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    Who Was the Least Valuable Player on the 2026 Twins?

    Seven players stand out for their disappointing contributions to the 2026 Twins. The most concerning cases are those who remain central to the team's plans for 2027.

    Nick Nelson
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    Last week we handed out our honorary Twins Daily Awards for the 2026 season, highlighting our picks for Most Valuable Player, Best Pitcher, Rookie of the Year and Most Improved. It's important to recognize and shine a light on the standout performances that elevated this team and offered real reason for encouragement.

    However, since this team ultimately fell short of its goals and finished below .500, it also feels worthwhile to look at the MVP conversation from the other side: who was least valuable to the 2026 Twins? Which players were most complicit in holding the club back from being a true contender in this watered-down American League?

    There are a few ways to look at this. It's not as simple as asking who had the worst base numbers. Guys like Justin Lawrence (18.00 ERA in 6 IP), Luis Garcia (10.38 ERA in 8 ⅔) and Kyler Fedko (0-for-16 with 8 Ks) would qualify by that measure, but none played enough to have a truly substantial impact on the team's fate. 

    Here are seven players who merit consideration for 2026 Twins LVP, with an added note at the end on why it matters moving forward.

    Victor Caratini

    A randomly excellent month of June is the only thing salvaging what was otherwise a disastrous season for the free agent signee. Even with his 1.059 OPS that month, he still finished with a 77 OPS+ and a negative-1.35 Win Probability Added that ranked worst among all Twins position players. He was one of the slowest players in the league, clogging the base paths when he got on, and defensively he was totally unable to control the opposing run game, allowing 64 steals on 77 attempts.

    The Twins signed Caratini to a two-year deal with the expectation that he'd take over for Ryan Jeffers as starting catcher in 2027, but they've got to be having second thoughts about that plan with Caratini coming off an alarmingly lackluster season at age 33.

    Justin Topa

    He borders on too small of a sample, having thrown just 19 innings before being released in late May, but Topa packed a whole lot of badness into his 23 Twins appearances: 8.05 ERA, 6.47 FIP, 2.00 WHIP, 12-to-11 K/BB ratio. Making matters worse is that the team was counting on him for a semi-significant role, coming into the year as one of the more established members of a piecemeal Opening Day bullpen. 

    He was decent for the first month but went off the rails afterward, and largely epitomized what was wrong with this relief corps before it got revamped. 

    James Outman

    Not a serious contender because he didn't have a big enough role, but with Outman it's more about opportunity cost. The Twins could have used those 70 plate appearances more productively on just about anybody. Instead, Outman batted .156 with 29 strikeouts, and his outfield defense was not nearly strong enough to make up for the offensive ineptitude.

    The situation was more frustrating in terms of optics than functional damage done. It was always obvious Outman was not a good player. He was bad before the Twins acquired him last year, bad after they acquired him, and bad this year when given another chance. He somehow got another 100 plate appearances in Detroit after the Twins cut him loose in June, and was bad there too. 

    Tristan Gray

    A strong candidate. The Twins took an inexplicable liking to him and ran him out for 52 starts, mostly at shortstop, before his demotion to Triple-A around the All-Star break. Offering little on offense or defense, Gray was chiefly responsible for turning the shortstop position into an area of massive disadvantage for Minnesota in the first half.

    The only redeeming quality of Gray's time with the Twins is that he batted .300 with runners in scoring positon and had a few memorable clutch hits, compiling 29 RBIs in his 188 plate appearances. He might skirt LVP status for that reason alone despite sub-replacement level production overall.

    Matt Wallner

    Wallner, conversely, provided little in terms of positives to offset his poor performance. The combination of a .167/.259/.292 slash line with bottom-barrel defense in right field led to negative-0.8 fWAR and negative-1.4 bWAR, both surpassing Gray for lowest among Twins position players. Wallner also had the second-worst WPA (ahead of only Caratini), so his lack of offensive output was costly. 

