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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    wRC+ of 143 since June 9…that’s 2 months of being one of the better all-around corner outfielders in the league. And around wRC+ 108 for the year…something even good teams can live with. Wouldn’t shock me if they try to find a legit right-handed OF bat in the offseason…but it doesn’t appear that it would be that high on the priority list the way things are playing out after the deadline.
  2. jkcarew
    Simply because winning a really bad division…while not getting really much better than you were the previous season and while sticking with veterans that aren’t going to get better, isn’t much of an accomplishment.
  3. jkcarew
    Cleveland has a pretty well established record of doing more with less than the Twins. This seems pretty consistent with that trend, IMO. Takes guts to acknowledge when a race really isn’t a race. Civale will sting…but the Bell move doesn’t make them an ounce worse.
  4. jkcarew
    If they win the division and win a game or two, it will be sold as a resoundingly successful season…and more than half of the fan base would swallow that narrative whole.
  5. jkcarew
    Completely miss the point. I’m not reacting to this week, or even this year. I’m reacting to the status quo. Years. And where did I say fire everybody? Where did I say fire ANYBODY. Straw man. If you’re happy with ALC division titles, that’s your right…great. I’m not.
  6. jkcarew
    Here’s the problem I have with the “hey we’re still in it”, “chip and a chair” crowd… You’re rewarding mediocrity. You’re playing right into the hands of an ownership and FO that sell this as ‘success’…year after year. En mass, you provide no incentive for real change, real progress. The club is still in the ALC race and could still very well win it. I hope they do, and I’ll be cheering them on. But it won’t necessarily mean I think it was a “good” season. Taking advantage of a terrible division year after year to ‘compete’, and hoping that lightning strikes in the postseason is not a plan…it’s a shell game. Honestly, I’m to the point where I wish the club was playing in a different division,…I’m guessing that might be the only thing that would light any kind of fire under this organization.
  7. jkcarew
    Pitching RACING back to the pack. Kepler wRC+ of 132 since the break (higher after tonight). Helps if you’re trading him…but makes it less likely, I suppose…since we’re in the “race”.
  8. jkcarew
    Nice comment. Are you worried about the Poland’s 2023 income? And why do you equate selling some veterans and clearing playing time for the younger players with quitting? Have you given up on the young guys?
  9. jkcarew
    Currently combing the wire for the next Sam Dyson.
  10. jkcarew
    But now is the time to decide, right? I agree that one loss to a bad team doesn’t mean much. But there’s a pretty substantial body of work out there that would say sell. The only thing that's saying buy is the lousy competition in this division. I say sell, anyway.
  11. jkcarew
    True. It’s more the recent lack of command that is concerning rather than the one HR.
  12. jkcarew
    Defense will always have value…but it has less value in the modern game…fewer balls in play, fewer balls on the ground. It’s a roster trend league wide…not just the Twins. In an era of small parks, and fewer balls in play, there is nothing that a defensive specialist like MAT can do out there to justify 300+ PA against right-handed pitching over the course of a season. There just isn’t. Even the Twins are admitting utter defeat by rolling Gallo and/or Castro out there against right-handed pitching.
  13. jkcarew
    What blasphemy is this!!? What if a sinkhole opens in the outfield and swallows him whole? What if it makes his agent crabby? Much better that we stay the course toward an assured and sustainable state of mediocrity. After all, you can never have too many ALC pennants.
  14. jkcarew
    No. He has not “emerged”. He’s survived. So far. And at that, only in the context of massively lowered expectations.
  15. jkcarew
    Usually used as a gauge for batted ball luck. League average is usually around 290…this year 293 (new shift rules haven’t done much). Anything under is considered ‘luckier’…over, ‘not so lucky’. The more innings you pitch, the more your number will trend toward the 290-ish number Pagan’s was 320 last year, 246 this year. Only Moran and Balazovic have had better luck this season with in-the-park batted balls resulting in outs.
  16. jkcarew
    I doubt moves are made based on anything other than major league active roster needs and nothing else. Frequency not impacted by proximity of the AAA club. The only impact is the player is sometimes (when both clubs are home) immediately available to play…which is a good thing for the player and the clubs the club.
  17. jkcarew
    This is the kind of guy you add if you’re a great team on the verge of a pennant run. Just filling a couple small cracks…a veteran spot-starting, pinch-hitting, outfielder. Just no, please.
  18. jkcarew
    Have no problem selling mlb players. None.
  19. jkcarew
    In 2022 with Buxton playing only 92 games, and a hodgepodge at DH, The DH and CF positions combined for bWAR of 2.4. This season, with Buxton at DH full time and MAT at CF (basically) full time, that number is -0.4. If Buxton was hitting this year at career average (about 110-ish OPS+), the number wouldn’t be that much better…maybe up to zero or 0.1. And that’s with MAT over-performing slightly. Again, this could NOT have been a plan. If it was, it was literally a plan to be worse.
  20. jkcarew
    I don’t know how good…but better than this.
  21. jkcarew
    This. A huge opportunity here to figure out how to be legitimately good in 2024….AND still compete (win) a divisional title this year. Just need to act on it.
  22. jkcarew
    Fair.
  23. jkcarew
    I get why the Angels FO may have felt the need to do this. But, I still think it’s dumb. Just as many fans will be pisses when they fail to sign Ohtani as would have been if they had traded him. And they overpaid, besides. If it results in them signing Giolito, though…
  24. jkcarew
    And what the ____ happened to Yoan Moncada?? Maybe he’s really 38 instead of 28?
  25. jkcarew
    That would be fantastic. But, to be fair, Bergman demolished the Texas League the year after he was drafted. Lee hasn’t done that. But he’s been good…very promising!
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