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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    You’re probably right. But his career OBP is 300, below league average…and his career OPS+ is 106, marginally better than league average. Next year will be his 10th year in the league. Whatever the ‘reasons’ are for the muted offensive results, they’re not at all likely to go away at this point.
  2. jkcarew
    Camargo (if they sign him), Martin, Rodriguez, Severino. I would think Severino would be drafted if not protected. IMO, he warrants a spot to see how/if he develops further. The power is too good…and he’s a switch-hitter whose RH splits are very good…something that is not that common (albeit, with the high K%). FWIW, he seems to provide SOME defensive flexibility…3B, 2B, 1B. Meanwhile, Polanco is starting to break down, Kiriloff and Miranda are question marks. I would think the log jambs at these positions will be addressed in the offseason. We’ll see. Don’t know how realistic it is that any of these names would be included in trades BEFORE the draft?
  3. jkcarew
    Maybe. But using Theilbar in the 4th was the wrong move, IMO. I’m not using my 5th (6th?) best option in an elimination game, with a day off to follow…no matter what arm he throws with. Exception being an Alvarez AB with 2-out. In that situation the risk/reward is probably worth it, since he is not required to start the next inning. If one of our right-handers comes on there and ‘only’ gives up a HR to Alvarez leading off, we’re better off. IMO Rocco has to manage the game in that spot believing that a solo HR by Alvarez in the 4th inning of a tie game isn’t going to beat you…and simply pitch one of his better arms. Doesn’t guarantee better results, but it’s a way better approach, IMO. The lack of offense is what doomed us, though…obviously.
  4. jkcarew
    If he doesn’t hit enough to add value at DH…then he’s not going to add relevant value at 1B, either. For those that say/think he’s an all-star hitter when healthy (I don’t)…do you really think 1B is going to keep him healthy? The best plan by far is to build a roster that ignores him as a starting option entirely. If he becomes an option health/ability-wise, there will be opportunities via injuries and underperformance elsewhere on the roster for him to return to relevance. Sad…and expensive, but it’s the right path forward.
  5. jkcarew
    It was a high-floor, low ceiling club from the start. I think they came pretty close to their ceiling…so a successful year for sure. They figured to have trouble scoring…and that came to fruition…despite a fairly decent run in the second half. With Rocco, it may be tough for our best players to be left-handed bats…they just don’t figure to play as much. Lee’s a switch-hitter, as is Severino. Lewis and Martin are righties. There are reasons for optimism…especially Lewis. If he can stay healthy, it’s his team.
  6. jkcarew
    I think February is a lock. March too.
  7. jkcarew
    I don’t think you can even begin to put Buxton in the same category as Correa in terms of career accomplishments. Buxton has qualified for a batting title ONE time in his entire career and was awful in brief post-season appearances. The ‘track records’ are worlds apart. Having said that, if Buxton is ready (if there is such a thing with him anymore), you add him…and then come into 2024 with a good CF plan that does not rely on Buxton.
  8. jkcarew
    The only downside I see right now… me, having to go out and buy one of those god-awful “M” hats.
  9. jkcarew
    I’m pretty sure we’ll see the best version of the Houston Astros in at least one of these two games at home. They’ve been phenomenal on the road all season. Doesn’t mean the Twins can’t beat them, though. I doubt the Twins fear Verlander as much as we do. It will be tough for him to duplicate Game 1’s performance regardless of when or if we see him again. Just play the game boys!
  10. jkcarew
    middle middle is never good, but I’m ok with “over the plate” up 6-0 in the 8th. A walk is even worse in that situation…the guys behind him can reach the seats too…at least he made him beat him. He’s a great hitter, if we can control the rest of the order, we’ll be able to pitch around him when it matters.
  11. jkcarew
    It was a rundown play…the catcher has a right to be in the base path (as does the 3rd baseman)…and the catcher was where he was because he was expecting a return throw. The umpire is never going to call obstruction there unless the catcher goes out of his was to initiate some contact…which isn’t what happened.