    The 28-year-old was optioned to Triple-A in mid-May and never made it back, despite hitting pretty well for the Saints. It's been a dramatic fall-off for a hitter who was one of Minnesota's best in 2023-24. 

    Simeon Woods Richardson

    In the span of 12 appearances (10 starts) for the Twins, Woods Richardson was about as bad as can be. He posted a 7.74 ERA and 6.16 FIP, allowing a jaw-dropping 65 hits and 25 walks with only 26 strikeouts in 47 ⅔ innings. The team went 1-9 in games he started. His negative-2.24 WPA was not only the worst on the team, but in all of baseball.

    The performance was discouraging enough that the Twins simply released Woods Richardson in early June — a stunning turn of events for a 25-year-old starting pitcher with a recent track record of MLB success. 

    Royce Lewis

    Lewis is a bit different from everyone else on this list. Relatively speaking, his performance wasn't horrible, just well below average. FanGraphs and Baseball Reference both pegged him as modestly above replacement level. He stayed healthy, hit some homers, drove in some runs, played a ton.

    But that last part is sorta the issue. Lewis had by far the most playing time of anyone here. When healthy he was consistently an everyday player but rarely was he helpful. Yes, his 86 OPS+ is better than the 77 from Caratini, but Lewis made 130 more plate appearances and he was putting forth this sub-mediocre production from an offense-driven position, especially after the move to first base.

    So, where do you land on the least valuable player for the 2026 Twins? For me it's probably between Wallner and Woods Richardson, but Caratini has a case and I think Lewis might have an even stronger one. That's where this discussion takes on forward-looking relevance. Because while some of these guys are already out of the picture and others are on their way, Lewis and Caratini remain penciled into 2027 plans as of now. 

    This sets up a critical question for the offseason: Are the Twins content to hope that two of the players most responsible for their disappointing outcome this year will reverse course, despite giving little tangible reason for such belief? Or will they seek to find ways to upgrade at catcher and first base? The latter would be a bit easier, given that Lewis is arbitration-eligible whereas Caratini is locked in for $7 million with a $3.5 million buyout for his 2028 option.


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    3 hours ago, DJL44 said:

    Gotta go with Wallner who was expected to bat in the middle of the lineup and was equally terrible on defense and offense. 

    Concur. He’s got my vote, with Tristan Gray a close 2nd place. 

    And shout out to @The Great Hambinofor giving the honorable mention to Justin Lawrence. He is the worst pitcher I’ve ever watched in person wearing a Twins uniform. 

    6 minutes ago, Vanimal46 said:

    Alan Jackson the country singer was on our roster the whole time? 

     

    At a minimum he could have at least sung the national anthem or 7th inning stretch.  But nope, he just sat quietly on the bench.  

    6 minutes ago, Vanimal46 said:

    And shout out to @The Great Hambinofor giving the honorable mention to Justin Lawrence. He is the worst pitcher I’ve ever watched in person wearing a Twins uniform. 

    I looked up historic worst Twins pitchers for grins

    JA Happ, Scott Klingenbeck, John Pacella, Jerry Fosnow, Sean Bergman, Matt Shoemaker, Terry Felton, Liam Hendriks

    Cody Christie turned it into an article in 2024.

    1 hour ago, Twins GFP said:

    Not to be confused with most disappointing, I am not sure how anyone competes with SWR in this category. Arguably the biggest reason the Twins did not make the playoffs this year (don't go down that rabbit hole, another discussion for another thread).

    You've said this many times and I just gotta know.  How did a #5/6 starter who made 10 starts in April and May and put up -1.2 WAR cause the Twins to miss the playoffs by 7 games?  

    Part of the MVP/LVP is the expectation that this guy is a Big Piece Of The Puzzle and that's a multiplier for how well or poorly fans end up feeling about them.  SWR was going to be a #3 or #4, looked to be on the upswing, and got a third of a season to prove who he was.  Wallner had hit well above average for a couple years and was penciled in as a starter based on a lot of good hitting, but he was sent out at the quarter season mark. We got a full season of Caratini, who was picked up with an extra year because he'd been seen as a league average hitter at a hard position to fill where Jeffers was a potential free agent. Lewis flashed incandescent hot streaks between deep, dark valleys of injury, poor hitting and unmet promise. He was sent down, was reborn, and then died again, which is sort of a tough metaphor for a guy that has been burdened with so many expectations since he draft day and early grand slam glory.

