Greglw3
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Everything posted by Greglw3
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Tough Decision Time for the Twins
Greglw3 replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That's a very good point!- 77 replies
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- matt wallner
- kyle farmer
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Tough Decision Time for the Twins
Greglw3 replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'd love for Keirsey to get called up ASAP but I keep looking for info on his return from the 7 Day IL (about 3-4 weeks ago) and I can’t find anything.- 77 replies
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- matt wallner
- kyle farmer
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Tough Decision Time for the Twins
Greglw3 replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Personally, I’d start Martin ahead of Margot and Miranda ahead of Larnach even vs righties. I think Miranda is a better hitter now than Larnach.- 77 replies
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- matt wallner
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Tough Decision Time for the Twins
Greglw3 replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Deserving are Correa (total no brainer) and probably Lewis. And quite possibly Joe Ryan.- 77 replies
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- matt wallner
- kyle farmer
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When I wrote that, I had Margot and Farmer in mind but Margot has looked better lately.
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- edouard julien
- brooks lee
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Good guess!
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I agree with you and recall too that they almost ruined Austin Martin by insisting he produce more home runs until he went back to his old line drive approach. `When will the Twins braintrust ever learn?
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- edouard julien
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Ha ha!!! He’s been read his rights!
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- edouard julien
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With Lee going 4 for 5 at ST. Paul and Lewis healthy, I’d say it’s time to call them both up now. And I’d call up Keirsey as the main Buxton backup and 4th OF while I’m at it. Keirsey had .400 OBP s OPS about .846 vs lefties last I checked.
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- edouard julien
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Good idea!
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Keirsey is out hitting Wallner by a landslide. Same pitchers. Outhitting Severino by a landslide too and Prato and Hellman.
- 80 replies
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- dashawn keirsey jr
- byron buxton
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The eye test is far superior to these infant stage def metrics in the 170 year history of baseball. It’s not just eye eye test either, I listen to the opinions of those I respect, like Tom, who is more than knee deep into the Twins farm system. There’s a reason why the eye test was used by scouts in baseball for 150 years before these absurdly counter intuitive def metrics came out, I just saw someone mention that Carlos Correa is below average in 3 main defensive metrics. In fact, he is a superb defensive shortstop, without peer, by my eye test and many others who have played the game. The point is too that the average CF could never make those plays that Keirsey is making. Do you think Delmon Young would make them? How about Margot. Zero indication. Larnach, never. Andrew Benentendi? Buxton yes. Billy Hamilton Yes. Michael A Taylor Yes.
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- dashawn keirsey jr
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Anybody that covers the Saints/Wichita like Tom Froemming or anybody with two eyes and has watched the myriad YouTube highlights knows that Keirsey is an outstanding center fielder. Check out the YouTube highlights and do some research and you’ll see and hear that Keirsey is a phenomenon as a defensive center fielder.
- 80 replies
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- dashawn keirsey jr
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L/R splits for Keirsey this year, the bottom row is vs lefties but a .400 OBP and .847 OPS aren’t bad.:
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- dashawn keirsey jr
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Looking at the numbers he slashed .305/.363/.488 in AA last year and in a small sample .264/.375/.364 in AAA. His combined 2023 season Was .294/.366/.455 with 39 SB in 44 attempts, 15 HR and 8 triples. Now, in 2024, he’s slashing far better than Wallner/Severino, Prato/Helman against the same pitching. 2024 slash .296/.392/.515 and a .907 OPS. 14 SB in 17 attempts 36 RBIs in 199 AB and superb defense (search YouTube to see multiple great Keirsey catches in CF). I can’t believe that a .907 OPS AAA hitter wouldn’t be better than Margot.
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- dashawn keirsey jr
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I agree 100%! Living for the day when Keirsey gets his rightful call-up!
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- dashawn keirsey jr
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Walker Jenkins The Natural!Brooks Lee The 2nd Natural!Emmanuel Rodriguez Love his high OBP, I, like the moneyball A’s, believe that’s the best way to build a high scoring offense.Simeon Woods Richardson 5 starts, a little shaky on #5 but appears close w fastball up to 95 and that tantalizing curveball.Austin Martin I love Austin Martin as an all around asset to a team. A few ugly miscommunications in the OF but overall catches the ball, has the burners to go get some that might drop for others and made a certifiable Buxton like play in CF.DaShawn Keirsey Jr Sweet swing, superb defense, 35-40 SB high OBP and a little pop. Would be in the major leagues right now with a lot of teams.Luke Keaschall He looks to be The Natural #3 for Twins and it looks like he’ll play in MLB.David Festa Very promising, appears to be close.Zebby Matthews With what he’s doing in AA already, he could be the Twins #1 pitching prospect.Charlee Soto Relying on the scouts and those who make the minor leagues a passion plus a brief glimpse of him in 2024 highlights. Solid #10.Rubel Cespedes This guy has catapulted and I’ve seen lots of footage thanks to Tom Froemming’s frequent minor league highlights, He looks tools and a force.Gabriel Gonzalez Dropped a bit due to limited dimensions to his game after the power. Still in eventual striking distance of the majors but I’m not sure as a lot can happen between class A and MLB.Marco RayaKala'i Rosario I like him but not as much as Keaschall. Would love to have my dose of Rosario back!Brandon Winokur I think this is where he belongs for now, which ain’t bad.Rayne Doncon He’s forced himself onto this list, another one I’m convinced of my ranking due to Mr. Froemming’s excellent minor league ghlight packages.Cory Lewis Looks good, will know more when he gets back on the field.Andrew Morris Another guy with an up arrow, he deserves the spot.Jair Camargo I like him, reminds me of Wilson Ramos who was, in my opinion, foolishly traded away.Yunior Severino Disappointing in 2024 but he still deserves my last top 20 spot. This has been a fun little exercise with many thanks to Tom Froemming for his frequent thorough rundowns of the day in the Twins minor leagues, with actual footage of the key players!
