Muppet
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Everything posted by Muppet
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Twins 2023 Position Analysis: Relief Pitcher
Muppet replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Are there statistics for pitching coaches? That could be a deciding factor in whether or not some of these below average or young arms can break out. In previous years it seems that Wes Johnson was able to take a relief corps of relatively unkowns and make a few of them flash-in-the-pan superstars for a couple of years.- 47 replies
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- jhoan duran
- jorge lopez
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Twins Roster Built on Defense and Rule Changes
Muppet replied to Alex Boxwell's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The Twins aren't the Yankees or Dodgers and, thus, will not be able to afford as much pitching, offense, and defense as they want. They have to make a plan and move the chips where they can to back the plan up. I'm sure poor hitting defensive studs are much cheaper than awesome hitting but poor defending players. I don't know if the plan will work, but as much as I wished they had more average hitters, I'm glad they are trying something new and sticking with it. The rotation looks to be one of the best I've ever seen. Perhaps they have no Nolan Ryan-style aces, but they have 5 or 6 number 2s. Even Ober, who looks to be the cast-off would have been the team ace in the Nolasco years. They could use better middle relievers and better hitters, but they very well might have the best rotation and all-around defense in the MLB.- 33 replies
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- carlos correa
- joey gallo
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$12 over 4 years? That's much less than they are paying Joey Gallo, who has even worse numbers.
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Bailey Ober needs to be a Primary Starter!!
Muppet commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM
He has been very good in the minors and mostly very good in the majors. In 2022 he almost only pitched against teams that were not very good, but excelled. So he has rocked AAA and rocked AAAA. A six man rotation is not unprecedented. And... like everyone says... someone will surely be injured nearly out of the gate. So, let's not sweat it. Put him on as the sixth. -
Twins PECOTA Projections: The Pitchers
Muppet replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I look forward to Emilio Pagan being MLB's most improved player in 2023.- 27 replies
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- pablo lopez
- joe ryan
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The ghost runner sucks. I hate it. It makes for completely worthlessly disappointing finishes to otherwise close exciting games. Might as well end in a coin toss. Why is the position player pitching occasionally a problem that needs fixing? Who cares? To make baseball more watchable or relevant in the modern era, instead of focusing on ridiculous fixes to problems that don't really exist they could instead focus on making it possible for people who aren't wealthy to watch baseball games on TV (or even in person at the stadium). We are slowly degenerating to a future where baseball is just a series of random number generated outcomes constantly updated and augmented by the averages and standard deviations of fictitious player-avatars whose profiles are also randomly generated. What's even more pathetic is that I'll still watch and keep track of my bot-baseball team every day and get pissed when they lose.
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If the lineup was full of decent hitters, having someone who strikes out a lot but hits 35 HR would be OK. As the lineup looks today, Gallo will hit 35 HR and have 35 RBIs. He will be involved in more 1,2,3 innings than anything else.
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Is Pablo Lopez's Weird "Weakness" Already Fixed?
Muppet replied to Adam Neisen's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
So he becomes a better pitcher by pitching in the AL's AAAA league? I'd say that just hides his "weakness" rather than fixes it. By that token, all of the Twins are probably not as good as they appear on paper (which might be true).- 16 replies
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- pablo lopez
- joe ryan
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The Twins Most Underrated Player?
Muppet replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Totally true. We expect all prospects to turn into Aaron Judge. We should be happy if they all play as well and consistently as Polanco. Probably only half will… and those that do will be dismissed as failures …. Like the truly most underrated player on the Twins — Nick Gordon. -
Baseball’s Best Outfield Is In Minnesota
Muppet replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
With an outfield this solid, they'll only lose every game 1-2 instead of 1-3. Please bring in someone who can hit.- 40 replies
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- byron buxton
- joey gallo
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Ranking the Twins Offseason Moves
Muppet replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
They upgraded at catcher. CC is a very good, but overrated SS. That said, I'm glad they got him. Until Miranda puts in a full successful season at 3B he is just potential. His downslide at the end of last season is problematic. I don't count my rookies until they've hatched. That said, they've offensively downgraded at every position. They can still win if they have a miraculous ability to keep players off the IL, if the pitching is as good as advertised, and if the young guys improve. They've been to the playoffs before with a similar looking bunch of miscreants. I think they are a worse team than last year, but I don't care. They can still win. There is no better time to be optimistic and excited than before they've thrown their first pitch. For me winning is fun, but it isn't everything. I'll happily watch them if even if they have a 62 win season (though I'd prefer a 100 win season).- 44 replies
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- carlos correa
- luis arraez
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Rumor: Falvey says "Bullpen not a priority"
Muppet replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Ober may have missed time to injuries last year, but when he did play he was one of the most dominant on the team. Only Sonny Gray had a lower ERA but Ober had a better whip than any of the starters and fewer HR/9 than any of the starters. The flip side was that he almost only played against AL Central teams who obviously weren't the best in the league. When the Twins did lose with Ober pitching they lost 1-8; 0-5; 3-4; 2-5; and 2-3. Clayton Kershaw would have lost most of those games. ALSO, the bullpen lost 3 of those 5 games Ober pitched in. This tells me 3 things. 1. Ober belongs in the rotation until he gives the Twins a reason to be demoted, and 2. The Twins need offence more than they need starting pitching, and 3. The bullpen needs to be better than last year. -
Rumor: Falvey says "Bullpen not a priority"
Muppet replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Assuming Celestino and Matt Wallner start the year in St. Paul, and that Kirilloff gets a few starts in RF, the Twins will have more outfield arms than bullpen arms. Seems smart. If your tired mediocre bullpen that pitches more than 4 innings per game starts to falter, your stacked outfield can surely get those extra outs. -
Correa is the only guy on the team who we can reasonably assume will hit .250 or more. This team will struggle to score 3 or more runs per game on a consistent basis. The 15-20 hrs Gallo hits will not win many games if they are part of those 1-3 runs/game. The skills he brings are completely redundant with an OF that already has 3 gold glove caliber players and Larnach who looks as though he might potentially be GG quality. If the team is lucky, they can expect any number of the players to hit 15-20 hrs... Buxton, Kirillof, Miranda, C4, etc.. I think the team needs more players that can be on base when the HRs are hit, and more players that can move the line forward and allow HR hitters more opportunities to hit. Nothing against Gallo. He'd be a useful cog on a team that needed a good defending outfielder and someone who could hit a HR once in awhile. Twins don't need one of those. Pardon the dead horse, but they need a couple of people who are a bit more like Arraez to round out the team.
