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Game Thread: Reds 9/18 5:40 cdt
Muppet replied to Richie the Rally Goat's topic in Archived Game Threads
Players are worth oodles more money now. I’m sure it’s in everyone’s interest to play it on the safe side and not sacrifice years off of a career. -
I also don't miss 50 monster-sized human cyborgs hitting 50+ home runs every year.
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I'll admit that some of the new changes have been good. I also don't miss 25 minute at bats and catchers being destroyed by huge dudes trying to score. It's also nice not to have 2-3 pitching changes to get through an inning with no outs. I DO miss, however, 10th innings with 0 out and nobody on base and the NL and AL meeting each other for the first time in the World Series. And the Montreal Expos with their confusing poorly designed ELB? EB? EMB? M? logo.
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True, but I think they could call in the entire Saints team and handily beat the White Six 3 of 4.
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Solano and Farmer: Twins' secret clutch weapons
Muppet replied to Muppet's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Right. If he hit as well with 0 and 1 outs as he does with 2 outs he’d have a much higher WPA. -
Solano and Farmer: Twins' secret clutch weapons
Muppet replied to Muppet's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Not saying Vazquez has been great, or even good... just that his situational stats with 2 outs (which make up about 1/3 of his plate appearances) are abnormally better than with 0 or 1 out. Maybe this has something to do with the pinch hit situation the other day that angered so many. -
My First Round Minnesota Twins Postseason Active Roster
Muppet replied to stringer bell's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
In the remining season, I'd try to play Gallo and Wallner, and Nick Gordon (if he comes back) as much as possible to see if any of them are struck by lightning and manage to figure it out. A Gallo that could reasonably be expected to hit would be great for a post season team. Wallner looks like he might be coming around. If they continue to stink it up... nothing lost, just leave them off the lineup going forward. -
One of the things that strikes me about this team compared to previous years' teams is that this group manages to squeak out wins against good teams without superstars (except Royce Lewis who is new on the scene). There are no Mauers or Morneaus. No Kirby Pucketts or Torii Hunters. Even the would-be superstars, Correa and Buxton, are hitting like minor leaguers. Nevertheless, we keep seeing relatively unknowns club in winning runs late in games (As Castro did yesterday). So I got to looking at deeper stats and found a couple of really interesting tidbits. While last year, Nick Gordon was one of the team's best clutch hitters -- meaning he was at least somewhat less likely to strike out with the bases loaded -- this year the Twins have a few truly talented guys who do much better under pressure. I looked at a few of the player's slash lines with RISP and 2 outs, compared to their overall slash lines, and found a few gems. Exhibit 1. Donovan Solano. Solano BA OBP SLG OPS Overall 0.287 0.372 0.404 0.776 RISP 0.365 0.51 0.527 1.037 2 Outs 0.283 0.392 0.472 0.864 I've heard some compare the light hitting high average hitter as our new Arraez. He gets on base, but that's about it. But with RISP Solano is a much different beast. And this is with 98 PAs, which I'd guess is not insignificant. A 1.037 OPS with RISP! Exhibit 2. Kyle Farmer Farmer BA OBP SLG OPS Overall 0.255 0.312 0.407 0.719 RISP 0.349 0.423 0.561 0.984 2 Outs 0.322 0.385 0.552 0.937 Farmer also is a drastically different player putting up superstar numbers with second and/or third occupied. Not only that, with 2 outs, Farmer appears much more likely than others to get on base and get things going (possibly the pitchers handedness has an impact, but his overall numbers against RHP vs LHP aren't that different). Exhibit 3. Royce Lewis And, surprising nobody, Royce Lewis has been massacring with RSIP, but isn't doing very will with 2 outs. Lewis BA OBP SLG OPS Overall 0.306 0.356 0.528 0.884 RISP 0.39 0.455 0.78 1.235 2 Outs 0.237 0.308 0.475 0.783 Exhibit 4. Other points of interest: Castro BA OBP SLG OPS Overall 0.255 0.332 0.405 0.737 RISP 0.275 0.403 0.392 0.795 2 Outs 0.231 0.364 0.363 0.727 Castro, whose late inning heroics led me down this rabbit hole, doesn't actually appear much better with RISP, but he does look to have a significantly higher OBP, which, compared to years past is likely the opposite of most Twins hitters. Vazquez BA OBP SLG OPS Overall 0.221 0.277 0.321 0.598 RISP 0.246 0.333 0.339 0.672 2 Outs 0.333 0.364 0.452 0.816 Jeffers BA OBP SLG OPS Overall 0.269 0.368 0.457 0.825 RISP 0.222 0.321 0.417 0.738 2 Outs 0.161 0.366 0.419 0.785 I tend to remember seeing Jeffers come off the bench on his off days to pinch hit late in games. In fact, he recently had a heroic walk off HR if I remember correctly. The numbers would indicate that Vazquez might be the better option to move a runner up with a base hit. They both have comparable OBPs with 2 outs and RISP, but Vazquez' BA is much higher. While normally we could look at these situational stats and claim that the N is too low to make solid references, I'd suggest that this late in the season we are probably past that point as most of these situational stat have nearly 100 PAs. But still, I'd leave it to the statisticians in the back office to determine if any of these differences are really significant. My eye test says that they are.
