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Greglw3

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Everything posted by Greglw3

  1. Greglw3
    Cave is gone. Wallner will be around. Gordon stays. Kepler is the issue. He may not be tradeable or if he is, they may have to pay part of his salary. That’s the route I would take.
  2. Greglw3
    Wow! I was going by the fact he made 10M last year. Obviously, I’ve underrated his salary. However, when you say at least double, we’re starting to get into Carlos Correa territory. Even though I’m not a fan of most SABR statistics (some worse than others), for the sake of comparison, Swanson had an OPS+ of 115 and Correa 140. Plus Swanson’s defense, would have a hard time topping Correa’s. To be honest, I originally had Austin Martin as the SS but had extra money in the budget so I upgraded. I think Martin is such a superior athlete and has such great speed and base stealing ability that he may come fast. Somewhat influenced by his late season finish at Wichita and his super sizzling AFL start and his high number of stolen bases at a very high % success rate (35/41 SB). I wouldn’t mind going back to Martin and going after a Rodon or Bassitt type starter.
  3. Greglw3
    ? Contreras ($16.07M) 1B: Jose Abreu ($9.12M) 2B: Luis Arraez ($4.50M) 3B: Gio Urshela ($11.00M) SS: Austin Martin ($.7M) LF: Andrew Binentendi ($17.40M) CF: Byron Buxton ($15.00M) RF: Joc Pederson ($14.68M) DH: Jose Miranda ($1.25M) 4th OF: Billy Hamilton ($0.70M) Utility: Nick Gordon ($1.40M) Utility: Alex Kirilloff ($0.80M) Backup ? Jeffers ($.70M) SP1: Sonny Gray ($8.00M) SP2: Joe Ryan ($1.25M) SP3: Tyler Mahle ($9.00M) SP4: Kenta Maeda ($8.0M) SP5: Bailey Ober ($0.70M) RP: Jhoan Duran ($1.40M) RP: Jorge Lopez ($3.00M) RP: Griffin Jax ($0.70M) RP: Jorge Alcala ($1.00M) RP: Caleb Thielbar ($2.00M) RP: Michael Fulmer ($4.2M) RP: Jovani Moran ($1.00M) RP: Matt Wisler ($2.10M) RP: Andrew Chafin ($7.00M) 140.11 M total payroll Kirilloff listed a U until he proves he’s healthy and effective. Wallner could play that role as well. If Mahle is not healthy, then Winder, Varland or Woods Richardson would all be capable of breaking into the rotation. Austin Martin could be knocking on the door as well Edouard Julien. Free agent salaries from Spotrac.
  4. Greglw3

    The Twins Need Hitters

    Greglw3 commented on Greglw3's blog entry in Greg Allen

    I agree Contreras would be a huge improvement over both this years catchers and a step in the right direction toward rebuilding a moribund offense. Add Haniger in RF and let Kepler go.
  5. Greglw3

    The Twins Need Hitters

    Greglw3 commented on Greglw3's blog entry in Greg Allen

    461 54 140 23 3 5 51 8 3 52 77 .304 .373 .399 .772 Above baseball reference. A few facts. As of Oct. 3, Binentendi was tied for 4th in the AL Batting race. His .304 BA was wildly above the league average by about 56 points. His .373 OBP was also wildly above average. As to OPS, that stat is for sluggers. Having team of all or most power hitters does not guarantee success as its an unbalanced team. You need balance. IMO, the ideal lineup would have the 1-2 batters with as high an OBP as possible to give a constant flow of runners for say Correa and Miranda, Bell to drive in. So with Benintendi batting #2 after Arraez at #1, that would form a dynamic duo of baserunners and Binentendi’s OPS would matter no more than Arraez’s does. It’s just not fair to ask a specialist in getting on base to also hit with power.
  6. Greglw3

    The Twins Need Hitters

    Greglw3 commented on Greglw3's blog entry in Greg Allen

    I'd love a Wheeler, Verlander, Cole, Musgrove type ace. I just think fixing the disastrous hitting situation is more important. WE actually have two potential aces in Sonny Gray and Joe Ryan. Pair Gray and Ryan with Maeda, Ober and Winder or Varland or Woods Richardson and fix the hitting with iron clad depth. If you look real close, there’s 3 potential aces in my 5 man. Normally, I would agree with you as I am really a pitching guy. But the offensive need, if not fixed will be fatal. I just want them to build out their depth much better than they have the last two seasons.
  7. Greglw3
  8. Greglw3

    High Marks??

