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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    I mean, that lineup (Angels) stars every game gagging on a face full of pillow. A pitcher just needs to hold it there for a bit. But, to his credit, Mahle reacted accordingly…didn’t play around much…pretty aggressive, fairly efficient. Encouraging.
  2. jkcarew
    Interesting article. I think you have to look over several years to get meaningful data here. The sample sizes are just too small within one season. I think it explains how a team might be underachieving in a given year when their best players have poor results with RISP/RISP-2. But, it doesn’t say much about how those same players will perform (relative to their norm) in those situations over their careers.
  3. jkcarew
    I’ve been critical of Buxton, but I wouldn’t say he’s having a bad year. I’ve been critical of Rocco/FO, but I don’t know they are handling Buxton’s situation wrong, at least currently…and if this is “chronic”, which it sounds like. Buxton has never been a great hitter. His mid 800’s OPS is good…about as good as he’s going to be over larger samples…and it really hasn’t nosedived over this past month of being ‘more’ hurt and playing less. With regard to DL…it’s not like Kirilloff or even Larnach/Celestino/Cave are down in AAA. Currently, next in line is Contreras…so…is 2-3 days a week of Buxton DH’ing and playing a random/emergency inning of CF more valuable than having Contreras available 7 days a week? Probably yes. Same could be said regarding an idling Kepler. Might change when Larnach and Garlick come back?
  4. jkcarew
    Awkward landing on a jump. smh It’s a hopeless situation with Buxton. He’s clearly incapable of playing a season in the field. So, you get him as a full-time DH…or you get him for a half a season (probably both) Either way he’s a nice to have not a great to have. In May I thought this an incredibly deep team. But it’s becoming comical. Just too many guys out.
  5. jkcarew
    You’re entitled to your opinion, but I doubt your experience has any relevance whatsoever as it relates to a professional athlete making millions of dollars in a foreign country.
  6. jkcarew
    All the appearances of a great teammate and a guy who simply loves to play. I’ll miss him. He was frustrating, obviously…but somehow fun to watch at the same time. I hope he gets another shot, you never know.
  7. jkcarew
    Then you should be satisfied with the result. Would an additional combine 6-8 PA for the pair resulted in one marginal run? Buxton doubled and walked yesterday. And they put him in CF after the PA today…could have put him anywhere else.
  8. jkcarew
    How do you come up with “should have” won? If the call goes the other way…they’re still playing…the game would be tied. The lads scored 2 runs…in 10 innings, even given the cheat runner on 2nd. Being scrappy, hanging in there, and battling your tail off gets you nothing. Scoring runs does.
  9. jkcarew
    No. What cost the Twins is resting your two best players in a pennant race and scoring 2 runs. Stupid rule and stupid call…but not as stupid as going all in at the deadline and then resting Buxton for the 2nd time in 3 days, on top of Correa, against a good team in a pennant race, at home.
  10. jkcarew
    Not as much as it illustrates that the modern x-inning rule is not real baseball.
  11. jkcarew
    Sometimes it seems like the term was invented solely to describe the Twins organization, though.
  12. jkcarew
    Maybe give him a cortisone shot before 30 games with the Twins instead of before 30 games with the Saints? I’m an AK skeptic. Walk rates as low as his are extremely problematic. And it’s a carry-over issue from the minors. It’s not like his K rate is going to be extraordinarily low…and that means he has to have an elite BABIP or elite SLG (or elite BABiP/SLG combo) to be good. He pulled that off in the minors…including this year in St. Paul with his wrist. Big ask in the majors.
  13. jkcarew
    “Headrick has the potential to fly up this list even further as the season continues, and he’s now undoubtedly the best left-handed pitching prospect in the system.” I’m not sure I disagree. But I’m pretty sure Matt Braun disagrees…he ranked a lefty 10 slots higher than Headrick.
  14. jkcarew
    3 or fewer runs scored in regulation in 5 of last 7 games. Nobody in this division is going to qualify as a wild card.
  15. jkcarew
    One game. Against Detroit. Significantly better off. Still the new bullpen will be significantly challenged…any bullpen would be for a team whose starters go 5 innings or less practically on a daily basis. Theoretically…but only theoretically, adding Mahle will help in that regard. We’ll see.
  16. jkcarew
    You nailed it!
  17. jkcarew
    Once again…what is the point with Balazovic? To wreck him physically, or wreck him mentally?
  18. jkcarew
    …and July, unless they win the SD series. The Twins are 5 games under 500 since May 24…that’s over two months without anything resembling a really solid stretch. Chicago has only picked up 2 games in that stretch…but if, say, the Twins play like this for the NEXT two months, Chicago wouldn’t have to get hot at all to overtake them. And a good 2nd half, of which they SHOULD be capable, would get them close to 5 games up fairly realistically. Of course that won’t happen if the Twins turn things around, even moderately. But I think that will take a move or two at the deadline…moves that actually turn out working.
  19. jkcarew
    It would be a PR nightmare to give up a frontline guy with another year of control, with the deal being headlined by Balazovic right now. More likely Hajjar + another decent non-pitching prospect. I’d try.
  20. jkcarew
    I’ll go with Canterino…a pretty high draft pick, been around a while, and can still be said to be “on schedule”. Probably not close to the best upside of that group, though.
  21. jkcarew
    What is the point right now with Balazovic pitching (attempting) at AAA? Every start is the same…50 pitches over 2 innings, a ton of baserunners, and a home run. If he’s hurt, shelf him. If he’s not, why not get him back to AA? It’s not like he had AA figured out last year. The decision to start him at the AAA level this year is looking bad, given the IL stint to start the year, and a very short (and rough) rehab assignment at Fort Myers.
  22. jkcarew
    I’m not panicking on Buxton. This is who he’s been (when available) for the last 3 years now. Trying to pull the ball and get it in the air. He doesn’t (or can’t) make adjustments…and has streaks where he does nothing but pop/fly out and K. But over an extended period of time now, the HR/FB rate (and ISO) have been other-worldly. His long-range value…say as a 34 year old corner outfielder or DH…may be problematic, but I’ll take what we’re getting. On the flip side…practically the lowest OBP on the team (career safely under 300) and highest SLG by a mile…and on pace to steal 4 bases on the season…where do you put him in the batting order? 4th against lefty starter, 5th otherwise. Then protect him with another power bat that has a decent matchup that day among guys like Miranda/Kepler/maybe Sano. Talking to you, Rocco.
  23. jkcarew
    Fwiw, Kirilloff and Larnach have been just about exactly the same offensive players this year so far. Same OBP, same SLG. Kirilloff strikes out less, but walks less…their XBH rates per PA are also very similar. Meanwhile, Miranda is a lower OBP guy, but a significantly higher SLG guy (so far). I really like the Kirilloff and Miranda upside if they learn how to make pitchers throw them strikes, which is where Larnach is ahead of them.
  24. jkcarew
    The Twins are well under league average this year. 2, 3 more outs hear and there would be huge as we’ve seen. Given the bullpen investment (lack thereof) and resulting lack of depth, along with the relative success of the starting staff, it would seem smart to try to push starters a little more aggressively. Doesn’t mean it will work.
  25. jkcarew
    Wuttdayamean?? These kids are READY!! Can pitch through the opponent’s batting order twice? Check! Can occasionally pitch into the 6th inning? Check! Can max effort each pitch and avoid anything fully within the technical definition of the strike zone, all while completing each inning with fewer than 25 pitches thrown? Check!
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