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If the Twins are going to stick with the plan of limiting starters to 3 times through the lineup/5 innings, they need to have relievers that can pitch 2-3 innings. They must have had their reasons for limiting starters, but they never seemed to figure out that bullpen games with shaky bullpens doesn't work out. How many times did they turn a 1-2 run lead into a blowout loss because they needed to piece the second half of the game together with tired or ineffective arms. All that said, I looked at Fulmer's past. 2020 was an interesting case. The Tigers had him start all 10 of his games and limited him to 3 innings in each game. While he almost always got through the first inning without giving up a run (the highest scoring inning in baseball), he often was still shellacked despite only throwing 3 innings per game (an 8.78 ERA). NOT the type of guy you want serving as that middle innings eater role. But he's at worst a mediocre pitcher who doesn't give up a lot of home runs (when he's not pitching for the Twins). Definitely worth having around the pen ... at least more so than others on the team named Pagan.
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- michael fulmer
- jhoan duran
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The Falvey Philosophies, Part 1: The Young Core
Muppet replied to Greggory Masterson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sorry to Rickys everywhere. Didn’t mean to Randy up your reputations. -
The Twins Need to be Realistic With Max Kepler
Muppet replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
To me the problem is that they don't have anyone better as a replacement. Taylor and Gallo are both supposedly great defensively. Taylor's numbers look about the same to me (I'm concerned about 2022 numbers, not career numbers) and Gallo looks like he fills a Sano sized hole. Larnach, if healthy, is too young to be a proven asset (though I hope and expect he will be) and besides, if he fits the bill, he'll probably be in LF. One thing I do wonder, though, is whether it is OK to have a poor defending RF when Buxton is healthy. Can't they afford a RF with less range? Especially if it means replacing the bat with someone who might actually move a runner forward? If that's the case, I put Gordon in right... until Buxton is hurt.- 69 replies
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- max kepler
- trevor larnach
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Twins Acquire Gold-Glove Outfielder from Royals
Muppet replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Clearly the strategy is to prevent runs from scoring at the expense of scoring any runs whatsoever. Sounds boring, but let’s hope it works.- 87 replies
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- michael a taylor
- evan sisk
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The Falvey Philosophies, Part 1: The Young Core
Muppet replied to Greggory Masterson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Everybody wants a true ace on the staff. And who wouldn't want a John Smoltz or Randy Johnson as the number one guy. But I think knowing that they aren't a rich team (relatively) that they are instead trying to avoid a staff that has any Nick Blackburns or Randy Nolascos. A solid staff made up of all #2 or #3s is more resilient and gets more wins than a staff with a solid #1 that also has 2 or 3 terrible arms. Might be cheaper in the long run too. I don't know how they plan to manage their strategy of only allowing starters 80 pitches/5 innings without a solid bullpen that is also similarly stacked. I'm hoping that is the new trainor's job. -
Who Will Be the Twins' Opening Day DH?
Muppet replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Larnach had an absolute cannon on him. People didn't run for a reason.- 60 replies
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- trevor larnach
- nick gordon
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Who Will Be the Twins' Opening Day DH?
Muppet replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yes. But assuming Larnach is able to play and Kepler is still on the team, I'd prefer to see Gallo on the bench.- 60 replies
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- trevor larnach
- nick gordon
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Who Will Be the Twins' Opening Day DH?
Muppet replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Glad I haven’t seen Gallo on anyone’s list. I’m betting it’s gonna be Gallo.- 60 replies
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- trevor larnach
- nick gordon
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I’d add to that that only Arraez and (gulp) Gordon were the only ones that showed that they could hit. The rest are all just potential (even Buxton). Let’s just hope they all break out next year. That’s the only way the twins are a winning team.
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Assessing the Luis Arraez for Pablo López Trade
Muppet replied to Matthew Taylor's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
But if Gallo’s 30 hits next year, 15 of them will be home runs. Arraez only hit 9 last year and 15 is more than 9. That math works right? -
Twins Trade Luis Arraez for Marlins' Pitcher Pablo López
Muppet replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Changed my mind. This is a good deal. Since Arraez is most valuable when hitting with runners in scoring position, it was unlikely that he would make an impact on the Twins as they would rarely have runners in scoring position when he is at bat. Nor would they have anyone who might drive him in when he's on second.