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I appreciate your perspective and the paradigm is very popular now. I believe that a far superior measure is a cross section of good MLB caliber scouts, using the 20 to 80 scale. Yes, I think to a trained eye, the eye test is superior to the new defensive "range metrics". And, I also believe that fans with 50-60 years experience watching baseball at a passionate level, have the wisdom that only experience can bring. Not that there aren’t exceptions, take a guy like Nash Walker, for example, way ahead of his years. Bottom line is you believe in those numbers and I don’t because they consistently are at odds with what I and other experts such as the walking baseball encyclopedia, Roy Smalley, can see with our eyes. My eyes tell me that Carlos Correa has the 2nd best range of any SS in my lifetime, exceeded only by Ozzie Smith and it’s close and getting closer. Correa probably has the strongest arm of any SS in my lifetime. So, I’m skeptical when well intentioned fans write that Correa is below average in any facet of SS defense based on defensive metrics. I honestly feel that cost him the gold glove at SS since writers are now trusting the defensive metrics, which I think is a lazy way of evaluating players one hasn’t seen play much. Same was being said about Urshela when he was here, below average when he was playing spectacular defense at 3rd. I think the only way to find out about Keirsey is to give him a chance. Margot and Castro are awful in CF. I think Keirsey could bring balance to the team with his SB ability, bat and defense. Maybe a Steven Kwan light or if lucky Steven Kwan equal. And these are just my opinions. We can disagree on Keirsey for whatever reasons - whatever our guiding force is in evaluating players. Maybe he comes to the majors and flops. Or maybe he comes to the majors and does what the legendary 2 Orioles rookies did when called up together, Rich Coggins and Al Bumbry, raw rookies called up during the season both tore it up offensively. I guess I live for that, the thrill of seeing a prospect come up and right a wrong for the team I love! ;-)
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How much film have you watched on Keirsey? Thanks to Tom Froemming, I’ve seen a lot. My assessment is superb defensive CF. He hit a lot in AA last year and he’s hitting a lot now. His OPS has been around .940. The film I’ve seen shows Keirsey with a really pretty, repeatable swing and he steals 35-40 bases a year. The OF we have is severely flawed w Margot well below avg, Larnach starting to fall prey to off speed stuff again and Castro a debacle in CF recently. I do think Martin can be good and he made a Buxton like diving catch in Cf this year. Personally, I don’t pay any attention to the new defensive metrics because I’ve relentlessly seen devotees of them reporting severely counter-intuitive conclusions. OAA is the worst. It leads to conclusions as if you had a stat in basketball for defensive metrics and someone reported "Michael Jordan’s metrics show him to be a below average defender.." I think Correa a couple of years ago was said to be in the 18th percentile for OAA, 100th % being best. Anybody who watches consistently and has any perspective on good SS play could see how wrong that was.
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I'm not sure if you saw this Austin Martin play but it made a big impression on me even though he does have some communication issues at times. https://x.com/GregAll73910735/status/1788048412631323135
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- defense
- base running
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This Austin Martin? https://x.com/GregAll73910735/status/1788048412631323135
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- defense
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Definitely a lot of fun making my list, reading scouting reports, looking at stats and remembering all the footage I’ve seen on TF’s podcast and finally to put DaShawn Keirsey, Jr. where I think he belongs! :-)
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Margot Misfortune Provides Keirsey Opportunity
Greglw3 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Very much agree, I’m a big fan of DaShawn Keirsey Jr. and with Tom Froemming’s minor league highlights have seen him play defense and hit a lot. I think he has an unusually sweet swing.- 40 replies
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- dashawn keirsey jr
- manuel margot
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I think he has a chance to be the greatest defensive SS of all time. Honus Wagner is tough to beat as the greatest offensive SS.
- 11 replies
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- carlos correa
- shortstop
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Review of “Hi Everybody!” by Herb Carneal
Greglw3 commented on BigJoeGun's blog entry in Twins Nation Podcast
I’m the hugest of the huge Herb Carneal fans so I’m sure I would enjoy it! I feel that Herb taught me baseball, he was so knowledgeable. I remember him on the radio when Twins beat Rangers for AL West crown in 1987, exclaiming, "The 17 year drought is over!" How sweet it was spending my nights and early mornings (for west coast games" with the great Herb Carneal, probably my favorite announcer in any sport - all time! Thanks for making me feel good by invoking my best baseball buddy ever!