    Greglw3 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    Doc, so he gives Falvine high marks for 2022. I distinctly remember last year that Jim Pohlad was asked to grade Falvine for 2021. His answer, "A+". What kind of curve are they grading on when a C- to D in wins translates to "high marks" and "A+"?
  9. Greglw3
    Kyle Garlick, along with Cave and Kepler should be on another team besides the Twins.
  10. Greglw3
    You nailed it!
  11. Greglw3
    I think no also.
  12. Greglw3
    It’s a beautiful day! You’re only as Pretty as you feel inside.
  13. Greglw3
    Take what you wrote and frame it. It keeps being give them one more year.
  14. Greglw3
    He was hitting very well even if in significantly less at bats. I looked back at his college record and it was pretty awesome. I don’t really know why he leapfrogged Lee. At first, I thought maybe it was because of Polanco’s injury and they might be planning on playing him a few games at St. Paul, then up to the Twins to play 2nd base. If he’s up to it, this could strengthen the team but getting Gordon back in LF, thereby strengthening the OF, if only a bit.
  15. Greglw3
    I think Lee is an extremely exciting prospect. I can’t wait for him to join the Twins offense. If he has nearly the same impact as the Twins hitter of the year last year, Jose Miranda, it will boost the Twins as their offense clearly needs upgrading.
  16. Greglw3
    With the old rules using a left foul line to right foul line approacht and intentionally striving no to swing for home runs, Rod Carew was much better than the very good and valuable Luis Arraez, hitting .350, .359, .364, .388 with the approach that Max Kepler doesn’t use. It remains to be seen if Kepler’s pull oriented approach benefits from fielders being aligned as they have for 164/167 years of baseball.
  17. Greglw3
    To be fair, you need to affirm that Cave and Kepler’s hitting is beyond poor. Hamilton is actually tied for highest career batting average of the 3! Billy Hamilton has a .239 career batting avarage with 321 SB 71 CS. Hamilton 16/16 SB in 2021-2022 combined and 23 HR career. Jake Cave .239 career batting average with 4 stolen bases in 8 attempts and 30 HR Max Kepler .233 career average with 33 SB 15 CS 129 HR
  18. Greglw3
    Billy Hamilton has a .239 career batting avarage with 321 SB 71 CS. Hamilton 16/16 SB in 2021-2022 combined and 23 HR career. Jake Cave .239 career batting average with 4 stolen bases in 8 attempts and 30 HR Max Kepler .233 career average with 33 SB 15 CS 129 HR
  19. Greglw3
    He's pitching lights out!
  20. Greglw3
    I think Billy Hamilton can offer the Twins the increased team weapon of the stolen base and he can offer defense in cf that is so dominant that over comes his lower batting average. Remember when Buxton dominated defensively so much while hitting .160 while playing cf that he was a net plus? I see that for Billy Hamilton. Earier in his career, he stole 58 bases with only 8 CS. Of potentially huge importance, in an extra inning game, he could pinch run at 2nd to start the inning and be a threat to steal third or have more ways to get to third than any other Twin, assuming Buxton is out. It seems like he’s been around forever but he’s still just 31 years old, although closing in on 32. I would have him up ASAP and starting in cf until and when Buxton can play cf.
  21. Greglw3

    Where's Wallner?

    Greglw3 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    I appreciate the referrals but I was thinking af actual team scouts like Sean Johnson. I’m not sure any of those sites employ them or have access to them. I could be wrong. I’ve noticed in the past from OOTP baseball who seemingly use real professional scouts - that they tend to use a lot of 40s and 50s and even 30s for minor leaguers. I’t almost like they have to earn it by doing it in the big leagues. If you know any of those sites actually use scouts employed by 1 of the 30 teams, I’ll happily take a look and accept the conclusion.
  22. Greglw3
    Possible help: AAA Chris Williams (power at AA and 5 HR in first 25 AB in AAA), Michael Helman (10 HR) AA Edouard Julien (.438 OBP and .935 OPS), Austin Martin (.371 OBP and 27/31 SB), Alex Isola (C) .926 OPS, DeShawn Keirsey CF (34/38 SB) .257 ave. 6 HR .708 OPS Maybe a rich man’s Billy Hamilton?
  23. Greglw3

    Where's Wallner?

    Greglw3 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    I can’t find a single scouting report from a pro scout that’s recent or even old. I think that’s the key to evaluating him since I can’t see his games. A cross section of all 30 team’s top scouts would give me a really good perspective. We’ll have to see but I’m getting Nick Gordon quality vibes from him.
  24. Greglw3

    Where's Wallner?

    Greglw3 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    Wait a minute: In 2021 Julien stole 68/78 bases. an 87% success rate. 68 steals in one season. And you’re saying that this player who stole 68 bases as a 22 year old "lacks any speed". Hmm He’s made only 8 errors at 2B. Not sensational but quite acceptable and hardly seeming worthy of the work of a butcher. From Matt Braun at Twins Daily: "If Edouard Julien sets the standard, it’s almost impossible for any other hitter to beat it. The on-base machine added to his legend, reaching base in all five plate appearances with a lead-off home run to boot. Oh, he also stole a base. The lefty infielder is probably the purest hitter active in the system at the moment; he should be a major league force shortly."
  25. Greglw3

    Where's Wallner?

    Greglw3 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    Don’t forget that Wallner started slowly at AA too, and then went ballistic. He’s showing signs of making the move from slow start to ballistic already at AAA. Maybe he starts out like Miranda then adjusts like Miranda. Big time talent I think and the only one better is Edouard Julien, IMO. As of now, for me, Julien is the favorite for Twins Minor League Player of the Year (at least offensive). He can do it all, piling up crazy OBPs, hitting .300 with power and substantial stolen base abilities.
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