    I go for Lewis because he's the best player. SWR just may not be that good, the new world where everyone throws 96+ means Wallner may just never hit again, and Cartini is a slow 33 and was not responsible for his appearances at 1B.  So just as I never hold hurt players accountable for poor performance, I won't get down on a guy for reading the lineup card, grabbing his glove and getting out there. Injuries and assignments are Shelton's job, or Zell's, not the players'. 

    That said,  Zell isn't biting on that slider away, and Shelton is just standing there if you need someone to work with you on your defense. The players do have to address their weaknesses, and while those others may not be physically able to overcome age or high velo pitching, Lewis was seemingly able to right himself in St Paul almost immediately. He played 15 AAA games and hit 10 HR with a 1.303 OPS and then came back on June 5 and posted a .842 OPS for the rest of that month. He can absolutely play when he's right, so it was doubly rough when the rest of the year was a slow deflation that completely collapsed after the Field of Dreams game, where he only managed a .467 OPS in 136 PA. 

    So in my mind these other guys just aren't that great and Lewis still might be. To whom much is given much is expected, and all that. And he was both healthy and on the field in 2026, so he gets to wear this paper crown.  Congrats, don't do it again.

    47 minutes ago, MeleMouth said:

    What you defined could "meat" (sic) the criteria for the most disappointing player, of course if you define it that way the award could go to the rally sausage. In contrast, the least valuable player, at least from an economics standpoint of value, is the player who provided the least benefit for his cost.

    Really sorry my typo confused you.  I will lower my expectations of people’s comprehension and maybe even proofread.

    33 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

    I looked up historic worst Twins pitchers for grins

    JA Happ, Scott Klingenbeck, John Pacella, Jerry Fosnow, Sean Bergman, Matt Shoemaker, Terry Felton, Liam Hendriks

    Cody Christie turned it into an article in 2024.

    I unfortunately witnessed Justin Lawrence enter the 7th inning of a 4-4 game against the Cardinals. Then within 10 minutes he gave up 4 hits, 4 ER, and 2 HRs launched in the upper deck. 

    1 hour ago, old nurse said:

    The MVP is usually for the player who played most of the season with the team. The LVP shoud have to meet the same criteria. That should eliminate the injured for the year and jettisoned players from consideration. 

    Position players who played. More than 100 games with an fwar less than 1 would be Lewis, Caratini, Bell, and Martin. They all have negative WPA for the season. Starters with at least 20 starts and an fwar less than one would be Zebby.  Relievers who managed to pitch 40 innings and you could question would be Orze,  and Adams,  Adams is a development project, Orze had a decent FIP, but poor results. Zebby is a development project. That leaves the 3 position players. And Bell. It is a pickem on the players. I would thing voting would be a tie for Lewis and Caratini 

    I like this methodology and I vote for a tie as well. 

    36 minutes ago, Woof Bronzer said:

    You've said this many times and I just gotta know.  How did a #5/6 starter who made 10 starts in April and May and put up -1.2 WAR cause the Twins to miss the playoffs by 7 games?  

    It would be really helpful if you read the entirety of my comments instead of just cherry picking words to fit whatever narrative you feel like.

    At no point in my argument did I say that SWR was the SOLE REASON for missing the playoffs, just arguably the biggest reason.

    As was quoted earlier by @old nurse, if SWR pitched at a level to previous seasons, we were probably looking at 4 wins out of his 10 starts. That doesn't even include what the Twins would have potentially gained with a full season of previous production.

