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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    79 wins would have won the division last year…so maybe there should be another category: 80-85 wins, WIN division title. I have us at about 85 wins, and squeaking out an ALC title.
  2. jkcarew
    Free agency is about the most recent good thing to come from this union. Shortly after, the Union was hijacked by the superstars and their agents. There’s a reason that there’s no bottom on payrolls. The reason is that union leadership has never been willing to entertain a meaningful cap on payroll, feeling that would hurt the 5% at the top. The ‘rank and file’, and the young players entering the league, have been a complete afterthought…their interests frequently sacrificed to ensure that veteran star salaries would be free to grow exponentially and without limit. Meanwhile, the Union totally ignored the minor leaguers…being dominated, as it is, by those that had signed big bonuses (and, again, their agents)…never having experienced the financial struggle. Even when the minor leaguers finally unionized, it was due to a grass roots effort among current and ex minor league players. The owners recognized their union without batting an eye. It could have happened decades earlier if the MLBPA had cared at all. The problems run way deeper than Tony Clark. (Although I do think they need a much, much stronger leader to turn things around.)
  3. jkcarew
    Jax…the subject of the article.
  4. jkcarew
    How did he lose 10 games (team leading) last year, blow 7 saves (team leading) and have an overall net negative Win Probability Added? It’s an enigma, wrapped in a riddle….
  5. jkcarew
    Buxton’s projection has a higher OBP and SLG…resulting in a materially higher OPS than his career averages. Not sure I’ll jump on the over for him. Liking the pitcher’s W/L projections. 5 starters…every one with a winning record. That seems a tad rosy. Last year, the Twins were 4 games over 500 in decisions from their top 5 starters…and 8 games over in all other decisions. If the rest are +8 again in 2024, this projection would result in finishing 24 games over 500. 93-79. To say I’d take that, would be an understatement.
  6. jkcarew
    We’re at the point in time where the regulars shouldn’t be doing much experimenting, instead, focusing on dialing things in for the games that matter. So…I wouldn’t mind if we scored some runs and our starters kept the ball in the park. Not gunna lie.
  7. jkcarew
    The over/under on the number of physicals he’d need to fail currently sits at 15.
  8. jkcarew
    Meh. I still like Baseball on Film better.
  9. jkcarew
    True. But almost all are very mediocre singles.
  10. jkcarew
    No, thanks.
  11. jkcarew
    A crime that the Chiefs and Royals are looking to move downtown. Kauffman is a beautiful park, and the setting is perfect for tailgating. But, I suppose when you’re asking governments to pick up a huge part of the tab as is the norm these days, they’re going to go where the money is.
  12. jkcarew
    Although, I didn’t need the history lesson to dislike about 90% of Mackey’s takes on….anything…I don’t mind having another reason to avoid him.
  13. jkcarew
    Huh? Lee played almost exclusively at SS during spring training.
  14. jkcarew
    Yes…over 24 PA…the smallest of small samples. In 2023 over 109 PA (and against better pitching), he was pretty awful from the right side. Less power, fewer walks, more K…the whole 9 yards. Even he has admitted that he’s spent much of the offseason working on improving the right-handed swing. I agree, though, that I don’t doubt he can be a good hitter in the majors. Even if he can improve from the right (which will only represent 20%-ish of his opportunities) to get within hailing distance of MLB-average…we probably have a very nice player on our hands.
  15. jkcarew
    Yes. I am cynical on this topic. I’m not ‘against’ gambling on moral or religious grounds. I’ll dabble rarely. But, IMO, it’s insidious, and more dangerous than our current culture acknowledges…and not just for sports, but in general. The way the professional leagues have fully embraced gambling is, in itself, cynical. Yes, simple greed is in play. But, IMO, it also says, we’re not sure our product is great, and can’t figure out how to make it as great as it could be…but we’re happy to mitigate that via your gambling compulsion.
  16. jkcarew
    Yeah. Hopefully, the Saints face at least their share of lefties in the front half. The comments regarding his defense are encouraging. He had a good showing.
  17. jkcarew
    Under the rug this will go. If there is more than just smoke, and a full-blown and coordinated cover-up is required, then so it will be. The league is already in bed with this devil. (As are other leagues.) For MLB, gambling is a clear…and unapologetically marketed…strategy to bring in the young male who is otherwise uninterested in consuming baseball. A. Bartlett Giamatti is dead and gone…as is “in the interest of the game”. And neither are ever coming back.
  18. jkcarew
    I don’t think payroll constraints (real or imagined) necessarily needs to lead to acquisition of broken pitchers. IMO, it’s simply poor management. Either poor scouting, poor due diligence, poor risk assessment, poor strategy, poor drafting/development…or some combination thereof. Of course it can happen. But no excuses for how often it’s happened to this FO.
  19. jkcarew
    Larnach had a pretty low K rate in the minors, until AAA…and then it ballooned in the majors. Not that uncommon, I suppose. But it’s something, anyway. Not like he’s always had the issue as a pro.
  20. jkcarew
    The points regarding Larnach (and Martin) may be legitimate, but it’s not a Twins issue. It’s a league-wide phenomenon. MLB developmental systems are going to try to maximize in-game power with every single prospect they get their hands on…let alone a 6-3 220+ lb guy with limited defensive value like Larnach. If it doesn’t work for one guy…there’ll be plenty of others to take his place. Blame analytics. Larnach may simply have been better off professionally having been born 20 years earlier than he was.
  21. jkcarew
    Simply the best baseball book ever written. From the perspective of players who played the game when baseball was completely unrivaled as the most popular sport in this country.
  22. jkcarew
    Lee’s a full-time player when he comes up. From a performance standpoint he replaces Santana or maybe Kirilloff (with Julien sliding over there). Although, the failure would probably need to be very bad and extended. So not necessarily likely. From an injury standpoint, he’s up playing full time with an injury to ANY of the starting infielders, including Kirilloff/Santana, I think. This is a realistic (unfortunately)…even likely, scenario. Lee has zero to do with how the LF spot plays out.
  23. jkcarew
    Can’t work up any angst on this. If anything, I even like it from the hitter’s perspective…as, in the end, more batters get to see the front-line arm instead of what would potentially (usually) be more pitches thrown by a nameless/faceless minor league guy.
  24. jkcarew
    Thielbar…not so sure he’s much different than a few of our other lefty reliever options. Desclafani…as expected Duran…as long as it’s done after 6 weeks Canterino…disturbing Zach Weiss…contrary to perceptions, the Twins do NOT always trade for pitchers whose arms are on the verge of exploding. Sometimes they sign them off waivers.
  25. jkcarew
    This! Could the organization have a ‘better’ track record of acquiring arms that are on the cusp of blowing up…even if they were trying!??
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