One of the things that strikes me about this team compared to previous years' teams is that this group manages to squeak out wins against good teams without superstars (except Royce Lewis who is new on the scene). There are no Mauers or Morneaus. No Kirby Pucketts or Torii Hunters. Even the would-be superstars, Correa and Buxton, are hitting like minor leaguers.
Nevertheless, we keep seeing relatively unknowns club in winning runs late in games (As Castro did yesterday). So I got to looking at deeper stats and found a couple of really interesting tidbits. While last year, Nick Gordon was one of the team's best clutch hitters -- meaning he was at least somewhat less likely to strike out with the bases loaded -- this year the Twins have a few truly talented guys who do much better under pressure. I looked at a few of the player's slash lines with RISP and 2 outs, compared to their overall slash lines, and found a few gems.
Exhibit 1. Donovan Solano.
Solano
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS
Overall
0.287
0.372
0.404
0.776
RISP
0.365
0.51
0.527
1.037
2 Outs
0.283
0.392
0.472
0.864
I've heard some compare the light hitting high average hitter as our new Arraez. He gets on base, but that's about it. But with RISP Solano is a much different beast. And this is with 98 PAs, which I'd guess is not insignificant. A 1.037 OPS with RISP!
Exhibit 2. Kyle Farmer
Farmer
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS
Overall
0.255
0.312
0.407
0.719
RISP
0.349
0.423
0.561
0.984
2 Outs
0.322
0.385
0.552
0.937
Farmer also is a drastically different player putting up superstar numbers with second and/or third occupied. Not only that, with 2 outs, Farmer appears much more likely than others to get on base and get things going (possibly the pitchers handedness has an impact, but his overall numbers against RHP vs LHP aren't that different).
Exhibit 3. Royce Lewis
And, surprising nobody, Royce Lewis has been massacring with RSIP, but isn't doing very will with 2 outs.
Lewis
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS
Overall
0.306
0.356
0.528
0.884
RISP
0.39
0.455
0.78
1.235
2 Outs
0.237
0.308
0.475
0.783
Exhibit 4. Other points of interest:
Castro
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS
Overall
0.255
0.332
0.405
0.737
RISP
0.275
0.403
0.392
0.795
2 Outs
0.231
0.364
0.363
0.727
Castro, whose late inning heroics led me down this rabbit hole, doesn't actually appear much better with RISP, but he does look to have a significantly higher OBP, which, compared to years past is likely the opposite of most Twins hitters.
Vazquez
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS
Overall
0.221
0.277
0.321
0.598
RISP
0.246
0.333
0.339
0.672
2 Outs
0.333
0.364
0.452
0.816
Jeffers
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS
Overall
0.269
0.368
0.457
0.825
RISP
0.222
0.321
0.417
0.738
2 Outs
0.161
0.366
0.419
0.785
I tend to remember seeing Jeffers come off the bench on his off days to pinch hit late in games. In fact, he recently had a heroic walk off HR if I remember correctly. The numbers would indicate that Vazquez might be the better option to move a runner up with a base hit. They both have comparable OBPs with 2 outs and RISP, but Vazquez' BA is much higher.
While normally we could look at these situational stats and claim that the N is too low to make solid references, I'd suggest that this late in the season we are probably past that point as most of these situational stat have nearly 100 PAs. But still, I'd leave it to the statisticians in the back office to determine if any of these differences are really significant. My eye test says that they are.