jkcarew
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Everything posted by jkcarew
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Article: Twins Minor League Report (5/13): Baller-Zovic
jkcarew replied to Steve Lein's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Good for him! Don't know that he will hit as he advances...but it's nice to see for a kid who...up to this point...has done pretty much everything that could be asked of a high-school catcher drafted in round 2 (at least in terms of overall numbers).- 40 replies
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- jordan balazovic
- trevor larnach
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Article: Jorge Polanco Entering Rod Carew Territory
jkcarew replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yep. And also agree with the "encouraging" comment. What we are seeing is exciting, and it's not unrealistic to think that Polanco is in the process of taking his offensive game to a new level. Not Trout-like or even Carew-like, but still something that could be very, very good. Carew himself took a significant step at his age 27 season. -
Article: Jorge Polanco Entering Rod Carew Territory
jkcarew replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Heading into his age 25 season, Polanco has a career best 110 OPS+. Heading into his age 25 season, Carew had a 134 and a (injury shortened) 152 under his belt. And Carew posted the 157 at age 29. But, it’s worth pointing out that Carew and all of the others on your honorable mention list were second basemen. Short is more demanding...and playing at his current standard defensively, Polanco would not need to OPS as high as these others to be more valuable. So, for now, maybe we ponder whether 2019 Polanco can have the best year ever for a Twins shortstop? Seems like that could be realistic, as long as he remains healthy throughout the year. -
Article: LAA 5, MIN 4: More Missed Opportunities
jkcarew replied to Andrew Gebo's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
And THAT is why traditionally you don’t have the best pitcher in the back of the bullpen enter games when trailing. It’s a gamble, and Rocco lost the bet. Berrios has struggled controlling the curve many of his starts so far...his mediocre FIP and K/9 heading into today’s start reflected that, despite the favorable results. It was bound to bite him eventually.- 54 replies
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- jose berrios
- jorge polanco
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Article: DET 5, MIN 3: We Have a Problem
jkcarew replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Oh, well. Detroit’s results since we saw them early had indicated that they might not be terrible. And seeing them up close now, I’d say that’s true. Or at least not as bad as I thought they’d be. The health of Perez and Cruz is more important than the outcome of one game. So, I hope they’re healthy and available very soon.- 60 replies
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Article: Kepler Finally Maxing Out
jkcarew replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
But would you want to go by that? I'd go by Maxi35milian. -
Article: Kepler Finally Maxing Out
jkcarew replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Kepler's wRC+ right now is 106 and ranks 20th among right fielders. Eight Twins have a higher wRC+. His OPS+ is 109 compared to his career 97. Meanwhile, his splits vs lefties so far this year (SSS) are once again flirting with platoon territory...hence the recent trend for Baldelli dropping him to the bottom of the order vs lefty starters. Kepler's 2019 improvement can be attributed totally and completely to an increase in HR rate. His BABiP is an abysmal 236 which is exactly where he sat at the end of last year. And his determination to try to pull everything isn't going to improve that materially. On the other hand, there's no reason to think that the improved HR rate isn't sustainable and can't continue to grow a bit more, even. But, it will have to for Kepler to be a "star". It should also be pointed out that Kepler's extension also makes him considerably more valuable in trade scenarios. -
Rosario did look broke tonight...and has for many games over the last couple of weeks. The good news...last year that would have almost automatically meant games lost.
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- jake odorizzi
- jorge polanco
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Max Kepler (And the Belated Breakout)
jkcarew commented on Matt Braun's blog entry in 80MPH Changeup
Obvious to me as well. His pull rate isn’t as high (until this year) as you might think...but he does TRY to pull everything. Everything. Result: balls hit to left of center are almost always poorly struck and the result of him getting beat by a pitch that he’s trying to pull. With his approach, sustained improvements mostly limited to the BB/K ratio and HR rate. -
Article: MLB Draft: Eight Names to Know
jkcarew replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
College pitcher or big-time bat, I hope. I know only the toolsy guys tend to go super early. But I, for one, will not be upset if we take a bat with true top-end potential with number 13...regardless of where he projects defensively. We've got enough toolsy middle infielders and center-field types in the system who may or may not hit. What we don't have much of are guys that can flat out rake. If dude ends up being a 1B/DH only, so be it.- 14 replies
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- mlb draft
- zack thompson
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Article: Who is the Face of the Minnesota Twins?