    My nominees for Least Valuable Player:

    • Hendry Mendez.  He was added to the 40-man roster in the off-season and the front office never saw fit to call him up.  That's not very valuable.
    • Alex Jackson. He was traded for in the off-season, DFAed to open the season, called back up for three months, DFAed again then brought right back, then DFAed a month later. Through all that his manager saw fit to let him accumulate 73 plate appearances.  That's not very valuable.
    • Wu-Suk Go. He was acquired for cash in early July and was made a free agent in late August. In between he racked up 4 major league innings in 4 games giving up 4 runs.  That's not very valuable.
    • Luis Garcia.  He was acquired as an early season free agent after being cast off by the underachieving Mets.  In 8.2 innings he gave up 10 earned runs, with as many home runs as he had strikeouts (2).  That's not very valuable.

    Lewis wins this award because he was given the most opportunity to perform better. He was healthy. He had nothing to blame but himself for his poor performance. 

    Caratini is an easy choice for 2nd place. How bad would the season have looked without that hot stretch? He was unplayable and was given every opportunity to get into a rhythm at the cost of seeing how well Jackson would perform in a larger sample. 

    SWR gets 3rd because he wasnt here most of the season like Lewis and Caratini were. Essentially the worst player in MLB this season? 

    Wallner get dishonorable mention because of what he was supposed to be to the team. Big bat clean up hitter. He didnt get enough time to win the award, but what a disappointment its been to watch him go from nearly a .900 OPS to off the roster so quickly. 

    1 hour ago, Vanimal46 said:

    I unfortunately witnessed Justin Lawrence enter the 7th inning of a 4-4 game against the Cardinals. Then within 10 minutes he gave up 4 hits, 4 ER, and 2 HRs launched in the upper deck. 

    Felton

     I still cringe when I hear that name or see fuzzy blond hair on the mound

     

    The most disappointing moment for me was who was responsible for playing SWR when he was too sick to pitch? like Ober, he never returned to his normal self for us. Many of his underlying stats never were impressive but he normally got things done. He did well for TOR, but because his underlying #s weren't impressive he was sent down, 

    Wallner was disappointing but how much of that was how he was developed? Royce started out bad, got better but after not being used to a full season fell off. As you can see I tend to blame more management & coaching than players.

    4 minutes ago, Andy MacPhail said:

    The most disappointing moment for me was who was responsible for playing SWR when he was too sick to pitch? like Ober, he never returned to his normal self for us. Many of his underlying stats never were impressive but he normally got things done. He did well for TOR, but because his underlying #s weren't impressive he was sent down, 

    Wallner was disappointing but how much of that was how he was developed? Royce started out bad, got better but after not being used to a full season fell off. As you can see I tend to blame more management & coaching than players.

    Ultimately, the players have to perform. It could be that they were improperly used, but they have to find a way to produce and help the club win. I've always felt that managers and coaches get too much credit and too much blame for the way a team performs.

    1 hour ago, Twins GFP said:

    At no point in my argument did I say that SWR was the SOLE REASON for missing the playoffs, just arguably the biggest reason.

    As was quoted earlier by @old nurse, if SWR pitched at a level to previous seasons, we were probably looking at 4 wins out of his 10 starts. That doesn't even include what the Twins would have potentially gained with a full season of previous production.

    Yes, we agree that you have said he is the biggest reason they missed the playoffs.  SWR won 5 games in 2024 in 133 innings, and he won 7 games in 2025 in 111 innings.  So for 2026 - 2 wins in 66 innings - he was pretty close to his 2024 pace, which was his best season.  

    In his 2 decent seasons his ERA+ was a tick over 100, with his FIP actually a shade over his ERA.  I am not sure what you expected from him.  He was bad, but he participated in 10 of 162 games (and won 2 of them) and threw 4.6% of the team's innings.  He's not in the top 20 reasons why the team missed the playoffs by 7 games.

    The Twins were in playoff position on August 1, 2 full months after SWR had been let go.  If they had simply gone .500 the rest of the way they likely would have made the playoffs.  

    It's funny that no one seems to want to criticize Joe Ryan, but his absolutely terrible 2nd half had MUCH more impact on the team's fate than a random #6 starter's 10 spring starts.  2 or 3 more wins from our "ace" in August/Sept and the story could have been much, much different.  

