The other side of that coin would be Eric Davis. Healthy and productive earlier in his career, and then somewhat derailed in the second half, a la Buxton
I think it is , to some extent, random.
There's really only one way to go on the injury front with Buxton, and that's up.
His migraines are one thing I'd be concerned about.
That said, I'm betting on his cashing in on some of those incentives.
Only time will tell.