  12. jkcarew
    In the second half this team became worthy…it’s about how you’re playing. Completely different team in second half, completely different vibe with Lewis. Fun with numbers…records against teams over 500… 101-win 2019 Twins: 32-37 87-win 2023 Twins: 37-36
  13. jkcarew
    Brooks LeeWalker JenkinsEmmanuel RodriguezCharlee SotoAustin MartinDavid FestaLuke KeaschallMarco RayaYunior SeverinoKala'i RosarioBrandon WinokurCory LewisDanny De AndradeAndrew CossettiJair CamargoSimeon Woods RichardsonDameury PenaCJ CulpepperNoah MillerYasser Mercedes
  14. jkcarew
    Agreed. I was assuming ‘pipeline’ was referring to guys that we developed.
  15. jkcarew
    I’m not following. The pitching was without question absolutely fantastic…but I’m not seeing the connection to the ‘pipeline’…unless you are referring to the relievers? Jax and Duran were almost flawless. Varland and Thielbar a little shakey in their inning today, but survived thanks to the bases loaded line drive going inches foul.
  16. jkcarew
    I think that early it’s more important to play against the big(er) inning…and believe a pretty decent offense can score 2 or more runs over the next 5 innings. They played double play depth up the middle against Kepler, Solano, Correa with the bases loaded, and Castro with the bases loaded. It gave them a chance to almost field Correa’s hit…and it ‘worked’ on Castro’s PA. I’m sure if Castro’s ball had been hit to 3rd, the play would have been to home. They played the sequence probably what I would have done. Like pulling Berrios ‘too early’…everything’s moot when your team doesn’t score a run. Probably the biggest mistakes Toronto made in the series were losing the two baserunners.
  17. jkcarew
    I posted during the season, in the midst of Correa’s persistent offensive doldrums and the team struggling to stay over 500, that he was far from the Twin’s biggest problem. He’s just a really good baseball player, and he knows how to win. You saw it in spades in these two games.
  18. jkcarew
    Thanks to Correa, Polanco’s failure to field Kiermaier’s chopper in the 4th was a HUGE break for the Twins… if Polanco successfully fields that ball, no out is recorded on the play. Zero chance of getting Kiermaier there. None. Best case, Polanco eats it…Bases are loaded with Chapman in the box. Weird how things work out sometime.
  19. jkcarew
    5 pitchers used on a strong start. Why do people think 12 pitchers would ‘never’ be used? It’s playoff baseball, matchups will be leveraged more often…and extra innings can go forever. When setting the roster, you pretty much need to assume 3 tight games with at least one going to extras.
  20. jkcarew
    The team will need someone else to step up offensively even if Lewis is ok to go again. I’m reasonably optimistic that someone will.
  21. jkcarew
    Means nothing more to me than going up 1-0 in a best-of-three series..(which is big enough deal without the irrelevant baggage). Now, for the real objective…let’s win the series. I think the Twins are the better team right now.
  22. jkcarew
    The streak is only remarkable if you think the Twins had anything close to a 50% chance of winning most of the games. They didn’t. Go back and look at the team…and pitching matchups. Maybe had a 45-ish percent chance in maybe 3 games. The rest were complete and utter mismatches. Yes, you’d still figure to get a win or two along the way, but who cares…you’re losing all but the earliest of these series 10 out of 10 times. Got a better chance this year.
  23. jkcarew
    During the streak, they were clearly the inferior team. Every time, and every single pitching matchup. This time they won’t be…at least not by much. I expect competitive results. Disclaimer is if Lewis can’t play at least DH.
  24. jkcarew
    Hopefully they’ll be Twins fans. I’ve been to Blue Jay’s series where there were more fans from Toronto, Thunder Bay, and Winnipeg in the stands than folks from Minnesota. We’ll see.
  25. jkcarew
    A large part of that was Lewis making 5 plate appearances in most of the games.
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