    All that said, the real biggest reason they missed the playoffs is they just weren't good enough.

    2 minutes ago, Woof Bronzer said:

    Yes, we agree that you have said he is the biggest reason they missed the playoffs.  SWR won 5 games in 2024 in 133 innings, and he won 7 games in 2025 in 111 innings.  So for 2026 - 2 wins in 66 innings - he was pretty close to his 2024 pace, which was his best season.  

    In his 2 decent seasons his ERA+ was a tick over 100, with his FIP actually a shade over his ERA.  I am not sure what you expected from him.  He was bad, but he participated in 10 of 162 games (and won 2 of them) and threw 4.6% of the team's innings.  He's not in the top 20 reasons why the team missed the playoffs by 7 games.

    The Twins were in playoff position on August 1, 2 full months after SWR had been let go.  If they had simply gone .500 the rest of the way they likely would have made the playoffs.  

    It's funny that no one seems to want to criticize Joe Ryan, but his absolutely terrible 2nd half had MUCH more impact on the team's fate than a random #6 starter's 10 spring starts.  2 or 3 more wins from our "ace" in August/Sept and the story could have been much, much different.  

    All that said, the real biggest reason they missed the playoffs is they just weren't good enough.

    Thank you for misquoting me AGAIN. I did not say he was the biggest reason, but arguably the biggest reason. That is a large distinction. When you attempt to dispute what I say, please quote me correctly.

    That being said, you say SWR is not in top 20 reasons why the team missed the playoffs by 7 games. Please list the 20 things that had had a bigger impact on them missing the playoffs than SWR and his 1-9 record over the first third of the season.

    55 minutes ago, stringer bell said:

    Ultimately, the players have to perform. It could be that they were improperly used, but they have to find a way to produce and help the club win. I've always felt that managers and coaches get too much credit and too much blame for the way a team performs.

    Evidently, Twins embrace the same philosophy as you do, at least in the past, that managing & development have little effect. Which, IMO, shows up in the results. Contrast to MIL, who put a lot of importance on them.

    36 minutes ago, Twins GFP said:

    Thank you for misquoting me AGAIN. I did not say he was the biggest reason, but arguably the biggest reason. That is a large distinction. When you attempt to dispute what I say, please quote me correctly.

    That being said, you say SWR is not in top 20 reasons why the team missed the playoffs by 7 games. Please list the 20 things that had had a bigger impact on them missing the playoffs than SWR and his 1-9 record over the first third of the season.

    It's a large distinction????  Sure, whatever you say.  This is a fan blog, you are arguing your opinion.  I understand perfectly.   I'm perfectly comfortable with the way I'm quoting your own words back to you.  (I don't blame you for continuing to qualify what you said though.)

    SWR was 2-7, you can't even get your own facts straight.  

    Here's 20 off the top of my head, in no order:

    1.  Pohlad family still owns the team

    2. $100m payroll

    3.  Incompetent GM

    4. Poor use of limited offseason resources without solving position problems

    5.  Embarrassingly bad bullpen to start the year

    6.  Matt Wallner falling off the face of the earth

    7.  Buxton injured 2nd half

    8.  Lopez injured all year

    9.  Joe "Ace" Ryan completely melts down in 2nd half again

    10.  Tom Pohlad insisting on making the playoffs

    11.  Trotting out a terrible collection of SS for months

    12.  Melting down in August (again)

    13.  Waiting too long to bring up Culpepper

    14.  Waiting too long to bring up Jenkins

    15.  Royce Lewis, #1 overall draft pick turned bust

    16.  Caratini, who made 10x what SWR did

    17.  Not doing enough at the deadline

    18.  Poor roster construction with 10 outfielders on 40 man

    19.  Wasting a roster spot for months on a player you refuse to play

    and 20, the biggest one of all:  the roster simply did not have enough talent.  

    I could go on...

