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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    It ain’t bad luck when you seriously hurt your hip swinging at a pitch. That’s simply having a body that isn’t constructed to be able to withstand the normal rigors of the sport. For every piano that’s fallen on Buxton there’s been at LEAST one significant injury like the most recent one. Better luck isn’t going to change that.
  2. jkcarew
    Major league teams have seen fit to play Gallo in CF in nearly 60 games. This will NEVER happen with Wallner. Gallo is much better defensively. On the other hand, I’d like to think his offensive ceiling is a bit better than Gallo. Again…at least ceiling-wise.
  3. jkcarew

    Where's Wallner?

    jkcarew commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    And none of that matters even a little if his hit tool proves as elite at the MLB level as it’s been at the AA level (and every other level so far). It’s like saying an NBA player is bad at everything…except he can rain catch-and-shoot 3’s with a hand in his face.
  4. jkcarew
    If Correa is a 3 WAR player lets hope he opts out. Twins have multiple players on the roster that can approach that…allowing the Twins to invest in pitching (and/or catching). Having said that, he’s probably more like a 5 WAR player for the next couple of years…I THINK.
  5. jkcarew
    Huh? A 26-year old former #1 overall draft pick, and perennial all-star, has a 7.2 WAR season…and “as good as can be asked” is 4 WAR in his age 27 season?
  6. jkcarew
    Returning to Houston?? Funny question, right? Correa: age 27; 3.3 WAR; $35.1M (min) current Houston SS: age 24; 3.8 WAR; not even arb eligible
  7. jkcarew
    Top 5 in the order had a grand total of 3 total bases and a walk in 20 PA. But it’s the #8 hitting, 5th-string left-fielder’s fault? Sometimes this board.
  8. jkcarew
    Does anyone really believe that shutting him down now will impact his 2023 health at all? If so, why?? He’s going to be hurt every single year…and he’s going to miss significant time every single year. There’s zero history to suggest otherwise no matter what you do with him now. Zero. If he can play, play him. If not, don’t.
  9. jkcarew
    It was a self-depricating joke (from a fans perspective) Still, I wonder what KC fans call our franchise? Probably not perennial ‘winners’.
  10. jkcarew
    I love his delivery and his aggressiveness, his confidence. Still have high hopes for him.
  11. jkcarew
    Didn’t read the article, but judging by the photos, he must throw a ton of wild pitches with runners on third ??
  12. jkcarew
    And yet they have more world championships in the last 7 rears than the Twins have postseason GAME wins in the last 20.
  13. jkcarew
    ‘West Slide Story’ - nice!
  14. jkcarew
    This is already implied by your chosen handle. ?
  15. jkcarew
    “Baldelli’s club has the pieces necessary to win ballgames“ Not really. Not at a pace that is going to exceed that of CLE or CHI by a meaningful margin. They’ll probably need to win the head to head by a 1-3 game margin. Could happen, doesn’t feel likely. All three have SERIOUS issues. Only one has Terry Francona calling the shots.
  16. jkcarew
    Still think the roster was deep headed into the season. But you’ve had underachieving/hurt Kepler, no Sano, no Kirilloff, no Lewis, basically no Larnach, missing Garlick, zero from Jeffers, 3/4 of Buxton, and a slightly underachieving Correa. Meanwhile, the pitching staff is not constructed to carry the club. They simply are not a very good team as is…and it’s been this way for a while now.
  17. jkcarew
    Amused by the chatter that Buxton isn’t performing offensively. It’s pretty impossible to have that perception unless your expectations for him are completely unrealistic. He now sits at an 136 OPS+ against a 107 career number. He’s now at 353 PA. He’s NEVER had a year with this many PA that’s been this productive. Not even close. His 2022 BB/K ratio is substantially better than his career number and his 2021 number. Last year’s SS BA/OPS results were completely (and obviously) unsustainable for a litany of reasons. This IS the good Buxton. And there’s no such thing as “except for his HRS”. Even his poor on base skills can’t ruin an 8% HR rate. That’s a star player if an every day ++CF that reeks havoc on the bases. Of course, he’s not that. AND THAT is the only reason IMO to be disappointed in Buxton’s 2022. Offensively, this season has been the good version of what he is.
  18. jkcarew
    Most worried about Kirilloff. The Twins need him in 2023 and he needs to HIT. He doesn’t offer much value beyond his hit tool. And there’s not an overwhelming amount of evidence that he’s going to be a really good hitter at the major-league level. I think he has two issues…his approach, and now surgery on the wrist. What seemed very likely 2 years ago, now seems very, very iffy.
  19. jkcarew
    Close…if I had to bet, I’d say YES. Especially assuming that a proportional share of those wins come against CHI/CLE. And unlikely, but possible to achieve. In which case, winning A playoff game definitely possible. (Yay!) Sniffing anything close to the WS? No. I’ll just do my best to enjoy however it plays out. Meanwhile, I’m strangely optimistic regarding 2023. I think they have it in them to be good. And at some point luck has to show up with injuries, etc. Doesn’t it?
  20. jkcarew
    1a, Larnach 1b, Ober 3, Garlick
  21. jkcarew
    My guess is the pitching is going to be ‘ok’ from here. But, the only way I see the stretch being fun from a competitive standpoint is if Buxton gets healthy-er…and Correa gets hot. Otherwise, for me, it’s Arraez and the new (trade) guys and the new (young) guys…getting a sense for where they fit in the near future.
  22. jkcarew
    I mean, that lineup (Angels) stars every game gagging on a face full of pillow. A pitcher just needs to hold it there for a bit. But, to his credit, Mahle reacted accordingly…didn’t play around much…pretty aggressive, fairly efficient. Encouraging.
  23. jkcarew
    Interesting article. I think you have to look over several years to get meaningful data here. The sample sizes are just too small within one season. I think it explains how a team might be underachieving in a given year when their best players have poor results with RISP/RISP-2. But, it doesn’t say much about how those same players will perform (relative to their norm) in those situations over their careers.
  24. jkcarew
    I’ve been critical of Buxton, but I wouldn’t say he’s having a bad year. I’ve been critical of Rocco/FO, but I don’t know they are handling Buxton’s situation wrong, at least currently…and if this is “chronic”, which it sounds like. Buxton has never been a great hitter. His mid 800’s OPS is good…about as good as he’s going to be over larger samples…and it really hasn’t nosedived over this past month of being ‘more’ hurt and playing less. With regard to DL…it’s not like Kirilloff or even Larnach/Celestino/Cave are down in AAA. Currently, next in line is Contreras…so…is 2-3 days a week of Buxton DH’ing and playing a random/emergency inning of CF more valuable than having Contreras available 7 days a week? Probably yes. Same could be said regarding an idling Kepler. Might change when Larnach and Garlick come back?
  25. jkcarew
    Awkward landing on a jump. smh It’s a hopeless situation with Buxton. He’s clearly incapable of playing a season in the field. So, you get him as a full-time DH…or you get him for a half a season (probably both) Either way he’s a nice to have not a great to have. In May I thought this an incredibly deep team. But it’s becoming comical. Just too many guys out.
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