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The Twins Can Win Playoff Games With Their Bench
Muppet replied to Greggory Masterson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This bench is different from previous benches in that a lot of these guys could be legitimately decent situational starters. And Rocco uses them that way. In the past you'd only expect to see people like Jake Cave or Ehire Adrianza starting the game when someone else was injured or sick. If I see someone like Farmer or MAT starting the game I'm not gonna be groaning about the end times. Also, its time to stop our Vazquez hating. The guy is slowing getting it together, or at least maybe Jeffers is finally starting to cool down to his level. Vazquez is a decent defending catcher and his numbers in August have been better than sub-par. Jeffers is tending the opposite direction. Either one of them is a solid backup catcher at this point. This team's strength is its depth. They might not be great at anything, but they are good at everything.- 22 replies
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- willi castro
- donovan solano
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It's a lot easier to overlook long slumps like Wallner's when the rest of the lineup is performing and you still have a Joey Gallo punching bag at the bottom of the roster. Wallner is a rookie who it seems clearly needs time to learn to adjust to the major leagues. I think he's blocking a roster spot from others who probably could make better use of it.
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- nick gordon
- andrew stevenson
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I like Gordon's game. He's kind of like a Nick Punto type. He's good enough at a lot of things and he can sometimes provide that spark that gets things going. He's might not be great at any one thing, but every few years he'll surprise you with some good defense or a near .300 BA. Remember last year he was one of the only Twins who was somewhat consistent in clutch situations. But people here don't care about those types of things. As soon as he goes 3 weeks hitting .200 everyone wants his head. I don't know if he makes it to the post season, but I hope next year he finds a team that can appreciate his talent and whatever potential he has left. He won't find that here. Personally, I'd like to see Gordon in the post season, but as others have mentioned, Willi Castro has been very Gordonesque this year, but a bit better, and not on the IL all season.
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- nick gordon
- andrew stevenson
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I like Ober and Madea as starer/pen pieces. They can start situationally or piggyback. Depending on how Ober does down the stretch or in St. Paul, I'd lean Ober, but both of them are a bit risky. I'd expect them to manage the pitching much different in the playoffs with more multi inning starts if needed when the second pitcher is cruising, and relying less on back to back to back appearances by their streaky relief lineup. With Pagan finally finding his way, and the option to put starters in the pen, I like this bullpen much better than a few weeks ago. That said, it is still their biggest weakness (assuming they can keep hitting like they have been in August).
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Twins 26/40-man Roster Moves/Transactions Thread - 2023
Muppet replied to Danchat's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
AK up. Gallo on 10 day IL. -
For eligibility in the MLB playoff roster, the player has to be on the 40-man team or the 60 Days of Injured list by 31 August, 11:59 pm ET. Any player not on the list cannot be awarded the postseason playoff.Jun 23, 2023
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He has a little defensive upside. It's not nothing, but that is it.
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Any chance we can get Correa to strikeout more? One out is always preferrable to two.
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What Does a Lost Year Mean for José Miranda?
Muppet replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It isn't uncommon for young players to show some flashes of brilliance then fade into mediocrity or obscurity. It might be this teams biggest reason for false optimism. I'll take a stacked lineup of rookies that are outperforming Miranda for now, but I'm not going to count my chickens until they are in their third year. As for Miranda. Good luck to the guy. He doesn't look like the bright prospect he once was, but maybe he'll find a few teams that can use him for a half dozen years. Hopefully he'll end up better than Danny Valencia. -
Game Thread: Twins (Gray) v Guardians (Bibee), 9/5 @ 5:10pm CT
Muppet replied to Squirrel's topic in Archived Game Threads
They’d have a chance if they started that 10 game streak yesterday -
Game Thread: Twins (Gray) v Guardians (Bibee), 9/5 @ 5:10pm CT
Muppet replied to Squirrel's topic in Archived Game Threads
For all the Rocco haters, just note that Francona left the derailed train wreck Stephan in just long enough to blow the entire season for the Guardians. -
I'm not too familiar with non-twins players, so I don't have a feel for who they might have received in a trade. But I would wager that whatever 2 pitchers they could have gotten for whatever trade pieces they had available would not have been impactful enough to make a huge difference. If they consider that Madea, Ober, Keuchel, Varland, and Winder are in the bullpen during the playoffs, then a trade would have just sacrificed members of the somewhat thin group of prospects without actually improving the pen that much. The bullpen isn't always great, and a couple more mediocre arms wouldn't change much.
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One Month into the Jorge López for Dylan Floro Trade
Muppet replied to Cody Schoenmann's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Interesting indeed. I would conclude (falsely in floro’s case) that giving up multiple runs in an inning would be indicative of a mop up position. It would seem that in a high leverage position one run would be often as bad as several runs as it would often be the run that ends in a blown save.- 24 replies
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- dylan floro
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One Month into the Jorge López for Dylan Floro Trade
Muppet replied to Cody Schoenmann's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
So he has only given up runs in 2 of 11 outings for the Twins. Not bad. He could be the closer.- 24 replies
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- dylan floro
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Sure. They should add him to the bullpen. Then there will be one more pitcher to share the blame as blown saves mount.
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Game Thread: Twins (Gray) v Guardians (Bibee), 8/30/23 @ 12:10 CT
Muppet replied to wsnydes's topic in Archived Game Threads
Pinch hitting Luplow for Gallo is almost comical. Prove me wrong Luplow -
Game Thread: Twins (Gray) v Guardians (Bibee), 8/30/23 @ 12:10 CT
Muppet replied to wsnydes's topic in Archived Game Threads
Wouldn't it be nice to see Solano and Correa's spots switched in the batting order Right now both Polanco and Solano hit in front of people who are almost guaranteed to not get a hit. If they were switched, there would be a 40% chance that Polanco's double would have come with someone on base.

