one a rental, Binentendi for LF or Contreras for #1 C? Don’t forget expiring contracts are much less expensive. -
I think first, that any logjam is not a factor with Bell because he is performing as a hitter better than any of those he might displace. Another .300 hitter and with power and high OBP to boot would improve the Twins erratic offense. The cost, IMO, would not involved any of the above named players bt maybe a AA pitcher or at the most Eduord Julien. Montas is a different story. I wouldn’t trade Miranda. Larnach is a possibility because he’s replaceable, especially with Wallner on the way. That would be a fair deal with the Twins possibly throwing in an A or AA pitching prospect.
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The Five Best Hitting Trade Targets for the Twins
Greglw3 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Definitely make a play for Willson Contreras. He would be such a vast improvement over Jeffers who lugs that .190-.205 average to the plate and hurts the Twins overall run scoring ability. The Twins do need offensive help. The offense has been very erratic. I’m aiming for a WS here. ANother guy I’d love to have for LF is Andrew Binentendi. That would give the Twins potentially 3 .300 hitters plus Contreras. But they do need an ace type. I think Castillo and Montas both went down, one for a start and the other to the IL. If you read @Aaron Gleeman’s excellent article on 10 relievers available, I ws struck that there are some really good ones that wouldn’t cost too much.- 31 replies
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- willson contreras
- brandon drury
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That should teach you to never ever use OAA or DRA or UZR. Use your baseball knowledge and learn from people like Roy Smalley who said Gio was the best 3rd baseman in the AL and Rocco who said Gio’s defense was exceptional and your God given 5 senses.
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OAA is complete garbage.
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Here’s a play by the average at best defensive third baseman. It might be the best defensive play I’ve ever see a 3rd baseman make.
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I agree with you Mark. One easy solution would be to start Sanchez 70% at C, Jeffers 30% and have Miranda DH full time. I calculated his batting average a few days back starting on May 20. It was .343. Hmm. .345, .344, .343, AA, AAA, MLB. I’ve been assured by Latroy and Roy Smalley that they and the Twins have no doubt he’s gonna hit. I also agree with you on Urshela. Roy Smalley said on the Twins telecast that Urshela was the best defensive 3rd baseman in the league and I agree. I also agree with you that Urshela has played a level of defense at 3rd that I just haven’t seen in years. Rocco Baldelli said that Urshela’s defense was exceptional and he had a very high IQ for the game. I loathe those SABR defensive statistics. They’re so out of touch with what solid baseball men can easily see. Especially Smalley who has a brilliant baseball mind. After all he’s Gene Mauch’s nephew and Mauch was a tactical genius.
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Just another misleading statistic like WPA, OAA, UZR, WAR, OPS+ (slanted heavily toward power hitters and against Arraez), launch speed (Arraez’s probably low but hitting ~.350). Correa and Arraez are the only 2 holding the offense together. I think this recent phenomenon of these very questionable SABR type statistics is quite unfortunate. All of the defensive statistics are meaningless and almost always misleading if you compare to Scouts, managers, broadcasters - people that deeply understand baseball - takes.
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- devin smeltzer
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