    7 hours ago, Russ said:

    The sad part is there are too many choices

    The Twins could have eliminated many of them.  Why break Spring Training with Outman on your roster?   Tristan Gray, same question.

    The Twins have been very reluctant to move their prospects to their major league roster.   I am not sure if it is a case of them feeling that the guys are "not ready" or whatever, but the fact is, they seldom arrive at the MLB level "ready".   But there can never be "perfection" except in the case of some of the top level prospects, and even they usually need some seasoning at the MLB level.

    But, most likely, in 2027, (if they do not resign Jeffers) the Twins will have a throw away backup catcher behind Caratini (two candidates for worse player) rather than give a guy like Diaw an opportunity to develop at the major league level.  Add in a couple of low level backup positonal guys and bargain basement relievers, those will be your candidates for Least Valuable player in 2027.  It is almost set in stone.

    If I ran the team, I would have Diaw as my starting catcher, play him some in the OF, and even 1B.   Develop that professional hitter with defensive flexibility.   If he does worst than 0.0 WAR we are actually ahead of the game because then we know.  Not all prospects work out.  Not all prospects can come close to their success in the minors.  When you are rebuilding, the sooner you find out that information, the better.

    4 hours ago, Vanimal46 said:

    I unfortunately witnessed Justin Lawrence enter the 7th inning of a 4-4 game against the Cardinals. Then within 10 minutes he gave up 4 hits, 4 ER, and 2 HRs launched in the upper deck. 

    I was there with ya.
    The worst part was I remember him being ahead mostly but only throwing sinkers and sliders. I even thought: How is this guy in the majors with just two pitches?

    1 hour ago, Woof Bronzer said:

    It's a large distinction????  Sure, whatever you say.  This is a fan blog, you are arguing your opinion.  I understand perfectly.   I'm perfectly comfortable with the way I'm quoting your own words back to you.  (I don't blame you for continuing to qualify what you said though.)

    SWR was 2-7, you can't even get your own facts straight.  

    Here's 20 off the top of my head, in no order:

    1.  Pohlad family still owns the team

    2. $100m payroll

    3.  Incompetent GM

    4. Poor use of limited offseason resources without solving position problems

    5.  Embarrassingly bad bullpen to start the year

    6.  Matt Wallner falling off the face of the earth

    7.  Buxton injured 2nd half

    8.  Lopez injured all year

    9.  Joe "Ace" Ryan completely melts down in 2nd half again

    10.  Tom Pohlad insisting on making the playoffs

    11.  Trotting out a terrible collection of SS for months

    12.  Melting down in August (again)

    13.  Waiting too long to bring up Culpepper

    14.  Waiting too long to bring up Jenkins

    15.  Royce Lewis, #1 overall draft pick turned bust

    16.  Caratini, who made 10x what SWR did

    17.  Not doing enough at the deadline

    18.  Poor roster construction with 10 outfielders on 40 man

    19.  Wasting a roster spot for months on a player you refuse to play

    and 20, the biggest one of all:  the roster simply did not have enough talent.  

    I could go on...

    Somewhere in the top 20 it should include starting the season with seven of the eight positions being covered by players who were either poor at terrible at defending those positions. Also, a different way of saying 10A could be defining success wrong and not trading veterans for prospects to complete the rebuild. If you put together a roster full of mediocre players, a bad bullpen, and a starting rotation that includes three pitchers who haven't established themselves, it's not their fault they didn't achieve your goals.

    9 hours ago, mikelink45 said:

    So many good choices I have to go  a different direction.  We signed Lopez to be an Ace, we gave him a big contract (in Twins terms) and never got to see him on the mound.  From a dollar standpoint he was least valuable. 

    I was going to mention Pablo. Thanks for doing so. Very little value he gave us. 

    8 hours ago, mnfireman said:

    Lopez haters are 🫏🤡

    You misinterpret the Lopez posts. He took up a large percentage of the Twins budget and we got nothing from it.  That does not mean that we would not have liked to have him in the rotation all year.  He has been in 14 games in two years for $40+ million on a team that will not spend. 




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