jkcarew replied to Andrew Thares's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Still emerging. Several realistic candidates, which is a good thing. -
Article: How Will Sano’s Return Impact the Roster?
jkcarew replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree that there are reasonable arguments/reasons/scenarios for a 12-man staff. And hope that that is what happens. But I don't think that will be the decision/outcome...at least not for the majority of the season. Will be interesting to see how it plays out.- 116 replies
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- miguel sano
- marwin gonzalez
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Article: How Will Sano’s Return Impact the Roster?
jkcarew replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Lot’s here think the pitching staff will go to 12 when the second of Sano/Astudillo become available? Why? Seems counter to recent history and trends especially as we get out of the cancellations season and into the makeup season. I’m sceptical that the staff will be 12 for anything other than brief periods going forward. I mean, they want 13 in early May, but will want 12 in June because...it’s become too hard to chose which hitters remain?- 116 replies
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- miguel sano
- marwin gonzalez
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So here’s the question...batter gets no credit for RBI when grounding into a double play. Does he get the RBI when flying into a double play? If not, I’d make the goofball that got himself thrown out trying to advance buy me dinner after the game.
- 44 replies
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- trevor larnach
- bryan sammons
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Agree. Kirilloff being real, and Kepler taking even one more half-step in his development...would be a nice problem to have, as they say.
- 53 replies
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- alex kirilloff
- jose miranda
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You sure? After the Twins got good in the late 80's, it seemed inconceivable that the outfield of Gladden, Puckett, and Brunansky would be broken up. But the FO was able to leverage Brunansky's value to obtain Tommy Her-- No. Wait. Never mind.
- 53 replies
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- alex kirilloff
- jose miranda
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I'm fine with that . But like I posted earlier...I knew Perez would get chances to start against a weak team (or three...our division is full of them)...but I still never expected to see results that good in terms of being in control, avoiding hard contact, getting deep into the game, getting K's, etc. I'm in Brock's "he's probably not THIS good...but it looks like he's legitimately/materially better than the old Perez" camp.
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Not sure how it would impact Lewis. In fact, Baddoo is known to take a lot of pitches, which would be good for Lewis. FWIW...Baddoo has been a better offensive player than Lewis so far this year. Both have under-performed, but Baddoo is hitting for extra bases, and has 4 home runs which is 4 more than Lewis, Larnach, and Miranda. Granted, OBP is exceeding low for a lead-off hitter...but I don't think the organization cares that much what that might do to the likelihood of winning A+ games.
- 53 replies
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- alex kirilloff
- jose miranda
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Article: How Will Sano’s Return Impact the Roster?
jkcarew replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The large majority of those that can do that while playing major league shortstop are already on major league rosters.- 116 replies
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- miguel sano
- marwin gonzalez
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Article: How Will Sano’s Return Impact the Roster?
jkcarew replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
We’ll see. And that’s the point. It will be interesting to see how the Twins look at it. So far, the only person the Twins have put at SS other than Polanco is Adrianza. And that includes games where a hot-hitting Astudillo was available to play 3rd. My guess is the Twins would be willing to give him the random game at SS to spell Polanco...but wouldn’t want to make him an everyday player there if Polanco went down.- 116 replies
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- miguel sano
- marwin gonzalez
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Article: How Will Sano’s Return Impact the Roster?
jkcarew replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
As an everyday shortstop? I’m pretty sure the entire organization would beg to differ. It will have to be a player that can be better than replacement level defensively at that position.- 116 replies
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- miguel sano
- marwin gonzalez
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Article: How Will Sano’s Return Impact the Roster?
jkcarew replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Cave is the first. Makes the team even more right-handed. Meanwhile, there's little to suggest the staff will be anything less than 13, at least for any meaningful period of time. I'd guess we are 4-6 weeks from finding out a couple of things...how comfortable are the Twins with Gonzales filling in at SS to spell Polanco? How comfortable going with Gordon in the event of an IL stint for Polanco? If the answer to either of these is negative, I don't see them parting with Adrianza. Hopefully, we find out...because that would mean no injuries to other players making the questions moot.- 116 replies
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- miguel sano
- marwin gonzalez
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Yesterday, I noted that it seems like Rortvedt is a better hitter than Jeffers at this moment in time in their development. Today, I say to Jeffers...You’re welcome.
- 23 replies
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- jordan balazovic
- griffin jax
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